Topic 9 Time Value of Money Topic 9: Time Value of Money • Learning Objectives – Calculate present value and future value of single amounts, annuities, annuities due, uneven cash flows and serial payments. – Calculate NPV and IRR and be able to apply the techniques to financial planning problems. Topic 9: Present Value • The value today of a known amount or series of amounts to be received in the future, given a specified interest rate and number of periods for discounting • Formula for single sum – PV = FV / (1 + i)n Topic 9: Present Value Example • What is the present value of $20,000 in 5 years assuming an 8% rate of return? – It will be worth $13,612 • • • • • N=5 I=8 PMT = 0 FV = 20,000 Solve for PV Topic 9: Future Value • The value that will be available when a present sum or series of periodic sums is invested, with earnings added, most often on a compound basis • Formula for a single sum – FV = PV(1 + i)n Topic 9: Future Value Example • What is the future value of $5,000 invested today in a 4% CD for 3 years? – It will be worth $5,624 • • • • • N=3 I=4 PV = 5,000 PMT = 0 Solve for FV Topic 9: Rule of 72 • A tool for estimating the approximate length of time it will take for a single sum of money to double in value at a given compound annual rate of interest • Divide 72 by the interest rate to produce the answer – Example: At a 6% rate of interest it will take approximately 12 years (72/6 = 12) for a lump sum of money to double in value Topic 9: Annuity • A specified amount of money, paid or received at a specified uniform interval, for a specified period of time – Ordinary annuity • Payments or receipts are made at the end of each period – Annuity due • Payments or receipts are made at the beginning of each period Topic 9: Annuity Example • How much should a client pay for an investment that will pay him $1,000 a year for 10 years given a 6% required rate of return? – The client should pay $7,360 • • • • • N = 10 I=6 PMT = 1,000 FV = 0 Solve for PV Topic 9: Net Present Value • The present value of all cash outflows and cash inflows T CFt NPV CF0 t t 1 (1 r ) • It is how much a client should pay for an asset Topic 9: Net Present Value Example • How much should a client be willing to pay for an investment with the following cash flows assuming a 7% interest rate? – – – – End of Year 1 = $1,000 End of Year 2 = $2,000 End of Year 3 = ($5,000) End of Year 4 = $10,000 • The client should be willing to pay $6,229 • Input the cash flows above starting with $0 as the first cash flow • Input 7% as the interest rate • Solve for NPV Topic 9: Internal Rate of Return (IRR) • It is the rate of return on an investment given the cash inflows and outflows T CFt NPV 0 CF0 t t 1 (1 IRR ) • The client wants the IRR to be equal to or greater than the client’s required rate of return Topic 9: Internal Rate of Return Example • If a client pays $6,000 for the investment used in the NPV example, what will be the client’s IRR? • The client’s IRR will be 8.1% – Input the following cash flows • • • • • ($6,000) $1,000 $2,000 ($5,000) $10,000 • Then solve for IRR which is 8.1% • The IRR will be higher than the 7% since the client paid less than the PV of the future cash flows (NPV>0) Topic 9: Uneven Cash Flows • Typically you will be solving for how much a client should pay for the investment or how much they will have saved at the end of a period of time given the different cash flows from an investment Topic 9: Uneven Cash Flows Example • How much should Peter pay for a bond with a 9% coupon that matures in 7 years if comparable bonds are yielding 10%? • Peter should pay $951 – N = 7 x 2 = 14 • Due to semi annual coupon payments – I = 10 / 2 = 5 • Semi annual interest rate – PMT = 90 / 2 = 45 • Semi annual coupon payment – FV = 1000 – Solve for PV Topic 9: Serial Payments • The calculation will involve an inflation adjusted rate of return – [(1 + nominal rate)/(1 + inflation rate) – 1] x 100 • Example – 9% yield in a year with 2.5% inflation – [(1 + 9%) / (1 + 2.5%) –1] x 100 – 6.34% Topic 9: Annuity Due Serial Payment Example • Susan wishes to accumulate $50,000 in today’s dollars in 4 annual deposits, beginning immediately. The deposits will earn 7% after taxes, and the deposits must also increase each year by 3% to keep up with anticipated inflation. What should be the size of the first deposit? • Susan should deposit $11,354 – – – – – – Set for beginning-of-period payments N=4 I = [(1.07 ÷ 1.03) – 1] x 100 = 3.88 PV = 0 FV = 50,000 Solve for PMT Topic 9: Ordinary Annuity Serial Payment Example • Susan wishes to accumulate $50,000 in today’s dollars in 4 annual deposits. The deposits will earn 7% after taxes, and the deposits must also increase each year by 3% to keep up with anticipated inflation. What should be the size of the first deposit? • Susan should deposit $12,149 – – – – – – – Set for end-of-period payments N=4 I = [(1.07 ÷ 1.03) – 1] x 100 = 3.88 PV = 0 FV = 50,000 Solve for PMT which is 11,795 Add inflation that occurred between today and when the first payment is made by multiplying 11,795 x 1.03 = 12,149 Topic 9: Growing Annuity Formulas 1 g t 1 1 r PV C rg 1 r t 1 g t FV C r g Topic 9: Loan Amortization Example • Ella took out a $500,000 loan fixed at 6% interest for 30 years? How much is her monthly payment? – N = 30 x 12 = 360, I = 6/12 = 0.50, PV = 500,000, FV = 0, Solve for PMT which is $2,998 • How much interest and principal would Ella have paid after 5 years of monthly payments (60 payments) and what is her remaining loan balance? • Without clearing your calculator from the problem above: – 2nd, AMORT, 1, set, ↓, 60, set, ↓ • $145,137 is the total amount of interest paid • $34,728 is the total amount of principal paid • $465,272 is the remaining loan balance End of Topic 9