January 17

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Managing Peace and

Security: Regional and

International Conflict

What is the chapter about?

What were the causes and the consequences of the Iraq-Kuwait conflict?

How was the conflict between Iraq and Kuwait resolved?

How can transnational terrorism be managed?

Remember what we learnt in the last lesson..?

- all countries want to protect their national interests

- conflicts occur when countries do not agree with one another on various issues which might threaten their national interests

Conflict Resolution

Conflicts can be resolved through diplomacy

Conflicts that cannot be solved through peaceful means may lead to war

These conflicts may impact surrounding countries in the region and at times, even the world

Conflict Resolution

Middle East

Middle East

Countries: Bahrain, Cyprus, Egypt,

Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait,

Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia,

Sudan, Syria, Turkey, United Arab

Emirates (UAE), Yemen

Middle East

People: Arabs, Turks, Kurds, Jews

Religions: Islam, Judaism,

Christianity

Kuwait

Sudan

Middle East

Per Capita Income can vary from

US$23,000 in richer nations to

US$800 in poorer nations

Such differences has caused resentment between countries of the middle east

Why is the Middle

East so important to the world?

Why is the Middle East so important to the world?

It is one of the most important oil producing regions in the world

It controls a strategic waterway, the

Suez Canal which links Europe to

Asia

Suez Canal

Iraq

Kuwait

Neighbours

Both former British colonies

Both were under the Ottoman Empire

Iraq and Kuwait

Kuwait granted independence in 1961

Iraq refused to recognise independence

Iraq tried to invade Kuwait in 1960’s but failed

1963 – Iraq gave up claim over Kuwait

Iraq and Kuwait worked together during

Iran-Iraq war

What worsened the relationship between Iraq and Kuwait?

Economic problems in Iraq

- Iraq suffered tremendously during the war with Iran

- It owed about US$80 billion in debts

- Reconstruction of war-torn areas required US$230 billion

What worsened the relationship between Iraq and Kuwait?

Oil production

- Falling oil prices due to overproduction by countries like UAE and Kuwait

- Iraq lost a lot of revenue and blamed UAE and Kuwait for waging an economic war

What worsened the relationship between Iraq and Kuwait?

Dispute over territory

Rumaila Oilfields

Were there attempts to resolve the problems between Iran and Kuwait?

Mediation by the Arab League

Remember ASEAN?

Association of Southeast Asian

Nations

Was mediation successful?

Kuwait agreed to produce oil according to OPEC quota

Iraq still accused Kuwait of having plans to produce more oil

Iraq assured league that as long as negotiations were underway, he would not use force against Kuwait

Was mediation successful?

OPEC ministers agreed to raise the price of oil so that Iraq could make more revenue for its reconstruction efforts

Kuwait agreed to write off Iraq’s debts as well as provide US$500 million as a loan

Kuwait refused to give in to territorial demands

02 AUGUST 1990

Iraq invades Kuwait

Within 2 days, most of the Kuwaiti soldiers had given up

Occupation lasted 7 months until a US led coalition freed Kuwait

This came to be known as the Persian Gulf

War

Persian Gulf War

2 August 1990 – 28 February 1991

Saddam Hussein Abd al-

Majid al-Tikriti

George Herbert Walker Bush

Why War?

Sunni Muslim

Worried about Shi’a uprising

Saw himself as a great leader

Needed to improve situation in Iraq

Why War?

Hussien Misread US position

Did not think America would go to war over Kuwait

Reactions to the invasion

-

-

-

Fear of Iraqi dominance

- Iraq would control 20% of world’s oil production

Saudi Arabia was worried

World was worried for Saudi Arabia

No ‘Arab Solution’

Reactions to the invasion

-

-

-

-

US decided to intervene in the interest of its ally, Saudi Arabia

(Operation Desert Shield)

More than 30 countries took part in the coalition to liberate Kuwait

UN passed resolution demanding

Iraq to withdraw

Economic Sanctions on Iraq

Timeline

August 2, #1

Iraq invades Kuwait and seizes Kuwaiti oil fields. Kuwait's emir flees. Iraq masses troops along the Saudi bordr. U.N. condemns Iraq's invasion and demands withdrawl.

Timeline

August 9, #2

First U.S. military forces arrive in

Saudi Arabia. U.N. declares Iraqi annexation of Kuwait void.

December 17

U.N. sets deadline for Iraqi withdrawal on January 15, 1991.

Hussein rejects all U.N. resolutions.

Timeline

August 9, #2

First U.S. military forces arrive in

Saudi Arabia. U.N. declares Iraqi annexation of Kuwait void.

Timeline

January 17

Operation Desert Storm begins at 3 a.m. Baghdad time.

Timeline

January 19, #3

First scud missiles strike Israel.

Timeline

February 26, #8

Hussein announces Iraq's withdrawal from Kuwait.

Timeline

War ended with Iraq accepting all UN resolutions.

Was the use of force the only solution?

Diplomacy did not work (Saddam’s defiance)

Impact of sanctions would take too long to be of consequence

Impact of the conflict

Casualties (both civillian and military)

Destruction of Iraqi military capability

Political instability (Kurds)

Suffering of Iraqis

Impact of the conflict

Environmental catastrophe

Impact of the conflict

Displacement of foreign workers

(large no. of workers from

Bangladesh, India, Egypt, the

Philippines, Palestine)

Why do nations go to war?

What motivated the Western decision to go to war in the Gulf?

What motivated Iraq to invade Kuwait?

Why was oil an important factor in the war? Were other factors involved?

How do we distinguish between acts of aggression and acts of defense?

How do we decide what stategy to respond with?

(sanctions, force, etc.)

What role should the United Nations play in conflict situations?

What do leaders need to consider before going to war?

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