• Personal Liberty • Political Equality • Equality of Opportunity • Equality of Results • • • Minority Majority • Regional Shifts • Graying of America • • • • • By 2030, more than half the youth in the U.S. will be of a racial and/or ethnic minority. “Minority-Majority” emerging • REGIONAL SHIFTS REAPPORTIONMENT GRAY POWER • “Organized influence exerted by seniors.” • AARP Socialization • • • • • • POLLING! Public Opinion Polls are conducted by news organizations, politicians, candidates, interest groups Sample the more “random” the better. . o everyone should have a chance of being selected. . 1,000 to 1,500 usually enough What is “Stratified Sampling?” Samples are not perfect – there is a sampling error of about 34% in a typical poll • Push-“Push polls” • Example Generator • Bandwagon • Exit poll Gallup Poll • • • • Race/Ethnicity: • 15th Amendment (1870) • 24th Amendment (1964) • Voting Rights Act (1965) • The Gender Gap • • • • • • • FAMILY INCOME LEVEL Group Factors ….. Religion Regional Factors that Affect Public Opinion & Political Ideology: Urban v. Suburban v. Rural America • Population Density Region Region 2012 ELECTORAL VOTES Democratic Party - a net loss of six electoral votes in safe states, for a national total of 242 Republican Party - a net gain of seven electoral votes in safe states, for a national total of 181 Swing states a net loss of one, for a national total of 115. an African American ODDS AND ENDS An African American with an annual income of $65,000 or higher WHY IS VOTER TURNOUT SO LOW A.They are too busy.