Chapter 3 The Time Value of Money: An Introduction to Financial Mathematics Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 3–1 Learning Objectives • Understand and solve problems involving simple interest and compound interest, including accumulating, discounting and making comparisons using the effective interest rate. • Value, as at any date, contracts involving multiple cash flows. • Distinguish between different types of annuity and calculate their present and future values. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 3–2 Learning Objectives (cont.) • Apply knowledge of annuities to solve a range of problems, including problems involving principaland-interest loan contracts. • Distinguish between ordinary and general annuities and make basic calculations involving general annuities. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 3–3 Fundamental Concepts • Cash flows — fundamental to finance, the funds that flow between parties either now or in the future as a consequence of a financial contract. • Rate of return — relates cash inflows to cash outflows. C1 C0 r C0 where: C1 = cash inflow at time 1 C0 = cash inflow at time 0 r = rate of return per period Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 3–4 Fundamental Concepts (cont.) • Interest rate — special case of rate of return (used when the financial agreement is in the form of debt). • Time value of money – Money received now can be invested to earn additional cash (interest). – Relates to opportunity cost of giving up money or resources for a period of time — either forgone investments or consumption, whatever the next best alternative is. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 3–5 Time Value of Money • An investment decision will involve an outlay of cash made in one period with the expectation of cash inflows in future periods. • As a significant amount of time may elapse between the outflow of cash and the subsequent inflows, the significance of this time should be considered. • To ignore differences in the timing of cash flows is to ignore the importance of the time value of money. • Cash flows that occur at different points in time cannot simply be added together or subtracted — this is one of the critical issues conveyed in this chapter. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 3–6 Simple Interest • Typically used when there is only a single time period. • Interest is calculated on the original sum invested: Interest Principal P periods t rate r • Where S is the lump sum payable: S P Ptr P 1 rt Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 3–7 Simple Interest: Present Value • Present cash equivalent of an amount to be paid or received at some future date, calculated using simple interest. • Formula: where: S P 1 rt P present value S payment at future date r applicable interest rate t number of periods before payment Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 3–8 Compound Interest • Compounding involves accumulating interest on previous interest payments. • This means that, unlike the case of simple interest, previous interest payments will generate further interest. • This earning of interest on interest is one of the key differences between simple interest and compound interest. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 3–9 Compound Interest (cont.) • The backbone of many time-value calculations are the present value (PV) and future value (FV) based on compound interest. • The sum or future value (S ) accumulated after n periods is: n S P 1 i where: i = rate per period n = number of periods Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 3–10 Compound Interest (cont.) • The future value formula can be manipulated to provide a formula to determine the present value. • The present value of a future sum is: P S 1 i n • It is important to understand that the PV and FV formulas are the inverse of each other — one is derived from the other. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 3–11 Nominal and Effective Interest Rates • Nominal rate – • Quoted interest rate where interest is charged or calculated more frequently than the time period specified in the interest rate. Effective rate – Interest rate where interest is charged at the same frequency as the interest rate quoted. – Used to convert different nominal rates so that they are comparable. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 3–12 Nominal and Effective Interest Rates (cont.) • The distinction is important when interest is compounded over a period different from that expressed by the interest rate, e.g. more than once a year. • The effective interest rate can be calculated as: m j i 1 1 m where: j nominal rate per period m number of compounding periods which occur during a single nominal period Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 3–13 Example: Effective Annual Interest Rate Example 3.7: Calculate the effective annual interest rates corresponding to 12% p.a., compounding: (a) semi-annually. Solution: Using equation 3.6 m j i 1 1 m 2 2 0.12 1 1 1.06 1 0.1236 (12.36%) 2 Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 3–14 Example: Effective Annual Interest Rate (cont.) Example 3.7 (cont.): Calculate the effective annual interest rates corresponding to 12% p.a., compounding: (b) quarterly. Solution: Using equation 3.6 m j i 1 1 m 4 4 0.12 1 1 1.03 1 0.125509 (12.5509%) 4 Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 3–15 Example: Effective Annual Interest Rate (cont.) Example 3.7 (cont.): Calculate the effective annual interest rates corresponding to 12% p.a., compounding: (c) monthly. Solution: Using equation 3.6 m j i 1 1 m 12 12 0.12 1 1 1.01 1 0.126825 (12.6825%) 12 Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 3–16 Example: Effective Annual Interest Rate (cont.) Example 3.7 (cont.): Calculate the effective annual interest rates corresponding to 12% p.a., compounding: (d) daily. Solution: Using equation 3.6 m j i 1 1 m 0.12 1 365 365 1 0.127475 (12.7475%) Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 3–17 Real Interest Rates • The ‘real interest rate’ is the interest rate after taking out the effects of inflation. • The ‘nominal interest rate’ is the interest rate before taking out the effects of inflation. • The real interest rate (i*) can be found as follows: 1 i i* 1 1 p where: i* real interest rate i nominal interest rate p expected inflation rate Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 3–18 Continuous Interest Rates • ‘Continuous interest’ is a method of calculating interest in which it is charged so frequently that the time period between each charge approaches zero. • Continuous interest is an example of exponential growth: where: S Pe jn S future sum P principal j continuously compounding interest rate per period n number of periods e 2.718 281 828 46 (constant) Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 3–19 A Generalisation: Geometric Rates of Return • The rate of return between two dates, measured by the change in value divided by the earlier value. • The average of a sequence of geometric rates of return is found by a process that resembles compounding. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 3–20 A Generalisation: Geometric Rates of Return (cont.) • ‘Average geometric rate of return’ is also referred to as the ‘average compound rate of return’. 1 n Pn i 1 P0 where: Pn final value or price P0 initial value or price n number of periods Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 3–21 Valuation of Contracts with Multiple Cash Flows • Value additivity – Cash flows occurring at different times cannot be validly added without accounting for timing. – Only cash flows occurring at the same time can be added. – Therefore, it is necessary to convert multiple cash flows into a single equivalent cash flow. – Cash flows can be carried either forward in time (accumulated) or back in time (discounted). Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 3–22 Valuation of Contracts with Multiple Cash Flows (cont.) • Where a cash flow of C dollars occurs on a date t, the value of that cash flow at a future valuation date t* is given by: Vt Ct 1 i * • t *-t This formula takes a cash flow of $C and converts it into a future value. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 3–23 Valuation of Contracts with Multiple Cash Flows (cont.) • Measuring the rate of return – Where there are n cash inflows Ct (t = 1, ..., n), following an initial outflow of C0 , the internal rate of return is that value of r that solves the equation: n 1 r t 1 Ct t C0 0 Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 3–24 Example: Internal Rate of Return • Consider three cash flows: –$1000 today, +$1120 in 1 year, +$25 in 2 years • What is the average rate of return on the initial investment of $1000, taking into account compounding, that is, the IRR? • The IRR is the r that satisfies the following equation: $ 1120 $25 $1000 0 2 1 r 1 r Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 3–25 Example: Internal Rate of Return (cont.) • The answer can be solved for precisely, as the equation is a quadratic equation. • Alternatively, and more generally, trial and error can be used, substituting different values for r. • In practice, this would be done with a computer, using a program such as Excel or Lotus. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 3–26 Example: Internal Rate of Return (cont.) • The solution is, IRR = 14.19%. • This can be confirmed by substituting r = 0.1419. $1120 1 0.1419 $25 1 0.1419 2 $ 1000 $980.82 $19.17 $1000 0 • The result is zero, confirming that the IRR = 14.19% Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 3–27 Annuities • An annuity is a stream of equal cash flows, equally spaced in time. • We consider four types of annuities: – Ordinary annuity – Annuity due – Deferred annuity – Ordinary perpetuity Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 3–28 Ordinary Annuities • Annuities in which the time period from the date of valuation to the date of the first cash flow is equal to the time period between each subsequent cash flow. • Assume that the first cash flow occurs at the end of the first time period: 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 $C $C $C $C $C $C Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 3–29 Valuing Ordinary Annuities • Present value of an ordinary annuity: C 1 P 1 C A n, i n i 1 i where: C annuity cash flow i interest rate per compound period n number of annuity cash flows • Using the present value of annuity tables, values of A(n,i ) for different values of n and i can be found. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 3–30 Example: Ordinary Annuities Example 3.16: • Find the present value of an ordinary annuity of $5000 p.a. for 4 years if the interest rate is 8% p.a. by: • (a) Discounting each individual cash flow. C C C C P 2 3 4 1 i 1 i 1 i 1 i $5000 $5000 $5000 $5000 2 3 1.08 1.08 1.08 1.084 $16 560.63 Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 3–31 Example: Ordinary Annuities (cont.) Example 3.16 (cont.): • Find the present value of an ordinary annuity of $5000 p.a. for 4 years if the interest rate is 8% p.a. by: • (b) Using equation 3.19. C 1 $5000 1 P 1 1 n 4 i 1 i 0.08 1.08 $5000 3.31212684 $16 560.63 Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 3–32 Example: Ordinary Annuities (cont.) Example 3.16 (cont): • Find the present value of an ordinary annuity of $5000 p.a. for 4 years if the interest rate is 8% p.a. by: • (c) Using Table 4, Appendix A and equation 3.20. P C A n, i $5000 3.3121 $16560.50 Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 3–33 Annuity Due • An annuity where the first cash flow is to occur immediately: 0 1 $C $C • 2 $C 3 $C 4 $C 5 $C 6 $C An annuity due of n cash flows is simply an ordinary annuity of (n – 1) cash flows, plus an immediate cash flow of C. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 3–34 Annuity Due (cont.) • The present value of an annuity due: C 1 P C 1 n 1 i 1 i C 1 A n 1, i Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 3–35 Deferred Annuity • Annuity in which the first cash flow is to occur after a time period that exceeds the time period between each subsequent cash flow: 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 $C $C $C $C $C $C Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 3–36 Deferred Annuity (cont.) • Present value of a deferred annuity: P C A n, i 1 i k 1 where: C annuity cash flow i interest rate per compound period n number of annuity cash flows k number of time periods until the first cash flow Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 3–37 Deferred Annuity (cont.) • The present value of a deferred annuity involves taking the present value of an ordinary annuity. • This figure is a present value but, as the annuity is deferred, we need to discount the PV further. • If the first cash flow is k periods into the future, we discount the PV by (k – 1) periods. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 3–38 Ordinary Perpetuity • An ordinary annuity where the cash flows are to continue forever: 0 • 1 $C 2 $C 3 $C 4 $C 5 $C 6 The present value of an ordinary perpetuity: P C i where: C cash flow per period i interest rate per period Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 3–39 Valuing Ordinary Annuities • Future value of an ordinary annuity: C n S 1 i 1 C S n, i i where: C annuity cash flow i interest rate per compound period n number of annuity cash flows • Using the future value of annuity tables, values of S(n,i) for different values of n and i can be found. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 3–40 Example: Ordinary Annuities Example 3.20: • Starting with his next monthly salary, Harold intends to save $200 each month. • If the interest rate is 8.4% p.a., payable monthly, how much will Harold have saved after 2 years? • Solution: Monthly interest rate is 0.4/12 = 0.7%. Using equation 3.28, Harold’s savings will amount to: C n S 1 i 1 i Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 3–41 Example: Ordinary Annuities (cont.) • Substituting the values we have: $200 24 1.007 1 S 0.007 $200 26 .03492507 $5206 .99 • Thus, at the end of 2 years, Harold will have saved $5206.99. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 3–42 Principal-and-Interest Loans • An important application of annuities is to loans involving a sequence of equal cash flows, each of which is sufficient to cover the interest accrued since the previous payment and to reduce the current balance owing. • Such loans can be referred to as: – Principal-and-interest loans – Credit foncier loans – Amortised loans Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 3–43 Principal-and-Interest Loans (cont.) Example 3.22: • Borrow $100 000. • Make 5 years of annual repayments at a fixed interest rate of 11.5% p.a. • What is the annual repayment? • Use the PV of annuity formula: C 1 P 1 n i 1 i Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 3–44 Principal-and-Interest Loans (cont.) Example 3.22 (cont): • Substituting values: C 1 $100, 000 1 5 0.115 1.115 $100, 000 C 3.64988 • Thus, annual repayments on this loan are $27 398.18. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 3–45 Principal-and-Interest Loans (cont.) • Balance owing at a given date – • Equals the present value of the then-remaining repayments Loan term required – Solving for the required loan term n: log C C Pi n log 1 i Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 3–46 Principal-and-Interest Loans (cont.) • Changing the interest rate: – • In some loans (usually called variable interest rate loans), the interest rate can be changed at any time by the lender. Two alternative adjustments can be made: – The lender may set a new required payment which will be calculated as if the new interest rate is fixed for the remaining loan term. – The lender may allow the borrower to continue making the same repayment and, instead, alter the loan term to reflect the new interest rate. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 3–47 General Annuities • Annuity in which the frequency of charging interest does not match the frequency of payment; thus, repayments may be made either more frequently or less frequently than interest is charged. • Link between short period interest rate (iS) and long period interest rate (iL) iL 1 iS 1 m Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 3–48 Summary • Fundamental concepts in financial mathematics include rates of return, simple and compound interest. • Valuation of cash flows: • – Present value of a future cash flow – Future value of a current payment/deposit. Annuities are a special class of regularly spaced fixed cash flows. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 3–49