Dean’s Seminar Ned C. Hill Dean, Marriott School of Management Minneapolis, MN April 15, 2004 Marriott School What’s happening with: Rankings Student Achievements Alumni Portals Management Society Who Beat Stanford & USC? (not to mention UCLA, Notre Dame & Virginia) Who Beat Stanford & USC? (not to mention UCLA, Notre Dame & Virginia) Answer: The Marriott School of Management! 22. MIT 23. Emory WSJ Rankings 24. IPADE (Spain) 25. Ohio State 31. Notre Dame 26. Brigham Young 34. Thunderbird 27. Wake Forest 37. NYU 38. UCLA 28. Washington (St. Louis) 29. University of Virginia 30. Stanford 39. London Business School 40. USC What the Wall Street Journal Said “Schools making the biggest advances in the ranking: Brigham Young University…” (12) “Brigham Young’s Marriott School of Management stood out for its students’ integrity in this era of corporate scandals. ‘Our recruiters return to Brigham Young year in and year out because of the school’s high ethical standards,’ says Roger McCarty, corporate strategy development leader for Dow Chemical Co.” …continued “Recruiters find that Brigham Young produces a particularly valuable type of graduate these days…the ethical accountant.” “Brigham Young, which is sponsored by the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints, is considered one of the best schools for hiring students with high ethical standards.” “In addition to ethics and integrity, recruiters gave students very high marks for analytical and problem solving abilities, communication and interpersonal skills, fit with the corporate culture and team orientation.” MBA Rankings We advanced or maintained standing in every major MBA ranking for the third year in a row 22nd worldwide in Forbes (17th in U.S.) 26th worldwide in The Wall Street Journal 29th in U.S.News & World Report 1st bang for the buck in Business Week 2nd for Ethics in The Wall Street Journal Other Rankings 3rd graduate accounting (Public Accounting Report) 3rd undergraduate accounting (Public Accounting Report) 38th undergraduate management (U.S.News & World Report) No. 1 “Stone cold sober school” (Princeton Review) Student Achievements Undergraduates beat out MBA students nationwide to win Fortune Small Business Magazine’s first business plan competition. MBA team wins 2003 Thunderbird Innovation Challenge, beating 154 other teams. Student Achievements MBA students win the D.A. Davidson & Co. investment competition— earning a 32 percent return on their investment. Three students placed second at the Net Impact 2003 International Case Competition. Student Achievements An information systems student placed first and another student placed third in the school’s first appearance at the National Collegiate Conference. An MPA student was the first in Utah to win an American College of Healthcare Executives Scholarship. Student Achievements Marriott School MAcc team wins first place in Deloitte national auditing case competition in March against all top Accounting programs. Marriott School MBA team wins first place in U of Denver National Ethics Case competition—with invited schools known for their ethics programs. Student Achievements Undergraduate accounting students took first place and the graduates took second place at the Deloitte Tax Case Study Competition. This is the seventh time in the twelve-year history of the competition that both BYU teams placed among the top three—an unparalleled accomplishment. Alumni Portals • New portal service unveiled in September 2003 • Portals are customized by program and year (i.e. MBA 1996, MAcc 2001) • Alumni portals are a powerful tool to renew connections and establish new relationships Alumni Portals Visit your alumni portal to: • • • • • Update your profile Access a class directory Participate in online forums Connect to the Management Society Search 40,000 Marriott School and nearly half a million BYU alumni records Web: marriottschool.byu.edu • Click “Alumni Portals” “I believe this new tool will help our graduates really leverage their Marriott School degree. One of the benefits of going to this school is the strength of the alumni network you’re tied into.” — Dean Ned C. Hill Management Society • Now a global organization • 40 Chapters in the U.S. • 17 International chapters • Developed central membership database • • • • Membership records Online dues/events payment Online calendar Communication tools • Formalized 5-year strategic plan Management Society “We need the members of the BYU Management Society to help build the moral base of our communities. You have standards, ideals, and values that will not only lead you to success, but will bless and strengthen this nation and all the world.” — Elder David B. Haight Questions? Putting Our Financial Houses in Order Ned C. Hill Dean, Marriott School of Management President, BYU 5th Stake President Gordon B. Hinckley Priesthood Meeting, October 3rd, 1998 Story of Pharaoh’s dream of the seven fat cattle and the seven lean cattle “…I want to make it very clear that I am not prophesying, that I am not predicting years of famine in the future. But I am suggesting that the time has come to get our houses in order. There is a portent of stormy weather ahead to which we had better give heed.” “So many of our people are living on the very edge of their incomes. In fact, some are living on borrowings.” President Gordon B. Hinckley (cont.) “I urge you, brethren, to look to the condition of your finances.” “I urge you to be modest in your expenditures; discipline yourselves in your purchases to avoid debt to the extent possible.” “Pay off debt as quickly as you can, and free yourselves from bondage.” “That’s all I have to say about it, but I wish to say it with all the emphasis of which I am capable.” President Gordon B. Hinckley General Conference, October 7th, 2001 “The economy is particularly vulnerable. We have been counseled again and again concerning selfreliance, concerning debt, concerning thrift. So many of our people are heavily in debt for things that are not entirely necessary.” “I urge you as members of this Church to get free of debt where possible and to have a little laid aside against a rainy day.” “But there is no need to fear. We can have peace in our hearts and peace in our homes.” Elder Joseph B. Wirthlin April Conference, 2004 “Remember this: debt is a form of bondage. It is a financial termite. When we make purchases on credit, they give us only an illusion of prosperity. We think we own things, but the reality is, our things own us.” “Some debt—such as for a modest home, expenses for education, perhaps for a needed first car—may be necessary. But never should we enter into financial bondage through consumer debt without carefully weighing the costs.” Other Counsel on Debt Revelation to Martin Harris: “Pay the debt thou hast contracted with the printer. Release thyself from bondage.” (D&C 19:35) Heber J. Grant: “If there is any one thing that will bring peace and contentment into the human heart, and into the family, it is to live within our means. And if there is any one thing that is grinding and discouraging and disheartening, it is to have debts and obligations that one cannot meet.” Some Facts about Credit Cards Average household has 8 credit cards 65% of card holders do not pay off total balance each month Why so much credit card debt? Good times = confidence = overspending Lots of money and it needs a place to go Self-Test: Do I Have Too Much Debt? Can I pay off my credit card balance completely each month? Do I skip some bills to pay others? If I lost my job today, do I have enough in liquid assets to pay living expenses for at least two months? Do my spouse and I often argue about money? Do I receive calls from creditors about overdue bills? Have I postponed medical or dental appointments because I can’t afford them right now? Am I using an increasing percentage of my monthly income to pay off debts? Origin of Most Debt Problems? Spending Problems Debt Income Expenditures Gaining Control of Your Expenditures Step 1: Track cash flows 1-3 months back Find all expenditures Determine assets and liabilities Step 2: Agree on goals What do we want to accomplish? Agree on a budget for future cash flows Step 3: Track cash flows--compare budget to actual Use computer or any other method Step 4: Review monthly Step 5: Make adjustments Compute Your Net Worth Net worth = Assets - Liabilities Assets Liabilities Market value (not purchase price) Real and financial Credit card and other consumer debt Mortgages Why do this? Net worth helps you do stuff in the future Track over time--should be growing Identifies assets that could be used to reduce debt What Adds to Net Worth? Stereo System Credit Card Debt Liabilities Assets Net Worth How do you balance this? What Adds to Net Worth? Stereo System Assets Credit Card Debt Liabilities Net Worth Net Worth Must Shrink! Avoid Unproductive Debt It Makes Net Worth Shrink Productive debt Unproductive debt Home Consumer goods Education Vacations Minimum transportation Business Car Most credit card debt Corollary: Be careful where you borrow! Finance companies Credit cards Banks Credit unions Savings 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 FC CC B CU S Reducing Unproductive Debt Plastic surgery Reduce spending Use assets to pay off debt Reduce interest rate Consider a home equity loan Use another lower cost source of borrowing Make a plan -- stick to it Talk to a credit counselor if needed Insurance--Makes Up for Low Net Worth Problems If you have low or negative net worth? Heirs may have difficulties Severe cash flow problems Insurance creates an instant estate--it becomes an asset if you die Assets Liabilities Net Worth Cash from Insurance Added Net Worth Goals of Estate Planning 1. Live life fully Provide for self & spouse Provide for others without spoiling them Provide for own possible incompetence 2. Pass property according to desires Provide for administration (who does the work) Provide dispositive scheme (who gets what) Goals of Estate Planning, Cont. 3. Provide for guardianship & conservatorship of minor children 4. Avoid probate if desired or use probate strategically 5. Decrease or eliminate taxes Income tax (capital gains basis problems) Gift & estate tax Provide for Others--Life Insurance Term life -- pure death benefit No savings component About 1/10th the cost of whole Expires at age 65 (usually) Whole life -- death benefit plus savings Builds cash value Does not expire Low but fixed rate Use for estate tax purposes Provide for Others--Life Insurance Term insurance (6-10 times annual income) Convertible term may be best for young families Group is least costly but what if you leave? Have some for non-employed spouse Prepare for Retirement Some Retirement Myths “I’ll live on Social Security benefits” SS will replace only 24% of your income “Someone else will take care of me” “Better be safe and invest conservatively” “I can use my retirement funds for other things” Start Saving Early! Sources of retirement money Social Security Pensions Real Assets Financial Savings TOTAL 24% 21% 13% 11% 69% Start Early! Bill starts saving for retirement at age 20 Joe starts saving for retirement at age 40 ($2,000 per year at 8%) 1000000 900000 800000 700000 600000 500000 400000 300000 200000 100000 0 $903,800 20 Start 40 Start $172,702 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 Bill has accumulated over 5 times what Joe did by 65! How Does This Work? Compound interest Bill started earlier--compound interest has more time to work its miracle If someone had put $1 in an account back in 1776 at 8% interest how much would the account have in it today? $30,685,000 !! How Much Will I Need in Retirement? Money Magazine Survey Estimates: 53% Actual: 71% One third of retirees support children and grandchildren Health care costs generally higher Biggest regrets for retirees: Didn’t take full advantage of tax deferred investments Didn’t start earlier to save for retirement Life Cycle Savings (000’s) 600 500 Save 20% 400 Retirement 300 200 100 Save 10% Borrowing To heirs 0 -100 20 25 30 40 50 60 65 70 80 Age What Should I Invest In? Principle: risk-return trade-off High risk--high return Low risk--low return What? Stocks -- ownership in a company (risky) Bonds -- loan to a company/government (less risky) Deposit accounts -- (insured, no risk) How? Mutual funds Tax-advantaged investing Best and Worst Total Returns 54% (1926-2002) S&P 500 U.S. T-bills 20% 17% 15% 9% 0% One year holding period -43% 0% -1% 10-year holding period 8% 3% 0.4% 20-year holding period Chances of Beating Inflation % 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 S&P500 Bonds T-bills One-year 5 Years 10 Years Holding Period 20 Years Chances of Loss 30 25 20 15 S&P 500 Bonds T-bills 10 5 0 One year 5 years 10 years 20 years Corollary 1: When investing for a short period (5 years or less), put your money in less risky investments like savings accounts and bonds. When investing for a longer period (10-20 or more years), put your money in stocks. Corollary 2: Where Possible Use Tax Deferred Investments IRAs Roth IRAs (not tax deductible) Keogh Plan (various types, up to 30% of self-emp inc) SEP Plan (up to 25% of self-empl income) 401(k)--retirement plans Employer may participate Loan provisions Tax exempt until retirement 403(b)--retirement (employees of govts, ed, relig.) What’s a Tax-advantaged Investment? Say you make $10,000 You put $1,000 in a 401k Money goes into stock, bonds—wherever you want You leave it there until you retire You are taxed on $9,000—not $10,000 The $1,000 grows for many years You DO pay taxes when you take out the ($1,000 + the increase) Corollary 3: Diversify! Never put all or even most of your eggs in one basket Use mutual funds Where to Put Your Money Start-ups Growth Stocks Corporate Bonds Corporate Bond Funds Government Bonds Specialty Funds Growth Mutual Funds Blue Chip Stocks GARBAGE: Speculative Investments, LPs, Derivatives, Gambling Conservative Stock Mutual Funds Tax-Advantaged Retirement Funds: Growth Stock Mutual Funds Insurance Food Storage Health Life MMMF, Ins. Savings Home Checking Account Stay away from “get rich quick” schemes Some investment seminars! $1.00 per box cereal scam Telephone scams Pyramid schemes “Make $3 each stuffing envelopes in your own home!” How to Recognize Them Is promised return unusually high? Remember the risk-return trade-off Is product significantly above or below reasonable market price? Does sale require pressure tactics? Does seller emphasize BYU or Church connections? Is most of the product purchased by end users or by other distributors? Read a Good Personal Finance Book Tyson, Personal Finance for Dummies, 3rd Edition Engel and Hecht, How to Buy Stocks, 8th Edition Lynch and Rothchild, Learn to Earn Jane Bryant Quinn, Making the Most of Your Money Stanley and Danko, The Millionaire Next Door Learn about Your Own Finances Organize and know how to read your financial documents (insurance, retirement, bank and investment statements) Create financial reports for your family (assets and liabilities) Know your monthly cash inflows and outflows Use the Web for financial information Develop a plan Computerize your Finances Excel Internet Personal Branch Use Web Sites on Personal Finance Yahoo!Finance (general) MSN Money Central (general) Quicken.com (general) Charles Schwab (discount brokerage) E-Loan (mortgages) INSWEB (insurance quotes) Utah Community Credit Union (credit union services and general) College saving information finance.yahoo.com www.moneycentral.com www.quicken.com www.schwab.com www.eloan.com www.insweb.com www.uccu.com savingforcollege.com Conclusions Be very careful about debt: avoid it where possible Wise financial management empowers you to serve more capably: family, community, church Spend the time to acquire a basic understanding of personal finance Surely we will be held accountable for how we manage our resources Day Trading--A Scam? “Beat the market” ads Low transaction costs inviting many to test their own trading abilities Day traders under-perform the market Study by prominent investment firm: Market gained 22% in 1998 Average day-trader gained 2% Why? Trades based on emotional, band-wagon excitement Family Spending Guidelines After-tax Expenditures Contributions Short and Long Term Savings Housing Transportation Food Health Care Utilities Clothing Other 5-12% 10-20% 25-30% 10-15% 10-14% 4-6% 4-6% 3-6% 2-8% Nigerian Money Scam Faxes sent to many hundreds of CEOs and other managers Need to arrange for $40M transfer However, need a U.S. bank account Lend us your account and we pay you $10M for your services! Only need to cover a few incidental expenses for us Diamonds Are Forever? Investors promised 30% return per month Invest now or you’ll miss the opportunity First few investors did receive promised return Later investors lost everything Sophisticated Selling Fax sent to motels Large tour groups seeking quality motels Fax us your rates and availability at 900-xxxyyyy Footnote: Each fax received will be billed at $39 . Cost? Credit Counseling Services National Foundation for Consumer Credit American Consumer Credit Counseling American Debt Management Services Debt Counselors of America Some Facts about Personal Debt Total consumer debt = $1.2 trillion (3/98) Over $420 billion is credit card debt Consumer debt = 19.3% of disposable income (up from 16.3% in 1993) Personal bankruptcies = 1.35 million (1997) 50% increase since 1992 362,000 filings in 2Q, 1998--largest ever You May Need a Trust Estate taxes: about 50% of assets above $650,000 per person (indexed) Spouse may pass on unlimited amount to surviving spouse BUT…then only one gets the $650,000 exemption Need A/B trust Consider life insurance trust Risk and Scams There is risk in everything we do What is a scam? How does a scam differ from a legitimate investment? How can we avoid unnecessary risk?