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Introduction to Risk and Return > Implications Across Portfolios
Implications Across Portfolios
• Calculating Expected Portfolio Returns
• Portfolio Risk
• Beta Coefficient for Portfolios
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Introduction to Risk and Return > Implications Across Portfolios
Calculating Expected Portfolio Returns
• To calculate the expected return of a portfolio, you need to know the expected
return and weight of each asset in a portfolio.
• The figure is found by multiplying each asset's weight with its expected return,
and then adding up all those figures at the end.
• These estimates are based on the assumption that what we have seen in the past
is what we can expect in the future, and ignores a structural view on the market.
A Fruitful Portfolio
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Introduction to Risk and Return > Implications Across Portfolios
Portfolio Risk
• Portfolios that are efficient investments are those that effectively diversify the
underlying risk away and price their investment efficiently.
• Portfolio risk takes into account the risk and weight of each individual position and
also the co-variances across different positions.
• To calculate the risk of a portfolio, you need each asset's variance along with a
matrix of cross-asset correlations.
Variance of any portfolio
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Introduction to Risk and Return > Implications Across Portfolios
Beta Coefficient for Portfolios
• In individual stocks, a beta coefficient compares how much a particular stock
fluctuates in value on a day-to-day basis.
• A beta coefficient for a portfolio of assets measures how that portfolio value
changes compared to a benchmark, like the S&P 500. A value of 1 suggests that
it fluctuates as much as the index and in the same direction.
• A beta coefficient of less than 1 suggests a portfolio that fluctuates less than the
benchmark. A negative beta is an indication that a portfolio moves in the opposite
direction of its benchmark.
Calculating Beta
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Appendix
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Introduction to Risk and Return
Key terms
• Co-Variance In probability theory and statistics, co-variance is a measure of how much two random variables change together.
• Normalized variable In statistics, a normalized variable is one that is calculated using a ratio of itself and some benchmark
figure. Normalized figures tend to be smaller than the original values.
• portfolio The group of investments and other assets held by an investor.
• risk The potential (conventionally negative) impact of an event, determined by combining the likelihood of the event occurring
with the impact, should it occur.
• weighted average In statistics, a weighted average is an average that takes each object and calculates the product of its weight
and its figure and sums all of these products to produce one average. It is implied that all the individual weights add to 1.
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Introduction to Risk and Return
Variance of any portfolio
The formula shows that the overall variance in a portfolio is the sum of each individual variance along with the cross-asset correlations.
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Introduction to Risk and Return
A Fruitful Portfolio
How would you calculate the expected return on this portfolio?
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Introduction to Risk and Return
Calculating Beta
Two hypothetical portfolios; what do you think each Beta value is?
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Introduction to Risk and Return
A portfolio is composed of 30% stock, 20% bonds, and 50%
mutual funds. The stock is expected to have a 10% return, the
bonds a 5% return and the mutual funds a 7% return. What is the
expected return of the portfolio?
A) 7.3%
B) 7.5%
C) 7%
D) 8.1%
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Introduction to Risk and Return
A portfolio is composed of 30% stock, 20% bonds, and 50%
mutual funds. The stock is expected to have a 10% return, the
bonds a 5% return and the mutual funds a 7% return. What is the
expected return of the portfolio?
A) 7.3%
B) 7.5%
C) 7%
D) 8.1%
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Boundless - LO. "Boundless." CC BY-SA 3.0 http://www.boundless.com/
Introduction to Risk and Return
A portfolio is composed of 80% stock and 20% bonds. The
variance of stock is 170 and the variance of bonds is 140. The
covariance is 30. What is the portfolio's variance?
A) 114
B) 101
C) 119
D) 168
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Introduction to Risk and Return
A portfolio is composed of 80% stock and 20% bonds. The
variance of stock is 170 and the variance of bonds is 140. The
covariance is 30. What is the portfolio's variance?
A) 114
B) 101
C) 119
D) 168
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Boundless - LO. "Boundless." CC BY-SA 3.0 http://www.boundless.com/
Introduction to Risk and Return
Over a period of three days, a company stock increased by 4%,
decreased by _______%, then increased by 6%. During that
same period, the Dow Jones increased by _______%, decreased
by 1% , and then increased by 3%. What is the company's beta?
A) 2
B) -2
C) 0.5
D) -0.5
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Introduction to Risk and Return
Over a period of three days, a company stock increased by 4%,
decreased by _______%, then increased by 6%. During that
same period, the Dow Jones increased by _______%, decreased
by 1% , and then increased by 3%. What is the company's beta?
A) 2
B) -2
C) 0.5
D) -0.5
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Introduction to Risk and Return
Under the capital asset pricing model (CAPM), what beta value is
considered risky?
A) A beta above 1
B) A beta equal to 0
C) A beta between 0 and 1
D) None of these
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Introduction to Risk and Return
Under the capital asset pricing model (CAPM), what beta value is
considered risky?
A) A beta above 1
B) A beta equal to 0
C) A beta between 0 and 1
D) None of these
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Saylor OER. "Business Administration « Saylor.org – Free Online Courses Built by Professors." CC BY 3.0
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Introduction to Risk and Return
Attribution
• Wikipedia. "Beta (finance)." CC BY-SA 3.0 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Beta_(finance)
• Wikipedia. "Normalized variable." CC BY-SA 3.0 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Normalized%20variable
• Wikipedia. "Modern portfolio theory." CC BY-SA 3.0 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Modern_portfolio_theory
• Wiktionary. "portfolio." CC BY-SA 3.0 http://en.wiktionary.org/wiki/portfolio
• Wiktionary. "risk." CC BY-SA 3.0 http://en.wiktionary.org/wiki/risk
• Wikipedia. "Co-Variance." CC BY-SA 3.0 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Co-Variance
• Wikipedia. "Modern portfolio theory." CC BY-SA 3.0 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Modern_portfolio_theory
• Wikipedia. "Expected return." CC BY-SA 3.0 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Expected_return
• Wiktionary. "weighted average." CC BY-SA 3.0 http://en.wiktionary.org/wiki/weighted+average
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