Chapter 3 •Working With Financial Statements McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Key Concepts and Skills • Understand sources and uses of cash and the Statement of Cash Flows • Know how to standardize financial statements for comparison purposes • Know how to compute and interpret important financial ratios • Be able to compute and interpret the DuPont Identity • Understand the problems and pitfalls in financial statement analysis 3-1 Chapter Outline • Cash Flow and Financial Statements: A Closer Look • Standardized Financial Statements • Ratio Analysis • The DuPont Identity • Using Financial Statement Information 3-2 Sample Balance Sheet Numbers in millions 2003 2002 2003 2002 Cash 696 58 A/P 307 303 A/R 956 992 N/P 26 119 Inventory 301 361 Other CL 1,662 1,353 Other CA 303 264 Total CL 1,995 1,775 Total CA 2,256 1,675 LT Debt 843 1,091 Net FA 3,138 3,358 C/S 2,556 2,167 Total Assets 5,394 5,033 Total Liab. & Equity 5,394 5,033 3-3 Sample Income Statement Numbers in millions, except EPS & DPS Revenues 5,000 Cost of Goods Sold 2,006 Expenses 1,740 Depreciation 116 EBIT 1,138 Interest Expense 7 Taxable Income Taxes 1,131 442 Net Income 689 EPS 3.61 Dividends per share 1.08 3-4 Sources and Uses • Sources • Cash inflow – occurs when we “sell” something • Decrease in asset account (Sample B/S) • Accounts receivable, inventory, and net fixed assets • Increase in liability or equity account • Accounts payable, other current liabilities, and common stock • Uses • Cash outflow – occurs when we “buy” something • Increase in asset account • Cash and other current assets • Decrease in liability or equity account • Notes payable and long-term debt 3-5 企業中現金流量的來源 現金流入 現金流出 營運活動 現金銷貨 應收帳款收現 營運活動 應付帳款付現 所得稅支出 投資活動 資產的處分 投資活動 資產的購入 融資活動 發行普通股 發行公司債 現金 融資活動 股利支付 貸款償還 3-6 Statement of Cash Flows • Statement that summarizes the sources and uses of cash • Changes divided into three major categories • Operating Activity – includes net income and changes in most current accounts • Investment Activity – includes changes in fixed assets • Financing Activity – includes changes in notes payable, long-term debt and equity accounts as well as dividends 3-7 Sample Statement of Cash Flows Numbers in millions Cash, beginning of year 58 Operating Activity Financing Activity Decrease in Notes Payable Net Income 689 Decrease in LT Debt Plus: Depreciation 116 Decrease in C/S (minus RE) Decrease in A/R 36 Decrease in Inventory 60 Increase in A/P Increase in Other CL Less: Increase in CA Net Cash from Operations 4 309 Dividends Paid Net Cash from Financing -93 -248 -94 -206 -641 Net Increase in Cash 638 Cash End of Year 696 -39 1,175 Investment Activity Sale of Fixed Assets Net Cash from Investments 104 104 3-8 財務報表分析之特質與方法 3-9 Standardized Financial Statements • Common-Size Balance Sheets • Compute all accounts as a percent of total assets • Common-Size Income Statements • Compute all line items as a percent of sales • Standardized statements make it easier to compare financial information, particularly as the company grows • They are also useful for comparing companies of different sizes, particularly within the same industry 3-10 Ratio Analysis • Ratios also allow for better comparison through time or between companies • As we look at each ratio, ask yourself what the ratio is trying to measure and why is that information is important • Ratios are used both internally and externally 3-11 Categories of Financial Ratios • Short-term solvency or liquidity ratios • Long-term solvency or financial leverage ratios • Asset management or turnover ratios • Profitability ratios • Market value ratios 3-12 Computing Liquidity Ratios • Current Ratio = CA / CL • 2256 / 1995 = 1.13 times • Quick Ratio = (CA – Inventory) / CL • (2256 – 1995) / 1995 = .1308 times • Cash Ratio = Cash / CL • 696 / 1995 = .35 times • NWC to Total Assets = NWC / TA • (2256 – 1995) / 5394 = .05 • Interval Measure = CA / average daily operating costs • 2256 / ((2006 + 1740)/365) = 219.8 days 3-13 Computing Long-term Solvency Ratios • Total Debt Ratio = (TA – TE) / TA • (5394 – 2556) / 5394 = 52.61% • Debt/Equity = TD / TE • (5394 – 2556) / 2556 = 1.11 times • Equity Multiplier = TA / TE = 1 + D/E • 1 + 1.11 = 2.11 • Long-term debt ratio = LTD / (LTD + TE) • 843 / (843 + 2556) = 24.80% 3-14 Computing Coverage Ratios • Times Interest Earned = EBIT / Interest • 1138 / 7 = 162.57 times • Cash Coverage = (EBIT + Depreciation) / Interest • (1138 + 116) / 7 = 179.14 times 3-15 Computing Inventory Ratios • Inventory Turnover = Cost of Goods Sold / Inventory • 2006 / 301 = 6.66 times • Days’ Sales in Inventory = 365 / Inventory Turnover • 365 / 6.66 = 55 days 3-16 Computing Receivables Ratios • Receivables Turnover = Sales / Accounts Receivable • 5000 / 956 = 5.23 times • Days’ Sales in Receivables = 365 / Receivables Turnover • 365 / 5.23 = 70 days 3-17 Computing Total Asset Turnover • Total Asset Turnover = Sales / Total Assets • 5000 / 5394 = .93 • It is not unusual for TAT < 1, especially if a firm has a large amount of fixed assets • NWC Turnover = Sales / NWC • 5000 / (2256 – 1995) = 19.16 times • Fixed Asset Turnover = Sales / NFA • 5000 / 3138 = 1.59 times 3-18 Computing Profitability Measures • Profit Margin = Net Income / Sales • 689 / 5000 = 13.78% • Return on Assets (ROA) = Net Income / Total Assets • 689 / 5394 = 12.77% • Return on Equity (ROE) = Net Income / Total Equity • 689 / 2556 = 26.96% 3-19 Computing Market Value Measures • Market Price = $87.65 per share • Shares outstanding = 190.9 million • PE Ratio = Price per share / Earnings per share • 87.65 / 3.61 = 24.28 times • Market-to-book ratio = market value per share / book value per share • 87.65 / (2556 / 190.9) = 6.56 times 3-20 財務比率分析(續) • 經濟附加價值(EVA) • 用以衡量公司稅後營業淨利和全部資金成本的差額。 EVA=投入總資本(資本報酬率-平均資 金成本) =1,614.22 (20% -16%)=64.57 (億) • 負的EVA表示資本報酬率不足以支付股東與債 權人提供資金索取的代價,若不及時改善,公 司將不斷的侵蝕老本,不利於股價表現。 3-21 財務比率分析(續) • 市場價值比率 以每股市價來說明企業的營運績效, 普通股每股市價 75 包括本益比 、股利收益率及市價對帳面價 本益比 23.15(倍) 每股盈餘 3.24 值比及市場附加價值等。 每股股利 3 股利收益率 100% 100% 4% 普通股每股市價 75 市價對帳面價值比 普通股每股市價 75 4.76(倍) 每股帳面價值 15.74 3-22 財務比率分析(續) • 市場附加價值(MVA) • 投資人原始投入資金與目前市場價值之間的差 額。 MVA=股東權益市場價值-股東權益帳 面價值 =75×76億7,090萬股-120,770百 萬 =4,545億4,750 萬元 • MVA數值的大小,隱含著投資人對該公司經 營能力的認同度。 3-23 Deriving the DuPont Identity • ROE = NI / TE • Multiply by 1 and then rearrange • ROE = (NI / TE) (TA / TA) • ROE = (NI / TA) (TA / TE) = ROA * EM • Multiply by 1 again and then rearrange • ROE = (NI / TA) (TA / TE) (Sales / Sales) • ROE = (NI / Sales) (Sales / TA) (TA / TE) • ROE = PM * TAT * EM 3-24 杜邦等式分析 稅後淨利 平均股東權益 稅後淨利 平均總資產 平均股東權益 平均總資產 稅後淨利 平均總資產 平均總資產 平均股東權益 總資產報酬率 權益乘數 股東權益報酬率 ROE ROA 權益乘數 稅後淨利 銷貨收入 權益乘數 平均總資產 銷貨收入 稅後淨利 銷貨收入 權益乘數 銷貨收入 平均總資產 銷貨利潤邊際 總資產周轉率 權益乘數 3-25 Using the DuPont Identity • ROE = PM * TAT * EM • Profit margin is a measure of the firm’s operating efficiency – how well does it control costs • Total asset turnover is a measure of the firm’s asset use efficiency – how well does it manage its assets • Equity multiplier is a measure of the firm’s financial leverage 3-26 Expanded DuPont Analysis – Aeropostale Data • Balance Sheet Data • • • • • Cash = 138,356 Inventory = 61,807 Other CA = 12,284 Fixed Assets = 94,601 EM = 1.654 • Computations • TA = 307,048 • TAT = 2.393 • Income Statement Data • • • • • Sales = 734,868 COGS = 505,152 SG&A = 141,520 Interest = (760) Taxes = 34,702 • Computations • • • • NI = 54,254 PM = 7.383% ROA = 17.668% ROE = 29.223% 3-27 Aeropostale Extended DuPont Chart ROE = 29.223% ROA = 17.668% Total Costs = - 680,614 EM = 1.654 x PM = 7.383% NI = 54,254 x + Sales = 734,868 Sales = 734,868 TAT = 2.393 Sales = 734,868 TA = 307,048 Fixed Assets = 94,601 COGS = - 505,152 SG&A = - 141,520 Cash = 138,356 Interest = - (760) Taxes = - 34,702 Other CA = 12,284 + Current Assets = 212,447 Inventory = 61,807 3-28 Why Evaluate Financial Statements? • Internal uses • Performance evaluation – compensation and comparison between divisions • Planning for the future – guide in estimating future cash flows • External uses • • • • Creditors Suppliers Customers Stockholders 3-29 Benchmarking • Ratios are not very helpful by themselves; they need to be compared to something • Time-Trend Analysis • Used to see how the firm’s performance is changing through time • Internal and external uses • Peer Group Analysis • Compare to similar companies or within industries • SIC and NAICS codes 3-30 Real World Example - I • Ratios are figured using financial data from the 2003 Annual Report for Home Depot • Compare the ratios to the industry ratios in Table 3.12 in the book • Home Depot’s fiscal year ends Feb. 1 • Be sure to note how the ratios are computed in the table so that you can compute comparable numbers. • Home Depot sales = $64,816 MM 3-31 Real World Example - II • Liquidity ratios • Current ratio = 1.40x; Industry = 1.8x • Quick ratio = .45x; Industry = .5x • Long-term solvency ratio • Debt/Equity ratio (Debt / Worth) = .54x; Industry = 2.2x. • Coverage ratio • Times Interest Earned = 2282x; Industry = 3.2x 3-32 Real World Example - III • Asset management ratios: • Inventory turnover = 4.9x; Industry = 3.5x • Receivables turnover = 59.1x (6 days); Industry = 24.5x (15 days) • Total asset turnover = 1.9x; Industry = 2.3x • Profitability ratios • Profit margin before taxes = 10.6%; Industry = 2.7% • ROA (profit before taxes / total assets) = 19.9%; Industry = 4.9% • ROE = (profit before taxes / tangible net worth) = 34.6%; Industry = 23.7% 3-33 Potential Problems • There is no underlying theory, so there is no way to know which ratios are most relevant • Benchmarking is difficult for diversified firms • Globalization and international competition makes comparison more difficult because of differences in accounting regulations • Varying accounting procedures, i.e. FIFO vs. LIFO • Different fiscal years • Extraordinary events 3-34 財務報表分析的限制 通貨膨脹的 影響 標竿選擇的 問題 會計數字的品 質問題 會計數字 無法反映 實際價值 會計方法的 選擇影響比 較效度 多角化投資 的影響 3-35 Work the Web Example • The Internet makes ratio analysis much easier than it has been in the past • Click on the web surfer to go to www.investor.reuters.com • Choose a company and enter its ticker symbol • Click on Ratios and then Financial Condition and see what information is available 3-36 Quick Quiz • What is the Statement of Cash Flows and how do you determine sources and uses of cash? • How do you standardize balance sheets and income statements and why is standardization useful? • What are the major categories of ratios and how do you compute specific ratios within each category? • What are some of the problems associated with financial statement analysis? 3-37 Chapter 3 •End of Chapter McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.