GFDRR – SDV Elena Correa February 4, 2010 Global Facility for Disaster Reduction and Recovery (GFDRR) approved the proposal to study existing resettlement programs for disaster risk reduction in four LAC countries. The main objectives are to identify main lessons-learned and prepare a tool-kit for planning and implementing resettlement programs for disaster risk reduction. SDV included this activity in the work program (FY0910) of the Social Sustainability and Safeguards team and allocated staff weeks to implement this initiative Initial research Dianna Moyer Paivi Koskinen-Lewis Case studies Ignacio Zeltmeister y Rómulo Pérez (Argentina) Marilia Scombatti y Ronaldo Marques(Brazil) Narzha Poveda (Colombia) Eduardo Aguirre (Guatemala) Sergio Carmona (technical reviewer) Toolkit Fernando Ramírez Margarita De Castro Elena Correa TTL Elena Correa Global and LAC natural disasters trends and consequences LAC – Vulnerability factors DRR - A preventive approach Preventive Resettlement Brief summary of the case studies Outline of the toolkit Number of Natural Disasters Graph 1: Total Disaster Occurence (1970-2009) 5000 3,926 4000 3,533 3000 2,592 2000 1000 1,656 843 0 1970-1979 1980-1989 1990-1999 Decade Estimated natural disasters 2000-2009 (projections for 2009 based on decade average) Actual 1970-2008 natural disasters Source: EMDAT, Emergency Events Database 2009 2000-2008 People Affected by Natural Disasters 1970-2009 7,000,000,000 No.of People 6,000,000,000 5,000,000,000 4,000,000,000 3,000,000,000 2,000,000,000 1,000,000,000 0 70 79 80 89 Decade World Population 90 99 People Affected 00 09' LAC region is hit on average by 40.7 major disasters per year (1) LAC is one of the most highly natural disaster prone regions in the world, second only to Asia (2) (1) ECLAC, IDB 2000 (2) Center of Research of Natural Disaster, 2004 Number of Natural Disasters Graph 5a: Occurrence of Natural Disasters in LAC by Decade (1970-2009) 700 654 600 589 500 452 400 300 200 100 314 167 0 1970-1979 1980-1989 1990-1999 2000-2009 Decade Occurrence of Natural Disasters in LAC by decade (1970-2008) Estimated Occurence 2000-2009 (projections for 2009 based on decade average) Source: EM-DAT: The OFDA/CRED International Disaster Database Created on: Apr-19-2009. Data version: v12.07 Graph 6: Natural Disasters Occurence by Type in LAC (1970-2008) Complex Disasters; 2; 0% Drought; 84; 6% Wind Storm; 415; 27% Earthquake; 151; 10% Extreme Temperature; 49; 3% Wild Fires; 38; 2% Wave / Surge; 3; 0% Flood; 598; 40% Volcano; 62; 4% Slides; 120; 8% Source: EM-DAT: The OFDA/CRED International Disaster Database Created on: Apr-19-2009. - Data version: v12.07 Number of People Affected Graph 9: Total People Affected in LAC by Natural Disasters by Decade (1970-2009) 70,000,000 61,199,976 60,000,000 50,000,000 40,000,000 43,760,927 43,091,035 39,384,834 37,594,450 30,000,000 20,000,000 10,000,000 1970-1979 1980-1989 1990-1999 2000-2009 Decade People Affected by Natural Disasters in LAC 1970-2008 Estimated People Affected 2000-2009 (projections for 2009 are based on decade average) Graph 7: Deaths by Natural Disaster Type in LAC (1970-2008) Wind Storm; 41,402 ; 17% Wild Fires; 104 ; 0% Wave / Surge; 10 ; 0% Drought; 73 ; 0% Volcano; 21,990 ; 9% Earthquake; 122,140 ; 48% Slides; 11,374 ; 5% Flood; 49,913 ; 20% Extreme Temperature; 2,031 ; 1% Source: EM-DAT: The OFDA/CRED International Disaster Database Created on: Apr-19-2009. - Data version: v12.07 Natural factors Four active tectonic plates Significant portion of the earth’s seismic and volcanic activity takes place there Land slides relate to the geological age of mountains ranges Flooding related to a complex river basin systems Tropical storms and hurricanes (Atlantic and Pacific Ocean) El Niño and la Niña phenomena exacerbate certain weather patterns Rapid urbanization From 41% of urban population in 1950 to 78% in 2007 Poverty 40 percent of population lives in poverty Poverty and vulnerability to disasters are inherently linked Environmental degradation Deforestation Loss of natural drainage systems in urban areas Lack of adequate solid waste management and disposal Climate change Lack of effective policies to reduce vulnerability Lack of land use planning Inadequate quality of construction building codes Weak enforcement of regulations when they exist Lack of housing programs for low income population Lack of preventive strategies Reactive responses instead of proactive responses Prevention is perceived as a cost rather than an investment (only 20% of decision makers ranked prevention as a high priority ) “An ounce of prevention is worth a pound of cure” Components Measures Risk assessment Studies, monitoring, modeling, maps, databases, information systems, perception surveys Risk reduction Planning and awareness: Land use planning, construction codes and regulations, public information and education. Physical intervention in the territory: retro fitting, home improvements, vulnerability reduction, preventive resettlement. Financial protection Financial mechanisms (credits, reserve funds, taxes, etc.) Financial transfer mechanisms (insurances, etc.) Emergency preparedness and response Early warning systems Emergency and contingency plans Technology, communications and logistic infrastructure Shelter – Temporary Resettlement Post - Disaster Reconstruction Specific norms and regulations Strategies Reconstruction plans Permanent Resettlement Resettlement becomes a risk reduction measure when it is not possible to mitigate the risk through other interventions (structural, non-structural) Preventive resettlement should be articulated into a comprehensive risk reduction strategy and should be planned and implemented properly If not, it is inefficient, unsustainable and leads to frustration of people and governments If yes, it becomes an opportunity to safe lives, assets and improve the standards of living of people living in high risk areas Preventive resettlement diminishes the damage, losses and impacts caused by natural disasters in both monetary and non-monetary terms on human life, structures and assets Monetary Direct Non - Monetary Indirect Direct Indirect Human life (deaths, injuries) Saving Saving Saving Saving Structures (private, public, productive) Cost Saving Saving Saving Assets (private, public) Saving Saving Saving Saving Characteristics of the hazard Pertinence of Resettlement Spatial distribution of the hazard The larger the area of influence of the hazard, the greater the amount of population exposed, then resettlement becomes very complex Energy of the impact The greater the energy of the impact, higher vulnerability and lower possibility of mitigating it, the higher pertinence of resettlement Level of uncertainty The lower level of uncertainty, the higher pertinence of resettlement Possibility of mitigation The lower possibility of mitigation through other measures, resettlement becomes the only possible risk reduction measure Preventive Resettlement Description and analysis of the national context Natural hazards, events, consequences Population, geographical distribution, poverty Institutional and legal frameworks for disaster risk reduction and recovery Resettlement case study Event that originated the resettlement Disaster risk reduction strategy and articulation of resettlement into the main strategy Institutional arrangements Sources of funding Resettlement options Results Control of recovered areas Lessons learned Flooding hazards 11, 911 families (69,000 persons) 120 cities, 7 provinces Resettlement strategy Self – construction Institutional Organization Coordination of national and local levels Main lesson learned The self – construction strategy which generate important value added Possibility of intervene large areas Sao Paulo - Flooding hazards 7,544 families (69,000 persons) from several slums (favelas) Resettlement strategy New developments (large vertical solutions) Resettlement in the same neighborhoods but in safe areas Cash compensation Institutional Organization Municipal institutions (2) Main lesson learned Cash compensation is not an adequate option Resettlement in large vertical solutions entails several social problems Resettlement in same neighborhoods are the best option Department of Sololá – Panajab and Tzanchaj counties 915 families (5,400 persons) – Mayan descendants 287 affected by the hurricane Stan 628 preventive resettlement Resettlement strategy Land acquisition and construction of new settlement Participation of indigenous leaders, communities Institutional Organization Inter - institutional coordination, participation of academia, NGOs, Main lesson learned Legacy issues matter Importance of trust between government and affected communities Importance of cultural dimension Accountability mechanisms Bogotá – Landslides hazards 1,069 families (4,600 persons) Part of of a larger resettlement program of families living in high riskareas (15,000 families) Resettlement strategy Use of real state market (city and places of origin of families) Construction of new developments through alliances with private investors and NGOS Construction by the implementing agency Institutional Organization An institution responsible of preparing and implementing resettlement plans Inter - institutional coordination Main lesson learned Resettlement incorporated into a comprehensive risk reduction strategy A long term vision and an effective strategies Effective land use planning Importance of several resettlement options Recurrent Flooding and the Housing Problem in Argentina The Provinces of La Plata river basin face recurrent flooding Five of the ten worst floods in the XX Century have occurred since 1983 Rapid urbanization 90% people live in urban areas Lack of housing programs for poor people Human settlements in floodprone areas Objectives Improve the security of economic assets and persons living in floodprone areas by constructing defense facilities to reduce future losses due to floods, and by strengthening national and provincial institutions and systems for dealing with future floods Components Structural measures (dikes, pumping stations, control gates, flood storages) Housing program: Resettlement of families living in flood-prone areas About 12,000 families (120 urban areas, 7 provinces) Implementing agencies Ministry of Federal Planning, Public Investment and Services; Provinces; Municipalities Land provided by the municipality Training provided by local governmental institutions (23.822 persons were trained in construction. After the project, 41% reported temporary jobs thanks to the new skills) Design of houses adapted to cultural characteristics of each region and prepared by the technical team of the Ministry Construction materials: subsidized by the program, and delivered through alliances with local providers through vouchers Community organization and strengthening of social networks. 100 families organized 5 constructing teams to build 20 houses each team Before After Time frame: 1992 – 2004 Total cost: U$ 420 million Housing component: US$ 31 million Maximum cost per house: $13,300 Minimum size: 42 m2 (continuous expansion housing units) Public services: water, energy, sewerage Source of funding: external credit (WB), national and municipal resources Municipalities assigned the use of flood-prone areas (parks, soccer fields, green areas) Municipalities committed to control the flood-prone areas Trust the client’s proposals (during several months the WB did not endorse the self-construction strategy and promoted different solutions –pre-built houses, tents – which caused delays) Self-construction is possible and generates an important value added (beneficiaries with new labor skills, stimulus for the local economy, high level ownership and selfesteem in beneficiaries) It is possible to assist populations in a large area and living in different municipalities (coordination between national and local levels) Dependency on external credits cause delays and interruptions in the program implementation Bogota. Nueva Esperanza. A experience of resettlement, rehabilitation and development 44.5 million inhabitants 75% of population live in urban areas (2005) Major natural disasters Earthquakes in 1983, 1992, 1994, 1999 Volcano eruption and mud slide 1985 Armed conflict 1946 – 1966 1985 – to date Major disasters generated the preparation of a “National Disaster Preparedness and Response System” (SNAPD) in 1988. SNAPD is a very comprehensive system (policies, hazards assessment and monitoring, mapping, early warning systems, information systems and a national disaster prevention and assistance plan) A National Disaster Fund was crated in 1984. It receives resources from oil and mining royalties and the national budget A housing subsidy policy was created in 2005 for poor families living in highrisk areas Disaster risk reduction was incorporated in the land use planning law (1997) Preventive resettlement was incorporated as a disaster risk reduction measure (about 130,000 people had been resettled) Bogota is the capital of the country 7.5 million inhabitants Main hazards: flooding and land slides Bogota has developed a comprehensive Disaster Preparedness and Response System (inter- sectoral and inter-institutional) The land use plan incorporated risk reduction strategies Slum upgrading programs Housing and building retrofitting programs Information systems Monitoring systems A fund for prevent disasters and assist affected people (funded by the 0.5% of the taxes collected by the city) Control of human settlements in high-risk areas was included in the disaster risk reduction strategy as well as resettlement of people living in high risk areas. Responsibility for these programs was assigned to specific institutions A housing subsidy program for people living in high risk areas was created 9.154 families were identified living in high-risk areas in 1997, 82% of them had been resettled as of 2008 Population in high-risk: 1,069 families (4,600 people) without legal titles Land use and geological studies determined that the neighborhood was invading a a natural park, creeks’ buffer zones and located in a highrisk area (landslides) A rehabilitation, reconstruction and sustainable development plan was prepared Land and environmental recovery Community organization and participation Resettlement of families Real state market in the city and in the places of origin New developments Built by private investors or NGOs Built by the implementing agency Fair housing Before After Before After Social assistance before, during and after relocation Health and education Productive projects Access to educational and health services Integration with host communities House maintenance and improvements Monitoring and evaluation systems Control of new settlements Reforestation Community participation Environmental guides Sustainable disaster risk reductions programs (articulated with land use planning and development plans, control of human settlement in high-risk areas, permanent sources of funding, legal frameworks, institutional capacity) Importance of sectoral and institutional coordination Several resettlement options facilitates the process Resettlement went beyond physical relocation and incorporated development programs Importance of contingency plans to relocate people in case of emergency Resettlement into a comprehensive disaster risk reduction strategy Module 1. Design of a risk reduction strategy and definition of preventive resettlement Module 2. Preparedness phase Module 3. Resettlement planning Module 4. Resettlement implementation Module 5. Evaluation Module 6. Control and use of recovered areas