Module 2 Sources of Funds Framework A. Intro to financial markets B. Business Loans C. Time Value of Money • Funds flow in the economy • Money Markets • Capital Markets • Types of business loans • The loan process • The 6C’s of Credit • • • • Cash Flow notations Simple Interest Compound Interest Present and Future Value Framework A. Intro to financial markets B. Business Loans C. Time Value of Money • Funds flow in the economy • Money Markets • Capital Markets • Types of business loans • The loan process • The 6C’s of Credit • • • • Cash Flow notations Simple Interest Compound Interest Present and Future Value What is an investment? An asset or property right acquired for profit Risks: Liquidity Risk Market Risk Inflation Risk Credit Risk General investment classes Savings deposits Time deposits Life insurance policies Bonds Money market placements Houses, apartments and building ownership Land ownership Business ownership Education and training Foreign exchange investments Precious tangibles Financial markets What is a financial market? Offers and sales occur in two distinct ways Primary market Secondary market Financial institutions such as banks act as intermediaries Financial Markets Money Market Capital Market Forex Market Derivatives Market •Tbills •Tnotes •CPs •BAs •Debt •Equity •Spot •Forward •Options •Swaps •Futures •Structured Products Money Market vs. Capital Market •Short-term •Government bonds •Large denominations •Institutional investors Money market instruments Treasury Bills and notes -Government raises money by selling notes to the public -Investors buy the bills at a discount from the stated maturity value. At maturity, the investor will get the face value. - Notes: longer-term and may give periodic interest Certificates of deposit - A time deposit - May not be withdrawn on demand - The bank pays interest and principal at maturity - Usually insured by government insurance (PDIC) Commercial papers - Large, well-known companies may issue debt instead of borrowing from banks - Usually pays interest and gives back the principal upon maturity Banker’s acceptance - Starts with an order to a bank by a bank’s customer to pay a sum of money at a future date (similar to post-dated check) -When the bank endorses the order for payment as “accepted,” it assumes responsibility for ultimate payment to the holder of the acceptance. - The acceptance may be traded in secondary markets like any other claim on the bank. Money market instruments Repos -The dealer sells government securities to an investor on an overnight basis, with an agreement to buy back those securities the next day at a slightly higher price. -The increase in the price is the overnight interest. -The dealer thus takes out a one-day loan from the investor, and the securities serve as collateral. -Reverse repo: mirror image of a repo Demand loans - Mechanism used by banks to adjust their daily reserve positions -Interbank borrowing and lending Term loans -Loans to banks for a definite period of time Types of transactions Straight sale - Direct sale to an investor up to maturity date Ex: A dealer bought a Meralco CP on Jan 1 2008 to mature on May 31 2008 with a 15% interest p.a. Supposing on April 6, a client went to the dealer and said he has excess funds up to May 31 (45 days). The dealer sold the note to the client at 13% p.a. On the maturity date, the client received the principal plus the corresponding interest. The bank earned 2% on the transaction. Repurchase agreement - Repurchase (RP) – the commercial bank sells to the central bank using securities as collateral. - Reverse repurchase (RRP) – the commercial bank lends to the central bank and the central bank gives securities as collateral. Capital market instruments Features of good investments 1. 2. 3. 4. Safety of the value of the investment Saleable investments Stability of income Taxes Framework A. Intro to financial markets B. Business Loans C. Time Value of Money • Funds flow in the economy • Money Markets • Capital Markets • Types of business loans • The loan process • The 6C’s of Credit • • • • Cash Flow notations Simple Interest Compound Interest Present and Future Value How are loans made? Find prospective loan customers Evaluate financial condition Evaluate character and sincerity of purpose Assess possible loan collateral and sign the loan agreement Make site visits and evaluate credit record Monitor compliance with loan agreement and other customer service needs What makes a good loan? 1 Is the borrower creditworthy? Can the loan agreement be 2 properly structured and documented? 3 Can the lender perfect its claim against the assets or earnings of the customer? 1 Is the borrower creditworthy? 6 C’s of Lending CHARACTER • Well-defined purpose for requesting credit • serious intention to repay CAPACITY • Authority to request the loan • Minors, corporations CASH • Ability to generate enough cash to repay the loan 1 Is the borrower creditworthy? 6 C’s of Lending COLLATERAL • Does the borrower have adequate net worth or own enough quality assets to support the loan? CONDITIONS • Recent trends in borrower’s line of industry CONTROL • Changes in law and regulation could adversely affect the borrower • Loan request meets the lenders and regulatory authorities standard for loan quality 2 Can the loan agreement be properl structured and documented? Loan agreement must meet borrower’s needs for funds with a comfortable repayment schedule Lend less or more money over a longer or shorter period than requested Must protect the lender and those the lender represents Process of recovering lender’s funds must be carefully spelled out in a loan agreement 3 Can the lender perfect its claim against th assets or earnings of the customer? Reasons for taking collateral If the borrower cannot pay, the pledge fo collateral gives the lender the right to seize and sell those assets designated as loan collateral, using the proceeds of the sale to cover what the borrower didn’t pay back. Gives physical advantage over the borrower (borrower feels more obliged to repay the loan) 3 Common types of collateral Accounts receivables Factoring Inventory Real property Personal property Personal guarantees Can the lender perfect its claim against th assets or earnings of the customer? Personal guarantees and pledges made by the business owners Resources on customer’s B/S Expected profit, income Amount owned = Loan P+I – deposits or cash flow and collateral pledged or consignors of the loan Safety zones surrounding loaned funds Types of business loans Short-Term Loans Self-liquidating inventory loans Working capital loans Interim construction financing Security dealer financing Retailer and equipment financing Asset-based loans (AR financing, factoring and inventory financing) Syndicated loans Long-Term Loans Term loans to support the purchase of equipment, rolling stock and structures Revolving credit financing Project loans Loans to support acquisitions of other business firms What do banks look for in FS? Historical analysis What are the trends in costs and profit? Financial ratio analysis Ability to control expenses Operating efficiency in using resources to generate sales Marketability of product line Coverage that earnings provide over financing costs Liquidity position, indicating availability of ready cash Track record of profitability Financial leverage Contingent liabilities Comparison with industry performance The 4 basic questions 1. How liquid is the firm? 2. Is management generating adequate operating profits on the firm’s assets? 3. How is the firm financing its assets? 4. Are the owners (stockholders) receiving an adequate return on their investment? Framework A. Intro to financial markets B. Business Loans C. Time Value of Money • Funds flow in the economy • Money Markets • Capital Markets • Types of business loans • The loan process • The 6C’s of Credit • • • • Cash Flow notations Simple Interest Compound Interest Present and Future Value What is the time value of money? A dollar today is worth more than a dollar in the future. WHY? Because a dollar can be invested today and earn interest for the future Because a dollar today can be eroded by inflation TVM = Opportunity cost Simple Interest Suppose you place $100 in a savings account that pays 6% interest per year. How much interest will you get at the end of 1 year? How much total money will you get at the end of 1 year? At the end of 5 years? Formula Toolbox: Interest Payment = Principal x Rate x Time Time = actual no of days /360 days Compound Interest Suppose you place $100 in a savings account that pays 6% interest per year. How much interest will you get at the end of 1 year? How much total money will you get at the end of 1 year? At the end of 5 years? Formula Toolbox: Future Value (FV) = PV*(1+i)n Present Value (PV) = FV*(1+i)-n Present Value and Future Value If we place $1,000 in a savings account paying 5% interest compounded annually, how much will our account accrue in 10 years? If we invest $500 in a bank where it will earn 8% compounded annually, how much will it be worth at the end of 7 years? How many years will it take for your initial investment of $7,753 to grow to $20,000 if it is invested at 9% compounded annually? If you like to buy a new laptop that will cost P20,000 10 years from now, at what rate should you invest your savings of P11,167? Question Fred Moreno has found an institution that will pay him 8% p.a. interest compounded quarterly on a P10,000 deposit. If he leaves his money in this account for 24 months, how much will money will he have at the end of 1 year? At the end of 2 years? How much will he have at the end of 2 years if the interest rate is 8% p.a. compounded semi-annually? Compounded monthly? Making interest rates comparable Future Value (FV) = PV*(1+i/m)n*m m = number of times per year that the interest is compounded N = number of years Effective annual rate for compounding: (1+i/m)m - 1 Continuous compounding: PV x ei*n Exercise Joseph is a friend of yours. He has plenty of money but little financial sense. He received a gift of 12,000 for his recent graduation band is looking for a bank in which to deposit the funds. BPI is offering an account with an annual interest rate compounded 2.85% semi-annually, while PSbank offers an account with a 2.75% annual interest compounded monthly. Calculate the value of the two accounts at the end of one year and recommend to Joseph which account he should choose. Annuities Annuities are equal amounts of payments occurring for a consecutive time periods (amortization payments) Formula Toolbox: A (1 i) 1 FV i n (1 i) 1 PV A n i(1 i) n What is the present value of a 10 year $1,000 annuity discounted back to the present at 5%? Perpetuities A perpetuity is an annuity that continues forever; that is, for every year from its establishment it pays the same dollar amount. Example: preferred stock that yields a constant dollar dividend indefinitely Formula Toolbox: PP PV perpetuity i Where: PP = constant dollar amount provided by the perpetuity i = annual interest or discount rate Exercise 1. 2. (Comprehensive present value) You are trying to plan for retirement in 10 years and currently you have $100,000 in savings account and $300,000 in stocks. In addition, you plan to add to your savings by depositing $10,000 per year in your savings account at the end of each of the next five years and then $20,000 per year at the end of each year for the final five years until retirement. a. Assuming your savings account returns 7% compounded annually and your investment in stocks will return 12% compounded annually, how much will you have at the end of 10 years? Ignore taxes. b. If you expect to live for 20 years after you retire, and at retirement you deposit all of your savings in a bank account paying 10%, how much can you withdraw each year after retirement (20 equal withdrawals beginning one year after you retire) to end up with a zero balance at death? How many years would it take for your investment to grow fourfold if it were invested at 16% compounded semiannually? Exercise 1. (Comprehensive present value) You found the woman of your dreams and she agreed to marry you in 5 years. You currently have Php 150,000 in savings and P15,000 in stocks. You have deposited your savings in a TD yielding 6.5% semi-annually, while the expected rate of return of your stock is 9.75%. To save for the wedding, you vowed to deposit Php 50,000 per year for the next five years at a bank deposit yielding 5.25%. a. How much money can you spend in your wedding? b. If your wedding planner told you that the cost of your dream wedding is php 875,000, how much should you save each year (in a deposit yielding 5.25%) to be able to afford