Running head: MARKET ANALYSIS Market Analysis Nestlé Global Gluten-Free Cookie Dough Whitney Chadwick, Chris Holle, Erin Howard, & Brittanie Turner California State University, Monterey Bay BUS 306-81 1 MARKET ANALYSIS 2 Table of Contents EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 5 SITUATION ANALYSIS 6 MARKET SUMMARY 7 Geographics 7 Demographics 7 Psychographics and Behavioral Factors 7 Market Needs 8 Market Trends 8 Market Growth 8 SWOT ANALYSIS 9 Strengths 9 Weaknesses 10 Opportunities 10 Threats 10 COMPETITION 11 PRODUCT OFFERING 14 Ingredients and Nutritional Factors 14 Different Packaging Types 15 Customer Satisfaction Guarantee 15 KEYS TO SUCCESS 16 Growing Population with Gluten-Intolerance 16 Increasing Level of Health Awareness 16 CRITICAL ISSUES 17 MARKETING STRATEGIES 17 MISSION 18 MARKETING AND FINANCIAL OBJECTIVES 18 TARGET MARKET 18 POSITIONING 19 MARKET ANALYSIS 3 STRATEGIES 19 MARKETING MIX 20 Price 20 Distribution 21 Marketing Communications 21 MARKET RESEARCH 21 FINANCIALS 22 Break-Even Analysis 22 Sales Forecast 24 Expense Forecast 24 CONTROLS 25 IMPLEMENTATION 25 MARKETING ORGANIZATION 26 CONTINGENCY PLANNING 27 REFERENCES 28 MARKET ANALYSIS 4 Table of Figures Figure 1: 4 P’s PillsBury Model 12 Figure 2: 4P’s Betty Crocker Model 12 Figure 3: 4 P’s Kellog Model 13 Figure 4: 4 P’s Pamela’s Products Model 14 Figure 5: Break -Even Analysis Chart 22 Figure 6: Break-Even Analysis Graph 23 Figure 7: Sales Forecast 24 Figure 8: Expense Forecast 25 Figure 9: Marketing Organization 26 MARKET ANALYSIS 5 Executive Summary Nestlé Global is a food-manufacturing corporation whom aims to provide consumers with great tasting products, as well as lead the industry in nutrition, health, and wellness. The purpose of this report is to introduce a new product line within the Nestlé Company. Launched alongside the current Nestlé Toll House products, this new product line will introduce gluten-free cookie dough products to its consumers. This enhances Nestlé's mission to establish more healthy lifestyles for its consumers. The target market of the product was aimed at the mothers demographic, along with people who have celiac disease (or other gluten intolerances). Due to expanding health trends and increases in gluten-free popularity, this product has the potential to become something big. Before the product is launched, it is the goal of Nestlé to see which stores want to carry the product. Out first targets will be the stores that currently carry Nestlé Toll House items. If agreed upon, we estimate that the new gluten-free cookie dough will stock roughly 25% of total Nestlé Toll House products in each store. Depending on how well the product succeeds in penetrating the market, the gluten-free cookie dough product can be expanded up to 50% of Toll House products stocked, or down to 10%. This may also vary from store to store. To break even, we estimate the total units sold per year to be 2,613,551 units. However, with this goal in mind, we realize this may not be achievable in the first year. By the end of the first year, we estimate that Nestlé will miss the break-even point by 10%, reaching around 2,350,000 units sold. By the second year we expect to hit our break-even point, and when the product has gained enough traction, it is by our estimation to be at least 10% above our breakeven. MARKET ANALYSIS 6 Situation Analysis In a growing health food trend, the gluten-free movement has been gaining traction. With the knowledge of celiac disease and many other gluten intolerances, many consumers have an increasing need and desire for gluten-free products. According to a survey, nearly 18 percent of Americans prefer gluten-free products (Amidor, 2014). This is a vast market that is virtually untapped. The plan is for Nestlé to make a gluten-free cookie dough. The current problem with most gluten-free products is they sacrifice taste to provide a product that many people can eat. Nestlé can provide the same great quality taste they have always offered, while also providing a product that offers health benefits to many Americans. Another advantage is that the price will stay relatively the same as the current Nestlé Tollhouse Products. On a global scale, Nestlé scored 54th in brand recognition (Ranking The Brands). Competitors like Pillsbury and Betty Crocker did not even place in the top 100. Nestlé has the tools to not only infiltrate the gluten-free snack market and have success, but also the ability to enter the market and dominate it. Nestlé has been known to provide great tasting snacks and always aims to improve the healthiness of its products. According to the Smart Cookie Dough Cook, a website that reviews various cookie dough brands, Nestlé’s Tollhouse cookie dough was not only better tasting than Pillsbury’s cookie dough, but also had better texture (The Smart Cookie dough Cook, 2014). On top of that, Nestlé has the resources to make this cookie dough happen. According to Nestlé’s official webpage, it owns four corporate locations, thirty-two manufacturing locations, and five distribution centers. This is sufficient to use existing machinery to produce gluten-free cookie dough. In order to do so, Nestlé must clean and retool the machinery and production area to make the facility safe to produce products. Currently, local companies are the main source of competition. However, there are also several major brands that are already in the existing market. These brands include Pillsbury and Betty Crocker, which offer gluten-free cookie dough that is sold in stores. The product Nestlé would be offering is pre-packaged, gluten-free cookie dough. The current price of its regular Tollhouse products is approximately five dollars. The goal with the new gluten-free dough (16.5 oz.) would be to keep it at a consistent price with the regular Tollhouse products. Nestlé holds vast resources and numerous market connections. Nestlé products are featured in nearly every chain supermarket in the U.S. This allows them to enter a MARKET ANALYSIS 7 new market fairly easily. According to CBS News, Nestlé already holds a 41% market share of the prepared cookie dough market (CBS News, 2014). The main distribution channel for the Nestlé gluten-free Tollhouse cookie dough will be through large chain stores, including: Safeway, Target, Wal-Mart, Albertsons, Kroger, and many more. This in itself creates a big opportunity for Nestlé. The gluten-free market is vastly untouched by large corporations, and under the right management and utilizing the right resources, Nestlé has the ability to market gluten-free cookie dough successfully. Market Summary Geographics For the purpose of the project, the geographic focus will be the United States of America as a whole. This will be a good testing grounds to see how the product does. If it does well, the product could expand into Canada and then move into Europe. According to the European Food Information Council (EUFIC), celiac disease is on the rise. This would be a great investment into the future as the more people that have celiac disease, the more awareness there will be. According to Statista (2009), the gluten-free market was worth $2.3 billion globally. This is a great financial opportunity. Demographics As for the demographics, the main focus is on people with celiac disease or other gluten intolerances, and targeting families. Targeting people with celiac disease (and other gluten intolerances) is an obvious choice, since this product will allow them to have a healthy and delicious snack. The second option is seeking a healthier alternative to families. According to Celiac Central (n.d.), “it is estimated that 83% of Americans who have celiac disease are undiagnosed or misdiagnosed with other conditions.” Providing gluten-free cookie dough will allow families to play it safe and provide a delicious cookie dough that is healthier than a traditional cookie dough. Psychographics and Behavioral Factors A large portion of the target market is people who are gluten conscious. This consists of people who have celiac disease, or other gluten intolerances, people on glutenfree diets, or families trying to eat healthier. MARKET ANALYSIS 8 Market Needs Within the food industry, there is a constant struggle between health, flavor, and cost. It is difficult to create product that fulfills all three criteria; this is especially true for gluten-free cookie dough. In the current market, there are limited options for gluten-free cookie dough. The options that are currently available generally consist of local companies with products more expensive than their mass-produced counterparts. According to the Statistics Portal’s survey (2012) conducted in 2012, “U.S. Gluten-Free Target Market,“ concluded that nearly 18 percent of the population in the U.S. prefers and buys gluten-free products. However, there is a huge need for affordable, healthy, mass-produced gluten-free cookie dough. Market Trends As the health trends throughout America continue to grow, the average consumer is becoming more health conscious and more aware of how their bodies react to the foods they eat. For example, five years ago, a consumer may not have known that they had celiac disease or had gluten sensitivity. Now, over 3 million Americans have been diagnosed with celiac disease and 18 million suffer from gluten sensitivity (National Foundation for Celiac Awareness: Celiac Disease: Fast Facts, 2014 & National Foundation for Celiac Awareness: Non-Celiac Gluten Sensitivity, 2014). Of the 68 people surveyed, nearly 50 percent responded that they or someone they know has celiac disease or other gluten-intolerance (Survey Monkey, 2014). Though the demand for healthier, and more specifically, gluten-free products increases, the supply has yet to meet the needs of the consumers (The Gluten-Free Agency, 2012). This marketing plan focuses specifically on the gluten-free cookie dough market, as there are very few affordable, healthy, mass-produced gluten-free cookie dough options within the market today. Market Growth In the 2000s, terms such as “celiac disease” and “gluten-free” were unfamiliar to those even in the culinary industry. Today, with an estimated 1 in 133 Americans having celiac disease, the appearance of allergen-related claims such as “gluten-free” on restaurant menus has increased by 200 percent (Amidor, 2014). According to market research by Mintel, a market research firm, the gluten-free food category is expected to generate more than $15 billion in annual sales by 2015. Furthermore, the household purchases of gluten-free products more than doubled from 5 percent in 2010 to 11 percent in 2013 (Amidor, 2014). MARKET ANALYSIS 9 SWOT ANALYSIS Strengths Unmatched Product Offerings and Brand Portfolio Nestlé upholds supreme brand portfolio and manufacturing capabilities (Nestlé Global, 2014). The company placed within the top three global food and beverage manufacturers in the Access to Nutrition Index, March 2013 (Nestlé Global, 2014). Nestlé recognizes offering diversity within their brand portfolio allows them to serve a broad range of demographics (Nestlé Global, 2014). R&D Capabilities Nestlé devotes extensive funds - averaging $1.5 million - toward research and development annually (Nestlé Global, 2014). The company continuously brings to market new and redesigned products corresponding to market trends, ensuring the firm’s competitive edge (Nestlé Global, 2014). Distribution Potential Nestlé maintains widespread distribution channels and geographic presence, which supports its operation globally (Nestlé Global, 2014). Currently, the company operates 14 product categories, manufacturing more than 2,000 brands worldwide (Nestlé Global, 2014). Moreover, the company operates in 86 countries with employee strength of more than 330,000 (Nestlé Global, 2014). Expansion Aptitude Over the years Nestlé has been successfully generating increased joint ventures and acquiring other businesses in order to continue growth over market shares (Nestlé Global, 2014). The company’s brand is recognized globally with highly regarded customer loyalty (About Us Nestlé Global, n.d.). APCO Worldwide ranked Nestlé number five in the global survey regarding The 100 Most Loved Companies (Nestlé’s Brand Ranking, 2014). MARKET ANALYSIS 10 Weaknesses Inconstant Quality Nestlé has been recalling several goods from the market due to food contamination, package mislabeling, and/or inability to provide constant quality within supplies (Nestlé Global, 2014). The most recent recall occurred June 2014, regarding unidentified allergy prone ingredients within Häagen-Dazs® Chocolate Chip Ice Cream (Recalls, Market Withdrawals, & Safety Alerts, 2014). This does not only decrease the company’s sales but lessens their consumer trust when presenting new allergen free products, such as gluten-free cookie dough. Opportunities Increasing Demand for Healthier Products Food allergies and health benefits are a rising consumer purchasing concern. As a result increased demand of customized products meeting distinct dietary requirements are occurring. Particularly, the market for gluten-free products has begun to skyrocket. Calculated from U.S. retail sales statistics, by the year 2020 the gluten-free market is estimated to be valued at $23.9 billion. Nestlé now has the opportunity to introduce a gluten-free health-based snack product, and expand possible consumer demographic. (U.S. Gluten-free Foods Market - Statistic & Facts|Statista, n.d.) Acquire Health Based Startups Several new businesses are generating and introducing products for health conscious consumer, as well as developing sustainable manufacturing methods. Nestlé is currently concentrating on providing healthier products with added nutritional value, and acquisitions such as these are great opportunity to expand the company’s brand portfolio. (Nestlé Global, 2014.) Threats Company Reputation Due to Nestlé’s continual recalls because of mislabeling and food contamination, the company’s manufacturing reputation has decreased (Nestlé Global, 2014). It is the company’s responsibility to regulate quality checks to prevent consumer dissatisfaction. Repeated contamination will lower the company’s ability to successfully enter the allergen free market. MARKET ANALYSIS 11 Failure to expand with current market trends will result in declined revenue (Nestlé Global, 2014). Cost of Raw Materials The global increase in the cost of raw materials is cutting into corporate profits, causing stock prices to decline and leading to increased consumer prices (Gandel, 2011). As a result Nestlé’s cost of production has increased (Nestlé Global, 2014). For example, dairy – key ingredient in chocolate products – costs have increased by more than 25% in the year of 2013 (Sheets, 2014). Growth of Private Labels The expanding number of supermarkets generating their own label products that cost less will increase competition for Nestlé’s product portfolio (Nestlé Global, 2014). COMPETITION Within the niche market of gluten-free prepackaged cookie dough products, a few competitors are notable. One of the competing firms, Pillsbury, makes gluten-free chocolate chip cookie dough, and Betty Crocker also produces a few gluten-free cookie dough dry mixes. Both organizations are owned by General Mills, but operate independently. Nonetheless, in the general gluten-free snack market competition would include several gluten-free items: cereals, pre-baked cookie dough, health bars, and chips etc. Some major competitors in the gluten-free snack market are companies like Kellogg and Pamela’s Products. Pillsbury has been providing families’ mealtime specials for nearly 150 years, whether it’s breakfast, lunch, dinner or dessert (General Mills: Pillsbury). Pillsbury has their brand recognition in place. The company primarily targets families, and distributes products throughout major retailers, such as Safeway or Target (General Mills: Pillsbury). The company launched their first gluten-free products line on August 6, 2013 (Food Business). These products contain items such as pizza dough, pie and pastry dough, and most importantly, cookie dough (Food Business). Pillsbury, which is owned by General Mills, has a head start in a market that is MARKET ANALYSIS 12 currently dominated by local bakeries. Product • Gluten-free Chocolate Chip Cookie Dough Price Place Promotion • Varies Between Reseller • Major Grocery Chains • Leading Retailers • Mothers Demographic: Women ranging mid 30s to 40s, leading active lifestyles. Figure 1: 4 P’s Pillsbury Model Betty Crocker has been accepted as a part of families’ food traditions for more than 90 years, providing packaged goods as well as wonderful recipes. Recently, the company had first hand experience with employees that could not partake in the company’s products due to gluten intolerance. The experience drove them to develop great tasting gluten-free items everyone could enjoy. The company began marketing towards the idea nothing should affect sweet moments with friends and family. Targeting the modern families, the company distributes their product through several major retailers. (Our Story - Betty Crocker, n.d.) . Product • Gluten-free Dry Mix Cookie Doughs Price • Varies Between Reseller and Product Place • Major Grocery Chains • Leading Retailers Promotion • Modern Families Figure 2: 4 P’s Betty Crocker Model Kellogg is a company of devoted individuals producing quality products for a healthier world. The company has innovative marketing strategies, governance structures, and corporate MARKET ANALYSIS 13 policies that help to implement their social and corporate responsibilities into everyday operations. Currently, Kellogg’s is capitalizing on the gluten-free cereal market by reformulating or relabeling in some cases their existing brands. The idea behind this movement is to offer families healthier options to start their busy mornings. Kellogg’s is taking gluten-free rice/corn based products and turning them mainstream through distribution in major retail chains. (Cereal: The Complete Story, n.d.). Product • Gluten-free Cereals Price Place • Varies Between Reseller • Major Gorcery Retailers Promotion • Mother Demographic Figure 3: 4 P’s Kellogg Model Pamela’s Products is primarily an online gluten-free product line with baking mixes, cookie dough, crackers, chips and snack bars. The company, established in 1988, focuses on providing consumers affordable natural and gluten-free options, made from top-quality ingredients. Pamela’s Products currently remains a top leader within the gluten-free snack industry, marketing to the preferred gluten-free and natural food consumer. With ongoing research and development, Pamela’s Products continues to grow and embrace the many upcoming opportunities this industry is predicted to offer. The company is determined to remain the top provider of gluten-free snacks. (Pamela's Products: About Us, n.d.). MARKET ANALYSIS Product • Gluten-free Baking Mixes • Cookies • Chips • Crackers • Snack Bars 14 Price Place Promotion • Varies Between Reseller and Products • Purchasing Made Online or by Phone • Health Market Resellers • Gluten-free Food Market • Natural Food Industry Figure 4: 4 P’s Pamela's Products Model PRODUCT OFFERING Ingredients and Nutritional Factors The Nestlé corporation will offer this product with the currently used ingredients. The current ingredients include: bleached enriched flour, semi-sweet chocolate, sugar, margarine, sodium benzoate (preservative), flavor and artificial flavor, citric acid, vitamin A, palmitate, color, liquid whole eggs, cooking molasses, corn syrup, sodium bicarbonate, flavor, and salt (Nestlé Professional, 2013). However, the current bleached enriched flour will be replaced by gluten-free flour substitute. The options for the gluten-free flour substitute include: quinoa flour, teff flour, and almond flour. Quinoa flour is a nutritious grain that contains protein, calcium, and iron. Teff flour is a gluten-free whole grain. It offers protein, calcium, and iron nutritional factors. Lastly, almond flour is a low-carb alternative. It offers calcium, iron, and protein as well. All three of these options are capable of replacing the bleached enriched flour completely (Nuts.com, 2014). Price and taste are two factors that must be considered when choosing the gluten-free flour substitute. Quinoa is the highest priced at $9.99 per pound (Nuts.com: Organic Quinoa Flour, 2014). It can also hold a bitter taste. Teff flour is the cheapest price offered at $4.99 per pound. Teff flour has a mild, nutty flavor (Nuts.com: Teff Flour, 2014). Almond flour is moderately priced at $8.99 per pound. Almond flour is considered to be flavorful with its nutty MARKET ANALYSIS 15 taste. Furthermore, it contributes to a light and moist product while baking (Nuts.com: Almond Flour, 2014). However, the only drawback of almond flour is the need to consider nut allergies. Of all the flours listed, teff flour would be the most ideal option. Not only is teff the cheapest, but it provides the health benefits that Nestlé is striving for. By providing protein, calcium, and iron, Nestlé is adding more nutritional value than their traditional bleached enriched flour. This will ensures a healthier product to their consumers, and keeps the goal of providing a gluten-free cookie dough product. Different Packaging Types Nestlé offers its cookie dough products in a variety of packaging. This variation of packaging will be transferred to the gluten-free cookie dough product line. There are four types of packaging: refrigerated cookie bar dough, refrigerated cookie dough in a tube, refrigerated mini cookie bar dough, and refrigerated cookie dough tub (Nestlé Toll House: Products, n.d.). The first packaging type is the Nestlé Toll House refrigerated cookie bar dough. This packaging offers a rectangular sheet of cookie dough that makes 24 cookies from pre-cut bars (Nestlé Toll House: Products, n.d.). The second packaging type offers the product inside a long, cylinder tube. It makes approximately 16 cookies (Nestlé Toll House: Products, n.d.). The third type of packaging is essentially the same as the first type; however, the dough is cut into mini bars, which makes smaller cookie dough. This package will make 40 mini cookies (Nestlé Toll House: Products, n.d.). The last packaging type is in a tub. The tub allows the consumer to scope out the desired amount and size of the cookie they wish to bake (Nestlé Toll House: Products, n.d.). Customer Satisfaction Guarantee Nestlé can implement a customer satisfaction guarantee on the new gluten-free cookie dough product line to further the line’s success. According to U.S. Legal Definitions (2014), a customer satisfaction guarantee gives “the buyer…the sole discretion to decide whether or not the goods or services tendered by the seller are acceptable.” By offering a guarantee on its product, Nestlé is keeping attuned to its consumers’ demands. It can also raise the quality of the product. Quality is defined as the “characteristics of a product or service that bear on its ability to satisfy stated or implied customer needs” (Kotler, Armstrong, 2014, pg. 231). This can help create customer loyalty and adjust the gluten-free cookie dough products accordingly. MARKET ANALYSIS 16 KEYS TO SUCCESS Growing Population with Gluten-Intolerance The growing population with gluten intolerances is a major component for Nestlé’s gluten-free cookie dough’s success in the market place. As previously mentioned, three million people are diagnosed with celiac disease and over 18 million people suffer from a glutenintolerance (Celiac Disease: Fast Facts, 2014, Non-Celiac Gluten Sensitivity, 2014). Additionally, according to Partnership Capital Growth (2010), “one in three (34%) people have a household member with celiac disease or wheat intolerance.” These populations make up a significant portion of the United States that will become a critical target market for Nestlé’s gluten-free cookie dough products. For this to be successful, the growth of the population with gluten intolerance must continue to rise. A statistic from National Foundation for Celiac Awareness estimates that “83% of Americans who have celiac disease are undiagnosed or misdiagnosed with other conditions.” This large percentage of undiagnosed or misdiagnosed Americans with celiac disease determines a continual growth of the gluten-intolerance population. Thus, the future growth is a key to success for the gluten-free cookie dough product offered by Nestlé. Increasing Level of Health Awareness The current nationwide growth of health awareness is a major factor to this product’s success. Moreover, people are becoming more aware of the health benefits a gluten-free diet can bring. An article written by Simmons (2013) indicates, “sixty-four percent of consumers today— up from 57 percent in 2010—agree that it is important to eat healthy and pay attention to nutrition.” The rise of health conscious Americans entails a greater market demand for healthier food options. According to an article written by Kannall (n.d.), changing to a gluten-free diet contributes a positive effect on digestion, inflammation, neurological, and energy levels within the human body. This article signifies that a gluten-free diet has additional health benefits. In order for Nestlé’s gluten-free cookie dough product to reach optimal success, the rise of health awareness within the United States must continue. MARKET ANALYSIS 17 CRITICAL ISSUES Higher Price for Raw Ingredients of Gluten-Free Products A critical issue that can be detrimental to the success of Nestlé’s gluten-free cookie dough products is the high price of raw ingredients. The price of all-purpose flour is significantly cheaper than its gluten-free alternatives. As previously stated, the gluten-free alternative price range is approximately $5 to $10 per pound (Nuts.com, 2014). However, typical all-purpose flour costs approximately 50 cents per pound (Walmart.com, 2014). This will increase the cost of production; thus, increasing the sell price of the gluten-free cookie dough product to consumers. According to a CBS news article (2014), a consumer went from spending $90 a week to spending at least $130 per week on groceries, after being diagnosed with celiac disease. Furthermore, it is estimated that it is twice as expensive to purchase gluten-free groceries (CBS, 2014). The cost to produce and the market price of gluten-free products can have a negative effect on Nestlé’s market success. E. Coli Outbreak In an article published by the FDA on July 13, 2009, the FDA found positive samples of the bacteria E. Coli inside Nestlé Toll House cookie dough products. Although Nestlé recalled the products, it still affected 76 people from over 31 different U.S. states in which 35 people have been hospitalized. Fortunately, there were no deaths attributed to this outbreak and Nestlé has fully cooperated with government agencies during this crisis. Issues like these can cause serious disruption and harm to both Nestlé and their consumers. It is important for outbreaks such as E. Coli to be monitored extensively. Marketing Strategy With the limited market for affordable, gluten-free cookie dough, our value proposition is simple: Providing a healthy, gluten-free cookie dough that is available to a large amount of consumers. The value proposition is being able to offer the product in chain stores like Safeway and Target, while also being able to sell the product in stores such as New Leaf and Trader Joes. This makes it easy for our target market (mothers) to find our product. By having a healthy and delicious product that is affordable and easily available gives us a superior value proposition MARKET ANALYSIS 18 over any competitor. In addition, the product also aims to increase awareness for Celiac disease and other gluten intolerances. Mission Nestlé Global is the world's leader in nutrition, health and wellness. Our mission when providing gluten-free cookie dough is to offer consumers the finest tasting, most nutritious choices for a variety of dietary restrictions and eating occasions. Marketing and Financial Objectives The marketing objectives for this product are not just selling a healthy product, but to bring awareness to such diseases like celiac and offer more products that cater to the people with celiac, and to those that prefer healthier and gluten-free options. To emphasize this point, Nestlé has partnered with Celiac Central that 10% of all profits from the product will go towards Celiac Central, an organization that aims to provide awareness for Celiac disease. Nestlé also aims to keep the product under five dollars. The point is to make the product affordable, making it absolutely necessary that this product is sold for less than five dollars in stores. Target Market First, Nestlé should market to the mothers demographic. This group consists of mothers ranging from mid 30s to 40s, leading active lifestyles, thus value their time by using easy and convenient products. They will want our product for the nutritional improvements, convenience it provides, as well the given perception of homemade cookies. Furthermore, the brand message should include the benefits our research has identified due to growing health trends. Playing up the healthier alternative to families will reinforces in current consumers minds the product advantages. Nonetheless, Nestlé additional target market will focus on people with celiac disease or other gluten intolerances. Targeting people with celiac disease (and other gluten intolerances) MARKET ANALYSIS 19 within the U.S. accommodates the 44 million untouched gluten-free consumers (The Gluten-Free Agency, 2012). Moreover, this product will allow them to have a healthy and delicious snack in which meets dietary restrictions. Advertisements will be similar to those focused on the mothers demographic, playing up product benefits. Nestlé’s market goal will be to offer consumers healthy, flavorful, and affordable gluten-free cookie dough as the health trends throughout America continue to grow. Positioning The introduction of gluten-free cookies into Nestlé’s current product line-up will be positioned as a “more for the same” product. As stated in the Situation Analysis, Nestlé can provide the same great quality taste they have always offered, while also providing a product that offers health benefits to many Americans. Additionally, the price will stay relatively the same as the current products offered by Nestlé Toll House. Few companies currently offer gluten-free cookies, let alone at the same price as similar cookie products. Current gluten-free cookies offered are expensive and/or made by off-brand companies. Consumers with celiac disease (and other gluten intolerances), as well as families seeking a healthier alternative, will perceive greater value in gluten-free cookies by Nestlé Toll House than competing offers because it is a brand name company that is committed to enhancing the quality of consumers’ lives through nutrition, health, and wellness (Nestlé – Cited from Section 3 of Two-Page Summary). Strategies Nestlé’s goal is to produce a cheaper, healthier alternative snack that will appeal to the average mother in her 30 to 40-age range and create awareness for gluten-intolerant diseases (i.e. celiac disease). Thus, this goal is reached by offering the product at rates less than five dollars. By keeping prices low, Nestlé is fulfilling its pricing objective as entailed further below under marketing mix. These lower prices will ideally entice the target market to purchase the glutenfree cookie dough product. Furthermore, by Nestlé’s incorporation of 5% donations partnered with Celiac Central, it is establishing additional awareness within its target market. The target MARKET ANALYSIS 20 market including people with celiac disease or other gluten-intolerances will now be reached. This exemplifies Nestlé’s awareness for a healthier snack option that will also benefits society. The final factor in the marketing strategy is to focus on the value proposition of being able to integrate the product in larger quantities per product within prominent chain stores. This step in the marketing strategy will become attainable by appealing to the needs of the target market: a healthier and cheaper snack alternative. The product’s cheap pricing, healthier aspects, societal awareness, and mass production will lead consumers to purchase it; ultimately, leading to the gluten-free cookie dough product’s success. Marketing Mix Price The decision was made that the gluten-free cookie dough product will be offered at five dollars or less. This will enable the product to enter the market with a price similar to the current market offerings of cookie dough. By doing so, Nestlé will be able to compete directly against non-gluten-free cookie dough products within the same price range. The five dollars or less price can be reached by calculating the cost of raw ingredients replacing the current enriched wheat flour with teff flour. The current market offering of Nestlé’s cookie dough products is priced at approximately $3.99 depending on location and packaging type (Nestlé Toll House, 2014). According to Nuts.com (2014), bulk purchase of enriched wheat flour is approximately $1.99 per pound. Furthermore, the price of teff flour in bulk is $3.69 per pound (Nuts.com, 2014). That creates a difference of $1.70 per pound of flour purchased. The Nestlé Toll House cookie dough recipe calls for 2 ¼ cups of enriched wheat flour, making a total of five dozen cookies (60 cookies) (Original Nestlé Toll House, 2014). It takes .0375 a cup of flour per cookie. There is a total of 3 ⅓ cups per pound of flour (My Recipes, 2014). There is a difference of 1.08 cups of flour between the recipe and a pound of flour. This calculates that another 28 cookies can be made, with a total of 88 cookies made per pound of flour. The current market offerings of Nestlé cookie dough products range between 18 to 24 cookies per package in a price range of $3.99 to $4.48 (Nestlé Toll House, 2014). With the enriched wheat flour, it costs .002 cents per cookie. Using MARKET ANALYSIS 21 teff flour, it cost will cost .004 cents per cookie. This calculates that the gluten-free cookie dough product with 18 to 24 cookies per package will cost in a price range of $4.03 to $4.53. Distribution Currently, Nestlé has a complex distribution method in order to produce the best products for its consumers. The distribution method is created by using a nutritional value chain produced by Nestlé. This value chain includes in order: science (research and development), sourcing and ingredients, packaging, manufacturing, distribution, marketing and communication, health and wellness, and lastly, society (Nestlé Nutritional Value Chain, 2014). This value chain ensures the best products are made oriented towards the consumers’ health and wellness. The distribution section is enacted through the use of micro-distributors, using locally adapted methods (Nestlé Global, 2014). The micro-distributors focus on the triple P’s or popularly positioned products (Nestlé Global, 2014). This focuses the triple P’s towards providing its consumers “the opportunity to consume high-quality food products that provide nutritional value at an affordable cost and in an appropriate format” (Nestlé Global, 2014). Overall, Nestlé’s distribution methods are highly customer-oriented within its local markets. Marketing Communications The marketing communications mix utilized by Nestlé Toll House accentuates advertising and public relations. The specific emphasis in these two characteristics of the marketing mix was chosen due to the current, rising trends of gluten-free and other healthier-choice products. The marketing mix is comprised of non-personal promotion of the gluten-free cookies within advertising. Additionally, Nestlé Toll House will be fostering and building good relations with the public and the health community through public relations. Market Research Formerly, research for development and manufacturing of a gluten-free cookie dough brand began by discussing current food trends within America. After deciding on how to presume development, the primary research began. Methods of analysis include: textbook references, consumer surveys, original survey, competition analysis, annual corporate reports, and general online research. This research details an organization overview of Nestlé, a food- MARKET ANALYSIS 22 manufacturing corporation whom aims to provide consumers with great tasting and nutritional products. Secondary research consisted of manufacturing and financial analyses. This area of research demonstrates the expected product cost, target markets, marketing needs, etc. Information will be used within implementation of product development for Nestlé. Market goals require continuation of previous research to ensure all areas of growth will be sufficiently covered. Financials In 2013, Nestlé’s total sales in its confectionary line $10,283,000,000 (Nestlé Annual Report, 2013). Since Nestlé is an international brand, its cookies within the financial statements are considered biscuits. The total biscuit sales reached $1,576,000,000 (Nestlé Annual Report, 2013). This is considered 15.3% of the confectionary sales at Nestlé in 2013 (Nestlé Annual Report, 2013). Break-Even Analysis MARKET ANALYSIS 23 Cost of Goods Sold In 2013, the total cost of goods from Nestlé is approximately 49% of the total sales (Nestlé Annual Report, 2013). Therefore, for every dollar in sales, .49 cents is considered the cost of goods sold. This was calculated by taking the total sales in 2013 from the income statement, which was $92,158,000,000, and dividing it by the cost of goods sold, which was $48,111,000,000 (Nestlé Annual Report, 2013). Packaging Costs We estimate that the packaging cost per unit is roughly 10 cents. Labor Costs Currently, Nestlé has 80 factories within the United States (Nestlé Annual Report, 2013). For our first year, we chose to have four factories for each region of the United States: west coast, midwest, southeast, and northeast. The average Nestlé factory holds approximately 230 employees (The Desert Son, 2014). This will indicate 920 employees dedicated to these four regions. According to the Fair Labor Standards Act, the federal minimum is $7.25 (U.S. Department of Labor, 2014). The workers will be part-time at an average of 20 hours per week. With four weeks per month, the total monthly wages will be $580 per worker. The yearly wage per worker with approximate to $6960. The total cost of labor per month for the 920 employees is $533,600. Furthermore, the total cost of labor per year for the 920 employees is $6,403,200. *Revenue includes price per unit-variable costs MARKET ANALYSIS 24 Sales Forecast The gluten-free cookie dough will be considered a new product line within Nestlé. Thus, it is expected to work below the break-even point during the first year of production. We estimated that the 1st quarter will total in sales 25% less than the break-even point. The second quarter will total in sales 20% less than the break-even point. The third quarter will then total in sales 15% less than the break-even point. Lastly, the fourth quarter sales will total in sales 10% less than the break-even point. The second year in sales, we estimate that the product’s line will break-even. Lastly, in the third year of sales, we estimate the total sales of the gluten-free cookie dough will exceed 10% above the break-even point. Through the above analysis, our goal is to sell approximately 600,000 per quarter within the four geographical areas of the United States: west coast, midwest, northeast, and southeast. Expense Forecast The expense forecast will include the additional expenses needed to sustain the advertising and public relations efforts as mentioned in the marketing communications section. The average cost of salary in the public relations department is $55,460 (Belt, 2014). The public relations department will enact traditional advertising methods within. These traditional advertising methods include in-store advertisements at the various locations and an online page within the Nestlé website. The average cost to maintain a website is $20,000 per month (Government and Law, n.d.). In-store advertisements range from $800 to $1,500 per store per four-week period (BlueLineMedia, 2014). We decided to estimate the in-store advertising costs at $1,150. Furthermore, the expense forecast will identify the management salary for the leading manager of marketing. According to U.S. News (2014), the average salary for a marketing manager in 2012 was $119,480. These costs will be considered fixed rates per year. MARKET ANALYSIS 25 The variable costs per unit will include the costs of goods sold at $2.45 and packaging costs at approximately 10 cents. Controls The variables that will be measured to monitor the progress of the gluten-free cookies are the quantity of units sold quarterly as well as the amount of retail locations, both new and existing. The regions that Nestlé will be analyzing of the United States will begin with California, more specifically such areas that are prone to a healthier lifestyle. Implementation To initiate the implementation process of Nestlé Toll House gluten-free cookies marketing plan, the company will contact all current retailers of Nestlé Toll House products. Upon contact, Nestlé will inform the current retailers of the gluten-free cookie line and allow retailers the opportunity to carry the product before approaching new retailers. Concurrent with the contact process, Nestlé will commence the promotional process. Both processes will incur two months before the product release date. The promotional process shall consist of both upon release of the Nestlé Toll House gluten-free cookies; the product will be stocked in each contacted retailer as 25% of the total Nestlé Toll House products stocked in each individual MARKET ANALYSIS 26 location. Dependent on the success measured after the first quarter after product release, Nestlé Toll House gluten-free cookies will account for a maximum of 50 percent of the total Nestlé Toll House products stocked, increasing quarterly according to demand. One year after implementation, Nestlé Tollhouse gluten-free cookies will be available at not only grocery stores, but also health food stores such as Trader Joe’s and New Leaf. Marketing Organization Initially, Nestlé will conduct business-to-business marketing. Nestlé currently employs personal selling when interacting with potential reseller and clientele (Nestlé Annual Report, 2013). Personal selling consists of face-to-face conferences, telemarketing, or digital/videoconferencing, depending on clients’ communication preferences. Objective of initial personal selling will be to generate an agreement to supply our product throughout prospective resellers’ establishments. Furthermore, Nestlé will carry out business-to-consumer marketing through social media, commercial networking, publications, and VeryBestBaking.com. VeryBestBaking.com is Nestlé’s Toll House recipe based consumer interaction website (Nestlé Annual Report, 2013). This form of direct marketing will produce the consumer interest and knowledge needed when introducing a new product. MARKET ANALYSIS 27 Contingency Planning One of the biggest issues for a product like Nestlé’s gluten-free cookie dough is the possibility of selling dough that contains E. Coli. This has been a problem for Nestlé and similar companies in the past. In order to combat E. Coli, Nestlé will offer full refunds on all purchases of the product at the first sign of the outbreak. In addition, stores that sell the product will have their inventories of the item be completely restocked for no charge. At Nestlé, our aim is to provide healthy foods with a great taste. If customers are unable to taste the product due to possibly getting E. Coli during an outbreak, it is the duty of Nestlé to refund the purchase for 100% of the price paid by the customer. Another issue Nestlé must be prepared for is trying to infiltrate health food stores such as Trader Joes and New Leaf. Many health food stores will not sell name-brand products. If Nestlé has a difficult time pushing the product into these stores there are two options to pursue. If the stores do not want to sell the product, Nestlé can start by showing the health benefits compared to other cookies. If this plan does not work, a second option of opening a Nestlé gluten-free subdivision may be the next step forward. Perhaps by rebranding the product, we can appeal to both stores and customers that associate Nestlé with unhealthy. The last issue is any potential rise in raw ingredients. The simplest solution is to seek a new supplier for the good. In the case of teff flour, there are a variety of different suppliers to choose from. The most concerning item would be an egg shortage. In 2012, there was a global outbreak of the avian flu, which attacked chicken populations and caused an egg shortage. The cost of eggs rose as supply fell. The simplest solution would be for Nestlé to ride out the problem. Nestlé has the resources to deal with the price increase and not have to increase the price on consumers. This keeps loyal customers and shows the commitment to keeping the product at five dollars or less. MARKET ANALYSIS 28 References Amidor, T. (2014, April 21). Hello gluten-free, goodbye organic? Retrieved From http://health.usnews.com/health-news/blogs/eat-run/2014/04/18/hello-gluten-freegoodbye-organic Belt, C. (2014). What does public relations exposure cost?. Retrieved from http://smallbusiness.chron.com/public-relations-exposure-cost-22390.html Betty Crocker. (Nod). Our story- Betty crockery. Retrieved from http://www.bettycrocker.com/products/GlutenFree/our-story BlueLineMedia. (2014). Supermarket advertising in 250 cities- grocery store ads. Retrieved from http://www.bluelinemedia.com/supermarket-advertising CBS Money Watch. (2014, February 25). A gluten-free diet, how much will it cost you? Retrieved from http://www.cbsnews.com/news/a-gluten-free-diet-how-much-willit-cost/ CBS News. (2014). Nestlé recalls cookie dough over Illnesses. Retrieved from http://www.cbsnews.com/news/Nestlé-recalls-cookie dough-dough-over-illnesses/ European Food Information Council. (2014). Coeliac disease on the rise in Europe. Retrieved from http://www.eufic.org/article/en/artid/Coeliac-disease-on-the-rise-in-Europe/ Gandel, S. (2011, January 20). Will rising food prices kill the recovery?. Retrieved from http://business.time.com/2011/01/20/ will-rising-food-prices-kill-the-recovery/ General Mills. (n.d.) General mills: pillsbury. Retrieved from http://www.generalmills.com/Brands/Baking_Products/Pillsbury.aspx Government and Law. (n.d.). Profiles of major media types. Retrieved from http://governmentandlaw.tripod.com/mvhsdocs/Average_Ad_Costs.pdf Kannall, E. (n.d.). What are the benefits of eating gluten-free?. Retrieved from http://healthyeating.sfgate.com/benefits-eating-glutenfree-6211.html Kellogg Company. (n.d.). Cereal: the complete story. Retrieved from http://www.kelloggcompany.com/content/dam/kelloggcompanyus/PDF/CerealTheCompl eteStory_FINAL.PDF Kotler, P. & Armstrong, G. (2014). Principles of marketing. Upper Saddle River, New Jersey: MARKET ANALYSIS 29 Pearson. My Recipes. (2014). How many cups are in one pound of flour?. Retrieved from http://www.myrecipes.com/how-to/cooking-questions/cups-in-pound-of-flour National Foundation for Celiac Awareness. (2014). Celiac disease: fast facts. Retrieved from http://www.celiaccentral.org/celiac-disease/facts-and-figures/ National Foundation for Celiac Awareness. (2014). Non-celiac gluten sensitivity. Retrieved from http://www.celiaccentral.org/non-celiac-gluten-sensitivity/ Nestlé. (2013). Annual report 2013. Retrieved from http://www.nestle.com/asset-library/ documents/library/documents/annual_reports/2013-annual-report-en.pdf Nestlé. (2014). How many Factories do you have. Retrieved from http://www.Nestlé.com/aboutus/ask-Nestlé/answers/how-many-factories-do-you-have Nestlé. (2014). Nutritional value chain. Retrieved from http://www.nestle.com/ randd/nutrition/nutritional-value-chain Nestle Global. (n.d.) About us. Retrieved September 2014, from Nestlé Global: www.Nestlé.com/aboutus Nestlé Global. (2014). Distribution. Retrieved from http://www.nestle.com/randd/ nutrition/nutritional-value-chain/distribution Nestlé Global. (2014). Nestlé annual report 2013. Nestlés Brand Ranking. (2014). Retrieved from http://www.rankingthebrands.com/Brand-detail.aspx?brandID=156 Nestlé Professional. (2013). Nestlé toll house chocolate chip cookie dough 8(15x2oz). Retrieved from https://www.Nestléprofessional.com/unitedstates/en/BrandsAndProducts/Brands/NESTLÉ_TOLLHOUSE/Pages/11003897.aspx?Ur lReferrer=https%3a%2f%2fwww.google.com%2furl%3fsa%3dt%26rct%3dj%26q%3d% 26esrc%3ds%26source%3dweb%26cd%3d2%26ved%3d0CCQQFjAB%26url%3dhttps %253A%252F%252Fwww.Nestléprofessional.com%252Funitedstates%252Fen%252FBrandsAndProducts%252FBrands%252FNESTLÉ_TOLLHOUSE %252FPages%252F11003897.aspx%26ei%3dgmpEVP_UIoOCigKr3IDwBA%26usg%3 dAFQjCNHN4elMYYcLDpOG48V65nz8lQR3gA%26sig2%3dnxKydu3MwBtZ3nmw1 PkWLg%26bvm%3dbv.77648437%2cd.cGE Nestlé Toll House. (n.d.) Products. Retrieved from https://www.verybestbaking.com/ TollHouse/Products MARKET ANALYSIS 30 Nestlé USA. (2014). About Us. Retrieved from http://careers.Nestléusa.com/about-us/locations Nuts.com. (2014) Organic quinoa flour. Retrieved from http://www.nuts.com/ cookingbaking/grains/quinoa/flour.html Nuts.com. (2014). Almond flour. Retrieved from http://www.nuts.com/nuts /almonds/flour.html Nuts.com. (2014). Teff flour. Retrieved from http://www.nuts.com/ cookingbaking/grains/teff/flour.html Original Nestlé Toll House. (2014). Chocolate chip cookies. Retrieved from http://www.verybestbaking.com/recipes/18476/original-nestle-toll-house-chocolate-chipcookies/?utm_campaign=baking&utm_medium=cpc&utm_source=google&utm_content =Google%7CBranded%7CCookie+Dough%7CGeneral%7CExact&utm_term=nestle+toll +house+cookie+dough+recipe Pamela’s Products. (n.d.). About us. Retrieved from http://www.pamelasproducts.com/about/ Partnership Capital Growth. (2010). Market statistics. Retrieved from http://www.pcg-advisors.com/marketstatistics Ranking the Brands. (2014). Brand rankings. Retrieved from http://www.rankingthebrands.com/The-Brand-Rankings.aspx?rankingID=37&year=857 Recalls, market withdrawals, & safety alerts. (2014, June 27). Retrieved from http://www.fda.gov/Safety/Recalls/ucm403194.htm Sheets , C. A. (2014, September 09). US milk prices hit record high as domestic dairy consumption surges. Retrieved from http://www.ibtimes.com/ us-milk-prices-hit-record-high-domestic-dairy-consumption-surges-1682866 Simmons, N. (2013). Consumers' ideas of 'healthy' foods changing. Retrieved from http://newhope360.com/new-products/consumers-ideas-healthy-foods-changing Statista. (2014). Global gluten-free food market size. http://www.statista.com/statistics/248467/global-gluten-free-food-market-size/ Survey Monkey. (2014). Bus 306 marketing survey. Retrieved from https://www.surveymonkey.com/summary/WSnrUmIXQ79zTXLHv6v5S3PoiXNTJxjsY ZNWHU4cuxo_3D Statista. (n.d.). U.S. gluten-free foods market - statistic & facts. Retrieved from MARKET ANALYSIS 31 http://www.statista.com/topics/2067/gluten-free-foods-market/ U.S. Legal Definitions. (2014). Satisfaction guarantee law & legal definition. Retrieved from http://definitions.uslegal.com/s/satisfaction-guaranteed/ The Desert Son. (2014). Tribe leader: nestlé bottle water plant a good partner. Retrieved from http://www.desertsun.com/story/news/local/2014/09/12/tribes-leader-nestle- bottled-water-plant/15494811/ tribes-leader-nestle-bottled-water-plant/15494811/ The Gluten-Free Agency. (2012). Gluten-Free Market Trends. Retrieved from http://thegluten-freeagency.com/gluten-free-market-trends/ The Smart Cookie dough Cook, 2014. Bake off. Retrieved from http://www.thesmartcookie doughcook.com/2011/11/28/bake-off-tollhouse-vs-pillsburycookie dough-dough/ The Statistics Portal. (2012, August ). U.S. gluten-free target market 2012. Retrieved from http://www.statista.com/statistics/248572/target-groups-of-the-us-gluten-free-market/ United States Department of Labor. (2014). Wage and hour division. Retrieved from http://www.dol.gov/whd/flsa/ U.S. News. (2014). Marketing manager: salary. Retrieved from http://money.usnews.com/careers/best-jobs/marketing-manager/salary Walmart.com. (2014). All-purpose flour. Retrieved from http://www.walmart.com/ c/ep/all-purpose-flour