eCommerce Framework - Part 2 CPS 181s Jan 14, 2003 Impact 1: Economics of Growth Increasing Far “speed of adoption” outdistances other technology growth Scale and velocity reshapes economic growth Impact 2: Blurring of Industry Boundaries Old categories breaking down “Last mile” to consumer homes see a blur of alternative telecommunications networks Impact 3: Transformation of Social Structure and Society Transforming learning group communications scientific how interchange society functions Ubiquitous Website addresses Opportunities for Wealth Creation Even Today There are Market Capitalization Opportunities for New Economy Players consumer products financial markets middleware enabling commerce services advertising Exhibit 1-2 to Business eCommerce Projection Business Business-to-Business e-Commerce Projections 1200 $Billions 1000 800 600 400 200 0 1999 2003 US World Source: International Data Corporation. 6 Business to Business eCommerce Projections in Millions (1996-2000) Business-To-Business E-commerce Projections, In Millions (1996-2000) 500 eStats 140,000 210 IDC 153,000 1996 2000 125 Yankee Group 134,000 600 Forrester 66,470 1 10 100 1,000 10,000 100,000 1,000,000 Internet Adoption Rates Versus Other Mediums 120 Internet as Mass Medium — North American Adoption Curves 100 TV 80 Radio North American Users / Households (MM) 60 50 Million Users / Households Cable Commercial Internet 40 20 0 Years to Reach 50 MM Users 1998E 1994 Commercial Internet: 5 years 1990 1982 1978 1974 Cable*: 10 years 1970 1966 1962 1958 TV: 13 years 1954 1950 1946 1942 1938 1934 1930 1926 1922 Radio: 38 years 1986 -20 * Launch of HBO in 1976 used to estimate the beginning of cable as an entertainment / advertising medium 8 Estimated Savings from eCommerce eCommerce Decision-making Process Identify: Customer groups to serve Compelling set of benefits, differentiating “value proposition” Communication effectiveness Content Look and feel Level of community Personalization Organization structure Business services Application services Potential partners Capabilities Shareholders Metrics eCommerce Strategy Managerial task of eCommerce strategy Framing the market opportunity Business model Customer interface Market communications and branding Implementation Metrics Where to Play On-Line and Off-Line On-line Yahoo! BN.com Fulfillment Systems Amazon.com McDonalds Customer Interface Off-line Market Infrastructure Opportunities Network and Constraints Infrastructure Media Infrastructure Two Forms of Convergence Publics and Policies Media Convergence to a Digital Platform Network Infrastructure Media Infrastructure Telephone/DSL Print (Newspapers and Magazines) Cable Television Broadcast Radio & TV Digital Convergence Radio Satellite Music Wireless Motion Pictures A Framework for eCommerce Framing the Business Market Model Opportunity Market Customer Communications Implementation Interface and Branding Evaluation: Metrics and Valuation e-commerce Strategy Media Infrastructure Network Infrastructure Publics and Politics Market Infrastructure Point Counterpoint: Who Will Win? Online vs. Offline On-line will win Off-line companies can’t easily cannibalize their own businesses Off-line companies stock does not allow them to adequately incentivise key new economy talent Off-line companies move too slowly Key elements of business (e.g. business design, strategy, value proposition) are different in the New Economy “innovator’s Dilemma”: Focusing on current customer needs causes companies to divert focus from new technologies Market will not tolerate blue chip companies running loss-making businesses Off-line companies may face a channel conflict Off-line Will Win Schwab has become a leading player in the on-line brokerage industry Companies with established market leadership have key assets such as relationships with customers, suppliers, deep industry knowledge and experienced management Established companies have deep pockets Off-line companies have established and trusted brands Off-line companies can create spin-out businesses with new culture, processes, funding, etc. There have been other technology revolutions –From 1894 to 1903, there were 20,000 telephone companies that started in the U.S. eCommerce Organizing Themes Technology: Infrastructure Development and Mastery of Digital Computing & Communications Technology Business: Basic Concepts New Technologies Present Businesses and Entrepreneurs with New Ways of Organizing Production and Transacting Business Society: Global Taming the Juggernaught Nature of eCommerce Poses Public Policy Issues of Equity, Equal Access, Content Regulation, and Taxation “The Rest...of the Story” Market Opportunity Analysis Business Models Customer Market Interface Communications & Branding Implementation Infrastructure Database Venture & Datamining Capital Intellectual Property and Copyright Performance Media & Technology Metrics Convergence, Ethical, Social, and Political Issues Case Study Planetall.com Some industry analysts view PlanetAll as a "virtual community" company, and otheres see it as a virtual or physical community enabler. What business is PlanetAll really in? Should PlanetAll pursue a branded or an OEM strategy in positioning its service with alliance partners and users? Can it do both at the same time? What factors drive user perceptions of PlanetAll's value? How effective has PlanetAll been in aiding current and potential users to realize that full value? If positioning a firm's value proposition is a combination of segmentation and differentiation, what is the right positioning for PlanetAll in end-user markets? Propose a positioning statement of 25 words or less that you believe would aid PlanetAll in communicating key benefits and illustrating the value of its service. What could PlanetAll as a business be worth?