Chapter 6 Time Value of Money

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CHAPTER 5

Time Value of Money

Future value

Present value

Annuities

Rates of return

Amortization

2-1

Last week

Objective of the firm

Business forms

Agency conflicts

Capital budgeting decision and capital structure decision

2-2

The plan of the lecture

Time value of money concepts

 present value (PV) discount rate/interest rate (r)

Formulae for calculating PV of

 perpetuity annuity

Interest compounding

How to use a financial calculator

2-3

Financial choices with time

Which would you rather receive?

$1000 today

$1040 in one year

Both payments have no risk, that is, there is 100% probability that you will be paid

2-4

Financial choices with time

Why is it hard to compare ?

$1000 today

$1040 in one year

This is not an “apples to apples” comparison. They have different units

$1000 today is different from $1000 in one year

Why?

A cash flow is time-dated money

2-5

Present value

To have an “apple to apple” comparison, we convert future payments to the present values or convert present payments to the future values

This is like converting money in Canadian $ to money in US $.

2-6

Some terms

Finding the present value of some future cash flows is called

discounting.

Finding the future value of some current cash flows is called

compounding.

2-7

0

What is the future value (FV) of an initial $100 after 3 years, if i = 10%?

Finding the FV of a cash flow or series of cash flows is called compounding.

FV can be solved by using the arithmetic,

financial calculator, and spreadsheet methods.

1 2 3

10%

100 FV = ?

2-8

Solving for FV:

The arithmetic method

After 1 year:

FV

1

= c ( 1 + i ) = $100 (1.10)

= $110.00

After 2 years:

FV

2

= c (1+i)(1+i) = $100 (1.10)

=$121.00

2

After 3 years:

FV

3

= c ( 1 + i )

=$133.10

3 = $100 (1.10) 3

After n years (general case):

FV n

= C ( 1 + i ) n

2-9

Set up the Texas instrument

2 nd , “FORMAT”, set “DEC=9”, ENTER

2 nd , “FORMAT”, move “ ↓ ” several times, make sure you see “AOS”, not “Chn”.

2 nd , “P/Y”, set to “P/Y=1”

2 nd , “BGN”, set to “END”

P/Y=periods per year,

END=cashflow happens end of periods

2-10

Solving for FV:

The calculator method

Solves the general FV equation.

Requires 4 inputs into calculator, and it will solve for the fifth.

INPUTS

OUTPUT

3

N

10

I/YR

-100

PV

0

PMT FV

133.10

2-11

What is the present value (PV) of

$100 received in 3 years, if i = 10%?

Finding the PV of a cash flow or series of cash flows is called discounting (the reverse of compounding).

The PV shows the value of cash flows in terms of today’s worth.

1 2 3 0

PV = ?

10%

100

2-12

Solving for PV:

The arithmetic method

 i: interest rate, or discount rate

PV = C / ( 1 + i ) n

PV = C / ( 1 + i ) 3

= $100 / ( 1.10 ) 3

= $75.13

2-13

Solving for PV:

The calculator method

Exactly like solving for FV, except we have different input information and are solving for a different variable.

INPUTS

OUTPUT

3

N

10

I/YR PV

-75.13

0

PMT

100

FV

2-14

Solving for N:

If your investment earns interest of 20% per year, how long before your investments double?

INPUTS

OUTPUT

N

3.8

20

I/YR

-1

PV

0

PMT

2

FV

2-15

Solving for i:

What interest rate would cause $100 to grow to $125.97 in 3 years?

INPUTS

OUTPUT

3

N I/YR

8

-100

PV

0

PMT

125.97

FV

2-16

Now let’s study some interesting patterns of cash flows…

Annuity

Perpetuity

2-17

ordinary annuity and annuity due

Ordinary Annuity

0 1 i%

PMT

Annuity Due

0 i%

1

2

PMT

2

3

PMT

3

PMT PMT PMT

2-18

Value an ordinary annuity

Here C is each cash payment n is number of payments

If you’d like to know how to get the formula below (not required), see me after class.

PV

C

 i

1

(1

1

) n

2-19

Solving for FV:

3-year ordinary annuity of $100 at 10%

$100 payments occur at the end of each period. Note that PV is set to 0 when you try to get FV.

INPUTS

OUTPUT

3

N

10

I/YR

0

PV

-100

PMT FV

331

2-20

Solving for PV:

3-year ordinary annuity of $100 at 10%

$100 payments still occur at the end of each period. FV is now set to 0.

INPUTS

OUTPUT

3

N

10

I/YR PV

-248.69

100

PMT

0

FV

2-21

Example

 you win the $1million dollar lottery! but wait, you will actually get paid $50,000 per year for the next 20 years if the discount rate is a constant 7% and the first payment will be in one year, how much have you actually won?

2-22

Solving for FV:

3-year annuity due of $100 at 10%

$100 payments occur at the beginning of each period.

FVA due

= FVA ord

(1+i) = $331(1.10) = $364.10.

Alternatively, set calculator to “BEGIN” mode and solve for the FV of the annuity:

BEGIN

INPUTS

3 10 0 -100

N I/YR PV PMT FV

OUTPUT

364.10

2-23

Solving for PV:

3-year annuity due of $100 at 10%

$100 payments occur at the beginning of each period.

PVA due

= PVA ord

(1+I) = $248.69(1.10) = $273.55.

Alternatively, set calculator to “BEGIN” mode and solve for the PV of the annuity:

BEGIN

INPUTS

3 10 100 0

N I/YR PV PMT FV

OUTPUT

-273.55

2-24

What is the present value of a 5-year

$100 ordinary annuity at 10%?

Be sure your financial calculator is set back to END mode and solve for PV:

N = 5, I/YR = 10, PMT = 100, FV = 0.

PV = $379.08

2-25

What if it were a 10-year annuity? A

25-year annuity? A perpetuity?

10-year annuity

N = 10, I/YR = 10, PMT = 100, FV = 0; solve for PV = $614.46.

25-year annuity

N = 25, I/YR = 10, PMT = 100, FV = 0; solve for PV = $907.70.

Perpetuity (N=infinite)

PV = PMT / i = $100/0.1 = $1,000.

2-26

What is the present value of a four-year annuity of $100 per year that makes its first payment two years from today if the discount rate is 9%?

PV

1

$100

$100

$100

$100

1 2 3

(1.09) (1.09) (1.09) (1.09)

4

$323.97

$297.22

$323.97

$100 $100 $100 $100

0

PV

0

$ 323

1

.

97

1 .

09

$ 297 .

22

2 3 4 5

2-27

What is the PV of this uneven cash flow stream?

0

10%

1

100

90.91

247.93

225.39

-34.15

530.08 = PV

2

300

3

300

4

-50

2-28

Solving for PV:

Uneven cash flow stream

Input cash flows in the calculator’s “CF” register:

CF

0

CF

1

CF

2

CF

3

CF

4

= 0

= 100

= 300

= 300

= -50

Enter I/YR = 10, press NPV button to get

NPV = $530.09. (Here NPV = PV.)

2-29

Detailed steps (Texas

Instrument calculator)

To clear historical data:

CF

,

2 nd

,

CE/C

To get PV:

CF

, ↓,100 ,

Enter , ↓,↓ ,300 , Enter, ↓,2,

Enter , ↓, 50, +/-, Enter , ↓, NPV

,10,

Enter

,

↓,CPT

“NPV=530.0867427”

2-30

The Power of Compound

Interest

A 20-year-old student wants to start saving for retirement. She plans to save $3 a day. Every day, she puts $3 in her drawer. At the end of the year, she invests the accumulated savings

($1,095=$3*365) in an online stock account.

The stock account has an expected annual return of 12%.

How much money will she have when she is 65 years old?

2-31

Solving for FV:

Savings problem

If she begins saving today, and sticks to her plan, she will have $1,487,261.89 when she is 65.

INPUTS

OUTPUT

45

N

12

I/YR

0

PV

-1095

PMT FV

1,487,262

2-32

Solving for FV:

Savings problem, if you wait until you are

40 years old to start

If a 40-year-old investor begins saving today, and sticks to the plan, he or she will have $146,000.59 at age 65. This is $1.3 million less than if starting at age 20.

Lesson: It pays to start saving early.

INPUTS

OUTPUT

25

N

12

I/YR

0

PV

-1095

PMT FV

146,001

2-33

Will the FV of a lump sum be larger or smaller if compounded more often, holding the stated i% constant?

0

LARGER, as the more frequently compounding occurs, interest is earned on interest more often.

1 2 3

10%

0

0

100

Annually: FV

3

= $100(1.10) 3 = $133.10

5%

1

1

2 3

2

4 5

133.10

3

6

100

Semiannually: FV

6

= $100(1.05) 6 = $134.01

134.01

2-34

What is the FV of $100 after 3 years under

10% semiannual compounding? Quarterly compounding?

FV

3S

 

0.10

)

2

FV

3S

 6

$100 (1.05)

$134.01

FV

3Q

 12

$100 (1.025)

$134.49

2-35

Classifications of interest rates

1. Nominal rate (i

NOM

) – also called the APR, quoted rate, or stated rate . An annual rate that ignores compounding effects. Periods must also be given, e.g. 8% Quarterly.

2. Periodic rate (i

PER

) – amount of interest charged each period, e.g. monthly or quarterly.

 i

PER

= i

NOM

/ m, where m is the number of compounding periods per year. e.g., m = 12 for monthly compounding.

2-36

Classifications of interest rates

3. Effective (or equivalent) annual rate

( EAR, also called EFF, APY ) : the annual rate of interest actually being earned, taking into account compounding.

If the interest rate is compounded

interest rate is m times in a year, the effective annual

1

 i nom m

 m

1

2-37

Example, EAR for 10% semiannual investment

EAR= ( 1 + 0.10 / 2 ) 2 – 1 = 10.25%

An investor would be indifferent between an investment offering a

10.25% annual return, and one offering a 10% return compounded semiannually.

2-38

EAR on a Financial Calculator

Texas Instruments BAII Plus keys:

[↓][NOM=] 10 [ ENTER]

[↓] [EFF=] [CPT] 10.25

description:

[2nd] [ICONV] Opens interest rate conversion menu

[↑] [C/Y=] 2

[ENTER] Sets 2 payments per year

Sets 10 APR .

2-39

Why is it important to consider effective rates of return?

An investment with monthly payments is different from one with quarterly payments.

Must use EAR for comparisons.

If i

NOM

=10%, then EAR for different compounding frequency:

Annual

Quarterly

Monthly

Daily

10.00%

10.38%

10.47%

10.52%

2-40

If interest is compounded more than once a year

EAR (EFF, APY) will be greater than the nominal rate (APR).

2-41

2-42

2-43

0

What’s the FV of a 3-year $100 annuity, if the quoted interest rate is

10%, compounded semiannually?

1

1

2 3

2

4 5

3

6

5%

100 100 100

Payments occur annually, but compounding occurs every 6 months.

Cannot use normal annuity valuation techniques.

2-44

Method 1:

Compound each cash flow

0

5%

1

1

2 3

2

4 5

3

6

100 100 100

110.25

121.55

331.80

FV

3

FV

3

= $100(1.05) 4 + $100(1.05) 2 + $100

= $331.80

2-45

Method 2:

Financial calculator

Find the EAR and treat as an annuity.

EAR = ( 1 + 0.10 / 2 ) 2 – 1 = 10.25%.

INPUTS

OUTPUT

3

N

10.25

I/YR

0

PV

-100

PMT FV

331.80

2-46

When is periodic rate used?

 i

PER is often useful if cash flows occur several times in a year.

2-47

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