Economic Commission
for Europe
Energy Efficiency
Development up
to 2030
Gianluca Sambucini
Warsaw, 22-23 November
2005
Energy Efficiency Development
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Energy Efficiency Development up to 2030
(International Energy Agency’s analysis)
UNECE Energy Efficiency 21 Project
EE Development up to 2030
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Objective: assess the prospects to 2030 for
energy markets
Different scenarios: reference scenario,
alternative policy scenario
Results: importance of governments policies
and commitments in the energy field
Source: International Energy Agency
EE Development up to 2030
Reference scenario
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Hyp: no reforms and investments to change
current supply/consumption trends
Projections for 2002-2030:
raise of global energy demand
increase in the use of fossil fuels
augment of carbon dioxide emissions
EE Development up to 2030
Reference scenario: growth in energy demand and
CO2 emissions
2.5%
2.0%
1.5%
1.0%
0.5%
0.0%
1971-2002
Energy demand
2002-2030
CO2 emissions
EE Development up to 2030
Alternative policy scenario
 Hyp: governments undertake actions for a
sustainable energy path
 Projections for 2002-2030 (compared to
Reference Scenario):
 Lower level of global energy demand
 Reduction in the use of fossil fuels
 Lower level of carbon emissions
EE Development up to 2030
17 000
16 000
15 000
Reference Scenario
14 000
13 000
Mtoe
Primary
Energy
Demand in
2 scenarios
12 000
Alternative Policy Scenario
11 000
10 000
9 0000
˜
8 000
-1
-2
7 000
2000
2005
Coal
2010
Oil
2015
Gas
2020
Nuclear
2025
Renewables
2030
EE Development up to 2030
40 000
Mt of CO 2
CO2
Emissions
in 2
scenarios
35 000
30 000
25 000
20 000
1990
2000
Reference Scenario
2010
2020
Alternative Scenario
2030
EE Development up to 2030
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Results:
Importance of energy reforms and investments in
the energy field:
 Energy security policies
 Investments in cleaner technologies, energy
efficiency, renewable resources
UNECE- Energy Efficiency 21
Project
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Launched in 1991 - 4 three-year phases
Enhance East-West Trade and Co-operation
Improve Capacities and Networking
Policy Reforms
Financing Energy Efficiency Investments
Energy Efficiency 21
General Objective
Enhance regional cooperation on
energy efficiency market formation and
investment project development to
reduce greenhouse gas emissions in
economies in transition
Energy Efficiency 21
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Regular Budget and Trust Fund
US$ 200,000 per year
US$ 2 million UN Foundation & Partners
US$ 1.75 million UN General Assembly
€ 400,000 European Commission – SAVE
RENEUER USAID and USDOE
Energy Efficiency 21
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10,000 Experts, 150 Events, 43 Countries
250,000 m2 Exhibition, 38 Locations
Website 125,000 Hits 6000 Visits per year
US$ 60 million in 30 Business Plans
US$ 9 million approved World Bank & Norway
US$ 15 million EBRD Moscow
Energy Efficiency 21
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Carbon Emissions Trading Handbook
Guide to Investors in Energy Efficiency and
Climate Change Projects
Review of Multilateral Institutions
Energy Efficiency Standards e-Book
Guide to Energy Efficiency Policies
Financing Investments
2000-2003
 Training Courses
 Business Plans
 Policy Reforms
 Project Finance
 Investments
2003-2006
 Investment Fund
 Project Criteria
 Policy Reforms
 Training Courses
 Business Plans
Energy Efficiency 21- New Phase
(2006-2009)
Objectives:
1. Establish a public-private partnership fund;
2. Develop the skills at the local level to identify,
design and submit bankable projects;
3. Assistance to municipal and national
administrations to introduce needed reforms.
Energy Efficiency 21- New Phase
(2006-2009)
Main co-financing partners:
1. UN Foundation (US$ 2 million approved in
June 2004)
2. FFEM (€ Euro 2 million approved in March
2005)
3. GEF- UNEP (US$ 3 million, approved in
November 2005).
Energy Efficiency 21- New Phase
(2006-2009)
Financing Investments
1. Public Private Partnership
2. Dedicated Fund
3. SwissRe, CDC IXIS, EBRD
4. Project Selection Criteria
5. EE21 Project Preparation
6. Disseminate Experience to Network
Energy Efficiency 21 - Next Steps
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Project Meeting 1-2 December
Project Document’s drafting
First half of 2006 Project Operations Begin for
a three-year phase
EE21- contacts
Gianluca Sambucini
Energy Efficiency 21 (EE21)
United Nations Economic Commission for Europe
Palais des Nations Bureau 348
CH - 1211 Geneva 10, Switzerland
Tel:+41 (0)22 917 1175; Fax:+41 (0)22 917 0178
E-mail:
gianluca.sambucini@unece.org;
Web sites: www.unece.org/ie/, www.ee-21.net