AP Stats Chapter 4 - Warren County Schools

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AP Stats Chapter 4
Topic
4.1
Intro
Sampling & surveys
How to sample Badly
How to Sample Well:
Random
Samples
Other Sampling Methods
Inference for Sampling
Sample Surveys: What
Can Go Wrong
Read pg. 205-225
4.1
4.2
Observational Studies vs.
Experiments
The Language of
Experiments
How to Experiment Badly
How to Experiment Well
Three Principles of
Experimental Design
NAME______________________________
I can…
 Identify the population and sample in a
sample survey
 Identify voluntary response samples and
convenience samples. Explain how these
bad sampling methods can lead to bias.
 Describe how to use Table D and a
calculator to select a simple random
sample (SRS)
 Distinguish a simple random sample from
a stratified random sample or cluster
sample. Give advantages and
disadvantages of each sampling method
 Explain how under-coverage,
nonresponse, and question wording can
lead to bias in a sample survey
 Compare sampling methods




Read pg. 231-242

4.2
Experiments: What Can
Go Wrong?
Inference for Experiments

Read pg. 242-245
4.2
Blocking
Matched Pairs Design
Read pg. 246-268




Distinguish between an observational
study and an experiment
Explain how a lurking variable in an
observational study can lead to
confounding
Identify the experimental units or
subjects, explanatory variables (factors),
treatments, and response variables in an
experiment
Describe a completely randomized design
for an experiment
Explain why random assignment is an
important experimental design principle
Describe how to avoid the placebo effect
in an experiment
Explain the meaning and the purpose of
blinding in an experiment
Explain in context what “statistically
significant” means
Distinguish between a completely
randomized design and a randomized
block design
Know when a matched pairs experimental
design is appropriate and how to
Homework
Rolling Down
the River
2004B #2
2008 #2
2010B #2
Pg. 226 (1, 3, 5,
7, 9, 11 17, 19,
21, 23, 25, 27,
28, 29, 31, 33,
35, 37-42)
Pg. 253 (45, 47,
49, 51, 53, 57,
63, 65, 67)
Pg. 256 (69, 71,
73, 75)
Pg. 257 (77, 79,
81, 85)
2002 #2
4.3
Scope of Inference
The Challenges of
Establishing
Causation
Data Ethics
Chapter 4 Review


implement such a design
Determine the scope of inference for a
statistical study
Evaluate whether a statistical study has
been carried out in an ethical manner
Pg. 260 (91-98,
102-108)
Pg. 254 (55, 83,
87, 89)
Ch 4 Review
Ch 4 Mult Ch
WS #1-24
Ch 4 Test
Ch 4 Mult Ch
WS #25-48
Chapter 4 Test
Free Response:
1997 #2 blocking
1999 #3 exp vs obs study, confounding
2000 #5 blocking, double-blind
2001 #4 blocking, randomization purpose
2002 #2 matched pairs, double-blind
2002B #2 blocking
2003 #4 randomization, control groups
2004 #2 blocking, random within blocks
2004B #2 bias
2005 #1 stem-plots, sampling variability
2006 #5 treatments, randomization
2006B #5 treatments, confounding
2007 #2 control groups, blocking
2007B #3 blocking, randomization
2008 #2 nonresponse bias
2009 #3 random and nonrandom
2010 #1 treatments, scatterplots
2010B #2 SRS & stratified rand sampling
4.1
 Identify the
population and sample
in a sample survey
 Identify voluntary
response samples and
convenience samples.
Explain how these bad
sampling methods can
lead to bias.
 Describe how to use
Table D and a
calculator to select a
simple random sample
(SRS)
 Distinguish a simple
random sample from a
stratified random
sample or cluster
sample. Give
advantages and
disadvantages of each
sampling method
 Explain how undercoverage,
nonresponse, and
question wording can
lead to bias in a
sample survey
 Compare sampling
methods
4.2
 Distinguish between
an observational study
and an experiment
 Explain how a
lurking variable in an
observational study
can lead to
confounding
 Identify the
experimental units or
subjects, explanatory
variables (factors),
treatments, and
response variables in
an experiment
 Describe a
completely
randomized design for
an experiment
 Explain why random
assignment is an
important
experimental design
principle
 Describe how to
avoid the placebo
effect in an experiment
 Explain the meaning
and the purpose of
blinding in an
experiment
 Explain in context
what “statistically
significant” means
 Distinguish between
a completely
randomized design
and a randomized
block design
 Know when a
matched pairs
experimental design is
appropriate and how
to implement such a
design
4.3
 Determine the scope
of inference for a
statistical study
 Evaluate whether a
statistical study has
been carried out in an
ethical manner
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