Biodiversity and conservation Genetic diversity: within species variation (e.g corn [Zea mays] in North vs. Central America) Species diversity: species richness Ecosystem diversity: variety of habitats Basic questions in biodiversity research: for any plot of land (or patch of sea) • Why does it contain this many plant and animal species, and not more, or less? • Why is species Y common and species X rare? The standard answer: • “it depends on the # of available niches”, OR “it depends on….”: • Availability of resources / intensity of competition, predation, infection, etc. The ‘neutral’ answer*: • It depends on chance! • Diversity = f(immigration, extinction, evolution) • Consider the example of a patch of tropical forest in Panama - how many tree species will it contain? *Hubbell, S.P. 2001. The unified neutral theory of biodiversity and biogeography, Princeton U.P. Tree diversity of a Panamanian forest How many trees can island sustain? Immigration rate? How diverse is the forest “reservoir”? How fast are new tree species evolving? Satellite image of Barro Colorado Island, Panama (Image: NASA); Map source: www.geographic.org, used with permission Testing Hubbell’s model on Barro Colorado Patterns of biodiversity 1. Latitudinal gradient in species richness diversity gradient Global species richness (composite index) Hotspots Biodiversity as a function of latitude (North and Central America) Birds Labrador Beetles 81 Labrador Ants 169 Alaska 7 New York 195 Massachusetts 2000 Iowa 73 Guatemala 469 Florida 4000 Trinidad 134 North America S. Florida Diversity of North American tree species Biodiversity gradients (tree species) in temperate coastal evergreen forests Biodiversity gradients in the temperate coastal evergreen forest of North America Ranges of newts and salamanders in the temperate evergreen forests of western North America Patterns of biodiversity 2. Altitudinal gradient Altitudinal gradients in bird species diversity Birds Species richness and temperature range Mammals Snails Biodiversity and moisture availability Ants Rodents Species richness and productivity N. American data Habitat complexity (e.g. # of forest strata) Low complexity (single stratum) High complexity (multi-strata) approx. equivalent tree species richness Species diversity and habitat complexity Conservation of biodiversity • Are we engaged in a “biotic holocaust”? • How many species are currently being lost? • Why is biodiversity important? • How can species conservation be best achieved? Conservation of biodiversity Extinction - the demise (locally or globally) of a species; Endangered species - a species or subspecies that is at risk of extinction throughout all or part of its range; Threatened (or vulnerable) species possibly at risk of extinction in the near future Species under threat: endemics: (e.g. Hawai’ian honeycreepers) • Generally very small populations • At risk from habitat loss and introduction of aliens (particularly predators) Island endemics under threat e.g. Canary Islands • ~4 000 endemic or native plant and animal species live in the archipelago (cf. ~100 in British Isles). Canary Islands endemics • On average a new species invades every 17 days; a new serious pest invades on average every 6 months. • Most problematical pests are the Barbary ground squirrel, the Corsican mouflon, and most recently, a beetle (“picudo rojo”), that feeds on native palms. • 20 endemics are considered endangered; several have <100 individuals left. Source: New York Times, Aug. 29, 2006, p. A4 Species under threat: widespread species and range collapse Population collapse is generally accompanied by (or caused by) range collapse (e.g. American bison; giant panda; black-footed ferret). In most cases marginal populations, which may have distinctive genomes, are the only survivors. What is the current extinction rate? Very difficult to demonstrate that a species is truly extinct (e.g. the ivory-billed woodpecker of the SE USA) so estimates of modern extinction rates vary widely. Colinvaux notes that the rate is “incalculable”; Myers (1979) says “we have no way of knowing … let alone an approximate guess”. Biotic holocaust? Extreme estimates of current annual species loss: 40,000 (Myers, 1979) widely cited in 1980-90’s (e.g. by Al Gore) 27,000 - 100,000* (Wilson, 1992) *20% of all species gone by 2020! 250,000** (Ehrlich, cited in Stork, 1997) **all species gone by 2010-2025! Sources for previous estimates • Myers, N. 1979. The Sinking Ark. Pergamon Press. • Wilson, E.O. 1992. The Diversity of Life. • Stork, N.E. in: Wilson, E.O. et al., 1997. Biodiversity, pp. 41-68. Alternative estimates • A much lower estimate of ~1400 extinctions per yr (=0.7% in 50 years) was derived by Lomborg (1998). This is still ~1500 times greater than estimated “background” rates from geological data Lomborg (1998) The Skeptical Environmentalist: Measuring the Real State of the World. Cambridge U.P. Modern extinctions: a fishy example In the Nearctic realm 1033 species of fish are known to have inhabited streams and lakes in recent historic times. Of these, 27 (3%) are thought to be extinct, and 277 (28%) are endangered or vulnerable. The factors that caused these declines are habitat destruction, introduction of alien species, pollution, hybridization and over-harvesting. 1830 1882 1902 1950 Forest fragmentation: Wisconsin (1830-1950). Area: 100 km2 shaded = forest white = agriculture (prairie in 1830) Forest fragmentation: Bahia (coastal S. Brazil) dark = forest; light = agriculture Habitat loss and extinction: model predictions Galapagos How many species have gone extinct as a result of diminished habitat area? • 99% of primary forest of eastern US lost from 1800-2000; only one bird species extinct (Simberloff) • 88% of forest along Atlantic coast of Brazil cleared in same period; none of the 171 animals have gone extinct (Brazilian Soc. Zoologists). • See Lombock (1998) for discussion of these and other examples Slow relaxation to a new equilibrium with changing island area Forest fragmentation: Rondonia, Brazil 100 km2 1975 1992 Forest fragmentation experiment, Amazonas Thomas Lovejoy, Smithsonian Institute Mammals* in rain forest fragments 20 15 Intact forest 10 10 ha fragment 1 ha fragment 5 0 Mammals Data from Lovejoy et al. (1984); in Nitecki, M.H. “Extinctions”. Univ. Chicago Press * These results are from trapping experiments and do not include bats and nocturnal canopy species. In intact forest 9 spp. were common; in 10 ha fragments, only one; in 1 ha fragments, all mammals were “uncommon”. Why conserve? • Intrinsic and aesthetic value of species (mosquitoes?) • Economic value (gene pools, untapped riches) Bird species The rewards of conservation 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Saved Extinctions 1500's 1600's 1700's 1800's * 1900's *Global data; Source: New York Times Aug. 29, 2006; p. D3 Some of the saved California condor Mauritius parakeet QuickTime™ and a TIFF (Uncompressed) decompressor are needed to see this picture. Mauritius kestrel Chatham Island taiko Lear’s macaw Species conservation: the task ahead “The threat ahead is massive. It’s like we’ve ridden our first wave on a surfboard and feel good about it, but look back and there’s a tsunami coming in.” Dr. Stuart Pimm, a conservation ecologist at Duke University, quoted in the New York Times, Aug 29, 2006, p. D3. How conserve? • Zoos and captive breeding (e.g. condors) • Predator control (e.g. Chatham Is. taiko) • Habitat preservation / restoration (e.g. Mauritius parakeet) for its own sake, or combined with sustainable economic diversification (e.g. turtle harvesting vs. cattle farming on the Amazon floodplain; the former retains the galeria forest). • Compensation e.g. ranchers in Wyoming [for cattle killed by wolves]; farmers in Bahia, Brazil [for corn eaten by Lear’s parrot] Predator control Pre Eradication scorecard (# island removals) e.g. mammals (all alien) have been eradicated on 68 of the 168 islands in New Zealand; 41 introduced mammal populations have been eradicated on 27 islands off the Pacific coast of Mexico. Native plant and animal species have rebounded following eradications. Source: Krajick. K. 2005. Science 310, p. 1410-1413. Post Predator control -> habitat restoration goat exclosure Pre e.g. removal of goats on Santiago Island (Galapagos) leads to recovery of native vegetation. Source: Krajick. K. 2005. Science 310, p. 1410-1413. Post Species need space! Based on surveys of avifauna in Amazonas How big a fragment would conserve 95% of the species over a 50-yr period? Ans. = 100,000 ha. [100 km x 100km!] New Scientist 8-14 November, 2003, p.15; Good choice Applications of island biogeography theory to habitat conservation Poor choice Corridors and conservation • Experiment to determine effects of corridors between open patches on plant biodiversity in longleaf pine (Pinus palustris) forest in South Carolina. Patches created in 2000. Source: Dametsch, E. et al., 2006. Science 313, 1284 - Corridor experiment results Connected patches have ~20% more plant spp. than unconnected patches; few weedy exotics Source: Dametsch, E. et al., 2006. Science 313, 1284 - 1286 Do the ecological reserves in BC display these principles? Goosegrass Creek (Kootenays) E.R. #55 Haynes Lease (Okanagan) E.R. #100 1 km Future challenges: climate change In alpine areas timberline is creeping upwards by a few meters per decade; alpine species are therefore occupying smaller and smaller refuges. In NZ, for example, it is predicted that 80% of alpine islands will be wiped out in this century, and 200-300 alpine plant species will go extinct*. How do we develop conservation strategies that are nimble enough to deal with climate change? *Halloy, S.R.P., and Mark, A.F. 2003. Arctic, Antarctic, and Alpine Research, 35, 248-254. A more local example of this problem…. 1930 QuickTime™ and a TIFF (Uncompressed) decompressor are needed to see this picture. Pika (Ochotona princeps) 2006 Subalpine rodents, (e.g. Zapus spp.) are now found 700m higher than they were a century ago; the altitudinal ranges of Alpine chipmunks and pikas have shrunk correspondingly Pacific jumping mouse (Zapus trinotatus) Lassen Peak, northern California Graphics: NY Times (Nov. 7, 2006); Wikipedia