Basics of Central Banking Dr. D. Foster – ECO 473 – Money & Banking Free Banking & Inflation • • • • No government control. No government regulation. Entry and exit is free. Subject only to legal requirement to pay off debts. What limits excess bank note issue? • Trust. • Extent to which we use bank notes. • Fear of a bank run. – If loans are sound, then bank should be able to liquidate without loss to depositors. – Once started it is impossible to stop. • Limited clientele as a day-to-day restraint. • Conclusion: Free banking non-inflationary Other Free Banking Issues • Forces at work to consolidate; weakens restraint. – But, forming cartels is quite unlikely. • International gold flows would still limit a monopoly bank. – Hume/Ricardo “specie flow price mechanism.” • Fractional reserve banking as causing boom/bust cycle. • Mises: “[F]reedom in the issuance of banknotes [will narrow] down the use of banknotes…” Central Banking • Government privilege or control. – – – – Monopoly on note issue. Tend to centralize holding of gold. Can prevent individual bank collapse. Will expand (contract) the MS by expanding (contracting) bank reserve deposits. – Assuming banks are “fully loaned up” the MS is: Notes in circulation + (1/rr)*(Bank reserves) Since banks earn their profits by creating new money and lending it out, banks will keep fully loaned up unless prevail. (136) Free Banking vs. Central Banking With free banking what happens to the MS when depositors cash out some of their DD for banknotes? Assets Reserves $3 million Loans $12 million Assets Reserves Loans $3 million DD Liabilities $15 million Liabilities DD $14 million Notes $1 million $12 million Nothing. Only the form of the MS changes; from DD to banknotes. Free Banking vs. Central Banking With central banking what happens to the MS when depositors cash out some of their DD for banknotes? Assets Reserves $3 million Loans $12 million Assets Reserves Loans $2 million DD Liabilities $15 million DD Liabilities $10 $14 million $12 $8 million The bank loses liabilities to the CB. To restore reserve balance, loans, DD and MS must fall. Central Banking & Reserves • Reserves and desire for cash (public) move in opposite directions. – Some factors cash demand: seasonal spending and underground/illegal transactions. – Some factors cash demand: credit & debit cards and improvements in the clearing system. • The Fed can/does make loans to banks. – Although of minor importance, discount rate has been used in way to bias towards inflation. • The Fed mostly ∆s reserves by buying stuff (T-bonds). [U]ntil now virtually the only asset the Fed has systematically bought and sold has been U.S. government securities. (157) Central Banking & Inflation • With many banks, an reserves will MS by (1/rr)% – If rr=20% and Fed buys $10 billion in bonds from one bank. That bank can increase loans by only $8 billion. – But this process continues with all other banks. – Net increase in the MS will be $50 billion =(1/.2)*(+$10 b.) • Government budget deficit/surplus is “unrelated.” – When Fed buys bonds, debt is “monetized” and MS rises. – When Fed doesn’t act, gov’t. bonds “crowd out” private sector investment and raise interest rates. • WOAPW: Fed buys bonds from bank – We get inflation (MS) & tax burden, benefiting of banks. • Should Fed buy directly from the Treasury? Central Bank Independence, Average Inflation, and Inflation Variability in Major Developed Nations SOURCE: Alberto Alesina and Lawrence Summers, “Central Bank Independence and Macroeconomic Performance,” Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking (May 1993): 151–162. Basics of Central Banking Dr. D. Foster – ECO 473 – Money & Banking