macroeconomics National Income – a Simple Equilibrium Model 1 Think a “regular” market There are curves (demand, supply), or functions And there is equilibrium GDP we talked about last time is equilibrium Call it ACTUAL We can think about FUNCTIONS of national income Call it DESIRED, or PLANNED Ya = Ca + Ia + Ga + Nxa Desired aggregate expenditure AE = C + I + G + NX 2 We are going to split all expenditures into two parts Autonomous, E = f(Y) Induced Assume very simple economy No trade No government AE = C + I 3 Consumption function C = C(Y) = Cauto + MPC x YD Empirics Reasoning Keynesian consumption theory Permanent-income theory 4 Average propensity to consume APC = C/YD Marginal propensity to consume MPC = ΔC/ΔYD ΔC = MPC x ΔYD But then, what we do not consume we save Macro definition of savings, S = Y - C Average propensity to save APS = S/YD Marginal propensity to save MPS = ΔS/ΔYD APC + APS = 1 MPC + MPS = 1 5 Shifts in AE function: Household wealth Interest rates Expectations Other stuff 6 Shifts in C function: Household wealth Interest rates Expectations Other stuff They are also shifts in AE function!!! 7 Equilibrium: AE = Ya Keynesian Cross 8 Investment function I = I(r, exp, …) 9 AE = AE(Y) = C + I = (Cauto + I) + MPC x YD Equilibrium: AE = Y Shifts in AE and determination of Ya A multiplier: A (change in equilibrium Y)/(autonomous change in AE) (simple) Multiplier = ΔY/ΔAE = 1/(1 – MPC) Canadian multiplier 10