The Financing of Gas Projects Enrico Grassi Principal Banker, Natural Resources EBRD EBRD – Who are we? 24 International financial institution, owned by 60 countries and two inter-governmental institutions 18 Promotes transition to market-based economies in 27 countries from central Europe to central Asia 12 6 Capital base of € 20 billion 0 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 Cumulative commitments € 21.7 billion 2 EBRD facilities Guarantees Loans All risk guarantees Specific risk guarantees (e.g. political) Project specific Hard/local currency Commodity-backed instruments Medium and long term Trade facilitation programme Floating/fixed rates Non/partial recourse to sponsors 3 Equity New equity Privatisation Quasi-equity EBRD Natural Resources portfolio €1.7 billion committed to €10 billion projects Future portfolio will be more diversified: – 60% oil / 40% gas Metal Ore Mining 14% Petroleum Pipeline Refineries Transportation – 20% pipeline and 11% downstream projects 6% – significant growth in “regional” projects involving several countries 69% Oil and Gas Extraction 4 The Financing Gas/LNG Projects 5 Why the world go for Natural Gas? Improvements in combined cycle gas turbine power generation drove increase in gas consumption Environmental concerns Concerns regarding stable oil supplies Reduction in investment requested along the whole chain Big gas reserves in the oil companies books 6 How to bring gas to the market which is far? The answer is LNG 7 What are the challenges to the market players who want to participate in LNG rush? (1) LNG projects require huge investments and have long payoff periods: today prices are high but what may happen if they collapse? High gas prices is good news for the oil companies not for consumers: will the market reconsider coal and re-evaluate nuclear power? 8 What are the challenges to the market players who want to participate in LNG rush? (2) LNG prices have been historically indexed to oil but more and more starting being priced against hub gas prices: how to understand the trend of “new” pricing? Market see many greenfield projects: to which extent the financial world will accept the risk and on which terms? 9 How LNG market has changed in the recent years? Contracts are characterised today by flexibility in: destination volumes duration Development of the spot market Shipping arrangements are moving from DES to FOB 10 Why oil companies look for MLA/ECAs financing? To share the risk and to receive: Political cover Longer maturities Flexible repayment profile Leadership in large scale financing Knowledge of and experience in gas/LNG projects 11 What are the classic challenges in financing gas and LNG projects? (1) Construction / Completion Risk – contractual structure (delays, cost over-runs, etc.) Operational Risk – technological integration and experience / viability Utilisation / Supply Risk – type of throughput arrangement – fundamentals (Market/Competition) 12 What are the classic challenges in financing gas and LNG projects? (2) Competition / Market – effect of oil price (linked to gas and oil products) – regional supply / demand – impact on tariff Political & Regulatory Risks – regulatory intervention (tariffs & export volumes) – political turmoil / disputes / violence / nationalisation – discriminatory taxation 13 Risks and their mitigation Economic & financial – minimised through financial package and due diligence Technical risks – reliance on strong and technically competent sponsor Environmental risks – sponsor commitment to appropriate guidelines Political risks – minimised through involvement of IFI’s and ECA’s 14 Available Financing Sources Equity – Strategic investors – Investment funds – IFI’s Debt Financing – – – – (oil and gas majors) (limited scope) (EBRD, IFC) IFI's (EBRD, IFC) EIB Commercial banks ECAs (own funds) (European portion) (participating in IFI B Loans) (Hermes, Coface, JBIC, Exim…) Capital Markets – Equity (IPO's) – Bonds 15 Debt as Financing Source Loans – Tailor made instruments with negotiated conditions – Bank lenders familiar with different structures Bonds – Relatively rapid issuance process – No covenants for straight instruments – Tradable instruments – But lack of flexibility 16 Sakhalin II Project (1 of 3) Each LNG project consists of a continuous chain of activities linking the gas production to the gas user Production Oil & Gas field development and pipelines Liquefaction LNG plant and oil & LNG export terminal Shipping LNG tankers Regasification LNG receiving terminal 17 This Project Sakhalin II Project (2 of 3) Russian RussianFederation Federation Sakhalin SakhalinOblast Oblast Shell ShellPetroleum PetroleumNV NV 100% 100% Shell ShellSakhalin Sakhalin Holdings HoldingsB.V. B.V. 55% Mitsui MitsuiSakhalin Sakhalin Holdings HoldingsB.V. B.V. 25% ProductionSharing Sharing Production Agreement(1994) (1994) Agreement Supervisory Supervisory Board Board Mitsui Mitsui&&Co. Co.Ltd Ltd Mitsubishi MitsubishiCorp. Corp. 100% Diamond DiamondGas Gas Sakhalin SakhalinB.V. B.V. 20% Shareholders Shareholders Agreement Agreement Sakhalin Energy Investment Company Ltd. 18 Sakhalin II Project (3 of 3) Detail 1 PA-B Okha Nikolayevsk na-Amure Detail 1 Piltun Boatasyn Oil & Gas pipelines stretching the length of the island 172 km Piltun shoreline to OPF DeKastri Russia 41 km PA-B to shore 14” Gas Line 14” Oil Line Onshore Tie-in point with pig traps for all pipelines PA-A 17.5 km PA-A to shore Nogliki Katangli 20” Oil Line 20” Gas Line Detail 2 Nysh Boatasyn AleksandrovskSakhalinskiy 20” Oil line Sakhalin Island 636 km 48” Gas Line 636 km 24” Oil Line Poronaysk Gas Compression (BS#2) Oil Booster (BS#2) Additional offshore platform Detail 2 20” Gas line 172 km onshore to OPF 4.5” glycol return BS#1 48” Gas OPF Nysh 636 km OPF to OET LNG Plant YuzhnoSakhalinsk LNG Tanker 19 2 x 30” multiphase Development of Lunskoye gas field through offshore platform 24” Oil Domestic Supply Off-Take Detail 3 24” Liquid Line 48” Gas Line Oil Export Terminal 36” 5.5 km Loading Line Detail 3 LUN-A TLU Construction of LNG plant and oil export terminal Shah Deniz Project – Overview (1 of 4) Reserves: proven and probable gas-in-place of approximately 31 trillion cubic feet (tcf) – world class reserves; likelihood of an additional 22 tcf Project: 4-stage development of the Shah Deniz gas and condensate field with Stage 1 cost of USD 2.3 billion Local participation: State Oil Company of Azerbaijan Republic (SOCAR) also holds a 10% interest in this project (through AzSD: EBRD will part-finance their cash calls) 20 South Caucasus Pipeline – Overview (2 of 4) Pipeline route: a 690 km gas pipeline starting at the Sangachal Terminal, traversing Azerbaijan and Georgia and connecting with the BOTAS domestic gas distribution system at the Georgian-Turkish border Construction & timing: SCP’s Right of Way runs parallel to BTC and construction of SCP will occur concurrently with that of BTC Capacity & cost: a peak capacity of over 20 billion cubic feet (bcf) per annum and will cost over USD 1 billion 21 South Caucasus Pipeline – Route (3 of 4) 22 SD and SCP Project – Sponsors (4 of 4) BP (25.5%) Statoil (25.5%) TotalFinaElf (10%) SOCAR (10%) NICO (10%) TPAO (9%) Lukoil (10%) 23 Contact Details Enrico G. Grassi Principal Banker Natural Resources Team European Bank for Reconstruction and Development 1 Exchange Square London, EC2A 2JN Tel. 44 (0)20 7338 6179 Fax 44 (0)20 7338 6101 Email: GrassiE@ebrd.com 24 More information: www.ebrd.com 25