Household Balance Sheet South Africa 25 October 2011 Outline of presentation Background Definition of household sector Household assets and liabilities Balance sheet of household sector Source data Trends and composition of household sector assets Trends and composition of household sector liabilities Household sector net worth Way forward 2 Background Balance sheets aggregates estimated quarterly Research to improve household balance sheet ongoing Limited information published to date i.e. debt-to-disposable-income ratio and wealth-to-disposable-income ratio 3 Household sector The household sector consists of all resident households, unincorporated enterprises owned by households and non-profit institutions serving households (S.14 and S.15) 4 Household non-financial assets Dwellings Other buildings and structures Machinery and equipment Cultivated assets Inventories Land Memorandum item: Consumer durables 5 Household financial assets Currency and deposits Securities other than shares Shares and other equity Insurance and technical reserves Other accounts 6 Household liabilities Consumer credit • Personal loans • Instalment sale and leasing finance • Open accounts • Debt with local authorities Mortgage advances Securitisation Non-incorporated credit 7 Balance sheet of household sector R billions - end 2010* Total assets 7 238 Total liabilities and net worth 7 238 Tangible assets 1 969 Total liabilities 1 258 Residential buildings 1 648 Other tangible assets 321 Financial assets Assets with monetary institutions 5 269 Mortgage advances 782 Other debt 476 Net worth 5 980 577 Interest in pension funds and long-term insurers 2 402 Other financial assets 2 290 * Preliminary 8 Source data - household balance sheet South African Reserve Bank Surveys Statistics South Africa Surveys National Department of Agriculture National Credit Regulator National Treasury Other 9 Trends and composition of household sector assets 10 Household assets R trillions 7.5 7.0 6.5 6.0 5.5 5.0 4.5 4.0 3.5 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 11 Breakdown of household assets – year end 2005 Other assets, 30.7% 2010 Residential buildings, 23.5% Other assets, 31.6% Residential buildings, 22.8% Other tangible assets, 5.2% Interest in pension fund and long-term insurers, 32.6% Monetary assets, 8.0% Interest in pension fund and long-term insurers, 33.2% Other tangible assets, 4.4% Monetary assets, 8.0% 12 Selected assets of the household sector Percentage change over four quarters 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 -10 -20 -30 -40 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Interest in pension funds and long-term insurers Residential buildings and land Monetary assets Corporate bonds and equities 13 Trends and composition of household sector liabilities 14 Household debt R trillions 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 15 Household debt Percentage change over four quarters 29 26 23 20 17 14 11 8 5 2 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 16 Breakdown of household liabilities - year end 2005 Debt with local authorities, 2.2% Nonincorporated credit, 4.4% Personal loans, 14.4% 2010 Debt with local authorities, 2.3% Nonincorporated credit, 1.6% Securitisation, 1.7% Personal loans, 16.0% Open accounts, 3.3% Instalment sale and leasing, 14.6% Instalment sale and leasing, 17.3% Mortgage advances, 56.7% 0.0% Securitisation, 0.4% Open accounts, 3.0% Mortgage advances, 62.1% 17 Household debt ratio Percentage of annualised household disposable income 82 80 78 76 74 72 70 68 66 64 62 60 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Seasonally adjusted 18 Household debt service ratio Financing cost of debt as percentage of annualised disposable income 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Seasonally adjusted 19 Household sector net worth 20 Household net worth R trillions 6.5 6.0 5.5 5.0 4.5 4.0 3.5 3.0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 21 Household net worth Percentage change over four quarters 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 -5 -10 -15 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 22 Ratio of household net worth to disposable income Per cent 420 410 400 390 380 370 360 350 340 330 320 310 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Seasonally adjusted 23 Way forward Publication of household balance sheet aggregates National household financial well-being survey Balance sheets for all institutional sectors 2008 SNA 24 Thank You Economist Research Department South African Reserve Bank Karen.Kuhn2@resbank.co.za +27 12 313 4318 www.reservebank.co.za