Results Framework on Sustainable Transport From MDG to SDG: Towards a New Paradigm at Habitat III! Sustainable Cities & Human Settlements in the Post-2015 UN Development Agenda Habitat III PrepCom Side Event, 17 September 2014, United Nations, Conference Room D, 8.30-9.30am Michael Replogle Institute for Transportation and Development Policy Need for Paradigm shift on development of transport Predict and Provide Build Roads to promote economic and social development Road safety 1.3 million deaths Air Pollution 3 million deaths (large part transport) Climate change – transport GHG fast growing Congestion Access not inclusive – large groups no access (urban and rural) Negative externalities of old paradigm: 6-10% of GDP at least 50 Trillion USD up to 2030 SLoCaT Results Framework Improving Access Rural Access Secure universal access by sustainable transport for rural populations by 2030 Urban Access Target Secure universal access by sustainable transport for urban populations by 2030 National Access and Regional Connectivity Facilitate national inclusion and regional connectivity by sustainable multi-modal freight and passenger services by 2030 SLoCaT Results Framework Reducing Negative Externalities Road Safety Halve road traffic deaths by 2030 compared to 2010 Air Pollution and Human Health Halve premature deaths from road related traffic air pollution by 2030 compared to 2010 GHG Emissions Total world transport-related GHG emissions peak no later than 2020 then begin to decline at 2% per year rate, with 2030 transport-related emissions no higher than 2010 emissions SLoCaT Targets vis-à-vis proposed SDGs Rural Access Road Safety Urban Access Target Air Pollution and Human Health National Access and Regional Connectivity GHG Emissions Proposed goal 11. Make cities and human settlements inclusive, safe, resilient and sustainable Proposed goal 2. End hunger, achieve food security and improved nutrition, and promote sustainable agriculture Proposed goal 3. Ensure healthy lives and promote well-being for all at all ages Proposed goal 7. Ensure access to affordable, reliable, sustainable and modern energy for all Proposed Goal 9: Built resilient infrastructure, promote inclusive and sustainable industrialization and foster innovation Proposed goal 12. Ensure sustainable consumption and production patterns Proposed goal 13. Take urgent action to combat climate change and its impacts Transportation Has Long Been on the UN Urban Agenda Agenda 21: 1992 UN Conference in Environment and Development Transportation strategies should reduce the need for the motor vehicles by favouring high-occupancy public transport, and providing safe bicycle and footpaths. Municipalities need to be developed in ways that reduce the need for long-distance commuting… Developing countries need financial and technical assistance to help train experts in such fields as urban planning,…and clean, efficient transportation. (Sec.1, Ch.7) Agenda 21: 1992 UN Conference in Environment and Development Transportation is essential for economic and social development, and the need will undoubtedly increase, but this activity is also a source of atmospheric emissions. Governments should: • Promote national energy efficiency and emission standards, and increase public awareness of environmentally sound energy systems. • Develop efficient, cost-effective, less polluting and safer rural and urban mass transit, along with environmentally sound road networks. • Encourage forms of transportation that minimize emissions and harmful effects on the environment. • Plan urban and regional settlements to reduce the environmental impacts of transport. (Sec.2, Ch.9) Johannesburg Plan of Implementation, 2002 UN World Summit on Sustainable Development Followed example of Agenda 21… Promote an integrated approach to policy-making at the national, regional and local levels for transport services and systems to promote sustainable development, including policies and planning for land use, infrastructure, public transport systems and goods delivery networks, with a view to providing safe, affordable and efficient transportation, increasing energy efficiency, reducing pollution, reducing congestion, reducing adverse health effects and limiting urban sprawl, taking into account national priorities and circumstances. Johannesburg Plan of Implementation, 2002 UN World Summit on Sustainable Development This would include actions at all levels to: (a) Implement transport strategies for sustainable development, reflecting specific regional, national and local conditions, so as to improve the affordability, efficiency and convenience of transportation, as well as improving urban air quality and health, and reduce greenhouse gas emissions, including through the development of better vehicle technologies that are more environmentally sound, affordable and socially acceptable; (b) Promote investment and partnerships for the development of sustainable, energy efficient multi-modal transportation systems, including public mass transportation systems and better transportation systems in rural areas, with technical and financial assistance for developing countries and countries with economies in transition. Commission on Sustainable Development There is a strong need for adequate and efficient, economically viable, socially acceptable and environmentally sound transport systems, especially in developing countries, where accessibility and affordability are important for the eradication of poverty, improving access to social services and access to employment opportunities. Prospects for achieving sustainable development depend on taking transport into account in urban and rural planning, public infrastructure decisions, and policies and measures to eradicate poverty and promote gender equality. (CSD Decision 9/3 (2003)) Millenium Development Goals Passenger Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger Achieve Universal primary education Promote gender equality and empower women Transport Reduce Child Mortality Improve Maternal Health Combat HIV/AIDS, Malaria and other dieseases Ensure Environmental Sustainability Freight Develop a Global Partnership for Development Still Rising • • • • • • Traffic deaths Traffic related air pollution Inequality of access Non-renewable fossil fuel use Transport GHG emissions Lock-in of high carbon, unsustainable transport and urban development patterns • Motor vehicle dependence • Private motor vehicle trip share Also Rising • National urban transport laws, policies, funding programs • Stringency of motor vehicle emission standards • Stringency of motor vehicle fuel economy standards • Efforts to cut fossil fuel subsidies • High quality Bus Rapid Transit • Public bike programs • Parking reforms • Green logistics initiatives • Awareness that sustainable transport is vital enabler of sustainable development Integrated Mobility and Access Management Demand side Supply side New highways Adding lanes HOV lanes Traffic operations Expanded rail systems Toll roads Public bike systems BRT systems HOT lanes Integrated Housing Policy Integrated Land Use Traffic calming Public transport priority Parking control Congestion charges Information systems Taxation policy What Is Needed to Take Sustainable Transport to Scale? Effective means of implementation • Financial capacity where the work must be done • Smart prioritization of spending and borrowing • Institutional capacity: national/regional/local • Interagency coordination/integrated planning • Institutional support to develop the pipeline of investable sustainable transport initiatives • Data collection, monitoring, analysis, reporting • Engagement with civil society and other partners to support disruptive collaborations Finance Framework on Sustainable Transport 1. Pass-on costs to Users 2. Redirect Public Sector Funding 3. Leverage – engage private sector funding 4. Redirect ODA 5. Better utilization of climate finance Redirect Priority to Where it should be Open Working Group Recommended Sustainable Development Goal on Cities and Human Settlements Includes Target 11.2 -- By 2030, provide access to safe, affordable, accessible and sustainable transport systems for all, improving road safety, notably by expanding public transport, with special attention to the needs of those in vulnerable situations, women, children, persons with disabilities and older persons. How Could Target 11.2 Be Improved? By 2030, provide access to safe, affordable, accessible, clean, and energy-efficient [sustainable] transport systems for all, improving road safety, [notably by] expanding public transport, enhancing goods movement, walking, and cycling, with [special] attention to the needs of those in vulnerable situations, women, children, persons with disabilities and older persons Possible Indicators for Target 11.2 • Rapid public transport (rail and BRT) km per million urban population (by mode) • Mean daily travel time for people by mode (by income quintile) • Share of income spent by urban families on transport (by income quintile) • Share of trips by public transport, cycling, walking, and other sustainable modes, and motor vehicle occupancy (by income quintile) • Average trip length in km in metropolitan areas (by mode) • Average load factor for freight vehicles (by vehicle class) • Share of streets, public transport vehicles, public transport stops, and buildings accessible to persons with disabilities • Number of assaults on public transport vehicles (by sex) Possible Secondary Indicators for Target 11.2 • Share of people living within 500 meters of public transit running at least every 20 minutes during peak times (by income quintile) • Number of freight consolidation centers • Number of public bicycles and population served by public bikes • Km of cycleways (protected and dedicated lanes) • Share of urban dwellers engaging in outdoor physical exercise • Intersection density and average block size • Change in urban land area vs. change in urban population • Share of streets with connected sidewalks • Share of blocks with heterogeneous land uses (shops, homes) • Floor area ratio of developed land Transport Tackles Climate Change @ Transport Day 2014 www.slocat.net/transportday2014 © Global Fuel Economy Initiative December 7th, 2014 Sheraton Lima Hotel, Lima, Peru Organized by: For more information on SLoCaT: Cornie Huizenga, Secretary General Partnership on Sustainable Low Carbon Transport www.slocat.net Supported by: