Cortez, Leah-Faith T. Z-test The mean Verbal SAT score for the population of first students at Mind College is 520. The standard deviation of scores in this population is 95. An investigator believes that the mean Verbal NMAT of first year psychology majors is significantly different from the mean score of the population. The mean of a sample of 36 first year psychology majors is 548. Test the investigator's prediction using an alpha level of .05. Use the step by step approach (15 points). Given: µ = 520, σ = 95, n = 36, M= 548, α = .05 Answer the following. 1. Is the problem directional or non-directional? Non-directional (two-tailed) 2. State the null and alternative hypothesis. H0: µ = 520 H1: µ ≠ 520 3. State alpha. α = .05 z = ± 1.96 4. State the decision rule. If –1.96 ≥ z ≥ +1.96, reject the null hypothesis, otherwise retain the null hypothesis. 5. Calculate the test statistics. To calculate the z statistic, first compute the standard error (σM), which is the denominator for the z statistic: 𝛔 𝛔𝑴 = √𝐧 𝟗𝟓 σ = 95, n = 36 𝛔𝑴 = 𝟔 𝟗𝟓 𝛔𝑴 𝛔𝑴 = = 𝟏𝟓. 𝟖𝟑𝟑𝟑𝟑𝟑𝟑𝟑𝟑𝟑 √𝟑𝟔 Then compute the z statistic by substituting the values. 𝒛𝒐𝒃𝒕 = 𝑴−𝝁 𝝈𝑴 M= 548, µ = 520 𝒛𝒐𝒃𝒕 𝟓𝟒𝟖 − 𝟓𝟐𝟎 = 𝟏𝟓. 𝟖𝟑𝟑𝟑𝟑𝟑𝟑𝟑𝟑𝟑 𝒛𝒐𝒃𝒕 = 𝟐𝟖 𝟏𝟓. 𝟖𝟑𝟑𝟑𝟑𝟑𝟑𝟑𝟑𝟑 𝒛𝒐𝒃𝒕 = 𝟏. 𝟕𝟔𝟖𝟒𝟐𝟏𝟎𝟓𝟐𝟔 𝒛𝒐𝒃𝒕 = 𝟏. 𝟕𝟕 6. State the result. If –1.96 ≥ zobt ≥ +1.96, reject the null hypothesis, otherwise, retain the null hypothesis. 𝒛𝒐𝒃𝒕 = 𝟏. 𝟕𝟔𝟖𝟒𝟐𝟏𝟎𝟓𝟐𝟔 𝒛𝒐𝒃𝒕 = 𝟏. 𝟕𝟕 𝒛𝒐𝒃𝒕 ≠ 𝟏. 𝟗𝟔 𝒛𝒐𝒃𝒕 < 𝟏. 𝟗𝟔 ∴ 𝑹𝒆𝒕𝒂𝒊𝒏 𝒕𝒉𝒆 𝒏𝒖𝒍𝒍 𝒉𝒚𝒑𝒐𝒕𝒉𝒆𝒔𝒊𝒔. 7. State the conclusion. To find the p value for the z statistic, find its own probability (toward the tail) in the unit normal table (APPENDIX B) and multiply this probability times the number of tails for alpha. One-tailed (Directional) Two-tailed (Non-Directional) Number of tails 1 2 Probability p p p value calculation 1p 2p 𝒛𝒐𝒃𝒕 = 𝟏. 𝟕𝟕 Area beyond z in tail = .0384 (using appendix B) Two-tailed p = 2 x .0384 p = .0768 If the null hypothesis were true, then p = 0.768 that we could have selected this sample mean from this population. The criteria that was set in step 3 was that the probability must be less than 5% (α = .05) that we obtain a sample mean, if the null hypothesis were true. Since p is greater than 5% we decide to retain the null hypothesis. We conclude that the mean Verbal SAT score in this population is 520. (the value stated in the null hypothesis)