Options Dr. Lynn Phillips Kugele FIN 338 Options Review • Mechanics of Option Markets • Properties of Stock Options • Valuing Stock Options: – The Black-Scholes Model OPT-2 Mechanics of Options Markets OPT-3 Option Basics • Option = derivative security – Value “derived” from the value of the underlying asset • Stock Option Contracts – Exchange-traded – Standardized • Facilitates trading and price reporting. – Contract = 100 shares of stock OPT-4 Put and Call Options • Call option – Gives holder the right but not the obligation to buy the underlying asset at a specified price at a specified time • Put option – Gives the holder the right but not the obligation to sell the underlying asset at a specified price at a specified time OPT-5 Options on Common Stock 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. • Identity of the underlying stock Strike or Exercise price Contract size Expiration date or maturity Exercise cycle American or European 6. Delivery or settlement procedure OPT-6 Option Exercise • American-style – Exercisable at any time up to and including the option expiration date – Stock options are typically American • European-style – Exercisable only at the option expiration date OPT-7 Option Positions • Call positions: – Long call = call “holder” • Hopes/expects asset price will increase – Short call = call “writer” • Hopes asset price will stay or decline • Put Positions: – Long put = put “holder” • Expects asset price to decline – Short put = put “writer” • Hopes asset price will stay or increase OPT-8 Option Writing • The act of selling an option • Option writer = seller of an option contract – Call option writer obligated to sell the underlying asset to the call option holder – Put option writer obligated to buy the underlying asset from the put option holder – Option writer receives the option premium when contract entered OPT-9 Option Payoffs & Profits Notation: • • • • S0 = current stock price per share ST = stock price at expiration X = option exercise or strike price C = American call option premium per share • c = European call option premium • P = American put option premium per share • p = European put option premium • r = risk free rate • T = time to maturity in years OPT-10 Option Payoffs & Profits Call Holder Payoff to Call Holder (S - X) 0 if S >X if S < X = Max (S-X,0) Profit to Call Holder Payoff - Option Premium Profit =Max (S-X, 0) - C OPT-11 Option Payoffs & Profits Call Writer Payoff to Call Writer - (S - X) 0 if S > X = -Max (S-X, 0) if S < X = Min (X-S, 0) Profit to Call Writer Payoff + Option Premium Profit = Min (X-S, 0) + C OPT-12 Payoff & Profit Profiles for Calls Call Payoff and Profit X = $20 c = $5.00 Stock Call Holder Price Payoff Profit 0 $0 -$5 $10 $0 -$5 $20 $0 -$5 $30 $10 $5 $40 $20 $15 Payoff: Profit: Max(S-X,0) Max (S-X,0) – c Call Writer Payoff Profit $0 $5 $0 $5 $0 $5 -$10 -$5 -$20 -$15 -Max(S-X,0) -[Max (S-X, 0)-p] OPT-13 Payoff & Profit Profiles for Calls Payoff Profit Call Holder Profit 0 Call Writer Profit Stock Price OPT-14 Option Payoffs and Profits Put Holder Payoffs to Put Holder 0 (X - S) if S > X if S < X = Max (X-S, 0) Profit to Put Holder Payoff - Option Premium Profit = Max (X-S, 0) - P OPT-15 Option Payoffs and Profits Put Writer Payoffs to Put Writer 0 if S > X -(X - S) if S < X = -Max (X-S, 0) = Min (S-X, 0) Profits to Put Writer Payoff + Option Premium Profit = Min (S-X, 0) + P OPT-16 Payoff & Profit Profiles for Puts Put Payoff and Profit X = $20 p = $5.00 Stock Put Holder Price Payoff Profit 0 $20 $15 $10 $10 $5 $20 $0 -$5 $30 $0 -$5 $40 $0 -$5 Payoff: Profit: Max(X-S,0) Max (X-S,0) – p Put Writer Payoff Profit -$20 -$15 -$10 -$5 $0 $5 $0 $5 $0 $5 -Max(X-S,0) -[Max (X-S, 0)-p] OPT-17 Payoff & Profit Profiles for Puts Profits Put Writer Profit 0 Put Holder Profit Stock Price OPT-18 Option Payoffs and Profits CALL PUT Holder: Payoff (Long) Profit Max (S-X,0) Max (S-X,0) - C “Bullish” Max (X-S,0) Max (X-S,0) - P “Bearish” Writer: Payoff (Short) Profit Min (X-S,0) Min (X-S,0) + C “Bearish” Min (S-X,0) Min (S-X,0) + P “Bullish” S = P = Value of firm at expiration X = Face Value of Debt OPT-19 Long Call Long Call Profit = Max(S-X,0) - C Call option premium (C) = $5, Strike price (X) = $100. 30 Profit ($) 20 10 70 0 -5 80 90 100 Terminal stock price (S) 110 120 130 OPT-20 Properties of Stock Options OPT-21 Notation c p S0 ST X T r = European call option price (C = American) = European put option price (P = American) = Stock price today =Stock price at option maturity = Strike price = Option maturity in years = Volatility of stock price = Risk-free rate for maturity T with continuous compounding OPT-22 American vs. European Options An American option is worth at least as much as the corresponding European option Cc Pp OPT-23 Factors Influencing Option Values Effect on Option Value American Call Put Input Factor Underlying stock price S Strike price of option contract X Time remaining to expiration T Volatility of the underlying stock price σ Risk-free interest rate r + + + + + + + - OPT-24 Effect on Option Values Underlying Stock Price (S) & Strike Price (K) • Payoff to call holder: Max (S-X,0) – As S , Payoff increases; Value increases – As X , Payoff decreases; Value decreases • Payoff to Put holder: Max (X-S, 0) – As S , Payoff decreases; Value decreases – As X , Payoff increases; Value increases OPT-25 Option Price Quotes Calls MSFT (MICROSOFT CORP) $ 25.98 July 2008 CALLS Strike Last Sale Bid Ask Vol Open Int 15.00 10.85 10.95 11.10 10 85 17.50 10.54 8.45 8.55 0 33 20.00 6.00 6.00 6.05 4 729 22.50 3.60 3.55 3.65 195 3891 24.00 2.30 2.24 2.27 422 2464 25.00 1.50 1.45 1.48 3190 10472 26.00 0.83 0.83 0.85 2531 15764 27.50 0.31 0.29 0.31 2554 61529 OPT-26 Option Price Quotes Puts MSFT (MICROSOFT CORP) $ 25.98 July 2008 PUTS Strike Last Sale Bid Ask Vol Open Int 15.00 0.01 0.00 0.01 0 2751 17.50 0.01 0.00 0.02 0 2751 20.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0 5013 22.50 0.03 0.03 0.04 13 4788 24.00 0.11 0.11 0.12 50 25041 25.00 0.25 0.24 0.25 399 7354 26.00 0.45 0.45 0.47 10212 51464 27.50 0.80 0.82 0.84 2299 39324 OPT-27 Effect on Option Values Time to Expiration = T • For an American Call or Put: – The longer the time left to maturity, the greater the potential for the option to end in the money, the grater the value of the option • For a European Call or Put: – Not always true due to restriction on exercise timing OPT-28 Option Price Quotes MSFT (MICROSOFT CORP) STRIKE = $25.00 CALLS Last Sale July 2008 1.42 August 2008 1.80 October 2008 2.36 January 2009 3.10 Bid 1.45 1.85 2.43 3.15 Ask 1.48 1.87 2.46 3.20 Vol 355 257 41 454 Open Int 10472 927 3309 59244 PUTS July 2008 August 2008 October 2008 January 2009 Bid 0.45 0.80 1.39 2.06 Ask 0.47 0.82 1.41 2.08 Vol 419 401 215 2524 Open Int 51464 1591 25323 155877 Last Sale 0.47 0.81 1.43 2.09 25.98 OPT-29 Effect on Option Values Volatility = σ • Volatility = a measure of uncertainty about future stock price movements – Increased volatility increased upside potential and downside risk • Increased volatility is NOT good for the holder of a share of stock • Increased volatility is good for an option holder – Option holder has no downside risk – Greater potential for higher upside payoff OPT-30 Effect on Option Values Risk-free Rate = r • As r : –Investor’s required return increases –The present value of future cash flows decreases = Increases value of calls = Decreases value of puts OPT-31 Valuing Stock Options: The Black-Scholes Model OPT-32 BSOPM Black-Scholes (-Merton) Option Pricing Model • “BS” = Fischer Black and Myron Scholes – With important contributions by Robert Merton • BSOPM published in 1973 • Nobel Prize in Economics in 1997 • Values European options on non-dividend paying stock OPT-33 Concepts Underlying Black-Scholes • Option price and stock price depend on same underlying source of uncertainty • A portfolio consisting of the stock and the option can be formed which eliminates this source of uncertainty (riskless). – The portfolio is instantaneously riskless – Must instantaneously earn the risk-free rate OPT-34 Assumptions Underlying BSOPM 1. Stock price behavior corresponds to the lognormal model with μ and σ constant 2. No transactions costs or taxes. All securities are perfectly divisible 3. No dividends on stocks during the life of the option 4. No riskless arbitrage opportunities 5. Security trading is continuous 6. Investors can borrow & lend at the risk-free rate 7. The short-term rate of interest, r, is constant OPT-35 Notation • c and p = European option prices (premiums) • S0 = stock price • X = strike or exercise price • r = risk-free rate • σ = volatility of the stock price • T = time to maturity in years OPT-36 Formula Functions • ln(S/X) = natural log of the "moneyness" term • N(d) = the probability that a normally distributed variable with a mean of zero and a standard deviation of 1 is less than x • N(d1) and N(d2) denote the standard normal probability for the values of d1 and d2. • Formula makes use of the fact that: N(-d1) = 1 - N(d1) OPT-37 The Black-Scholes Formulas c S0 N ( d 1 ) X e rT N( d 2 ) p Xe rT N ( d 2 ) S0 N ( d 1 ) where : d1 2 ln( S0 / X ) ( r / 2 )T T d 2 d1 T OPT-38 BSOPM Example Given: S0 = $42 X = $40 d1 r = 10% T = 0.5 σ = 20% ln( S0 / X ) ( r 2 / 2 )T T ln( 42 40 ) ( 0.10 0.20 2 2 ) 0.5 d1 0.7693 0.20 0.50 d 2 d1 T d 2 0.7693 0.20 0.50 0.6278 OPT-39 BSOPM Call Price Example d1 = 0.7693 N(0.7693) = 0.7791 d2 = 0.6278 N(0.6278) = 0.7349 c S0 N ( d 1 ) X e rT N ( d 2 ) c 40(0.7791) - 42e -.10.5 (0.7349) c $4.76 OPT-40 BSOPM in Excel • N(d1): =NORMSDIST(d1) Note the “S” in the function “S” denotes “standard normal” ~ Φ(0,1) =NORMDIST() → Normal distribution Mean and variance must be specified ~N(μ,σ2 ) OPT-41