Chapter 21 International Financial Management Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–1 Learning Objectives • Understand the importance of international transactions for the Australian economy. • Read, interpret and use foreign exchange rates. • Understand the roles of interest rates and inflation rates in exchange-rate determination. • Understand the empirical evidence on the behaviour of exchange rates. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–2 Learning Objectives (cont.) • Understand the techniques that can be used to manage exchange risk. • Explain the advantages of international diversification of investments. • Identify the characteristics and uses of currency swaps. • Identify the main sources of foreign currency borrowing used by Australian companies. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–3 Background Statistics • International trade now represents about 20% of Australia’s gross domestic product: EXPORTS IMPORTS YEAR $Ab % $Am % 1988/89 55.4 15.8 62.3 17.7 1992/93 76.9 18 79.1 18.5 1996/97 105.2 19.7 103.6 19.4 1997/98 113.7 20.1 118.5 21 1998/99 111.9 18.8 126.5 21.2 1999/2000 125.9 19.9 140.3 22.2 2000/2001 153.9 22.9 153.2 22.8 2001/2002 153.3 21.5 154.6 21.6 2002/2003 148.5 19.7 167.2 22.2 Table 21.1, Source: Reserve Bank of Australia, Bulletin. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–4 Background Statistics (cont.) • Historically, Australia has been a net importer of capital. – Levels of foreign investment in $A billion: non-official sector: DATE PORTFOLIO TOTAL DIRECT AND NONINVESTMENT OTHER OFFICAL 30 June 1989 30 June 1992 30 June 1996 30 June 2000 30 June 2001 30 June 2002 30 June 2003 91.2 109.8 147.7 216.9 222.7 234.7 254.8 143.3 201.3 272.0 472.1 578.9 585 606.1 PORTFOLIO TOTAL DIRECT AND NONINVESTMENT OTHER OFFICAL 234.5 311.1 419.4 689.0 801.6 819.7 860.9 44.3 51.2 81.6 190.5 204.7 177.7 178.6 35.0 52.2 80.9 150.3 209.6 225.6 221.5 79.3 103.4 162.5 340.8 414.3 403.3 400 Table 21.2, Source: Reserve Bank of Australia Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–5 Background Statistics (cont.) • The extent of Australia’s external indebtedness is shown below: Australia's gross and net external debt in $A million DATE 30 June 1981 30 June 1986 30 June 1991 30 June 1996 30 June 2001 30 June 2002 30 June 2003 GROSS $Ab NET $Ab 18.8 101.9 196.8 275.5 493.9 524.4 570.9 9.4 78.4 142.1 193.9 306 329.1 358.2 Table 21.3, Source: Reserve Bank of Australia Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–6 Foreign Exchange Market • No actual market, instead a communications network linking banks and other dealers in foreign exchange. • This market determines the prices of foreign currencies. • These prices are called ‘exchange rates’. • ‘Exchange rate’ — the price at which one country’s currency can be exchanged for another country’s currency in the foreign exchange market. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–7 The Spot Exchange Rate • ‘Spot rate’: rate for transactions for immediate delivery. In the case of foreign exchange, the spot rate is for settlement in 2 days. • Examples of spot rates for one Australian dollar, as at 30 June 2004, are shown in Table 21.4. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–8 The Spot Exchange Rate (cont.) for $A1 as at 30/6/2004 CURRENCY US dollars (USD) UK pounds (GBP) Japan yen (JPY) Europe euro (EUR) Singapore dollar (SGD) Malta pound (MTP) W. Samoa tala (WST) (1) CUSTOMER SELLS FOREIGN CURRENCY AND BUYS $A1 0.6936 0.3862 75.67 0.5795 1.2029 0.2493 1.9975 (2) CUSTOMER SELLS $A1 AND BUYS (3) FOREIGN CURRENCY RATIO OF (2)/(1)% 0.6849 0.3767 73.65 0.5621 1.1596 0.2353 1.8250 98.75 97.54 97.33 97.00 96.40 94.38 91.36 Table 21.4, Source: Australian Financial Review Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–9 The Spot Exchange Rate (cont.) • In Table 21.4: – – – – – Column (1) provides the exchange rate applicable where a customer has foreign currency and wishes to obtain Australian dollars. Column (2) provides the exchange rate applicable where a customer has Australian dollars and wishes to obtain foreign currency. The difference (spread) between the rates is one source of the foreign exchange dealer’s profit. Column (3) shows how the spread varies from currency to currency. Essentially, those currencies that are traded most frequently (from an Australian viewpoint) are the currencies with the smallest spreads. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–10 Foreign Exchange Trading in Australia Market Share by Currency Pair, April 1998, 2001 and 2004 Market Share Currency Pair April 1998 April 2001 April 2004 Aust. dollar–US dollar 48.2 49.4 44.7 Euro–US dollar N/A 11.4 17.0 US dollar–D’mark 3.5 N/A N/A US dollar–Yen 16.0 14.0 12.7 UK pound–US dollar 5.4 6.4 6.2 NZ dollar–US dollar 6.7 9.0 6.0 Other currencies 10.2 9.8 13.4 Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 Table 21.5, Source: BIS survey reported by RBA Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–11 The Forward Exchange Rate • ‘Forward rate’: exchange rate that is established now, but with payment and delivery to occur at a specified future date. – Commonly for time periods of 1, 3 or 6 months. – Forward contracts for periods exceeding 1 year are unusual, only about 3% of all contracts. – Forward exchange rates are usually quoted in terms of the difference between the spot rate and the forward rate. Referred to as the ‘forward margin’. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–12 The Forward Exchange Rate (cont.) • Suppose that for US dollars (per one AUD) you are told that the spot rate is 0.5460/70 and the 3 months’ forward margin is –16/–16. US$ AND BUYS $A1 US$ AND SELLS $A1 Spot rate 0.5470 0.5460 less Forward margin 0.0016 0.0016 0.5454 0.5444 Forward rate Table 21.6 Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–13 The Forward Exchange Rate (cont.) • In this case, the spread between the buying and selling rates for the forward contract is: 0.5454 – 0.5444 = 0.0010. • • • We can see that the spread for the spot contract in this case is also only 0.0010. The spread for a forward contract is always greater than or equal to the spread for the matching spot contract. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–14 Calculations Using Foreign Exchange Rates • There are only four types of calculation. • The UK pound exchange rates are used as an example. Assume the following exchange rates: Customer sells £ and buys $A1 UK pounds (GBP) Customer buys £ and sells $A1 0.3862 Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 0.3767 21–15 Calculations Using Foreign Exchange Rates (cont.) • Type 1: to obtain a given sum in $A using £: – A UK resident may wish to obtain $A10 000. – How many pounds are needed? – As £0.3862 is needed for every $A1 required, the answer is: £(10 000 × 0.3862) = £3862 Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–16 Calculations Using Foreign Exchange Rates (cont.) • Type 2: to convert a given sum of £ to $A: – An Australian company has been paid £10 000 and wishes to exchange this for Australian dollars. – How many Australian dollars will this buy? – As each $A will cost £0.3862 to buy, the answer is: $A (10 000 / 0.3862) = $A25 893.32 Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–17 Calculations Using Foreign Exchange Rates (cont.) • Type 3: to obtain a given sum in £ using $A: – An Australian company may wish to obtain £10 000. – How many Australian dollars are needed? – As $A1 will obtain £0.3767, the answer is: $A(10 000 / 0.3767) = $A26 546.32 Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–18 Calculations Using Foreign Exchange Rates (cont.) • Type 4: to convert a given sum of $A to £: – A UK resident has been paid $A10 000 and wishes to exchange this for pounds. – How many pounds will this buy? – As each Australian dollar will buy £0.3767, the answer is: £(10 000 × 0.3767) = £3767 Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–19 Triangular Arbitrage and Cross Rates • ‘Cross rates’: exchange rates between two currencies derived from the exchange rates between the currencies and a third currency. • Suppose that the following spot rates are observed simultaneously: – • $A1 = US$0.6000 and US$1 = £0.7000 Using only these two spot rates, the spot rate linking AUD and GBP must be: – $A1 = £(0.6000 × 0.7000) = £0.4200 Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–20 Triangular Arbitrage and Cross Rates (cont.) • If this were not the case, a riskless profit could be made. • For example, if the spot rate was $A1 = £0.4180 instead, then a foreign exchange dealer could profit from undertaking the following three transactions simultaneously: • – Sell $A1 for US$0.6000 – Sell US$0.6000 for £(0.6000 × 0.7000) = £0.4200 – Sell £0.4200 for $A(0.4200 / 0.4180) = $A1.0048 A risk-free profit of $A0.0048 for every AUD transacted in the first step. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–21 Size of Foreign Exchange Market in Australia • The Australian dollar is one of the more actively traded currencies in the world. • Average daily turnover in the Australian Foreign Exchange Market in 2003 is nearly $A126b, with $A61b against Australian dollars. – • Australian exports plus imports for the entire year 2003 amounted to only $A306b! Approximately two-thirds of the trading volume is between foreign exchange dealers and banks overseas. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–22 Interest Rates, Inflation Rates, Spot and Forward Exchange Rates • Assumptions – Market participants are risk-neutral. – There are no barriers or frictions in any market. – Analysis applies to any two currencies; Australian dollars and UK pounds are used for illustration. – Analysis could be applicable to any time period; we assume that the period is 1 year for illustration. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–23 Interest Rates, Inflation Rates, Spot and Forward Exchange Rates (cont.) • Notation i interest rate (nominal, per annum) p inflation rate (per annum) s spot exchange rate (expressed as pounds per dollar) f forward exchange rate for 1 year (expressed as pounds per dollar) £ subscript used to indicate that a variable refers to pounds $ subscript used to indicate that a variable refers to Australian dollars E the expectatio n operator for 1 year Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–24 Interest Rate Parity • Interest rate parity maintains that: 1 i£ f 1 i$ s • Interest rate parity states that relative interest rates determine the relativity between the forward exchange rate and the spot exchange rate. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–25 Interest Rate Parity (cont.) • If interest rate parity does not hold, then arbitrage would be possible. – ‘Covered interest arbitrage’: movement of funds between two currencies to profit from interest rate differences, while using forward contracts to eliminate exchange risk. – Because of interest rate parity, a foreign investment with forward cover is equivalent to a domestic investment. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–26 Interest Rate Parity (cont.) • Example 21.1 – An investor has $A1m to invest for 1 year in government securities. – The interest rate on Australian dollars is 6.2% and the interest rate on UK pounds is 4.1%. – The spot exchange rate is $A1 = £0.5265 and the forward exchange rate for 1 year is $A1 = £0.5161. – Calculate the return on an Australian investment, and the return (in Australian dollars) on an equivalent UK investment. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–27 Interest Rate Parity (cont.) Example 21.1 (cont.) • Invest $A1 million in Australian securities for 1 year: Cash inflow after 1 year = $A1 000 000 × 1.062 = $A1 062 000 • Invest $A1 million in UK securities for 1 year: Spot conversion of $A1 million to pounds: $A1 000 000 = £(1 000 000 × 0.5265) = £526 500 Cash inflow (in pounds) after 1 year investment: = £526 500 × 1.041 = £548 086.50 Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–28 Interest Rate Parity (cont.) Example 21.1 (cont.) • Reconversion to Australian dollars at the forward rate: £548 086.50 = $A(548 086.50 / 0.5161) = $A1 061 977.33 • The difference between these two investments is trivial, about $A22.67 on an investment of $A1m. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–29 Interest Rate Parity (cont.) • • The following example shows how a set of exchange rates and interest rates can be examined to determine whether covered interest arbitrage is feasible. Example 21.2 – – – – – Spot rate: $A1 = US$0.7525 Forward rate (1 month): $A1 = US$0.7474 $A interest rate (1 month): 1.25% per month US$ interest rate (1 month): 0.65% per month Assumption that the spread is zero and there are no transaction costs. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–30 Interest Rate Parity (cont.) • Example 21.2 (cont.) 1 iUS 1.0065 0.994 074 1 iA 1.0125 However: f 0.7474 0.993 223 s 0.7525 The forward rate indicated by interest rate parity is (0.994 074) (0.7525) = 0.7480, compared with the actual forward rate of 0.7474, implying there is an arbitrage opportunity. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–31 Interest Rate Parity (cont.) • Example 21.3 – Illustrate covered interest arbitrage by assuming that an arbitrager simultaneously undertakes the following four transactions: – Borrows $A5 million for 1 month at 1.25% p.m. – Converts the sum of $A5 million to US dollars, thereby obtaining US$(5 000 000 × 0.7525) = US$3 762 500 – Lends US$3 762 500 for 1 month at an interest rate of 0.65% p.m., producing a future cash repayment to the arbitrager of US$3 762 500 × 1.0065 = US$3 786 956.25 Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–32 Interest Rate Parity (cont.) • Example 21.3 (cont.) – Sells forward (1 month) the sum of US$3 786 956.25, thereby ensuring an AUD inflow in 1 month’s time of: $A(3 786 956.25/ 0.7474) = $A5 066 840.05 – The loan requires a repayment of $A5 000 000 × 1.0125 = $A5 062 500 – After 1 month, the inflow of $A5 066 840.05 can be used to make the repayment of $A5 062 500, thereby giving the arbitrager a profit of $A4340.05 for a net investment of zero. – Since the arbitrager made no net outlay, and all transactions were undertaken simultaneously, there was no exposure to risk. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–33 Unbiased Forward Rates • Unbiased forward rates imply: f E s s s • If market participants are risk-neutral and there are no transaction costs, the market will set the forward rate, f, equal to the spot rate that is expected to be observed at the date on which the forward contract matures. • If this result did not hold, then risk-neutral speculators would trade in foreign currency until the forward rate was equal to the expected spot rate. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–34 Purchasing Power Parity • Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) maintains that: E s 1 E p £ s 1 E p$ • PPP holds that the expected change in the exchange rate is due to differences in expected inflation rates in the respective countries. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–35 Purchasing Power Parity (cont.) • The simplest derivation of PPP assumes that the law of one price is valid. This states that the dollar price of any given commodity should be the same everywhere in the world. • If all markets were free and frictionless, and all goods were traded internationally, then the law of one price would hold because, otherwise, an arbitrage could be undertaken. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–36 Purchasing Power Parity (cont.) • However, for many commodities, the law of one price clearly does not hold. • Fortunately, PPP may also be proved by making the weaker assumption that the ratio of dollar prices for the same commodity in two countries will stay constant as time passes. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–37 Purchasing Power Parity (cont.) • Example 21.4 – – Suppose the spot rate is $A1 = £0.3325. If the expected inflation rates are 9% in Australia and 4% in the UK, what is next year’s spot rate expected to be? 1.04 0.3325 0.3172 E s 1.09 – By year’s end $A1 = £0.3172, a depreciation of 4.6% in the value of the $A in terms of UK pounds. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–38 Message of Purchasing Power Parity • A country with a high inflation rate can expect to have a depreciating exchange rate (a ‘weak’ currency). • Whereas a country with a low inflation rate can be expected to have an appreciating exchange rate (a ‘strong’ currency). Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–39 Uncovered Interest Parity or the International Fisher Effect • If interest rate parity and unbiased forward rates hold simultaneously, then: E s 1 i£ s 1 i$ • This implies that the spot exchange rate will tend to adjust in the direction indicated by interest rates in the two currencies. • In particular, a country’s currency will tend to appreciate (depreciate) relative to another currency if its interest rate is lower (higher) than the interest rate on the other currency. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–40 Empirical Evidence on the Behaviour of Exchange Rates • Interest rate parity: evidence – Where the interest rate data are collected from unregulated markets (Eurodollar market), the overseas evidence nearly always supports interest rate parity. – An early study by Bird, Dyer and Tippett (1987) found that after the floating of the AUD in 1983, there were few opportunities for covered interest arbitrage if interest rates were measured by rates on government securities and transaction costs were included. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–41 Empirical Evidence on the Behaviour of Exchange Rates (cont.) • Unbiased forward rates: evidence – Most tests of unbiased forward rates relationships have found that the forward rate is not an unbiased estimate of the future spot rate. – Sources of this bias are not obvious — one possibility is risk aversion among foreign exchange participants, requiring a risk premium for holding currency. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–42 Empirical Evidence on the Behaviour of Exchange Rates (cont.) • Purchasing power parity: evidence – In practice, the law of one price does not hold for a great many commodities. – Where a commodity is readily defined, cheaply transportable and frequently traded in organised markets, it is likely that the law of one price will provide an accurate description of reality. – Baldwin and Yan (2004) find some parity between US and Canada for highly standardised products but Canadians pay up to 4% premiums for some products and up to 8% less for some services. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–43 Empirical Evidence on the Behaviour of Exchange Rates (cont.) • Purchasing power parity: evidence (cont.) – Generally, PPP is found to give a poor description of exchange rate behaviour, unless a long time period is used for testing. – This makes international comparisons using current exchange rates misleading. – For example, OECD data shows per capita GDP in Australia in 2002 to be US$20 700 using current exchange rates, but US$28 100 using PPP-adjusted figures. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–44 Empirical Evidence on the Behaviour of Exchange Rates (cont.) • Uncovered interest parity: evidence – The interest rate difference between currencies is typically found to give a biased forecast of the future spot rate, and often does not even predict the direction of movement correctly. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–45 Empirical Evidence on the Behaviour of Exchange Rates (cont.) • Forecasting exchange rates – Little evidence in Australia that market participants can forecast successfully the AUD–USD exchange rate. – Hunt (1987) studied short-term forecasts by 16 foreign exchange dealers. – Found no evidence that dealers could forecast the spot rate — random walk performed better. – Easton and Lalor (1995) found no evidence that longerterm exchange rate forecasts are accurate. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–46 Management of Exchange Risk • What is an exchange risk? – The variability of an entity’s value that is due to changes in exchange rates. – The exchange risk arising from trade-related contracts is often termed ‘transaction risk’. – The exchange risk arising from capital-related contracts is often termed ‘translation risk’. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–47 Management of Exchange Risk (cont.) • Who faces exchange risk? – Exchange risk arises whenever a company needs to deal, now or in the future, in a currency other than the currency that shareholders use to finance their consumption. – However, an electronics retailer may never transact in the foreign currency market, yet it will face exchange risk because it may obtain CD players from Australian wholesalers who, in turn, import CD players from overseas. – Some entities exposed to exchange risk include tourism operators and universities — both provide services in Australia to foreign customers whose demand is sensitive to exchange movements. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–48 Management of Exchange Risk (cont.) • The ‘hedging principle’ – A financial strategy that will ensure that the Australian dollar value of a commitment to pay or receive a sum of foreign currency in the future is not affected by changes in the exchange rate. – The basic principle of hedging is to undertake another, offsetting, commitment in the same foreign currency. For example, an Australian importer who is committed to making a cash payment in UK pounds can hedge by entering into a commitment to receive UK pounds for the same amount and on the same date. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–49 Management of Exchange Risk (cont.) • Forward rate hedge – For example, suppose that an Australian importer is committed to paying a future sum in UK pounds. In effect, this is a contract to buy UK pounds in the future. – By entering into a forward contract to buy UK pounds, the value of the commitment can be fixed in Australian dollar terms. – The future outflow of UK pounds required by the import contract is matched by an inflow of UK pounds required by the forward contract. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–50 Management of Exchange Risk (cont.) • Hedging by borrowing or lending – A hedging technique consisting of establishing an offsetting cash flow by borrowing or lending the foreign currency. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–51 Management of Exchange Risk (cont.) • Who should hedge exchange risk? – It is useful to distinguish between three broad categories of companies: Category 1: the domestic company that unexpectedly faces a significant foreign exchange involvement. Category 2: the repeat exporter (or importer), regularly involved in foreign currency transactions. Category 3: the multinational company producing and selling in two or more countries. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–52 Management of Exchange Risk (cont.) • Category 1 (the one-off transaction) – The incentive to hedge is obvious. – The company has little or no international experience and an unfavourable result from a single large transaction could place a significant strain on the company’s finances. – A forward contract is likely to be the most suitable means of hedging. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–53 Management of Exchange Risk (cont.) • Category 2 (the repeat exporter/importer) – A sequence of foreign exchange transactions should not necessarily be treated as merely the equivalent of a oneoff transaction repeated many times. – The ‘true’ cost of a transaction at the forward rate is its opportunity cost. In this case, the forgone alternative is to transact at the spot rate that occurs at the expiration of the forward contract. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–54 Management of Exchange Risk (cont.) • Category 2 (the repeat exporter/importer) – If the repeat importer does not hedge but simply pays for the imported goods by transacting at the spot rate, has the importer’s exchange risk increased? – Exchange risk is really the risk of suffering a greater variability in cash flows, and there is no reason to believe that future forward rates will be less variable than future spot rates. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–55 Management of Exchange Risk (cont.) • Category 3 (the multinational company) – A multinational company is likely to receive net cash flows in a number of currencies on a continuing basis, with no fixed terminal date in contemplation. – Long-term debt denominated in the same currencies will commit such a company to foreign currency payments and therefore act as a ‘natural’ hedge. – While it is inevitable that some exchange rate changes will cause losses, others will produce gains. There is, therefore, a kind of portfolio effect. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–56 Management of Exchange Risk (cont.) • Contingent hedging – A contingent exchange risk may exist where a company tenders for an overseas contract. The company’s exposure to exchange risk is, therefore, contingent upon winning the tender. – In effect, the company has granted (i.e. sold at a price of zero) an option. – Therefore, the most suitable way to hedge such a contingency is by purchasing a matching option. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–57 Management of Exchange Risk (cont.) • There are four possible outcomes from a contingent sale of an asset in US dollars: – $A appreciates against US$ and the sale occurs; – $A appreciates against US$ and the sale does not occur; – $A depreciates against US$ and the sale occurs; or – $A depreciates against US$ and the sales does not occur. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–58 Management of Exchange Risk (cont.) If $A appreciates If $A depreciates Sale Occurs Sale Doesn’t Occur Sale Occurs Sale Doesn’t Occur US$ Bought Forward Nil Loss Nil Gain US$ Not Bought Forward Gain Nil Loss Nil Table 21.8 Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–59 International Diversification of Investments • Once 30 or 40 domestic shares have been selected, the benefit of further diversification is rather slight, as most of the characteristics of the Australian market are already represented. • A further source of diversification is to invest in shares listed on foreign stock exchanges. • When an asset’s returns are measured in a foreign currency, without a hedge, the overall return is the joint result of the asset return and the return on the exchange rate. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–60 International Diversification of Investments (cont.) • Benefits will be received so long as the correlation between the returns of the foreign shares and the domestic shares is less than 1. • The correlations between the share markets of different countries are positive, but less than 1 (typically ranging from 0.3 to 0.6). • This suggests that substantial benefits can be gained from international diversification. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–61 International Diversification of Investments (cont.) • Potential disadvantages of international diversification: – Possible adverse tax implications. – Increased transaction costs. – Difficulties in obtaining reliable information on foreign securities. – Political risks (limitations on the withdrawal of capital or expropriation). Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–62 Currency Swaps • Swaps are one of the most significant new financial instruments of the past 25 years. • Two counterparties agree to exchange a series of cash flows as a consequence of a swap of loan obligations. • Two main forms of swap contacts are the interest rate swap and the currency swap. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–63 Currency Swaps (cont.) • Interest rate swaps – Agreement between two parties to exchange interest payments for a specific period, related to an agreed principal amount. – The most common type of interest rate swap involves an exchange of fixed interest payments for floating interest payments. – Interest rate swaps do not necessarily have any international features, that is, a fixed-for-floating rate swap between two domestic borrowers. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–64 Currency Swaps (cont.) • Currency swaps – A simultaneous borrowing and lending operation in which two parties initially exchange specific amounts of two currencies at the spot rate. – Interest payments in the two currencies are also exchanged and the parties agree to reverse the initial exchange after a fixed term at a fixed exchange rate. – Simplest currency swap is of fixed rate commitments in different currencies. This comprises the exchange of principal at the outset. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–65 Currency Swaps (cont.) • Currency swaps – Simplest currency swap (cont.) Followed by exchanges of interest flows on interest payment dates. Completed with a re-exchange of principal’s at maturity date of loans. – While forward contracts of more than 1 year are uncommon, a currency swap effectively offers longer-term forward contracts. – Credit risk is an important issue with currency swaps (compared to interest rate swaps) as counterparties not only swap interest commitments but also principal. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–66 Currency Swaps (cont.) • Example 21.9 • Yanko wants to borrow £100m for 3 years and Britco wants to borrow US$200m for 3 years. • Current spot exchange rate is US$1 = £0.5000. • They plan to follow a bond structure of repayment, coupon (interest) payments for 3 years with principal at maturity. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–67 Currency Swaps (cont.) • Example 21.9 • The interest rates available to the two borrowers is given in Table 21.10 below: • . • The key point here is that yanko has a 2% borrowing cost advantage in $US dollars. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–68 Currency Swaps (cont.) • Example 21.9 (cont.) • Yanko borrows US$200m, which it pays to Britco, and Britco borrows £100m, which it pays to Yanko. • The originally agreed and post swap cashflows are shown in Table 21.11. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–69 Currency Swaps (cont.) • Example 21.9 (cont.) • Note that an intermediary has entered the agreement, brokering the swap. • After the swap, Britco is paying 11.8% for US$, which is 0.2% better than it could do on its own. • Similarly, Yanko is paying 13.3% for UK £ after the swap; this is 0.2% better than it could do on its own. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–70 Currency Swaps (cont.) • Example 21.9 (cont.) Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–71 Currency Swaps (cont.) • Example 21.9 (cont.) • The exchange risk falls on the intermediary with a US$3.6m inflow and a £1.2m outflow. • The intermediary is likely to hedge this exposure away with forward contracts or through the natural hedge created by brokering a portfolio of swaps. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–72 Foreign Currency Borrowing by Australian Companies • Risk of foreign currency borrowing – Domestic borrowers may be induced to borrow overseas because of lower interest rates on offer. – As seen earlier, interest rate differentials should be interpreted to imply exchange rate movements — interest rate parity. – A foreign currency loan left unhedged is exposed to depreciation of the Australian dollar, making repayment of the loan more costly. – A hedge, if available, may wipe out the cost savings (this is expected in an efficient market), though a swap may offer risk-management opportunities. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–73 Reasons for Borrowing Overseas • Foreign currency debt can provide a useful hedge for a foreign-currency asset holding. • Alternatively, a currency swap can be used to hedge the currency risk. • Offshore borrowing offers the Australian corporation a broader range of lenders that can handle extremely large loans which might be a strain on the domestic capital market. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–74 Reasons for Borrowing Overseas (cont.) • Hedging efficiency — foreign lenders may not want Australian currency exposure, even though they are willing to lend to Australian firms. • Thus, to access these lenders, Australian firms must borrow in foreign currency and hedge the risk themselves — the cost is likely to be shared between the lender and borrower (it would be factored into the borrowing rate). • Diversification — lenders prefer not to be the sole creditor of a large firm and in such cases may require risk premium, the firm may look overseas for cheaper funds, spreading the risk across several institutions (local and overseas). Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–75 Borrowing Overseas: Market Structure • • Overseas borrowing, first choice – Borrow from an overseas bank or financial institution. – Or, the borrower may issue, in a foreign country, marketable securities. Overseas borrowing, second choice – Should the funds be raised in a foreign market or in a ‘Euro’ market. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–76 Borrowing Overseas: Market Structure (cont.) • Foreign transaction — carried out in foreign country in currency of that country. – • Foreign bond — Australian company issuing US$ bonds in US capital markets. Eurocurrency transaction — carried out in the currency other than currency of country where transaction occurs. – Eurocurrency loan — London banks lend Swedish government US$500m. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–77 Borrowing Overseas: Market Structure (cont.) • ‘Bearer security’: a security whose ownership is not registered by the issuer; possession of the physical document is primary evidence of ownership. • Eurocurrency markets are dominated by US$ but Euro is of increasing importance. • Since 1985, Australian dollar securities have been included in Euromarkets and traded by participants, providing another source of funds for Australian firms. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–78 Foreign and Eurocurrency Loans • Similar to loans from domestic banks, but they are arranged overseas and are normally denominated in a foreign currency. • Short-term Eurocurrency bank loans – Typically involve a principal of at least US$5m. – Interest rate is set at a margin (0.5 to 3.0%) above an agreed reference rate (usually LIBOR). – Different LIBOR rates for different currencies and terms to maturity. – Often provided under a revolving credit facility. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–79 Foreign and Eurocurrency Loans (cont.) • Eurocurrency standby facilities – A bank is committed to providing short-term loan funds should the borrower require them. – Normally arranged for periods up to 2 years and intended to be used only in times of difficulty or tight liquidity. – Bank charges a commitment fee as well as interest. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–80 Foreign and Eurocurrency Loans (cont.) • Eurocurrency term loans – Typically for a principal of at least US$5m, to be repaid over 5 to 10 years. – Interest charged on a floating-rate basis, set at a margin above LIBOR. – The time pattern for the repayment of principal is negotiable between parties. – Loans of more than US$50 to US$100m will usually require a syndicate of banks to provide the funds. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–81 Foreign and Eurocurrency Securities • There has been a trend towards borrowers obtaining funds from lenders by selling them marketable securities, such as bonds and notes, rather than by borrowing from a bank. • One reason for this trend may be due to the possibility of the borrower qualifying for an exemption from the interest withholding tax. • ‘Foreign securities’ — securities sold in a country by a foreign issuer (in the local currency). – ‘Kangaroo bonds’, foreign companies issuing $A denominated bonds in the Australian capital market. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–82 Foreign and Eurocurrency Securities (cont.) • Euronote issuance facilities – Facilities under which one or more institutions agrees to underwrite a borrower’s short-term securities (Euronotes). – Euronotes are issued for short terms (up to 6 months) but the facility is generally arranged for a much longer period (up to 7 years). – These notes are essentially bearer promissory notes drawn by the borrower, with face values of US$100 000 and US$500 000. – These facilities involve a range of fees: establishment, commitment and take-up fees. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–83 Foreign and Eurocurrency Securities (cont.) • Commercial paper and certificates of deposit – ‘Commercial paper’: unsecured short-term promissory notes. – ‘Certificates of deposit’: a marketable fixed-rate debt instrument issued by a bank in exchange for a deposit of funds. – ‘Commercial paper facility’: similar to a note issuance facility, but not underwritten. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–84 Foreign and Eurocurrency Securities (cont.) • Transferable loan certificates – Euromarket borrowers can obtain a bank term loan with provision for the lender to convert the loan into a transferable loan certificate. – Similar to a syndicated loan from the viewpoint of the borrower. – Interest rate set at a margin above LIBOR. – Ownership is registered (not bearer instruments). Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–85 Foreign and Eurocurrency Securities (cont.) • Medium-term notes – Unsecured, bearer, coupon securities with terms to maturity ranging from 1 to 30 years. – Coupon rate can be fixed or floating. – The size of each facility is typically between US$50m and US$500m. – Offer flexibility: notes issued within a given facility can have a range of maturities, currencies and fixed and floating coupon rates. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–86 Foreign and Eurocurrency Securities (cont.) • Eurobonds – Medium- to long-term international bearer securities sold in countries other than the country of the currency in which the bond is denominated. – Many different types: Fixed rate bonds Floating rate notes Equity-related bonds – A Eurobond issue is usually for a minimum of US$50m. – Maturities are usually between 3 and 12 years. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–87 Foreign and Eurocurrency Securities (cont.) • Eurobonds – In 2003, financial institutions issue the bulk of international bonds (72%), followed by corporations (13%) and governments and state agencies (10%). – Australian issues account for 0.8% of all issues, though they rank 6th currency, with 60% of all issues being straight fixed rate bonds in US$ or Euro. – Australian and NZ Eurobond issues dominated by banks and financial institutions, property developers and property trusts. – Uridashi Market — A$ bonds placed in Japanese retail bond market. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–88 Summary • Australia has always been a relatively open economy, international globalisation — thus international financial management is important in Australia. • Exchange rates – – Spot rate — price of currency for immediate delivery. Forward rate — price of currency for delivery on a specified later date. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–89 Summary (cont.) • International finance relationships – Interest rate parity — empirical support strong. – Unbiased forward rates — empirical support weak. – PPP – high inflation = depreciation. – International Fisher effect — interest rates and exchange rate expectations. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–90 Summary (cont.) • Competitive market for currencies means it is impossible to consistently forecast exchange rates successfully. • Exchange risk — loss due to unanticipated exchange rate changes. – Manage exchange risk by hedging — appropriate for one-off transactions. – Hedging is not helpful in long-term situations, such as committed repeat exporter. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–91 Summary (cont.) • Return on foreign assets depends on exchange rates as well as investment return. • Foreign investment popular because it offers increased diversification. • Currency swaps — changes the currency in which a loan must be repaid, i.e. converts a foreign currency loan into a domestic currency loan. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–92 Summary (cont.) • Australian companies increasingly borrow overseas. • Two main mechanisms include Eurocurrency loans and debt security issues. • These foreign borrowings are often complemented with a swap as a hedging mechanism, either currency or interest rate. • Australian-based foreign bonds — kangaroo bonds. Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 9e by Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard and Pinder Prepared by Dr Buly Cardak 21–93