Modern Labor Economics: Its Roots, Development, and Recent Trends Two Traditions of Labor Economics • Neoclassical Economics • Emphasis on “economics” Deductive (theoretical) approach, based on profit- and utility maximization in face of constraints Focus on prices, underlying supply and demand conditions Looks for “systematic” part of behavior, with little regard for cultural differences or unusual behavior Institutionalism Emphasis on “labor” Inductive (descriptive, fact-based) approach Focus on problems and remedies Institutionalists: “Generalization is especially difficult when each problem that arises may be unique because it presents a slightly different combination of factors or a new set of circumstances.” Neoclassical approach is “barren,” “dry bones” Neoclassical economist (commenting on the institutionalists): “Without a theory they had nothing to pass on except a mass of descriptive material waiting for a theory, or a fire.” Time Lines of the Two Traditions • Neoclassical: Alfred Marshall: groundwork for modern labor economics (Principles of Economics, 1890) • Institutionalists: first “labor economics” text published in 1886 (by Richard Ely) reacting to “dry bones” economics of 1870s and 1880s, University of Wisconsin turned into a center for institutionalism by Ely, Commons (1892). 1900s-1920s: Institutionalism Dominant • Institutional text published by Commons (1905) with a focus on “Evils” (child labor, immigration, poverty, sweatshops) and “Remedies” (unions, profit-sharing, education, labor laws) • First book with “Labor Economics” in title (1926): was institutional in approach, rejecting “deductive” approach to focus on “groups of men creating (and being variously affected by) economic institutions.” 1930s: Two Neoclassical Works • Theory of Wages by Paul Douglas (1934): theory with empirical analysis and attention to policy. Tried to steer between “sterile” approach of pure theory and the “theoretical blind alley” of institutionalism • Depression: “There has been no date in this century to which the theory that I was putting out could have been more inappropriate” (Hicks)再没有其他任何时候比我现在提出这些 理论不合时宜了。 • Both Hicks and Douglas leave labor economics (Hicks for pure theory, Douglas for politics) 1940s and 1950s: • Institutionalist scholars trained in economics and in economics departments, but deeply suspicious of theory (Lester, Kerr, Dunlop, Reynolds) • Lately, this group has referred to themselves as “neoclassical revisionists” – as neoclassical economists with “realistic” interests. • But in fact they did not use theory, did not revise theory, and were not cited by the early “modern” labor economists. Debates Between the Two Approaches • Debate on the Marginal Productivity Theory of Demand Institutionalists: Decision-makers do not talk (or collect data) in terms of marginal costs and benefits Neoclassical group: But they may act instinctively “as if” they understand theory • Debate on Modeling Institutionalists: world is complex and models do not take account of that. Neoclassical group: Purpose of models is to remove complexity so underlying forces can be studied.模型的作用在于化繁为简从而可 以考察潜在的因素 Judge assumptions by quality of predictions, not “realism” Predictions hold “other things” equal. Examples of Early “Modern” Research in 1960s-1970s • • • • Relative wage effects of unions (Lewis) Discrimination (Becker) Human capital (Becker) Household production, labor force participation (Becker) • Search theory: unemployment, wage differentials; law of one price (Stigler) Explaining Anomalies • Wages that do not fall: implicit contracts and signaling, unemployment insurance, compensating wage differentials • “Law of one price” does not hold: search costs, “efficiency wages,” internal labor markets, considerations of status Explaining Anomalies • Why older workers may be paid more than their marginal product • Why small differences in productivity among executives result in large pay differences New Areas of Research • Personnel economics: understanding decisions within firms: hiring, training, motivating, promoting (Lazear) • Use of longitudinal data matching information from employer and employee (Abowd) • Cross-country comparisons Policy Areas with Potential Influence from Neoclassical Labor Economists • • • • • Military draft Minimum wage Welfare programs Unemployment insurance Workers’ compensation insurance • Education • Discrimination • Safety and health regulation • Immigration • Program evaluation Labor Economics: Undergraduate Courses ILRLE 140 Development of Economic Institutions ILRLE 240 Economics of Wages & Employment (also Econ 341) ILRLE 340 Economic Security (also Econ 451) ILRLE 440 Special Topics In Labor Economics ILRLE 441 Income Distribution (also Econ 455) ILRLE 442 The Economics of Employee Benefits (also Econ 456) ILRLE 444 The Evolution of Social Policy In Britain & America ILRLE 445 Women In The Economy (also Econ 457 also Womns 446) ILRLE 446 Economic History of British Labor 17501940 (also Econ 459) Labor Economics: Undergraduate Courses ILRLE 448 Topics In Twentieth-Century Economic History: The Economics of Depression and The Rise of The Managed Economy (also Econ 458) ILRLE 495 Honors Program ILRLE 497-498 Internship ILRLE 499 Directed Studies ILRLE 540 Labor Economics ILRLE 544 Labor Market and Personnel Economics ILRLE 642 Economic Analysis of The Welfare State (also Econ 460) ILRLE 648 Economic Analysis of The University (also Econ 342) Ph.D. Program in Labor Economics Prerequisites in Mathematics: • Minimum: two semesters of calculus plus one of linear algebra • Preferred: a background in differential equations, real analysis, or mathematics courses in probability and statistics • A student must at least be comfortable working with limits, continuity, vectors, matrices, series, differentiation, partial differentiation and integration • A mathematics refresher course is offered during August. In our experience most entering students can benefit significantly from that course, though it is not required Ph.D. Program in Labor Economics • Usually takes 5 years • The first year: Fall semester: Micro-economics I, Macro-economics I, Econometrics I, and a course in mathematics for economics Spring semester: Micro II & III, Macro II, and Econometrics II. Students must pass Qualifying Exams in Micro & Macro. A student is permitted to take the examinations twice, and must pass both by the end of the second year of study. Ph.D. Program in Labor Economics • Second Year: Three or four courses each semester in major and minor subjects To establish expertise in an area of study generally requires two semesters of an advanced course sequence. Some subjects may also administer qualifying examinations at the conclusion of the course sequence Ph.D. Program in Labor Economics • Third year: Increase knowledge in the major subject Expand into other fields of interest Broaden tools such as mathematics Search for a dissertation topic, and to start dissertation research Become active in research seminars: Applied Microeconomics (Industrial Organization and related topics), Macroeconomics, Econometrics, Economic Development, Economic Theory, Public Economics, International Economics, Labor Economics, and Financial Economics Oral "Admission to Candidacy" examination, by student’s Special Committee (typically focuses on the student’s dissertation research proposal) Submitting a doctoral dissertation (fourth or fifth year) Passing an oral final examination on the dissertation which is conducted by the student's Special Committee In final year student is on the Ph.D. Job market. As part of the placement process we meet with students to address preparing for the market and to facilitate their job search. School of Industrial and Labor Relations