WHY DO NGOS DIVERSIFY THEIR ACTIVITIES? PECUNIARY AND PRIVATE BENEFITS 4th Annual Nottingham-Birmingham-Warwick ESRC DTC Conference Canh Thien Dang Nottingham School of Economics, cohort 2014-2018 Supervised by: Professor Oliver Morrissey and Dr Trudy Owens Outline Motivations Defining the research questions Methodology Key theoretical results Data: The Ugandan NGO sector in 2008 Key empirical results Potential impacts Motivations Rumours and tentative evidence of that NGOs may opportunistically introduce activities to grab new grants: • The Ugandan and Malawian NGO sectors grew enormously in mid- 2000s following announcements of new funding towards HIV/agriculture To inform donors on how to motivate NGO diversification • Expanding to new activities may be beneficial but potentially inefficient (transaction and management costs) To examine the true incentives underlying NGOs’ decision making process • Are they driven by altruism or by money? Research Questions How do monetary and private benefits affect the NGOs’ decision to diversify? Two definitions of “diversification” 1. The decision to introduce new services: measured by the total number of services in operation 2. The allocation of budget across services: measured by a budget diversification index derived from the HHI (concentration index) Monetary benefits: 1. Diversification can reduce risks related to income stability 2. Whether and how NGOs would respond to different sources of funding: international donors, private donations or local donors? Private benefits: do they matter? Private Benefits of Diversification Unobservable desire that may not be in line with donors’ • A challenge for quantitative analysis! Four types of private benefits derived from diversification: 1. Signaling ability: to attract new donors, to procure new grants; or better future job prospective 2. Pay rise and entrenchment: to increase salary and job security 3. Egoistic motivations: to derive privilege or improved social status 4. Altruism: more activities to accommodate more beneficiaries? (new evidence from experimental economics suggest it may not be the case) Capture private benefits by proxies! Methodology 1. Solve a multitask principal-agent model that incorporates both risk reduction and private benefits • • Donor predicts NGO’s action and diversification to offer a contract with monetary incentives conditioning on the development value (to donor) NGO decides whether to take the contract and exert their optimal action and diversification 2. Derive testable implications/predictions 3. Employ a dataset with proxy measures 4. Use econometric analysis to test the predictions • Complemented by robustness checks (using control variables), specification tests Theoretical implications 1. Private benefits always encourage diversification (positive) 2. The effect of pecuniary benefits (funding from donors) depends on the underlying motivations: • • If diversify to primarily reduce risks, funding will discourage diversification (negative) If diversify to primarily derive private benefits or if discomfort from development activities is too high, funding will encourage diversification (positive) 3. Testable: look at signs of coefficients Data: the NGO Ugandan sector • 500 NGOs • On average, each NGO operates 4-5 activities • Monetary benefits: • • • 31% of NGOs received donor/external funding in 2007-2008 • 76% of revenues from donors’ grants, on average Proxies for private benefits: • Proxies for intention to capture new grants: whether NGOs involved in HIV/agriculture services (32%, 27% respectively) • Proxies for altruism: religious affiliation (24%); manager is female (26%) Control variables: • Employment size • Constraints on decision: whether NGO needs internal and external approval Key empirical results • Using: Poisson and the two-step Cragg’s Tobit estimators • Effects of already received funding is generally insignificant • NGOs do not diversify primarily to reduce risks Private benefits matter 1. Intention to capture new money for HIV/agriculture sectors has positive effects on NGO’s decision making process 2. So is funding security • All proxies for altruism are insignificant. • Results are fairly robust when budget diversification index is used 1. Committed managers with longer tenure are more cautious 2. More risk-averse managers tend to diversify more Conclusion • NGOs diversify to attract more funding in the future. They may use their portfolio to signal their competence • Private benefits and characteristics of managers matter • Potential Impacts on designing aid contracts: 1. Donors and the public could consider other benefits apart from grants to motivate NGOs 2. Altruism may not be the only motivation behind altruistic firms 3. NGOs’ decisions should be more accountable Thank you for your attention