Populations Outline: • Properties of populations • Population growth • Intraspecific population • Metapopulation Readings: Ch. 9, 10, 11, 12 Definition • Population is a group of individuals of the same species that inhabit a given area Unitary organisms Modular organisms genet ramet Distribution of a population Distribution of a population Red maple Distribution of a population Moss (Tetraphis pellucida) Abundance versus Population density Patterns of dispersion Effect of scale on pattern of dispersion Populations have age structure Populations have age structure Determining age Determining age wild turkey quail grey squirel bat Dispersal • • • • Movement of individuals in space Moving out of subpopulation = emigration Moving into a subpopulation = immigration Moving and returning= migration Yellow-poplar Gray whale Ring-necked duck Gypsy-moth POPULATION GROWTH Darwin’s 1st observation: All species have such great potential fertility that their population size would increase exponentially if all individuals that are born reproduce successfully. Example of exponential growth: the ring-necked pheasant, Phasianus colchicus • • • Native to Eurasia 1937: Eight birds introduced to Protection Island (Washington state) 1942: Population had increased to 1,325 birds (a 166-fold increase!) N/t = (b - d) Nt Population Growth Models • Assume no immigration or emigration • Let N = population size • Let N/ t = change in population size/unit time = total # births - total # deaths • Let mean birth rate per individual = b = # births / individual / unit time • Let mean death rate per individual = d = probability of death for an individual / unit time • N/ t = bN - dN • Let r = b-d Population Growth Models • r = instantaneous rate of increase a.k.a. per capita rate of increase • Calculus notation is commonly used; N/t = dN/dt • If r > 0, population will increase exponentially at rate, dN/dt, = rN • For an exponentially growing population, the number of individuals at time t, Nt = N0e(rt) where No = initial population size and e = base of natural logarithms Exponential growth model: Nt = N0 e(rt) St. Paul reindeer Life tables cohort - all individuals born within a period cohort life table – survivorship of a cohort over time Life tables lx = represents the probability at birth of surviving to any given age Life tables dx = represents the age-specific mortality Life tables qx = represents the age-specific mortality rate Mortality curves Mortality curves sedum Survivorship curves - plot of lx vs. time Red deer Theoretical survivorship curves What happened to population in 1940s? Human population growth Darwin’s 2nd observation: Populations tend to remain stable in size, except for seasonal fluctuations Darwin’s 3rd observation: Environmental resources are limited • In real world, populations don’t increase exponentially for very long --> run out of resources • An N increases, b decreases and/or d increases Population limiting factors Density-dependent: effect intensifies as N increases. E.g.: 1. Intraspecific competition – Between members of same species 2. Toxic waste accumulation – E.g. yeast cells: produce ethanol as byproduct of fermentation (see next slide) 3. Disease – Spreads more easily in crowded environments Effect of crowding on birth rate Effect of crowding on survivorship Intraspecific population regulation Carrying capacity, K = maximum number of individuals that a particular environment can support • Take into account by the Logistic Growth Equation, dN/dt = rN (1-N/K) Logistic model Logistic model Exponential vs. logistic model Gray squirrel How good is the logistic model? • Describes growth of simple organisms well, e.g. Paramecium in a lab • Water fleas (Daphnia spp.): population initially overshoots K until individuals use up stored lipids --> crash down to K • Song sparrows: populations crash frequently due to harsh winter conditions – N never have time to reach K – Population growth not well described by the logistic model Life History Strategies • When N is usually << K, natural selection favors adaptations that increase r --> lots of offspring = r selection – E.g. species that colonize short-lived environments • When N is usually close to K, better to produce fewer, “better quality” (i.e. more competitive) offspring = K selection • E.g species that live in stable, crowded environments Density dependence Density dependence with Allee effect Density dependence with Allee effect American ginseng Types of competition • Competition: individuals use a common resource that is in short supply relative to the number seeking it • Intraspecific vs. interspecific • Scramble vs. contest • Exploitation vs. interference Density effect on growth Density effect on growth Density effect on growth Density effect on growth Self thinning Horseweed Density effect on reproduction Territoriality Grasshopper sparrow Ammodramus savannarum White-crowned sparrow, Zonotrichia leucophrys Banding study in California: 24% of current territory holders had been floaters for 25 yrs. before acquiring a territory. Uniform distribution of plants occurs due to the development of resource depletion zones around each individual Population limiting factors Density-independent: effect does not depend on N. – E.g. weather / climate – Thrips insects: • Feed on Australian crops (pest) • Population growth very rapid in early summer • Drops in late summer due to heat, dryness --> N never has time to get close to K Density-independent factors Density-independent factors DRY Turbid WET Clear e.g. Dungeness crabs • Density-dependent factors: competition; cannibalism • Density-independent factors: water temperature Metapopulations a population of populations Chapter 12 Metapopulation: A group of moderately isolated populations linked by dispersal Criteria for a metapopulation 1. Habitat occurs in discrete patches 2. Patches are not so isolated as to prevent dispersal 3. Individual populations have a chance of going extinct 4. The dynamics of populations in different patches are not synchronized – i.e., they do not fluctuate or cycle in synchrony Metapopulation dynamics: spatial scales 1. Local (within-patch) 2. Metapopulation (regional) Shifting mosaic of occupied and unoccupied patches Checkerspot butterfly Levin’s model of metapopulation dynamics • E - subpopulation extinction rate = eP • e – probability of a patch going extinct/unit time • P – proportion of occupied patches • C – colonization rate = mP (1-P) • m – dispersal rate • (1-P) – unoccupied habitats E=C equilibrium point, Where 0 = [mP(1-P)] - eP If C>E, P increases; If C<E, P decreases Pequilibrium= 1-e/m Bush cricket Larger patches have larger populations (and therefore lower risk of extinction) Skipper butterfly Effect of habitat heterogeneity Mainland-island population structure: one large population (low extinction risk) provides colonists for many small populations (high risk) Checker-spot butterfly Rescue effect: island recolonized from “mainland” • High quality / permanent population = source population • Temporary patches = sink populations Skipper butterfly