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GOES-R Proving Ground Activities at the

NWS Storm Prediction Center

Dr. Russell S. Schneider

Chief, Science Support Branch

NWS Storm Prediction Center

Chris Siewert

GOES-R Proving Ground (Norman)

NESDIS Supported OU-CIMMS Research Associate

NWS Storm Prediction Center

GOES-R Proving Ground Meeting – May 2009

“Where America’s Weather and Climate Services Begin”

“The Storm Prediction Center exists solely to protect the life and property of the American people through the issuance of timely, accurate watch and forecast products dealing with tornadoes and other hazardous mesoscale weather phenomena.”

Worcester, Mass: 9 June 1953

F4: 90 Killed, 1288 Injured,

10,000 Homeless, 46 Mile Path

115 killed in Flint: 8 June 1953

114 killed in Waco: 11 May 1953

Chicago Area Outbreak: 21 April 1967

Belvidere F4: 90 Killed, 1288 injured,

10,000 Homeless, 46 Mile Path

Oak lawn F4: 33 killed 500+ injured

Storm Prediction Center

Hazardous Phenomena

• Tornadoes, Hail & Wind

Fire weather (Day 1- 8)

• Winter weather

Excessive rainfall

National Weather Center

• Co-location !!!

SPC

WFO Norman

NSSL

WDTB

• CIMMS

• OU School of

Meteorology

• CAPS, OCS

• Private Sector

(nearby)

NOAA Hazardous

Weather Testbed

Two Main Program Areas…

E xperimental

F orecast

P rogram

EFP

Prediction of hazardous weather events from a few hours to a week in advance

EWP

E xperimental

W arning

P rogram

Detection and prediction of hazardous weather events up to several hours in advance

Establishing the “Culture of Collaboration”

A glance at pioneering Collaborative Projects between NSSL and the local NWS forecast office (WFO-OUN)

Late ’70s

1985 1989 1994-95 1996

JDOP

Early algorithms

DOPLIGHT

Pre-STORM

NEXRAD

IOT&E II

MAPS,

COPS,

QED,

Pre-AWIPS

VORTEX

WDSS

1997

AWIPS

2001 +

WDSS II,

JPOL,

COMET,

IHOP,

Dual Pol,

TIMEX,

STEPS,

PAR,

SHAVE,

ProbWarn

3

Kansas

City

Norman

SPC Arrives…Spring Experiments begin…

1997 2000 - 2001

SE

2002

Spring Experiments

SE

2003

SE

2004 - 2005

Winter

Weather

Experiment IHOP

Convective parameterization forecasting support

Mesoscale

Ensembles

Convection-

Allowing

WRF model forecasts

SE

2006

SE

2007 - 2008

Convection-

Allowing ensembles

4

NOAA Hazardous Weather Test Bed

• HWT – Experimental Forecast Program Objectives

• Advance the science of weather forecasting and prediction of severe convective weather consistent with NOAA strategic goals

• Enhance collaboration between researchers and forecasters on topics of mutual interest through real-time forecasting and evaluation activities during active severe weather

• Provide for thorough examination and efficient delivery of scientific advances for SPC and NWS operations

Disciplined collaboration to advance forecast operations

HWT-EFP Spring Experiments http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/projects/hwt/index.html

When:

• 8 am to 4 pm M-F from 3 rd week of April into 1 st week of June

Where:

In National Weather Center HWT between OUN and SPC

Participation:

~ 60 researchers and forecasters from U.S. and international government agencies, academia, and the private sector

6-10 active participants at any time

Adding the GOES-R Proving Ground

• First year of a multi-year effort

• Year 1: focus on core product developers

• Year 2: add WFO, SPC and NESDIS forecasters

• Year 3: add diverse satellite specialists

• Goals

• Day 1 product testing & risk reduction

• Ingest, display, training, integration, evaluation

• Day 2 product ideas through focused collaboration

• Aid successful AWIPS-2 integration

• Bring a satellite perspective to the heart of radar country

Initial Products & Examples

• 3 GOES-R PG products currently available at the

SPC-HWT

• Cloud-top Cooling Rate (UW-CIMSS)

• Convective Initiation (CI) Nowcast (UW-CIMSS)

• 10-km Total Lighting (SPoRT)

• Goal:

• Provide product developers with useful feedback on product usefulness/performance through detailed interactions with forecasters

• Daily & Weekly Schedule (2009)

Opportunities to Grow

2010 Plans:

• Invitations &Announcements in January & February

• Experiment likely begins in late April

• Expanded product suite & participation

• including WFO invitations through SSD Chiefs

Visits

• Mix core one week participants & multiday “drop ins”

• Build multi faceted collaborative environment

• Integration with other HWT components including V2

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