International Trade Slide 1-1 Text book International Economics:Theory and Policy(7ed) Paul R. Krugman Maurice Obstfeld Slide 1-2 Chapter 1 Introduction About This Course… Principle of Economics Theoretical Economics vs. Applied Economics About Mathematics Our stress: concepts & applications Lecture: week 6-19; Test: week 20 Attendance Assignments & Class Discussions Slide 1-4 BRIEF CONTENTS PREFACE 1 Introduction PART I INTERNATIONAL TRADE THEORY 2 World Trade: An Overview 3 Labor Productivity and Comparative Advantage: The Ricardian Model 4 Resources, Comparative Advantage and Income Distribution 5 The Standard Trade Model 6 Economies of Scale, Imperfect Competition, and International Trade 7 International Factor Movements 5 Slide 1-5 BRIEF CONTENTS PART II INTERNATIONAL TRADE POLICY 8 The Instruments of Trade Policy 9 The Political Economy of Trade Policy 10 Trade Policy in Developing Countries 11 Controversies in Trade Policy 6 Slide 1-6 Why are we caring about International trade? Slide 1-7 Fig 1-1 Slide 1-8 Trade Openness Slide 1-9 Exports and Imports of China Billion Billion Dollars dollars exports,imports 1500 Export Export 1000 Import 500 0 Import 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 year(1978-2008) 1 Slide 1-10 Introduction What is International Economics About? International Economics: Trade and Money Slide 1-11 What is International Economics About? International trade deals with economic interactions that occur between sovereign nations. (eg. Trade between U.S. & Mexico; Shanghai & Beijing?) • The role of governments in regulating international trade and investment is substantial. • Analytically, international markets allow governments to discriminate against a subgroup of companies. • Governments also control the supply of currency. Slide 1-12 1.What Is International Economics About? Micro-part The Gains from Trade The Pattern of Trade 1 Protectionism Slide 1-13 What is International Economics About? The Gains from Trade • Can & cannot produce by itself. • Why import when a good could be produced domestically? • When countries sell goods and services to one another, all countries benefit. (ch3, productivity & wage; ch4, production factor abundance; ch6, economies of scale Specialization & effieicncy _tangible goods ch7, factor movements: international migration & borrowing and lending._intangible goods) • Trade and income distribution – International trade might hurt some groups within nations. (eg. specific resources owners; labor and capital owners) – Trade, technology, and wages of high and low-skilled workers. (disputs) (ch4,ch5) Slide 1-14 What is International Economics About? The Pattern of Trade (Who trade with whom or sells what to whom?) – Climate and resources determine the trade pattern of several goods. – In manufacturing and services the pattern of trade is more subtle. (eg. Japan for autos vs. U.S. for aircraft? ) -International difference in labor productivity.(ch3, Ricardo,19C) -The relative supply & use of national resources such as capital, labor, and land.(ch4,20C, powerful but controversial) -A substantial random component.(ch6, economy of scale, market structure, policy etc.) – There are two types of trade » Interindustry trade depends on differences across countries. » Intraindustry trade depends on market size and occurs among similar countries. Slide 1-15 What is International Economics About? Protectionism? (How much to trade?) • Globalization: for or against? (NAFTA vs. EU? WTO negotiation, ASIA…) (Seattle) • Cost-benefit analysis? Many governments are trying to shield certain industries from international competition. (eg. Export subsidizing or import quota) • Government interventions: politics. (ch4 income distribution effects; ch9-11 power within countries matters) • This has created the debate dealing with the costs and benefits of protection relative to free trade. – Advanced countries’ policies engage in industrial targeting. – Developing countries’ policies promote industrialization: – Import substitution versus export promotion industrialization. Slide 1-16 What is International Economics About? The Balance of Payments • Some countries run large trade surpluses. – For example, in 1998 both China and South Korea ran trade surpluses of about $40 billion each. • Global Imbalance • Is it good to run a trade surplus and bad to run a trade deficit? Exchange Rate Determination • The role of changing (floating) exchange rates is at the center of international economics. Slide 1-17 What is International Economics About? International Policy Coordination • A fundamental problem in international economics is how to produce an acceptable degree of harmony among the international trade and monetary policies of different countries without a world government that tells countries what to do. The International Capital Market • There are risks associated with international capital markets: – Currency depreciation (even contagious) – National default Slide 1-18 Macro-part The Balance of Payments International Policy Coordination The International Capital Market Exchange Rate Determination 19 返回 Slide 1-19 2.International Economics: Trade and Money International Economics Our Focus International Trade (real transactions) International Money (financial transactions) 20 Slide 1-20 International Economics: Trade and Money International trade analysis focuses primarily on the real transactions in the international economy. • These transactions involve a physical movement of goods or a tangible commitment of economic resources. – Example: The conflict between the United States and Europe over Europe’s subsidized exports of agricultural products. – Antidumping case. Customs duties. Cow diseases… Slide 1-21 International Economics: Trade and Money International monetary analysis focuses on the monetary side of the international economy. • That is, financial transactions such as foreign purchases of U.S. dollars. – Example: The dispute over whether the foreign exchange value of the dollar should be allowed to float freely or be stabilized by government action. – Should RMB appreciate ? Is it undervalued? If yes, how much is it undervalued? Slide 1-22 International Economics: Trade and Money International trade issues • Part I: International Trade Theory • Part II: International Trade Policy International monetary issues • Part III: Exchange Rates and Open-Economy Macroeconomics • Part IV: International Macroeconomic Policy Slide 1-23