INTRODUCTION TO CORPORATE FINANCE Laurence Booth • W. Sean Cleary Prepared by Ken Hartviksen CHAPTER 21 Capital Structure Decisions Lecture Agenda • • • • • • • • • • Learning Objectives Important Terms Financial Leverage Determining Capital Structure M&M Irrelevance Theorem Impact of Taxes Financial Distress, Bankruptcy and Agency Costs Other Factors affecting Capital Structure Capital Structure in Practice Summary and Conclusions – Concept Review Questions – Appendix 1 – Thunder Bay Industries – Indifference Analysis CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 3 Learning Objectives 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. How business risk and financial risk affect a firm’s ROE and EPS How indifference analysis may be used to compare financing alternatives based on expected EBIT levels Modigliani and Miller’s irrelevance, argument, as well as the key assumptions upon which it is based How the introduction of corporate taxes affects M&M’s irrelevance argument How financial distress and bankruptcy costs lead to the static trade-off theory of capital structure How information asymmetry problems and agency problems may lead firms to follow a pecking order approach to financing How other factors such as firm size, profitability and growth, asset tangibility, and market conditions can affect a firm’s capital structure. CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 4 Important Chapter Terms • • • • • • • • • • • Agency costs Bankruptcy Business risk Cash flow-to-debt ratio Corporate debt tax shield Direct costs of bankruptcy EPS indifference point Financial break-even points Financial distress Financial leverage Financial leverage risk premium • • • • • • • • • • • • • • Financial risk Fixed burden coverage ratio Homemade leverage Indifference point Indirect costs of bankruptcy Invested capital M&M equity cost equation Modigliani and Miller Pecking order Profit planning charts Return on equity (ROE) Return on invested capital Risk value of money Static tradeoff CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 5 The Focus of this Chapter • You know: – It is the responsibility of the financial manager to maximize shareholder wealth. – The after-tax cost of debt is significantly lower than the cost of equity primarily because of the tax-deductibility of interest expense…therefore, using debt has a cost advantage over equity. – The lower the cost of capital, the greater the value of the firm. – This chapter addresses the question: Does the relative mix of financing used by a firm affect its value? If so, how and why and are what are the other impacts that capital structure can have on the firm? CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 6 In this Chapter You Will Learn 1. The optimal (target) capital structure is the one that maximizes the value of the firm and minimizes the cost of capital. 2. How lenders seek to protect themselves from excessive use of corporate leverage through the use of protective covenants. 3. The tax advantage to debt is offset at higher levels of financial leverage by costs associated with financial distress and bankruptcy. 4. Firms depart from the target capital structure in practice because of financing preferences and capital market conditions. CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 7 Leverage What is it? • The increased volatility in operating income over time, created by the use of fixed costs in lieu of variable costs. – Leverage magnifies profits and losses. • There are two types: – Operating leverage – Financial leverage • Both types of leverage have the same effect on shareholders but are accomplished in very different ways, for very different purposes strategically. CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 8 Leverage Effects on Operating Income When a firm increases Normal volatility of the use of fixed costs it operating income increases the volatility of operating income. Operating Income + 0 Years CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 9 Operating Leverage What is it? How is it Increased? • Operating leverage is: – The increased volatility in operating income caused by fixed operating costs. • You should understand that managers do make decisions affecting the cost structure of the firm. • Managers can, and do, decide to invest in assets that give rise to additional fixed costs and the intent is to reduce variable costs. – This is commonly accomplished by a firm choosing to become more capital intensive and less labour intensive, thereby increasing operating leverage. CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 10 Operating Leverage Advantages and Disadvantages Advantages: – Magnification of profits to the shareholders if the firm is profitable. – Operating efficiencies (faster production, fewer errors, higher quality) usually result increasing productivity, reducing ‘downtime’ etc. Disadvantages: – Magnification of losses to the shareholders if the firm does not earn enough revenue to cover its costs. – Higher break even point – High capital cost of equipment and the illiquidity of such an investment make it: • Expensive (more difficult to finance) • Potentially exposed to technological obsolescence, etc. CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 11 Financial Leverage What is it? How is it Increased? • Your textbook defines financial leverage as: – The increased volatility in operating income caused by the corporate use of sources of capital that carry fixed financial costs. • Financial leverage can be increased in the firm by: – Selling bonds or preferred stock (taking on financial obligations with fixed annual claims on cash flow) – Using the proceeds from the debt to retire equity (if the lenders don’t prohibit this through the bond indenture or loan agreement) CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 12 Financial Leverage Advantages and Disadvantages Advantages: – Magnification of profits to the shareholders if the firm is profitable. – Lower cost of capital at low to moderate levels of financial leverage because interest expense is tax-deductible. Disadvantages: – Magnification of losses to the shareholders if the firm does not earn enough revenue to cover its costs. – Higher break even point. – At higher levels of financial leverage, the low after-tax cost of debt is offset by other effects such as: • Present value of the rising probability of bankruptcy costs • Agency costs • Lower operating income (EBIT), etc. CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 13 Effects of Operating and Financial Leverage Summary • Equity holders bear the added risks associated with the use of leverage. • The higher the use of leverage (either operating or financial) the higher the risk to the shareholder. • Leverage therefore can and does affect shareholders required rate of return, and in turn this influences the cost of capital. HIGHER LEVERAGE = HIGHER COST OF CAPITAL CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 14 Business Risk • All firms experience variability in sales and operating (fixed and variable) operating costs over time. – Some firms operate in a highly volatile industry (for example oil and gas) and we would say the firm has a high degree of business risk. – Other firms operate in a very stable industry where revenues and expenses don’t change much from year to year throughout the business cycle; these firms have low business risk. • Business risk is the variability of a firm’s operating income caused by operational risk. – Business risk is measured by the standard deviation of EBIT. CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 15 Financial Leverage Risk and Leverage • Lenders to the firm insulate themselves from risk through financial contracting: • • • • • Lending money through a formal, legally-binding contract. Demanding a fixed rate of return on the money they lend to the firm, in-keeping with their required return on monies borrowed. Demanding other promises that will protect the lender’s interests over the life of the loan/investment. Demanding a high priority in the priority of claims list in the event of corporate dissolution/bankruptcy. Shareholders bear the risk associated with business risk, and the added risks associated with the use of leverage because they are residual claimants of the firm. CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 16 Return on Investment (ROI) Financial Leverage Return on Investment (ROI) – – is the return on all the capital provided by investors; EBIT minus taxes divided by invested capital. Invested Capital (IC) is a firm’s capital structure consisting of shareholders’ equity and short- and long-term debt. [ 21-2] EBIT (1 T ) ROI SE B CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions But we know the claims on the numerator (operating income after taxes) are very different, and so too are the risks each provider of capital is exposed. 21 - 17 Return on Equity (ROE) Financial Leverage ROE – is the return earned by equity holders on their investment in the company – ROE = net income divided by shareholders’ equity. [ 21-1] ( EBIT RD B )(1 T ) ROE SE CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 18 ROI versus ROE Financial Leverage • • If the firm is completely financed by equity: ROE = ROI. Let us examine the effects of sales volatility on ROI and ROE given different levels of financial leverage. CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 19 Financial Leverage Risk and Leverage • Using this base income statement: Table 21-1 Example Income Statement Sales Variable costs Fixed costs EBIT Interest Taxable Income Tax (40%) Net Income • $1,000 300 158 $542 42 $500 200 $300 The following three slides show three different financing strategies and the impacts on ROE, ROI, EPS for break-even, normal, and high sales levels: CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 20 Financial Leverage Income Statement – No Financial Leverage Table 21-1 Example Income Statement Sales Variable costs Fixed costs EBIT Interest Taxable Income Tax (40%) Net Income Invested capital = Debtholders' investment = Shareholders' Equity = ROI = ROE = EPS (1,700 shares) = -77.5% 100.0% 140.0% $225 68 158 -$1 0 -$1 0 -$0 $1,000 300 158 $542 0 $542 217 $325 $1,400 420 158 $822 0 $822 329 $493 $1,700 $0 $1,700 0.0% 0.0% $0.00 This a 0.0 no use ROE assumes = ROI because 100.0% debt/equity ratio 0.0%of debt financing. 100.0% 19.1% 19.1% $0.19 CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 29.0% 29.0% $0.29 21 - 21 Financial Leverage Income Statement – Base Case Table 21-1 Example Income Statement Sales Variable costs Fixed costs EBIT Interest Taxable Income Tax (40%) Net Income Invested capital = Debtholders' investment = Shareholders' Equity = ROI = ROE = EPS (1000 shares) = -71.5% 100.0% 140.0% $285 86 158 $42 42 -$0 0 -$0 $1,000 300 158 $542 42 $500 200 $300 $1,400 420 158 $822 42 $780 312 $468 $1,700 $700 $1,000 1.5% -0.1% $0.00 ROE This is assumes levered acompared 0.70 to 100.0% ROIdebt/equity because ofratio the moderate 41.2% use of debt financing. 58.8% 19.1% 42.9% $0.30 CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 29.0% 66.9% $0.47 21 - 22 Financial Leverage Income Statement with High Financial Leverage Table 21-1 Example Income Statement Sales Variable costs Fixed costs EBIT Interest Taxable Income Tax (40%) Net Income Invested capital = Debtholders' investment = Shareholders' Equity = ROI = ROE = EPS (300 shares) = -65.4% 100.0% 140.0% $346 104 158 $84 84 $0 0.08 $0 $1,000 300 158 $542 $84 $458 183.2 $275 $1,400 420 158 $822 $84 $738 295.2 $443 $1,700 $1,400 $300 3.0% 0.0% $0.00 ROE is more volatile than 100.0% ROI because of the high use 82.4% of financial leverage. 17.6% 19.1% 91.6% $0.92 CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 29.0% 147.6% $1.48 21 - 23 Financial Leverage Risk and Leverage • Consider the equation for ROE: EBT (1 – T) = Net Income EBITtimes – Interest expense = EBT [ 21-1] ROE ( EBIT RD B )(1 T ) SE The equation reduce to net income divided by BV of shareholders’ equity. CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 24 Financial Leverage Risk and Leverage • Equation 21 – 2 is the definition of ROI: [ 21-2] EBIT (1 T ) ROI SE B • If we re-express EBIT (1-T) in the ROE equation, we get: CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 25 Financial Leverage Risk and Leverage • This is the financial leverage equation: [ 21-3] B ROE ROI ( ROI RD (1 T ) SE • ROI measures the return that the firm earns from operations, but DOES NOT explicitly considered how the firm is financed. CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 26 Financial Leverage Risk and Leverage • If we rearrange Equation 21 – 3, grouping like terms involving ROI we get: [ 21-4] B B ROE ROI (1 ) RD (1 T ) SE SE • The second term is fixed. • The first term depends on the firm’s uncertain ROI. • This means we can graph ROE against ROI as a straight line. See Figure 21 -1 on the following slide. CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 27 Financial Leverage Risk and Leverage 21 - 1 FIGURE ROE 80 D/E =0.70 60 All Equity 40 20 ROI -16 -20 -40 -12 -8 -4 0 4 8 12 16 20 24 28 32 36 40 Slope D/E = of 0.70. the all equity Slope line is of = 1.0. the line > 1.0. In this case ROI Above = ROE. the intercept with the horizontal axis, ROE >ROI. Indifference Financial Break-even point where pointsfor ROEs where different ROE financing =0 strategies are equal. -60 CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 28 Financial Leverage Risk and Leverage Financial Break-even point: – Points at which a firm’s ROE is zero. Indifference Point: – Points at which two financing strategies provide the same ROE. CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 29 Financial Leverage The Rules of Financial Leverage • For value-maximizing firms, the use of debt increases the expected ROE so shareholders expect to be better off by using debt financing, rather than equity financing. • Financing with debt increases the variability of the firm’s ROE, which usually increases the risk to the common shareholders. • Financing with debt increases the likelihood of the firm running into financial distress and possibly even bankruptcy. CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 30 Financial Leverage The Rules of Financial Leverage Table 21-2 Varying ROI Values ROI (%) 10 30 Range 70% D/E Ratio 100% Equity ROE (%) 14.48 48.48 34 10 30 20 ROI reflects the business risk of the firm. ROE =ROI in the all equity firm. ROE increases as the firm finances with more debt. CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 31 Financial Leverage The Rules of Financial Leverage Table 21-3 Wider Variation ROI Values ROI (%) -10 40 Range 70% D/E Ratio 100% Equity ROE (%) -19.52 65.48 85 -10 40 50 Wider variation in ROI means magnified ROE over a still wider range than ROI. CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 32 Financial Leverage Investing Using Leverage • Figure 21-2 illustrates the monthly returns from investing in the S&P/TSX Composite Index using two different financing strategies: 1. Investing in the index (all equity) 2. Investing in the index with 80% borrowed on margin. • • The added volatility of gains and losses over time is clearly evident. These principles of leverage apply to corporations as well as households (See Figure 21 – 2 on the following slide) CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 33 Financial Leverage Investing Using Leverage 21 - 2 FIGURE CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 34 Financial Leverage Indifference Analysis • Is a profit planning technique used to forecast the EPS-EBIT relationships under different financing scenarios. • The indifference point is where: EPS(Financing strategy 1)=EPS(Financing strategy 2) CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 35 Financial Leverage Indifference Analysis • The formula for EPS, given EBIT, interest on debt (RDB), the corporate tax rate (T), and the number of common shares outstanding (#): [ 21-5] • ( EBIT RD B )(1 T ) EPS # We can rearrange the definition of EPS and show how it varies with EBIT: CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 36 Financial Leverage Indifference Analysis • EPS is a simple linear function of EBIT: [ 21-6] RD B (1 T ) EBIT (1 T ) EPS # # • This is illustrated in the EPS-EBIT graph in Figure 21 – 3 found on the following slide: CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 37 Financial Leverage EPS-EBIT (Profit Planning) Charts 21 - 3 FIGURE 0.8 0.6 Indifference point. 0.4 0.2 0 -567-397-312-227 -142 -0.2 -0.4 -0.6 57 28 113 198 283 368 453 538 623 708 793 878 963 1048 1133 The horizontal intercept of the 70% D/E line is greater by the added interest expense that must be covered before producing earnings available for common shareholders. EPS 0% D/E EPS 70% D/E CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 38 Financial Leverage EPS-EBIT (Profit Planning) Charts • The slope of the lines are a function of the number of common shares outstanding (dilution of EPS). – The all equity line will have a lower slope because every dollar of net income is divided by more common shares. • The horizontal intercept is greater for the debt financing line because the firm must cover its interest expense before earnings begin to accrue to the benefit of shareholders. CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 39 Determining Capital Structure • Table 21 – 4 demonstrates the 1990 results of a Conference Board survey of 119 U.S. companies to determine their capital structure. • External sources of information include: – (#2) checking with their advisors, and – (#5) examining other firms in the industry. • The three primary sources of information are: – (#4) impact on profits – (#3) risk – (#1) analysis of cash flows CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 40 Determining Capital Structure Table 21-4 Determinants of Capital Structure 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Analysis of cash flows Consultations Risk considerations Impact on profits Industry comparisons Other 23.0% 18.3% 16.5% 14.0% 12.0% 3.4% Source: Data from Conference Board, 1990 Primary sources include: • Analysis of cash flows • Risk consideration • Impact on profits CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 41 Determining Capital Structure Useful Ratios • Stock ratios (balance sheet ratios) that are helpful include: – Total debt to total assets – Debt to equity ratio • Flow ratios make use of information taken from the income statement and when combined with balance sheet data help to determine the ability of the firm to service its debt. CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 42 Determining Capital Structure • Fixed Burden Coverage Ratio: [ 21-7] EBITDA Fixed Burden Coverage I (Pref.Div. SF ) /(1 T ) – An expanded interest coverage ratio that looks at a broader measure of both income and the expenditures associated with debt. CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 43 Determining Capital Structure • Cash-flow-to-debt ratio (CFTD) [ 21-8] CFTD EBITDA Debt – A direct measure of the cash flow over a period that is available to cover a firm’s stock of outstanding debt. CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 44 Determining Capital Structure Table 21-5 Moody's Average Credit Ratios Coverage Leverage (%) Cash flow-to-debt (%) Liquidity (%) Profit margin (%) Return on assets (%) Sales stability Total assets ($ billion) Altman Z score IG Non-IG 4.01 46.2 18.3 3.66 6.26 8.41 7.14 6.31 2.17 1.45 67.4 8.10 4.45 1.39 6.92 5.60 1.19 1.62 So urce: Data fro m M o o dy's Investo r Services, "The Distributio n o f Co mmo n Financial Ratio s by Rating and Industry fo r No rth A merican No n-Financial Co rpo ratio ns," December 2004. CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions Investment grade (IG) companies have at least a BBB bond rating. Altman Z score is a weighted average of several key ratios and is a useful predictor of a firm’s probability of bankruptcy. 21 - 45 Determining Capital Structure Altman Z Score • Altman’s prediction of bankruptcy equation: [ 21-9] Z 1.2 X 1 1.4 X 2 3.3 X 3 0.6 X 4 0.999 X 5 • Where: X1 = working capital divided by total assets X2 = retained earnings divided by total assets X3 = EBIT divided by total assets X4 = market values of total equity divided by non-equity book liabilities X5 = sales divided by total assets CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 46 The Modigliani and Miller Irrelevance Theorem Capital Structure Decisions The Modigliani and Miller (M&M) Irrelevance Theorem M&M and Firm Value • The theorem that concludes (under some simplifying assumptions) that the value of the firm should not be affected by the manner in which it is financed. – How the firm is financed is irrelevant. CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 48 (M&M) Irrelevance Theorem Assumptions Assumptions about the Real World: • Markets are perfect in the sense that there are no transactions costs or asymmetric information problems • No taxes • There is no risk of costly bankruptcy or associated financial distress Modeling Assumptions: • There exist two firms in the same “risk class” with different levels of debt • The earnings of both firms are perpetuities CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 49 (M&M) Irrelevance Theorem Arbitrage Argument Arbitrage is a powerful economic force in capital markets. Where two identical assets trade at different prices, market traders will spot the opportunity to earn riskless profits. • Traders will sell the overvalued asset and buy the undervalued asset. • This activity will cause the price of the overvalued asset to fall, and the price of the undervalued asset to rise until the two are priced the same. • The traders will earn abnormal profits from these trades until the prices of the two securities move into equilibrium. Table 21 – 6 illustrates the two different positions and the equal payoffs CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 50 (M&M) Irrelevance Theorem Arbitrage Argument Market participants who find levered investments trading for a greater value, can undo the leverage and earn abnormal profits. Arbitrage will force assets with equal payoffs to trade for the same price. Table 21 – 6 illustrates the two different positions and the equal payoffs CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 51 (M&M) Irrelevance Theorem M&M and Firm Value Table 21-6 M&M Arbitrage Table I Portfolios (Actions) Portfolio A: Cost Payoff α VU α EBIT Buy α of unlevered firm Net payoffs are equal Portfolio B: Buy α of levered firm's equity αSL α(EBIT αKD D ) Buy α of levered firm's debt αD αKD D α(SL + D) α EBIT Total portfolio Portfolio A and B must be priced equally despite their different financial structures because the payoffs are equal. CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 52 (M&M) Irrelevance Theorem M&M and Firm Value Where payoffs are identical for two different assets, both should be priced the same. [ 21-10] VU S L D VL The value of the levered firm (VL) is equal to the value of its debt plus the value of its equity (SL + D) and this must equal the value of the unlevered firm (VU). Debt cannot destroy value. CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 53 (M&M) Irrelevance Theorem Personal Leverage and Corporate Leverage Table 21-7 M&M Arbitrage Table II Portfolios (Actions) Cost Payoff αSL α(EBIT - KD D ) Buy α of levered firm's equity αVU α EBIT Buy α of levered firm's debt αD - αK D D α(VU - D) α(EBIT - KD D ) Portfolio C: Buy α of unlevered firm Portfolio D: Total portfolio CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 54 (M&M) Irrelevance Theorem Homemade Leverage • Homemade leverage is the creation of the same effect of a firm’s financial leverage through the use of personal leverage. • This means that individuals can: – Buy an unlevered firm, and through the use of personal debt, replicate corporate leverage, or – Buy a levered firm, and undo its effects. CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 55 (M&M) Irrelevance Theorem M&M and The Cost of Capital • M&M made a modeling assumption (to simplify the calculations and focus analysis on the leverage issue) that the firm’s earnings represent a perpetuity: [ 21-11] (EBIT-K D D) SL Ke CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 56 (M&M) Irrelevance Theorem M&M and The Cost of Capital • The cost of equity capital is simply the earnings yield and is estimated as follows: [ 21-12] Ke (EBIT-K D D) SL CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 57 (M&M) Irrelevance Theorem M&M and The Cost of Capital • Since the value of the firm is unchanged by leverage, we can define the unlevered value (VU) by discounting the firm’s expected EBIT by it unlevered equity cost (KU): [ 21-13] EBIT VU S L D VL VU CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 58 (M&M) Irrelevance Theorem M&M Equity Cost Equation • To determine who equity cost varies with the debt-equity ratio, we solve for EBIT, and substitute it for EBIT in the leveraged equity cost equation: [ 21-14] K e K u ( KU K D ) D / S L • If the firm has no debt, the equity investor requires KU (cost of unlevered equity). • KU depends on business risk of the firm. • As the firm uses debt, the equity cost increases due to the financial leverage risk premium. CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 59 (M&M) Irrelevance Theorem M&M and The Cost of Capital • In a world without taxes, the WACC (KU) is simply the weighted average of the cost of debt and the cost of equity: [ 21-15] KU K E S D KD V V • Figure 21 – 4 illustrates M&M without corporate taxes (the irrelevance model) where the cost of equity (KE) rises in a prescribed manner to offset the lower cost of debt (KD) producing WACC that remains unchanged by the use of financial leverage. CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 60 (M&M) Irrelevance Theorem M&M and The Cost of Capital 20 - 4 FIGURE % Equity Cost KE WACC Debt Cost KD Debt-Equity Ratio CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 61 (M&M) Irrelevance Theorem M&M and The Cost of Capital • If WACC remains the same regardless of the financial strategy used by the firm: – VL = VU – Financial strategy is irrelevant • As the use of debt financing is increased, the cost of equity will rise…so even if EPS is increased through the use of debt financing, that benefit is offset by a higher discount rate. • From a shareholder wealth perspective, under the M&M assumptions, financing strategy is irrelevant. CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 62 The Impact of Taxes Introducing Corporate Taxes • The value of firms drop in the presence of corporate taxes. • The higher the tax rate, the lower the value of the firm. [ 21-16] EBIT (1 T ) VU KU CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 63 The Impact of Taxes Corporate Tax Effect on Levered Equity Table 21-8 M&M with Taxes Portfolios (Actions) Portfolio E: Cost Payoff αSL α(EBIT - KD D )(1-T) αVU α EBIT(1-T) αD(1-T) - αK D D α(VU - D)(1-T) α(EBIT - KD D )(1-T) Buy α of unlevered firm Portfolio D: Buy α of levered firm's equity Buy α of levered firm's debt Total portfolio CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 64 The Impact of Taxes Introducing Corporate Taxes • To avoid arbitrage the value of the firm must equal: VU – D(1-t) = SL VL = SL + D, therefore: Corporate Debt Tax Shield [ 21-17] VL VU DT The value of the firm with leverage is the value without leverage plus the corporate debt tax shield from debt financing. CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 65 The Impact of Taxes Introducing Corporate Taxes • The total claims of corporate taxes, debt holders, and equity holders are borne by the pre-tax cash flow produced by the firm. • If the firm uses more debt, and interest on that debt is tax-deductible, this produces a greater tax shield, reducing the government share of the value of the private enterprise, the WACC must go down. – Here we assume a zero-sum game (that value is not destroyed through the use of financial leverage) CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 66 The Impact of Taxes Firm Value with Corporate Taxes 21 - 5 FIGURE Equity Debt Taxes CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 67 The Impact of Taxes Introducing Corporate Taxes • The tax –corrected value of Equation 21-14 is: [ 21-18] • • K e KU ( KU K D )(1 T ) D / S L Both the interest cost and the financial leverage risk-premium on the equity cost are reduced by (1- T) As the use of debt increases, WACC decreases, and therefore the value of the firm in a world with corporate taxes should increase (See Figure 21 – 6 on the following slide) CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 68 The Impact of Taxes M&M with Corporate Taxes 21 - 6 FIGURE % Equity Cost KE WACC Debt Cost KD(1-T) Debt-Equity Ratio CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 69 The Impact of Taxes WACC with Corporate Taxes • WACC declines continuously with the use of debt financing. • WACC equation corrected for the tax-deductibility of interest expense is: [ 21-19] S D WACC K e K D (1 T ) V V CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 70 The Impact of Taxes Tax-Extended M&M Equity Cost Equation • The ‘beta’ version of Equation 21 – 18 allows us to adjust for the systematic risk of the firm: [ 21-20] • • • • K e RF MRP U (1 (1 T ) D / S L ) Equity cost without any debt is the risk-free rate plus the market risk premium (MRP) times the unlevered beta coefficient. This equation allows us to unlever betas to get the unlevered equity cost. There is one important flaw in this equation – it is assumed that 100% debt financing is optimal. To address that issue, we must relax M&M’s assumptions regarding risk of financial distress or bankruptcy. CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 71 Bankruptcy Introduction • Bankruptcy is a state of insolvency that occurs when a firm commits an act of bankruptcy, such as non-payment of interest, and creditors enforce their legal rights to recoup money, or when a firm voluntarily declares bankruptcy in an effort to be protected while reorganizing to become solvent again. CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 72 Reorganization • Firms can be reorganized under: – Companies Creditors Arrangements Act (CCAA) • Used by larger more complex firms with debt > $5m • Flexible – allowing the firm to pursue agreements with creditors/employees, to raise new financing • Trustee is appointed by the court and there is a stay-ofproceedings – Bankruptcy Insolvency Act (BIA) • Limited scope to prevent creditors from seizing assets • No DIP financing • No provision to impose a settlement on all creditors CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 73 Costs of Bankruptcy Direct Costs Direct Costs: – Costs incurred as a direct result of bankruptcy including: • Liquidation of assets • Loss of tax losses (potential tax shield benefits) • Legal and accounting costs CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 74 Costs of Bankruptcy Indirect Costs Indirect Costs: – Financial distress costs are losses to a firm prior to declaration of bankruptcy including: • Agency costs • Increasing costs of doing business: – Creditors tightening trade credit terms – Lending increasing risk premiums and increasing monitoring surveillance – loss of key staff and increases in recruitment and retention costs – Distracted management focused on financing and not on management of business operations. • Reduced sales revenue: – Management is distracted by financial issues – Customers may become wary and look for other suppliers (Figure 21 – 8 illustrates the rising value of distress costs with increasing debt) CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 75 Static Tradeoff Firm Value and Financial Distress Costs 21 - 8 FIGURE VU + DT Value Distress Costs Debt Ratio CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 76 Costs of Bankruptcy Agency Costs Agency Costs: – It is possible for shareholders (and Board of Directors) to act in their own best interests at the expense of debt holders. – When under financial stress sometimes: • Preferential treatment of creditors. • Assets may be dissipated to related but solvent companies. • Moral hazard (where management may take extraordinary risks that will be ultimately borne by the debt holders, not the equity holders) (asymmetric payoff of an option) – Being aware of these risks, lenders take action to protect their interests including: • • • • Moratorium on further debt. Increases in rates on adjustable-rate debt. Demands for additional surveillance of financial performance. Take the firm to court to enforce rights. (Figure 21 – 7 illustrates the shareholder’s one year call option value on the underlying firm) CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 77 Financial Distress, Bankruptcy, and Agency Costs The Firm Value as a Call Option for Shareholders 21 - 7 FIGURE No limited liability Equity Payoff 0 $50 million debt CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions Underlying Firm Value 21 - 78 Costs of Bankruptcy Summary Costs of Bankruptcy are very high. Probability of Bankruptcy and Financial Distress costs rise exponentially as the use of debt increases. These costs rob value from both shareholders and potentially debt holders. CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 79 Costs of Bankruptcy Static Tradeoff Model Figure 21 – 9 illustrates the impact of bankruptcy and financial distress costs on M&M with corporate taxes. – Cost of equity rises throughout as more debt is added. – The cost of debt rises at higher levels of debt. – WACC falls initially because the benefits of the tax-deductibility of interest expense out-weigh the marginal increases in component costs, however, at higher levels of debt, the taxadvantage of debt is offset and the value of the firm falls when WACC starts to rise. CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 80 Static Tradeoff Model 21 - 9 FIGURE Cost (%) Ke WACC KD Debt-to-equity D/E* Firm Value CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 81 Other Factors Affecting Capital Structure Pecking Order • Static Trade off model ignores two issues: 1. Information asymmetry problems 2. Agency problems • • These factors are likely responsible for what Myers and Donaldson call the pecking order. The pecking order is the order in which firms prefer to raise financing 1. starting with internal cash flow, 2. debt and 3. finally issuing common equity. CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 82 Capital Structure in Practice • Factors favouring corporate ability and willingness to issue debt: – Profitability (so the firm can use the tax shield benefit of interest-deductibility). – Unencumbered tangible assets to be used as collateral for secured debt. – Stable business operations over time. – Corporate size. – Growth rate of the firm. – Capital market conditions CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 83 Summary and Conclusions In this chapter you have learned: – The three effects of leverage: expected ROE tends to increase, the variability of the ROE increases, and the risk of financial distress increases. – The major determinants of the firm’s capital structure decision are its impact on profits, risk and cash flows. – Impacts can be assessed by profit planning charts, financial break-even analysis and use of standard ratios – Debt creates value because interest on debt is tax-deductible – The tax incentive to use debt is offset by the resulting financial distress and bankruptcy costs – In a dynamic world, firms depart from the static trade-off optimal debt ratio over time, then refinance to bring it back in line with the target debt ratio. – Actual capital structures are constantly changing as firms take advantage of market conditions. CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 84 Appendix 1 Thunder Bay Industries Exercise in Indifference Analysis Thunder Bay Industries The Problem Thunder Bay Industries has experienced rapid growth in sales revenue over the past four years. The company is now operating at 100% of capacity and must expand in order to meet the demand for its new line of video games. The current financial statements for Thunder Bay Industries are as follows: Thunder Bay Industries Balance Sheet as at December 31, 20xx ($ '000s Cdn.) Assets: Cash Accounts receivable Inventories Net Fixed Assets Total Assets 1,000 2,100 2,766 16,244 _______ $22,110 Liabilities and Owner's Equity: Accounts payable 550 Accruals 249 Other current liabilities 1 8% bonds maturing in 10 years 5,000 Common stock (100,000 outstanding) 1,000 Retained earnings 15,310 Total Liabilities and Owner's Equity $22,110 The most recent income statement is found on the following slide: CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 86 Thunder Bay Industries The Problem Thunder Bay Industries Income Statement for the year ended December 31, 20xx ($ '000s Cdn) Sales Cost of Goods Sold Gross Margin on Sales Administrative and Selling Expenses Earnings before Interest Expense and Taxes Interest expense Earnings before tax Taxes Net Income $25,002 18,252 $ 6,750 4,000 2,750 400 $ 2,350 1,011 $1,339 If the firm does not expand, it sales growth will stall at the current $25m level or less. If the company undertakes the planned expansion management has identified a probability distribution for possible EBIT levels: CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 87 Thunder Bay Industries The Problem If the firm does not expand, it sales growth will stall at the current $25m level or less. If the company undertakes the planned expansion management has identified a probability distribution for possible EBIT levels: Possible EBIT $2,200 $2,700 $3,200 $3.700 Probability .1 .4 .4 .1 The planned expansion will require Thunder Bay Industries to raise $10,000,000 in new capital. If raised in the form of bonds, the bonds would carry a 6.5% coupon rate. New common stock could be sold for $250.00 per share. Find the EBIT/EPS indifference point. What is the probability that EBIT will be greater than the indifference point? Which method of financing is most likely to maximize earnings per share? What method of financing do you recommend? Why? Discuss the limitations of indifference analysis. Prepare a properly labeled diagram of the EBIT/EPS analysis. CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 88 Thunder Bay Industries The Solution You can first determine the expected EBIT for next year and using that, determine the standard deviation of that EBIT. These calculations will be useful later when we try to determine the probability that EBIT will be less than, or greater than the indifference point. Possible EBIT $2,200,000 2,700,000 3,200,000 3,700,000 Probability 10.0% 40.0% 40.0% 10.0% Expected EBIT = Wtd EBIT $220,000 1,080,000 1,280,000 370,000 $2,950,000 EBIT .1(750 2 ) .4(250 2 ) .4(250 2 ) .1(750 2 ) 56250 25,000 25,000 56250 162,500 403.11 $403,110 CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 89 Thunder Bay Industries The Solution … Next set up equations for EPS for each alternative source of financing, equate them, substitute in known values and solve for the common EBIT. EPScommon EPSdebt ( EBIT RD B1 )(1 T ) n1 n2 ( EBIT RD B1 RD B2 )(1 T ) n1 EPScommon EPSdebt ( EBIT RD B1 )(1 T ) ( EBIT RD B1 RD B2 )(1 T ) n1 n2 n1 ( EBIT 400,000)(1 .43) ( EBIT 400,000 650,000)(1 .43) 100,000 40,000 100,000 EBIT $2,675,000 CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 90 Thunder Bay Industries The Solution … Our prediction for EPS at EBIT=$2,675,000 for the common share financing alternative is: ($2,675,000 $400,000)(1 .43) $9.26 140,000 ($2,675,000 $1,050,000)(1 .43) $9.26 100,000 EPScommonshare EPSDebt CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 91 Thunder Bay Industries The Solution … The probability than EBIT will favour common stock financing (ie. be less than the indifference point) is: z X 2,675,000 2,950,000 z 403,110 0.6822 Where: z = the number of standard deviations away from the mean X = the point of interest = the standard deviation of the probability distribution = the mean of the probability distribution CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 92 Thunder Bay Industries The Solution … 2,675,000 2,950,000 403,110 0.6822 z The negative sign indicates that the point of interest (X) or (indifference point) lies on the left-hand side of the mean. It lies .6822 of 1 standard deviation away from the mean. Going to the table for Values of the Standard Normal Distribution Function we find the area under the curve between the point of interest and the mean of the distribution to be: .2517 or 25.27% Therefore, the probability that EBIT will exceed the indifference point (favouring debt financing) is 75.17% The probability that EBIT will be below the indifference point (favouring equity financing is (1- .7517) 24.83%. (These normal distribution is plotted on the following chart.) CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 93 Thunder Bay Industries The Solution … Area = .2517 2,675,000 2,950,000 403,110 0.6822 z Area = .5 =$2,950,000 X=$2,675,000 (These relationships are now plotted on the following indifference chart.) CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 94 Thunder Bay Industries The Solution … EPS Debt Financing $9.26 Area = .2517 $400,000 $1,050,000 Equity Financing Area = .5 =$2,950,000 X=$2,675,000 (This chart illustrates that debt financing is forecast to produce higher EPS than the equity alternative.) CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 95 Copyright Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons Canada, Ltd. All rights reserved. Reproduction or translation of this work beyond that permitted by Access Copyright (the Canadian copyright licensing agency) is unlawful. Requests for further information should be addressed to the Permissions Department, John Wiley & Sons Canada, Ltd. The purchaser may make back-up copies for his or her own use only and not for distribution or resale. The author and the publisher assume no responsibility for errors, omissions, or damages caused by the use of these files or programs or from the use of the information contained herein. CHAPTER 21 – Capital Structure Decisions 21 - 96