Uterus at a Price: Disability Insurance and Hysterectomy Elliott Fan Hsienming Lien Ching-To Albert Ma October 2013 National Taiwan University, National ChengChi University, and Boston University 2 Motivations • Health insurance implies moral hazard, excessive treatment • What about treatment that means removal of an organ? • Disability insurance in Taiwan---incentives for organ removal • Cash payment to women who lose the ability to conceive before age 45 3 Disability insurance • Three social programs: 1. Government Employees Insurance, GEI workers in public sector, school teachers 2. Labor Insurance, LI workers in the private sector 3. Farmers’ Insurance, FI farmers • Women under age 45, undergoing a hysterectomy (surgical removal of uterus,子宮切除術) or an oophorectomy (surgical removal of both ovaries ,卵巢切除術) • Disability benefit = 6 months of insured salary for GEI, 5.5 months for LI and FI 4 Several facts • Each year about 25000 women have hysterectomy in Taiwan. • NHI records show that one out of five women have hysterectomy in her life in Taiwan. • Each year about 6000 labor enrollees have hysterectomy, with NT130-140k per case. In total, LI paid NT 1 billion for disability benefits each year. • There is no clear associations between the number of hysterectomy and the economic conditions 5 立委要求放寬勞保給付標準 (2013/11/20) • 立法院衛環委員會今天審查勞委會預算,立委尤美女提案指 出,勞保失能給付標準中「生殖器遺存顯著障害」認定,女 性切除子宮與卵巢「未滿45歲,原有生殖能力因傷病割除..... 致不能生育者」,但對男性生殖障害並無年齡限制,勞團多 年前即認為性別歧視,且年過45歲仍生育者亦不少,建議勞 委會刪除年齡規定,否則將刪勞保預算。 • 但立委江慧貞認為,實務上的確有不少勞工因為生活過不去, 或者因為已經生了很多孩子,不打算再生,就將子宮切除領 給付,因此年齡限制反而是保護女性,避免有人真的為了給 付而切除子宮。但她也說,反而很多女性45歲以後仍生育, 45歲的門檻應延後,但不能不訂界線。 6 子宮切除勞保給付 擬放寬(2013/11/20) • 勞保現行規定45歲以下切除子宮才能領失能給付,等於 認定年過45歲就沒有生育需要,但醫師立委蘇清泉認為, 婦女生育年齡普遍延後,且女性停經年齡約49歲以後, 因此主張延後至50歲。勞委會統計,目前失能給付每5 件失能給付就有1件是切除子宮;是否放寬規定降低門 檻,勞委會表示「可評估」,將與醫療等專業單位研議, 但不宜刪除年齡規定。 7 切除子宮 大都是醫生建議(2013/11/20) • 女性勞工為領失能給付切除子宮?勞保局表示,切除子宮案件的 確佔失能給付1/5以上,比率不低,但是近年案件已逐年降低,而 且大都是醫生建議,原因是醫生認為無論是子宮或卵巢肌瘤復發 率很高,直接切除可以一勞永逸,「又可領給付」。 • 勞保局統計,自97年以來近五年失能件數約每年2.9-3.3萬件,其 中「喪失生育能力」案件從97年7萬多件降到101年的6萬多件,件 數逐年降低,但比率都約20%-22%,亦即約佔1/5 。 • 立委指證很多女性勞工為了領失能給付而切除子宮,勞保局總經 理羅五湖表示,實務上因為切除子宮而領給付者,大都是醫生建 議切除,不會因為想領給付而切除。但是他說,很多醫生會向勞 工說,子宮或卵巢肌瘤容易復發,大都會建議直接切除,加上 「又可領失能給付」,因此案件佔失能給付大宗。 10 Disability insurance • Three social programs: 1. Government Employees Insurance, GEI workers in public sector, school teachers 2. Labor Insurance, LI workers in the private sector 3. Farmers’ Insurance, FI farmers • Women under age 45, undergoing a hysterectomy (surgical removal of uterus,子宮切除術) or an oophorectomy (surgical removal of both ovaries ,卵巢切除術) • Disability benefit = 6 months of insured salary for GEI, 5.5 months for LI and FI 11 Uninsured group (control) • Women not covered by the above three social programs • Mostly unemployed women 12 Hazard by quarter Total and partial hysterectomies Labor 3 2 1 0 0 1 2 3 hazard (of 1,000) 4 4 Public -20 -10 0 10 quarters from age 45 20 -20 -10 20 3 2 1 0 0 1 2 3 hazard (of 1,000) 4 Uninsured 4 Farmer 0 10 quarters from age 45 -20 -10 0 10 quarters from age 45 20 -20 -10 0 10 quarters from age 45 20 13 Hazard by quarter Total and partial hysterectomies 1 2 3 4 Hysterectomy -20 -10 0 quarters from age 45 Public Farmer 10 Labor Uninsured 20 14 Summary • Treatment groups: occurrences and hazard of hysterectomy increase as 45th birthday approaches, then sharp drop • Control group: no such pattern • For partial oophorectomy or myomectomy (surgical removal of uterine myomas) (both ineligible), no such pattern 15 Hazard by quarter Partial oophorectomies .75 .5 0 .25 0 .25 .5 .75 hazard (of 1,000) 1 Labor 1 Public -20 -10 0 10 quarters from age 45 20 -20 -10 20 .75 .5 0 .25 0 .25 .5 .75 hazard (of 1,000) 1 Uninsured 1 Farmer 0 10 quarters from age 45 -20 -10 0 10 quarters from age 45 20 -20 -10 0 10 quarters from age 45 20 16 Hazard by quarter Myomectomies 1 .5 0 0 .5 1 hazard (of 1,000) 1.5 Labor 1.5 Public -20 -10 0 10 quarters from age 45 20 -20 -10 20 1 .5 0 0 .5 1 hazard (of 1,000) 1.5 Uninsured 1.5 Farmer 0 10 quarters from age 45 -20 -10 0 10 quarters from age 45 20 -20 -10 0 10 quarters from age 45 20 17 Research questions 1. How many “induced” hysterectomies due to disability insurances? 2. Any health impact? 18 Institutional background • Taiwan social insurance programs • Disability benefits • Surgeries 19 Taiwan social insurance programs • Mandatory major social insurance programs, through employment • Comprehensive benefits • GEI: disability, life insurance, dependents' funeral allowance, pension, parental leave • LI: all GEI benefits, plus unemployment benefit • FI: less generous than GEI, no pension or parental leave 公教保險 給付項目 育嬰留職停薪 眷屬喪葬 殘廢給付 養老給付 死亡給付 勞工保險 給付項目 21 Government employee insurance • Eligibility – Public workers – Teachers (private and public schools) • Number of enrollees: about 600,000 • Premium – Insured salary, about 60-70% of full wage, but capped at NTD52,000 – premium rate: 8.25% of insured salary – contribution: 35% (employees) 65% (employers) – employee premium: 8.25%*35%*insured salary 22 Labor insurance (I) • Eligibility – Employees in private sector or private schools (15--65 years old and in firms with more than 5 employees) – Employees in small companies or self employed---through trade unions • Number of enrollees: about 8,000,000 • Premium – Insured salary based on full wage, but capped at NTD42,000 – premium rate: 9% (1% for unemployment insurance) – contribution: 20% (employees), 70% (employers), 10% (government) – employee premium: 9%*20%*insured salary 23 Labor Insurance (II) • Labor Law: firms with 5 or more employees to purchase LI for workers; workers in small businesses may be uninsured • Trade unions allow these left-out workers (e.g. taxi drivers, lawyers, fishermen) to participate in LI • Lax requirements for joining labor insurance through trade unions 24 Farmer insurance • Eligibility – Farmers (members of farmer’s associations) • Number of enrollees – about 1,500,000 • Premium – – – – The insured salary is fixed at NTD10,200 premium rate: 6.8% (1% for unemployed insurance) contribution: 30% (employees), 70% (government) employee premium: 6.8%*30%*insured salary 25 Disability benefits (I) • Eligibility of reproduction impairment – Women younger than 45 years old – Sterility due to (1) total or partial removal of uterus; (2) removal of both ovaries; or (3) radiation therapy • Accordingly, women who have one of the following surgeries before age 45 are eligible: (1) Hysterectomy (partial or total removal of uterus) (2) Total oophorectomy (surgical removal of both ovaries) 26 Disability benefits (II) • Disability benefit of reproduction impairment – GEI: 6 months of insured salary – FI and LI: 5.5 months of insured salary. • GEI and LI more generous than FI • FI’s insured salary at NT10,200; benefit fixed at NT51,000 • High-income LI enrollees have less benefits than GEI enrollees; LI insured salary capped at NT42,000. 27 Surgeries (covered by National Health Insurance) • Hysterectomy – Partial: surgical removal of uterus except cervix – Total: surgical removal of uterus and cervix – Both qualify for disability benefit • Oophorectomy – Removal of both ovaries – Qualify for disability benefit – Number of total oophorectomies small, as illustrated by the following graphs Occurrences by quarter (restricted sample) 28 Total oophorectomies Labor 30 20 10 0 0 2 4 6 occurrences 8 40 10 Public -20 -10 0 10 quarters from age 45 20 -20 20 30 20 10 0 0 5 10 occurrences 15 40 Uninsured 20 Farmer -10 0 10 quarters from age 45 -20 -10 0 10 quarters from age 45 20 -20 -10 0 10 quarters from age 45 20 29 Surgeries for comparison • Two reproductive-system related treatments that don’t qualify for disability benefits: (1) Myomectomy (surgical removal of one or more uterine myomas,切除子宮肌瘤手術) (2) Partial oophorectomy (surgical removal of only one ovary,部分切除卵巢手術) A simple (two-period) model • Let u be the utility of receiving treatment, assuming u~F(u) • Let p be the price for treatment. For simplicity, p is the same in two periods. • Now at the second period (t=2) – Obtain treatment if 𝑢 − 𝑝, last period straight forward decision – Value for period t=2 is u ( u p ) f ( u )du V (z ) • Let be discount factor • In period 1 : let the draw f utility be u – If common receive treatment for payoff is u p – If not, then period 2 applies. In which case for payoff is V (z ) • For at t=1, receive treatment if or u p V (z ) p u p V (z ) Reservation period : Incidence rate : Now suppose that in period 1, then a bonus if treatment is received then : or u V ( z ) , B 0 is bonus u B V (z ) This means a drop is the reservation utility at t=1 Reservation period : Incidence rate : t=1 t=1 t=2 t=2 Multiple periods reservation utility t reservation utility t Bonus B Without bonus Incidence of treatment Incidence of treatment t Bonus B Without bonus 38 Data • National Health Insurance (NHI): complete medical records of all Taiwanese from 1997 to 2011 (15 years) • Registry of beneficiaries (ID files): date of birth, gender, insurance type at the start of each year • Inpatient admissions (DD files): admission and discharge dates, diagnoses, expenses of each admission (copayment, drugs, bed, examinations (itemized), surgeries (itemized), etc.) • Physician and hospital identifiers for every surgery • Limited information about demographic characteristics 39 Sampling issues (I) Broad sample for this study: • Women aged between 40 and 49 in the sample period, covering 5 years before and after 45 • That is, women born between 1947 and 1970 • Enrolled in NHI every year during the sample period (very few not enrolled) 40 Sampling issues (I) years in sample data record experience in incentive change left-censored 1 no . . . . 45 59 left-censored 5 no 1953 44 58 left-censored 6 yes . . . . . . 1956 41 55 left-censored 9 yes 1957 40 54 Balanced 10 yes 1958 39 53 Balanced 10 yes 1959 38 52 Balanced 10 yes 1960 37 51 Balanced 10 yes 1961 36 50 Balanced 10 yes 1962 35 49 Balanced 10 yes 1963 34 48 right-censored 9 yes . . . . . . 1966 31 45 right-censored 6 yes 1967 30 44 right-censored 5 no . . . . . . 1971 26 40 right-censored 1 no Cohorts Age at 1997 Age at 2011 1948 49 63 . . 1952 41 Sampling issues (II) Restricted sample for this study: • Furthermore, drop women who have ever changed social insurance programs between ages 40 and 49 • Eliminate selection bias between insurance programs • Restricted sample about 69% of broad sample • Results based on the restricted sample; results of broad sample in robustness checks 42 Broad vs restricted samples, four surgeries (by insurance type) Broad sample Restricted sample (1) Freq. % (2) Freq. % (2)/(1) Government 14,379 5.49 12,191 6.77 0.85 Labor 103,184 39.37 70,185 38.96 0.68 Farmer 16,192 6.18 13,119 7.28 0.81 Labor union 70,302 26.82 50,583 28.08 0.72 Uninsured 58,024 22.14 34,067 18.91 0.59 total 262,081 100.00 180,145 100.00 0.69 43 Broad vs restricted samples (by surgery) Broad sample Restricted sample (1) Freq. % (2) Freq. % (2)/(1) Hysterectomies 184,679 70.47 126,455 70.20 0.68 Myomectomies 45,336 17.30 31,518 17.50 0.70 Total oophorectomies 4,987 1.90 3,373 1.87 0.68 Partial oophorectomies 27,079 10.33 18,799 10.44 0.69 total 262,081 100.00 180,145 100.00 0.69 44 Sampling issues (III) • Left , right censoring unimportant if unrelated to hysterectomy incidence • Each censoring type depends only on age, so censoring unlikely to be important • Main results based on the unbalanced sample • Balanced sample results in the robustness check 45 Sample statistics • Show mainly the characteristics of surgery providers • Separate into two subsamples – Age 40-44 – Age 45-49 46 Summary statistics for women having hysterectomy (restricted sample) Ages 40 to 44 Ages 45 to 49 Public Labor Farmer Uninsured Public Labor Farmer Uninsured Age 43.04 42.86 42.83 42.68 47.46 47.40 47.44 47.40 Bed days 5.31 5.34 5.40 5.61 5.49 5.64 5.51 5.86 49174.20 48482.47 49319.09 49380.32 50443.23 50333.23 49877.82 50301.32 Hospital beds<300 0.20 0.24 0.29 0.27 0.19 0.22 0.28 0.25 Hospital beds>=300, <500 0.13 0.17 0.20 0.19 0.14 0.16 0.19 0.17 Hospital beds>=1000 0.67 0.59 0.51 0.55 0.67 0.62 0.52 0.57 Public hospital 0.40 0.24 0.17 0.26 0.42 0.26 0.17 0.28 Private non-profit hospital 0.47 0.55 0.57 0.52 0.46 0.55 0.58 0.51 Private for-profit hospital 0.13 0.21 0.26 0.23 0.13 0.18 0.25 0.21 Major teaching hospital 0.60 0.51 0.40 0.47 0.61 0.55 0.40 0.50 Minor teaching hospital 0.29 0.35 0.42 0.37 0.30 0.33 0.43 0.35 Community hospital 0.10 0.13 0.17 0.15 0.09 0.12 0.17 0.14 Clinic 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 Medical expense 47 Difference-in-Difference • Estimate D-in-D model at the cohort level • Cohort defined by an individual’s birth year and birth quarter • In each estimation, treatment group (those women insured by a social program); control group (the uninsured) • Each woman has a clock zeroed at 45th birthday • Time variable q, standardized quarter, number of quarters to 45th birthday • q=-19,-18,…,-1,0,1,…,20 48 D-in-D model • The specification is hazardc,q 20 d q 19 q q treatment 20 q 19 q (d q treatment ) c ,q c ,q • ℎ𝑎𝑧𝑎𝑟𝑑𝑐,𝑞 : the ratio of women who underwent hysterectomy in quarter q to those who had no such prior experience • 𝑑𝑞 : dummy indicating standardized quarter q • 𝑡𝑟𝑒𝑎𝑡𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡 : treatment dummy • X: hospital types, inpatient costs, and birth-quarter cohort fixed effects 49 Preliminary examinations • Omitted quarter is q= -20 • 𝛽𝑞 : Mean difference in hysterectomy hazard between quarter q and the omitted quarter • 𝛾𝑞 : Captures extra difference between the same two quarters given the mean difference between control and treatment groups • If disability insurance does not alter the hysterectomy hazard, effect should be all zero • Robust errors, clustering by groups formed by (birth quarter cohort) x (insurance type) • Compare the results with and without controls 50 D-in-D results for hysterectomy (restricted sample) Quarters from age 45 -11 -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 Restricted sample Public 0.286* (0.154) 0.482*** (0.159) 0.630*** (0.186) 0.332** (0.163) 0.632*** (0.165) 0.605*** (0.156) 0.835*** (0.194) 0.729*** (0.202) 1.016*** (0.194) 1.072*** (0.201) 2.252*** (0.214) -0.182 (0.146) -0.0579 (0.174) 0.0451 (0.179) Labor 0.165 (0.116) 0.292** (0.120) 0.454*** (0.124) 0.264** (0.125) 0.246** (0.109) 0.629*** (0.121) 0.845*** (0.119) 0.486*** (0.127) 0.844*** (0.131) 1.018*** (0.137) 2.157*** (0.160) -0.559*** (0.115) -0.265** (0.133) -0.136 (0.136) Broad sample Farmer 0.0649 (0.203) 0.00845 (0.196) 0.169 (0.194) -0.269 (0.189) 0.0892 (0.198) 0.300 (0.222) 0.257 (0.198) 0.115 (0.206) 0.108 (0.193) 0.201 (0.201) 0.476* (0.248) -0.395** (0.168) -0.403** (0.190) -0.124 (0.215) Public 0.329** (0.155) 0.483*** (0.165) 0.639*** (0.169) 0.411** (0.161) 0.671*** (0.167) 0.429*** (0.154) 0.683*** (0.190) 0.849*** (0.190) 1.016*** (0.180) 1.174*** (0.191) 2.191*** (0.216) 0.00500 (0.133) 0.133 (0.162) 0.227 (0.160) Labor 0.158 (0.109) 0.257** (0.119) 0.374*** (0.116) 0.236* (0.126) 0.282** (0.114) 0.498*** (0.123) 0.751*** (0.122) 0.522*** (0.112) 0.786*** (0.123) 0.879*** (0.123) 2.051*** (0.163) -0.442*** (0.105) -0.173 (0.110) -0.0778 (0.122) Farmer -0.00993 (0.186) -0.0134 (0.189) 0.170 (0.172) -0.266 (0.181) 0.0782 (0.170) 0.0924 (0.185) 0.217 (0.180) 0.136 (0.181) 0.100 (0.167) 0.250 (0.177) 0.230 (0.221) -0.334** (0.137) -0.225 (0.157) -0.0289 (0.195) 51 D-in-D results for hysterectomy -.5 0 .5 1 1.5 2 (restricted sample) -20 -10 0 quarters from age 45 Public Farmer 10 Labor 20 52 Summary 1. Spike in the hazard of hysterectomy before age 45 evident for GEI and LI groups, but less so for FI 2. Significant, positive effects before 45th birthday, and significant, negative after; consistent with prediction 3. Restricted and broad samples similar results 4. Covariates (hospital types, inpatient cost, and birth cohorts) only change estimates slightly 53 Robustness check • Broad sample versus restricted sample Comparing the D-in-D results for broad and restricted samples (Government) -.5 0 .5 1 1.5 2 Public -20 -10 0 quarters from age 45 Broad sample 10 Restricted sample 20 54 Comparing the D-in-D results for broad and restricted samples (Labor) -.5 0 .5 1 1.5 2 Labor -20 -10 0 quarters from age 45 Broad sample 10 Restricted sample 20 55 Comparing the D-in-D results for broad and restricted samples (Farmer) -.5 0 .5 1 1.5 2 Farmer -20 -10 0 quarters from age 45 Broad sample 10 Restricted sample 20 56 57 Robustness check • Partial oophorectomies and myomectomies: neither qualifies for disability benefit 58 D-in-D results for partial oophorectomy (restricted sample) Quarters from age 45 -11 -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 Restricted sample Public -0.0884 (0.0984) 0.0241 (0.110) 0.0543 (0.118) 0.0430 (0.117) 0.0721 (0.121) 0.0946 (0.119) -0.0500 (0.115) 0.0495 (0.100) 0.0989 (0.107) -0.0333 (0.0994) 0.0711 (0.108) 0.0290 (0.129) 0.0120 (0.109) 0.0230 (0.109) Labor -0.0756 (0.0535) -0.00387 (0.0517) -0.0498 (0.0576) -0.00492 (0.0543) -0.0968* (0.0563) -0.0226 (0.0604) -0.0420 (0.0588) -0.0349 (0.0532) -0.0188 (0.0511) -0.0678 (0.0549) -0.0784 (0.0546) -0.0777 (0.0592) -0.0855 (0.0578) -0.0841 (0.0608) Broad sample Farmer -0.00926 (0.0873) -0.0709 (0.0912) -0.0551 (0.0915) 0.00554 (0.0802) -0.000385 (0.0907) 0.106 (0.0990) 0.0728 (0.0990) 0.0424 (0.0975) -0.0547 (0.0809) 0.0293 (0.0979) -0.0394 (0.0908) -0.0285 (0.0888) -0.0889 (0.0882) -0.0455 (0.0916) Public -0.00495 (0.0842) 0.0700 (0.0931) 0.0450 (0.0905) 0.0457 (0.102) 0.129 (0.102) 0.148 (0.101) -0.0405 (0.0934) 0.0691 (0.0860) 0.169* (0.0892) 0.0358 (0.0879) 0.130 (0.0974) 0.0586 (0.108) 0.0687 (0.0981) 0.119 (0.101) Labor -0.0334 (0.0445) 0.0103 (0.0456) -0.00327 (0.0430) -0.0220 (0.0471) -0.0431 (0.0457) 0.0402 (0.0499) -0.0233 (0.0515) -0.0126 (0.0447) 0.0298 (0.0434) -0.00283 (0.0470) -0.00333 (0.0484) -0.0298 (0.0500) -0.0685 (0.0484) -0.0397 (0.0479) Farmer -0.0610 (0.0821) -0.102 (0.0966) -0.0257 (0.0915) -0.114 (0.0904) -0.0683 (0.0908) 0.0790 (0.0950) -0.0380 (0.0993) -0.0633 (0.0897) -0.0695 (0.0887) 0.0192 (0.0873) 0.0267 (0.0895) -0.00710 (0.106) -0.120 (0.0904) -0.0541 (0.0943) 59 D-in-D results for partial oophorectomy -.5 -.25 0 .25 .5 .75 1 (restricted sample) -20 -10 0 quarters from age 45 Public Farmer 10 Labor 20 60 D-in-D results for myomectomy (restricted sample) Quarters from age 45 -11 -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 Restricted sample Public -0.0553 (0.150) -0.0793 (0.134) -0.180 (0.124) -0.190 (0.117) 0.0394 (0.134) -0.196 (0.121) -0.0859 (0.125) -0.0745 (0.130) -0.0453 (0.131) -0.0820 (0.136) 0.000769 (0.127) -0.133 (0.122) -0.229* (0.128) 0.00863 (0.124) Labor 0.00957 (0.0756) -0.0414 (0.0701) -0.0177 (0.0671) -0.0216 (0.0635) -0.0394 (0.0637) -0.00788 (0.0658) -0.0295 (0.0670) -0.0552 (0.0647) -0.0810 (0.0664) -0.0880 (0.0667) -0.00517 (0.0674) -0.0437 (0.0638) -0.0500 (0.0610) 0.0355 (0.0623) Broad sample Farmer -0.0582 (0.134) -0.234** (0.110) -0.151 (0.114) -0.00347 (0.136) -0.123 (0.119) -0.0859 (0.116) -0.0900 (0.126) -0.160 (0.123) -0.0801 (0.124) -0.182 (0.127) -0.0212 (0.126) -0.176 (0.115) -0.195* (0.112) -0.118 (0.106) Public -0.0390 (0.133) -0.0401 (0.121) -0.0821 (0.117) -0.0896 (0.109) 0.0369 (0.116) -0.147 (0.113) 0.00612 (0.116) -0.0103 (0.115) -0.00301 (0.114) -0.0207 (0.125) 0.0361 (0.117) -0.0923 (0.105) -0.110 (0.124) 0.0669 (0.114) Labor 0.0461 (0.0635) 0.0469 (0.0644) 0.0821 (0.0560) 0.00516 (0.0575) 0.00552 (0.0583) 0.0235 (0.0603) 0.0503 (0.0572) 0.0340 (0.0522) -0.00582 (0.0590) -0.0115 (0.0593) 0.0206 (0.0600) -0.0406 (0.0525) 0.00219 (0.0551) 0.0762 (0.0538) Farmer 0.0111 (0.125) -0.164 (0.106) -0.0855 (0.102) 0.0245 (0.124) -0.0954 (0.105) -0.0874 (0.108) -0.107 (0.112) -0.0797 (0.110) -0.0241 (0.106) -0.137 (0.107) -0.0698 (0.112) -0.176* (0.102) -0.120 (0.105) -0.0653 (0.105) 61 D-in-D results for myomectomy -.5 -.25 0 .25 .5 .75 1 (restricted sample) -20 -10 0 quarters from age 45 Public Farmer 10 Labor 20 62 Robustness check • Only balanced panel 63 D-in-D results for hysterectomies (balanced panel) Quarters from age 45 -11 -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 Restricted sample Public -0.177 (0.276) 0.440 (0.306) 0.725* (0.401) 0.0441 (0.293) 0.621** (0.307) 0.547* (0.312) 0.578 (0.406) 0.501 (0.314) 0.942** (0.374) 1.300*** (0.449) 2.416*** (0.370) -0.459** (0.197) -0.436 (0.298) 0.0215 (0.349) Labor 0.112 (0.207) 0.542** (0.263) 0.671** (0.262) 0.410 (0.245) 0.351* (0.200) 0.759*** (0.240) 0.943*** (0.245) 0.511** (0.235) 0.985*** (0.212) 0.979*** (0.287) 2.356*** (0.319) -0.645*** (0.169) -0.180 (0.244) 0.118 (0.248) Broad sample Farmer -0.354 (0.332) -0.0436 (0.339) -0.0688 (0.302) -0.196 (0.313) 0.356 (0.349) -0.0363 (0.355) 0.166 (0.322) 0.412 (0.304) 0.0719 (0.273) -0.168 (0.330) 0.342 (0.423) -0.452* (0.257) -0.619* (0.335) -0.0651 (0.299) Public 0.0173 (0.236) 0.405 (0.300) 0.689** (0.340) 0.242 (0.298) 0.684** (0.327) 0.252 (0.326) 0.276 (0.367) 0.847*** (0.256) 1.022*** (0.331) 1.389*** (0.363) 2.072*** (0.360) -0.0969 (0.192) -0.260 (0.283) 0.146 (0.287) Labor 0.0974 (0.190) 0.326 (0.218) 0.472** (0.219) 0.278 (0.242) 0.372 (0.233) 0.390* (0.222) 0.697*** (0.234) 0.608*** (0.168) 0.775*** (0.198) 0.647*** (0.225) 2.042*** (0.294) -0.551*** (0.160) -0.221 (0.185) -0.00641 (0.174) Farmer -0.280 (0.328) 0.0271 (0.287) -0.00549 (0.267) -0.0369 (0.330) 0.252 (0.313) -0.349 (0.288) 0.0823 (0.304) 0.519** (0.218) 0.0675 (0.227) -0.142 (0.268) -0.0123 (0.370) -0.396** (0.178) -0.513** (0.238) -0.0736 (0.293) 64 D-in-D results for hysterectomies -.5 0 .5 1 1.5 2 (balanced panel) -20 -10 0 quarters from age 45 Public Farmer 10 Labor 20 65 Examining the accumulated hazards • For each insurance group, we graph the accumulated hazards (AH) of having a hysterectomy across the standardized quarter from q=-19 to q=20. • Key hypothesis: If the provisions of disability insurance induce more treatment (not just changing the time of treatment), the accumulated hazard curves of GEI and LI groups should converge to that of the uninsured group. 66 Accumulated hazards of having a hysterectomy 0 20 40 60 Hysterectomy -20 -10 0 Quarters to Age 45 Public Farmer 10 Labor Uninsured 20 67 Future works • Incorporate the financial incentives • Sort out the mechanisms causing the increase of incidence rate – Patients – Doctors • The health impact 68 69 70 Appendix: Frequency distributions based on the broad sample Hazard by quarter (broad sample) 71 Total and partial hysterectomies Labor 3 2 1 0 0 1 2 3 hazard (of 1,000) 4 4 Public -20 -10 0 10 quarters from age 45 20 -20 -10 20 3 2 1 0 0 1 2 3 hazard (of 1,000) 4 Uninsured 4 Farmer 0 10 quarters from age 45 -20 -10 0 10 quarters from age 45 20 -20 -10 0 10 quarters from age 45 20 Hazard by quarter (broad sample) 72 Total and partial hysterectomies 1 2 3 4 5 Hysterectomy -20 -10 0 quarters from age 45 Public Farmer 10 Labor Uninsured 20 Hazard by quarter (broad sample) 73 Partial oophorectomy .75 .5 0 .25 0 .25 .5 .75 hazard (of 1,000) 1 Labor 1 Public -20 -10 0 10 quarters from age 45 20 -20 -10 20 .75 .5 0 .25 0 .25 .5 .75 hazard (of 1,000) 1 Uninsured 1 Farmer 0 10 quarters from age 45 -20 -10 0 10 quarters from age 45 20 -20 -10 0 10 quarters from age 45 20 Hazard by quarter (broad sample) 74 Partial oophorectomy .2 .4 .6 .8 Partial oophorectomy -20 -10 0 quarters from age 45 Public Farmer 10 Labor Uninsured 20 Hazard by quarter (broad sample) 75 Myomectomy 1 .5 0 0 .5 1 hazard (of 1,000) 1.5 Labor 1.5 Public -20 -10 0 10 quarters from age 45 20 -20 -10 20 1 .5 0 0 .5 1 hazard (of 1,000) 1.5 Uninsured 1.5 Farmer 0 10 quarters from age 45 -20 -10 0 10 quarters from age 45 20 -20 -10 0 10 quarters from age 45 20 Hazard by quarter (broad sample) 76 Myomectomy .2 .4 .6 .8 1 Myomectomy -20 -10 0 quarters from age 45 Public Farmer 10 Labor Uninsured 20