1 14:00/15:15- Panel 2 Mergers & Acquisitions between India and Europe 2 14:00/15:15- Panel 2 Mergers & Acquisitions between India and Europe Chairperson: R. SANKARAN, Advisor, Rothschild India Sanjay BHANDARKAR, Managing Director, N M Rothschild & Sons (India) Kalpesh KIKANI, Senior General Manager, ICICI Bank Tim THOMAS, Chief Operating Officer, Bharti AXA Life Insurance Co. 3 India – Europe Connexion Sanjay BHANDARKAR Managing Director N M Rothschild & Sons (India) 4 India – An Overview GDP Growth rate amongst the highest in the world Clocked at 8.4% last year and estimated c.9 % for the current year 5th largest nation in the world in PPP terms (€ 3tn)* Per Capita GDP (PPP) : € 2,720* Growth spurt led by manufacturing and service sectors Highest FII inflow amongst emerging Asian economies in CY06 (€ 6.2bn) FDI Inflows at € 5.5bn in FY 06 (40% YoY growth) Among the four fastest developing BRIC economies in the world Population of over 1bn with 54% less than 25 years old Note * - As of 2006 est 5 India – Developed Capital Market Capital markets Has one of the most developed capital markets among emerging countries Only BRIC country with Market Cap. higher than GDP 115 companies with a Market Cap. greater than €1bn (As of 15th May 2007) Substantial PE interest 500 400 300 200 100 0 May- Aug- Nov- Feb- May- Aug- Nov- Feb- May97 98 99 01 02 03 04 06 07 BSE Sensex Indian corporates have made aggressive cross-border acquisitions backed by Funding from investors, hedge funds and banks Government pursuing progressive liberalization and easing of FDI norms 100% FDI allowed in most infrastructure sectors Dow Jones FTSE 250 Source Rothschild analysis Note Indices rebased to 100 Foreign attractiveness China India USA UK Poland Russia Brazil Australia Germany Hongkong Confidence Source A T Kearney Study 2005 1 2 3 6 Indian Companies Going Abroad “The Indian Multinational” Value of outbound deals larger than inbound A steel company in UK, an oil & gas explorer in Norway, a generic drug manufacturer in Germany; all have one thing in common - they are all flying the Indian tricolor In Jan-March 2007, 40 out-bound deals with a total value of € 15bn Led by Tata-Corus, HindalcoNovelis, Aban-Sinvest Companies looking to expand their product portfolio, access new markets, technologies From regional to global player 7 Indian Acquirers – European Targets Indian companies on a massive acquisition spree in past 2 years 12,000 Led by Iron and Steel, Energy and Pharmaceutical sectors 80 72 10,000 9,707 60 51 More outbound deals than inbound deals in 2006 in value terms Largest portion of outbound acquisitions in Europe (42%) followed by North America (24%) €m 8,000 6,000 4,000 40 30 17 18 20 2,000 Tata – Corus deal represents largest ever acquisition by an Indian company 2,116 126 197 2003 2004 845 0 2005 Value of Deal (€ m) Source: Thomson Financial Note:1) 2007 figures are YTD 2) All completed Deals only 2006 2007 Number of Deals 8 Indian Acquirers – European Targets Sectoral Split Iron & Steel Tata’s € 9.5bn acquisition of Corus Group PLC Energy Aban Offshore’s € 1.1bn acquisition of Sinvest ASA, an oil & gas E&P company Pharma & Biotech 25% Auto & Auto Comp 8% Chemicals & Materials 9% Suzlon Energy is currently in the process of acquiring German based REpower Systems Others 7% Has placed a competitive bid of € 710m IT & ITeS 8% Pharma & Biotech Dr. Reddy’s € 577m acquisition of German pharma major betapharm GmbH Ranbaxy Laboratories acquired Romanian based Terapia SA for € 270m Energy 33% Consumer 10% Source: Merger Market, Rothschild analysis Note:1) Includes all announced deals from 2004 till 2007 YTD 2) Excludes Tata – Corus deal 9 Indian Acquirers – European Targets Top 10 Deals (2005 – 2007YTD) Year Target Country Acquirer 2007 Corus Group PLC UK Tata Steel 9,466 2007 Sinvest ASA Norway Aban Offshore 1,072 2007 REpower Systems Germany Suzlon Energy 710 2006 betapharm GmbH Germany Dr.Reddy's 577 2006 Terapia SA Romania Ranbaxy Laboratories 270 2005 Thomson SA France Videocon 240 2005 Docpharma NV Belgium Matrix Laboratories 191 2006 ITERA Group (25%) Russia Sun Capital Partners 158 2005 Brunner Mond (64%) UK Tata Chemicals 156 2006 Pinewood Laboratories Ireland Wockhardt 118 Source: SDC, Merger Market, Rothschild analysis Deal Value (€ m) 10 European Acquirers – Indian Targets 18,000 European investment in India constantly on the rise Largest ever acquisition by a foreign company in India 121 15,000 Majority of inbound investments seen in Telecom, IT and Financial Services sectors Vodafone’s recent acquisition of Hutch’s 67% stake in Hutchison Essar 160 16,578 120 12,000 €m 92 70 9,000 80 53 55 6,000 40 3,000 2,620 1,466 895 379 0 0 2003 2004 2005 Value of Deal (€ m) Source: Thomson Financial Note:1) 2007 figures are YTD 2) All completed Deals only 2006 2007 Number of Deals 11 European Acquirers – Indian Targets Sectoral Split Telecom In 2005, Vodafone also picked up 6% stake in Bharti Airtel for € 686m Telecom 17% Transport 3% Chemicals & Materials 6% Mining 24% Mining Vodafone’s € 10.5bn announced acquisition of Hutch’s 67% stake in Hutchison Essar UK based Vedanta Resources’ recent announced acquisition of 71% stake in Sesa Goa for € 972m Cement IT& ITeS 7% Swiss cement major, Holcim picked up 20% stake in Gujarat Ambuja Cement for € 466m Others 7% Cement 23% Consumer 13% Source: Merger Market, Rothschild analysis Note:1) Includes all announced deals from 2004 till 2007 YTD 2) Excludes Vodafone – Hutchison Essar deal 12 European Acquirers – Indian Targets Top 10 Deals (2005 – 2007YTD) Year Acquirer Country Target 2007 Vodafone Group PLC UK Hutchison Essar (67%) 2007 Vedanta Resources PLC UK Sesa Goa (71%) 972 2005 Vodafone Group PLC UK Bharti Airtel (6%) 686 2006 Holcim Ltd Switzerland Gujarat Ambuja (20%) 2005 Michael Huber Muenchen Germany 2004 Hewlett-Packard Leiden Netherlands Digital Globalsoft (49%) 245 2005 Holcim Ltd Germany Ambuja Cement (67%) 182 2005 SABMiller PLC* UK Shaw Wallace 108 2006 Ciments Francais France Zuari Cement (50%) 100 2004 DHL Worldwide SA Belgium Blue Dart (68%) Source: SDC, Merger Market, Rothschild analysis Note *- Through its Indian Subsidiary, Mysore Breweries Micro Inks Ltd (71%) Deal Value (€ m) 10,507 466 246 97 13 In Conclusion Cross border activity on a continuous rise Number of cross border deals increased from 60 in 2004 to 266 in 2006 A significant proportion of M&A activity (in terms of volume) was done by mid cap companies Number of Indian companies that are able to do major acquisitions abroad is growing constantly In the first few months of 2007, Indian M&A crossed € 26bn led by large cap companies like Tata, Suzlon, Hindalco (Birla group) Easy availability of debt for acquisition financing Inbound acquisitions constrained by limited availability of high quality companies 14 Rothschild India Office Advised Tata Steel on € 9.3bn acquisition of Corus Group Advised Dr Reddy’s € 577m acquisition of betapharm Advised Azure on € 113m sale to Subex Systems € 1.4bn Dabhol power project Daewoo automobile plant in India Air Deccan, first Indian LCC Radio Mirchi, first private FM channel Radha Krishna Foodland, first food distribution deal Lanco Amarkantak power project, first coal based IPP in India Dr. Reddy s Laboratories Azure Solutions Advised on the US$576m acquisition of Betapharm, Germany Advised controlling shareholders on their US$ 140m disposal of shareholding to Subex Systems through a GDR issuance 2007 2006 2006 ICICI, IDBI, SBI ICICI IDBI EXIM Air Deccan Tata Steel Advised on US$ 11.9bn acquisition of Corus Group plc US$1.9bn disposal of assets of Dabhol Power Company to Ratnagiri Gas & Power Pvt Ltd (a JV between NTPC and GAIL) 2005 Advised Indian Lenders to Daewoo Motors (India) on the monetisation of assets Raising US$40m private equity from ICICI Ventures and Capital International 2005 2005 Entertainment Network (I) Ltd. Foodland Lanco Group Financial Adviser on fund raising US$25m private equity infusion from Warburg Pincus Advised on induction of financial partners in 600 MW coal based Amarkantak Power Project 2002 2004 2006 15 14:00/15:15- Panel 2 Mergers & Acquisitions between India and Europe 16 India-Europe M&A Kalpesh KIKANI Senior General Manager ICICI Bank 17 Agenda M&A activity in India Trends in Indian outbound M&A Considerations in European deals 18 Increased corporate activity Indian corporates aspiring to become market leaders in their business segments not only in India but also globally Growth drivers Strong growth in demand leading to increased utilisation of existing capacity Product portfolio and service offering enhancement Access to new technology and markets Derisking the business …aided by easier access to capital supply… 19 Increased access to capital Private Equity 6,000 4,000 2,000 6,000 7,500 Public Issue (U SD m n) PE Funding (U SD m n) 8,000 Domestic Public issue 1,750 2,000 0 4,864 4,045 4,000 2,000 0 CY 2004 CY 2005 CY 2006 CY 2004 3,000 2,552 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 459 613 500 0 FY 2004 FY 2005 CY 2005 CY 2006 ECB/ FCCB issue FY 2006 ECB/ FCCB issue (U SD m n) ADR/ GDR issue A D R/ GD R issue (U SD m n) 5,386 15,000 13,451 12,000 8,546 9,000 6,000 5,228 3,000 0 FY 2004 FY 2005 …reflecting in the sharp increase in M&A activity in the recent past… FY 2006 20 10,000.0 1,028.1 1,087.4 1,628.2 USD billion 1,000.0 2.1% 100.0 1.2% 10.0 0.7% 3.9 0.1 2.7 0.5% 1.0 2002 2003 3.2 0.6 1.5 3.9 1.7 0.5% • 21.2 7.4 9.4 1.0% 25.9 0.0% 2004 Total Value of Global Deals • 1.2% 2.0% 28.4 38.4 16.8 10.7 4.4 3.0% 2.7 Inbound • 4,520.0 3,935.0 1,976.8 2005 Outbound 2006 2007* Domestic % Share of india * 2007 figure is estimated Source : Bloomberg Value of Indian deals grew at a CAGR of 140 % from USD 8.3 bn in CY04 to USD 47.4 bn in CY06 • ICICI Bank was involved in USD 16.5 billion worth of deals in CY06 Outbound M&A deals till March was USD 8.8 billion in 2007 • Share of India in global market M&A activity in India Estimated total outbound M&A projected to be more than USD 35.0 bn in 2007 This appears to be just the beginning of the M&A wave in India 21 India-Europe M&A Break-up by No of Deals Break-up by Value 6% 4% 15% 36% 16% 37% 41% 45% Americas Europe Asia-Pacific Africa/Middle East Americas Europe Asia-Pacific Africa/Middle East • Europe represents the region with the largest number of acquisitions from India • India’s share of outbound deals originating from Western Europe has increased from 5.0% to 8.5% between CY04 and CY06 • In value terms it has increased from USD 0.7 billion (CY04) to USD 3.1 billion (CY06) 22 Agenda M&A activity in India Trends in Indian outbound M&A Considerations in European deals 23 Explosive growth India's M&A has grown by 150%, next only to France and Hong Kong, each of which achieved more than 200% growth More than 80% of large Indian companies are exploring the M&A option to grow India is second largest investor in the UK, with investments of around USD 2.0 billion (2005 - 2006) Notable Deals in Europe Aban Offshore acquires Sinvest, Norway for USD 1.3 billion (2007) Tata Steel acquires Corus for USD 12.8 billion (2006) Ranbaxy acquires Terapia for USD 324.0 million Suzlon acquires Hansen, Belgium for USD 565.0 million (2006) Dr Reddy's Lab. acquires Betapharm for Euro 480.0 million (2006) Reliance acquires Flag Telecom for USD 207.0 million (2003) Tata Tea acquires Tetley Tea for USD 430.0 million (2000) 24 Increasing leverage Target Debt/EBITDA levels in Western Europe Debt/EBITDA 6,00 5,00 4,00 3,00 2,00 1,00 0,00 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Total Debt on target/EBITDA levels increased from 4.93 (2005) to 5.28 (2006) Senior Debt/EBITDA levels also increased from 3.92 (2005) to 4.21 (2006) 25 Pricing Trends (W Europe) Downward trend in Average Margins Average Margins in 2006 : 238 bps (247 bps in 2005) Source : LoanConnector 26 Agenda M&A activity in India Trends in Indian outbound M&A Considerations in European deals 27 Key considerations in deal structuring From a lender’s perspective Key challenge is to get direct access to cashflows/assets of target (based in Europe) Regulations differ across countries in Europe UK has a whitewash procedure Such is not available in other geographies 28 Financial Assistance in Europe Country Financial Assistance Permitted? Exceptions? Belgium France Germany Italy Netherlands Spain No No No No No No Very limited, none relevant None None for AG & subsidiaries None relevant None for NV or subsidiaries None relevant Merger with target may be allowed BV can give loans up to distributable reserves Refinancing may be OK if entirely separate Other common forms of entity (e.g. GmbH) not covered 29 Key messages Indian clients are increasingly looking at acquisitions for growth The confidence level has increased and these companies are not shying away from acquisitions of much larger companies Requirements of Indian clients are not necessarily same as for corporates in other geographies Hence, solutions need to be tailored for Indian requirements All key decision makers in ICICI Bank are based in Mumbai, thereby enabling quicker turn around in case of last minute changes in structure/ quantum of financing ICICI Bank knows the people who are driving the acquisitions in India and thus in critical situations has the ability to look beyond numbers 30 Recent Transactions Acquisition of Pinewood Acquisition of 30% stake in Energy Brands Inc. Acquisition of West Asia Drilling N.V. Acquisition of Thomson SA’s CPT plants USD 33 million USD 283 million Structuring & Financing Structuring & financing Acquisition of Sinvest A.S.A USD 712 million USD 118 million Sole advisor and arranger Structuring and Lead Arranger Acquisition of Carbogen Amcis Acquisition Hansen Technologies Acquisition of Amann Holdings USD 75 million USD 565 million Euro 35 million Structuring & Financing Structuring & Financing Lead Arranger USD 800 million Structuring & Financing 31 Recent Transactions Acquisition of spirits business of Shaw Wallace USD 300 million Advisor Employee buyout of Tata Tea plantations USD 13 million Acquisition of 20.2% stake in Great Lakes Carbon, US Acquisition of Keyline Brands USD 101 million GBP 18 million Sole advisor and arranger Sole Arranger Acquisition of DCS Software Acquisition of Tashkent Toytepa Textiles Acquisition of a South African tyre manufacturer GBP 12 million USD 103 million Acquisition of Typhoo Tea GBP 80 million Sole advisor and arranger USD 62 million Advisor Sole Arranger Structuring & Financing Guarantee facility 32 Thank You 33 14:00/15:15- Panel 2 Mergers & Acquisitions between India and Europe 34 Indian Market Entry Experience Tim Thomas Chief Operating Officer Bharti AXA Life Mumbai Wednesday, May 16, 2007 35 1.0 Market entry - a phased approach Phase 1 Desk top analysis Apr-Jul 2004 • Establish the viability of commencing a project to detail India market entry • Confirm scope, plan, and deliverables • Draft critical success factors • Agree project governance • Desk top data research • Initial view of potential in market • First filter of potential strategic partners Phase 2 Strategy & business case Aug-Dec 2004 • Strategy formulation for market entry into India and detailed business case examining viable entry options • Assess critical success factors for entry options • Evaluate potential partners interest and suitability and define preferred partner list • Joint Venture and structuring options • Evaluation of entry model options and optimal business model recommendation • Financial modelling and high level business case Phase 3 Partner selection & planning Jan-May 2005 • Establish a project team on the ground in India, consisting of AXA secondee, advance hire, implementation partners and external resources • Finalise partner selection for Management Board endorsement • Develop regulatory relations • Develop high level target operational model • Finalise advance hires short list Phase 4 JV execution and operational design Sep 05-Mar 06 • Finalise partner negotiations, JV structuring and preparation of legal agreements • Detailed operational design (partner specific) • Marketing plan • Implementation planning covers: process, systems, infrastructure and back office, branch roll-out • Business planning and financials • Reporting and governance • Appoint key executives Phase 5 Implementation Oct ‘05-Aug 06 Launch Aug ‘06 • Pre- launch and the 'startup' phase preparation • Regulatory license approvals • Launch comms • Manpower recruitment • Sales force training, compensation and recruitment • Launch sales incentive programs/KPI tracking • Lead generation management • Establish JV committees 36 Thank you 37 14:00/15:15- Panel 2 Mergers & Acquisitions between India and Europe