Elections: The Rules of the Game Who determines the rules for U.S. elections? When are elections held in the U.S.? Answers: Although the Constitution sets certain conditions and requirements, most electoral rules remain matters of state laws. November and June – the first Tuesday after the first Monday of the month. Voter Eligibility is Determined by the States Purposes of Elections Legitimize government, even in authoritarian systems. Organize government. Choose issue and policy priorities. Electorate gives winners a mandate. Types of Elections Primary elections can be open or closed. Crossover voting or raiding can occur in open primaries. Runoff primaries held if no candidate wins a majority. General elections determine who will fill public offices. Ballot measures: initiative, referendum, and recall. Elections: The Rules of the Game Regularly Scheduled Elections Fixed, Staggered, and Sometimes Limited Terms Term Limits Winner Take All – an election system in which the candidate with the most votes wins. Single-member districts Proportional representation The Electoral College Electoral College Representatives from each state who select president. Electors equivalent to senators plus representatives. Framers favored system to remove power from people. Originally president and vice president selected alone. Changed after Twelfth Amendment. 1876 and 2000 elections demonstrate concerns. To win the presidency, the candidate must have a majority vote of the ______. a. Supreme Court b. House of Representatives c. electoral college d. popular vote Under the electoral college system, a candidate _____________ of a state’s electoral votes. a. either wins all or none b. gets a percentage c. gets at least a minimal number d. wins none If no presidential candidate secures a majority of the electoral votes the ______ decides. a. Supreme Court b. House of Representatives c. Senate d. Both b and c Running for Congress • Most congressional elections are not close. • Competition is more likely when both candidates have adequate funding. • Presidential popularity affects both House and Senate races during both presidential and midterm elections. Safe & Competitive House Seats, 2000-2010 • Safe Seats • Coattail Effect - the boost candidates get from running along with a popular Presidential candidate from their party Running for Congress •The House of Representatives •Racial, Ethnic Politics complicate redistricting Minorities Gained in Redistricting YEAR BLACKS 1991 2001 2003 26 37 37 HISPANICS 11 19 22 •Malapportionment •Gerrymandering •Partisan Gerrymandering •The Senate Redistricting Commissions & Alternatives •37 State Legislators Redraw Most Congressional Districts •Thirteen states give first and final authority for legislative redistricting to a group other than the legislature •Alaska •Arizona •Connecticut •Idaho •Indiana •Iowa •Hawaii Joint Legislature/Commission •Maine Special Commission •Montana •New Jersey •New Mexico •Washington •California •Because of low populations seven states avoid redistricting since there is only one representative for each state. Gerrymandering is a form of redistricting in which electoral districts are manipulated for an electoral advantage. The term originated after Massachusetts Gov. Elbridge Gerry approved an irregular shaped legislative district in 1812. Senate elections are likely to be ___ competitive than House elections. a. more b. less c. equally Keeping a House seat is ___ than gaining one. a. harder b. easier c. more costly d. less costly Congressional candidates secure most of their campaign funds from a. the party b. personal contributions c. congressional campaign finance monies d. income tax collections Why Incumbents Lose Redistricting can pit incumbents against one another. Scandals. Presidential coattails. Midterm elections President’s party usually loses seats. U.S. House Incumbents Re-elected, 1946-2002 Rising Campaign Costs in General Elections Times Change When Abraham Lincoln ran for President, it cost him 75 cents - the total cost of treating some farm hands to a barrel of cider. Running for President Stage 1: The Nomination Presidential hopefuls must make a series of critical tactical decisions. One of the hardest jobs for candidates and their strategists is calculating how to deal with the complex maze of presidential primaries and caucuses that constitutes the delegate selection system. Another decision candidates must make is whether to participate in partial public financing of their campaigns Running for President Stage 1: The Nomination (cont.) Presidential Primaries Caucuses and Conventions Strategies Running for President Stage 2: The National Party Convention • The delegates elected in primaries, caucuses, or state conventions assemble at their national party convention. • Despite the lack of suspense about who the nominee will be, conventions continue to be major media events. • Acceptance speeches provide the nominees with an opportunity to define themselves and their candidacy. Running for President (continue) Stage 2: The National Party Convention The Party Platform The Vice Presidential Nominee The Value of Conventions Nomination by Petition Stage 3: The General Election Presidential Debates Television & Radio Advertising The Outcome Money in U.S. Elections • Election campaigns cost money, and the methods of obtaining the money have long been controversial. • Scandals involving the influence of money on policy are not new. • the Teapot Dome scandal (1925) • the Watergate scandal (1972) • Public outcry from these discoveries prompted Congress to enact the body of reforms that still largely regulate the financing of federal elections. Money in U.S. Elections •Efforts at Reform •The Federal Election Campaign Act (1971) •Amended in 1974 •In Buckley v. Valeo, Supreme Court overturned 1974 amendments in 1976 •The Bipartisan Campaign Reform Act (BCRA) •Soft Money •Issue Advocacy Advertising •Efforts at Reform (cont.) Section 527 and 501(c) Organizations 527 political committees emerge to fill void. Cannot advocate for candidates, only causes and policy. 501(c)3 committees also can educate voters. Independent Expenditures Supreme Court ruling on FECA (1976) cleared the way. No BCRA constraints. Full disclosure to the FECA required. Spending for or against candidates as long as money is truly independent of candidate and not corporate or union treasury money. 527 Groups Money in U.S. Elections •Continuing Problems with Campaign Finance • • • • Rising Costs of Campaigns Candidates’ Personal Wealth Declining Competition Increasing Dependence of PACs and Wealthy Donors • Growth in Individual Contributions and Use of the Internet to Fund Campaigns Expenditures by PACs PAC Money Favors Incumbents Improving Elections Reforming Presidential Primaries End front-loading with regional primaries. Reforming the Nominating Process Reforming the Electoral College Select the president by popular vote. Each congressional district has a vote. Keep the College, abolish the electors. Reforming How We Vote Increase turnout with online voting or voting by mail. Make voting more accessible with a modern ballot. Reforming Campaign Finance Even the playing field with new campaign finance laws. Reforming the Electoral College Should we use a direct popular election instead of the electoral college? Pros • Give every voter the same weight in presidential balloting Cons • Plan would undermine federalism • Unrestrained majority rule • Winners would have greater legitimacy • Populous states would lose influence Improving Elections The Importance of Elections Elections matter in a constitutional democracy. Central to the functioning of a constitutional democracy like that in the United States is a system of fair elections that is well-administered Individual citizens can make a difference in elections in many ways. By voting - trust and confidence in elections centers on the issues presented in this lecture. By selecting candidates, working for political parties. By organizing groups around common interests.