AP STATISTICS: Ms. Zimmerman; 2013-2014 The Practice of Statistics 4/e by Starnes, Yates, Moore Syllabus: Unit 1 Chapter 4: Designing Studies Date Day 1 2 Topics Intro, Expectations, Policies Video: What is Statistics 4.1 Introduction, Sampling and Surveys, How to Sample Badly, How to Sample Well: Random Samples Objectives: Students will be able to… 3 4.1 Other Sampling Methods, Activity: Gettysburg Address 4 4.1 Inference for Sampling, Sample Surveys: What Can Go Wrong? Activity: Rolling Down the River 5 6 4.2 Observational Studies vs. Experiments, The Language of Experiments, How to Experiment Badly 4.2 How to Experiment Well, Three Principles of Experimental Design 7 4.2 Experiments: What Can Go Wrong? Inference for Experiments 8 4.2 Blocking, Matched Pairs Design 9 4.2 Class Experiment: Mozart & Mazes 10 4.3 Scope of Inference, the Challenges of Establishing Causation 11 Chapter 4 Review 12 Chapter 4 Review (optional, but recommended) 13 Chapter 4 Test Identify the population and sample in a sample survey. Identify voluntary response samples and convenience samples. Explain how these bad sampling methods can lead to bias. Describe how to use Table D to select a simple random sample (SRS). Distinguish a simple random sample from a stratified random sample or cluster sample. Give advantages and disadvantages of each sampling method. Explain how undercoverage, nonresponse, and question wording can lead to bias in a sample survey. Distinguish between an observational study and an experiment. Explain how a lurking variable in an observational study can lead to confounding. Identify the experimental units or subjects, explanatory variables (factors), treatments, and response variables in an experiment. Describe a completely randomized design for an experiment. Explain why random assignment is an important experimental design principle. Describe how to avoid the placebo effect in an experiment. Explain the meaning and the purpose of blinding in an experiment. Explain in context what “statistically significant” means. Distinguish between a completely randomized design and a randomized block design. Know when a matched pairs experimental design is appropriate and how to implement such a design. Homework Expectations signed “Is Bread a Health Hazard?” read/notes p. 206-210 p. 226; #1, 3, 5, 7, 9 read/notes p. 211-219 p. 227; #11, 17-25 odd read/notes p. 220-225 p. 229; #27, 28, 29, 31, 33, 35 read/notes p. 231-235 p. 230; #37-42 p. 253; #45-55 odd read/notes p. 236-242 p. 254; #57, 61 (don’t randomize),63, 65, 67 read/notes p. 242-246 p. 256; #69, 71, 73, 75 read/notes p. 246-252 p. 257; #77, 79, 81, 85 p. 258; # 83,87,89 Determine the scope of inference for a statistical study. read/notes p. 261-266 p. 260; #91-98 p. 269; #102-108 p. 271; Chapter 4 Review p. 274; Chapter 4 AP Statistics Practice Test FRAPPY: 2006 #5 Tiger Shrimp