Crisis and healthcare in Portugal Álvaro Moreira da Silva Health Regulation Authority, Portugal Outline 1. Political and economic background 2. Recent healthcare policy in Portugal 3. Healthcare system performance 4. Conclusions In the shadow of crisis, a new kind of healthcare emerges… • “Growing healthcare gaps, as crisis hits poorer parts of Europe”. • “European healthcare keeps improving, in spite of crisis” • “Empowered patients contribute to healthcare improvement”. Health Consumer Powerhouse Euro Health Consumer Index 2013 repo 2011 2012 2010 12,0 10,0 8,0 6,0 4,0 percentage change -1 2,0 -2 0,0 -3 -4 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 4 2001 Unemployment rate 5 2000 18,0 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 0 1999 0 1998 2 1998 20 1997 10 1997 100 1996 Public debt as % of GDP 1996 SGP limit 1995 80 percentage 140 1995 2012 2010 2011 40 2009 2007 2008 2006 2005 2003 2004 2002 2001 1999 2000 1998 60 2008 2009 2006 2007 2005 2003 2004 2002 14,0 2000 2001 16,0 1998 1999 1996 1997 1995 percentage 120 1997 1995 1996 percentage 1. Political and economic background 12 Public deficit as % of GDP 8 6 4 SGP limit 6 Real GDP growth rates (2006 prices) 3 2 1 0 1. Political and economic background • On 16 May 2011, EU and IMF approved a €78 billion ‘bailout’ package • In exchange, Portugal signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU): – committing itself to strict economic policy conditionality – aimed at reviving growth and ensuring fiscal and financial stability and sustainability – including transversal and sector-specific reforms, most implying substantial cuts in short-term public expenditure and rationalisation of public services 2. Recent healthcare policy in Portugal Healthcare system in the MoU Targets: • • • • Improve efficiency and effectiveness Rational use of services and control of expenditures Savings in the area of pharmaceuticals Savings in hospital operating costs Content: • Mix of structural reforms and short-term changes 2. Recent healthcare policy in Portugal Healthcare system in the MoU Scope of measures: • • • • • • • NHS and public subsystems financing Pharmaceuticals and the pharmacies’ sector Prescription and monitoring of prescription Centralised purchasing and procurement Primary care services Hospital services Cross services 3. Healthcare system performance • A system under pressure: – MoU conditionality – Financial difficulties (overall and health-specific) – Demographic changes • Healthcare policy effects: – Changes intended to tackle problems and assure financial sustainability – But concerns over negative impacts in quality, access, health status and equity 1300 800 700 Portugal EU-15 1200 1100 1000 900 Total mortality rate 1 1400 16 14 2 Portugal Portugal 2011 2012 74 Life expectancy at birth 2008 2009 2010 75 2006 2007 77 2004 2005 78 2002 2003 79 7 1999 2000 2001 8 1997 1998 80 1995 1996 76 EU-15 deaths per 1,000 live births 82 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Portugal deaths per 100,000 population 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 years 81 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 deaths per 100,000 population Healthcare system performance – health status Infant mortality rate (age<1) 6 5 4 3 2 EU-15 0 Suicide rate 12 10 8 6 4 EU-15 0 Healthcare system performance – access 8 Portugal EU-15 median in months 6 5 4 3 2 4,4 3,7 3,4 3,1 3,3 2010 2011 3,0 2,8 2012 2013 Doctors consultations 1 2011 2012 2010 2008 2009 2006 2007 2005 2003 2004 2002 2006 2007 2008 2009 Patients complaints by subject Quality of care 9,8 7,1 percentages of total 2000 2001 1998 1999 1997 0 1995 1996 number per capita Waiting time for surgery 6,9 7 39,8 10,5 7,5 37,7 Access and wating times Financial issues Other 16 16,5 19,1 21,9 19,7 17,5 6,8 9,2 9,4 8,7 9,2 9,7 31,6 28,5 27,6 26,5 33 31,6 43,3 44,3 44,2 42,7 39,9 40,9 43,5 46,3 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2012 30 28 26 24 22 20 18 16 14 12 10 2011 2010 Portugal 2009 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Total expenditure on health 2008 8 2007 12 2006 9 % of total expenditure on health 10 2005 EU-15 2004 2003 2002 80 2001 2000 1999 62 1998 64 1997 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Portugal 1996 6 1995 7 % of total expenditure on health 11 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 % gross domestic product Healthcare system performance – expenditure Portugal EU-15 78 76 74 72 70 68 66 Public expenditure on health 60 EU-15 Out-of-pocket payments OOP share: 2011: 27% 2012: 29% Healthcare Quality Measured as Outcomes Outcomes scores in EHCI 2013 Health Consumer Powerhouse Euro Health Consumer Index 2013 report Waiting times in European healthcare 2013 Health Consumer Powerhouse Euro Health Consumer Index 2013 report Closing the gap between the patient and professionals Health Consumer Powerhouse Euro Health Consumer Index 2013 report EHCI 2013 total scores Health Consumer Powerhouse Euro Health Consumer Index 2013 report 3. Healthcare system performance Portugal • Makes a very impressive climb: 16th place on 671 points (up from 25th place in 2012). • This is all the more remarkable, as Portugal is one of the countries most notably affected by the euro crisis! Health Consumer Powerhouse Euro Health Consumer Index 2013 report 4. Conclusions • Impacts of recent healthcare policies are not yet completely observable • Not easy to disentangle from the effects of the crisis itself • What do aggregate indicators tell us? – Health status and access to health care have not been deteriorating since 2009 – The financial burden with health care is increasingly falling on families.