Understanding Markets Analyzing Markets Toyota teenagers and 20 somethings already account for 6% of sales. How to reach them? Scion? 1. 2. 3. What is the potential size of the cell phone market in Tanzania 6 methods Statistical methods Regression analysis (Michelin Asia) Averages Exponential Smoothing Models Conjoint Analysis Observation How many minutes per day the typical pay phone was used Surveys Survey of buyers’ intention Survey of Salesforce opinion Focus Groups Analogy Danone new flavor HDTV Judgment Executive Judgment Delphi Technique Market tests Experimental Live Discussion Question 3. How does one go from methods to math? Chain ratio method Brand or category indices Ideas for new products or new ventures: How do we know how fast customers will adopt? Source: Adapted with permission from Marketing, 11/e, Acetate 8-8, by Michael J. Etzel, Bruce J. Walker, and William J. Stanton. The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. © 1997. All rights reserved. The risk Relative advantage Relative simplicity Compatibility The ease of Trial The ease of communication Analyzing Customer Needs, Behavior, and Influences Cultural considerations Social considerations Sub-cultures Family Personal Factors Lifestyle (Psychographics) 973 97330 Motivation Perception Attitudes Sources for consumer research www.census.gov Census www.crc-conquest.org Conference Board Consumer Research Center Http://sosig.ac.uk Social Science information gateway http://cyberatlas.internet.com Cyberatlas Web usage www.geohive.com Global statistics Business Markets Organizational connections Buying Center Organizational Considerations Derived Demand Business sources www.census.gov/epcd/www./naics.htm l (NAICS industrial classification data) www.ceoexpress.com www.inc.com www.industryweek.com www.ecommercetimes.com Corvallis Chamber of Commerce Welcome to Corvallis Visit Corvallis Slide show More pictures Generation Y Trendsetters top 15 brands 15. 14. 13. 12. 11. Red Stripe Jamaican beer Vitamin Water Converse Volkswagen Levi’s 10. H&M clothing stores 9. Target 8. American Apparel 7. Adidas 6. Whole Foods 5. Ben & Jerry’s 4. In-N-Out Burger starts their employees out at $10 an hour -- which made the trendsetters happier to eat there, as opposed to some fast-food chains where all the workers look miserable." 3. Jet Blue "They loved everything about Jet Blue, noting that the airline is much easier to navigate, the flights are always cheap, always one-way and don't have a lot of weird special prices and restrictions," 2. Trader Joe’s They liked that the company has a dorky newsletter and makes their employees wear silly Hawaiian shirts. Apple Outlaw Consulting, a San Francisco research firm, concluded that Generation Y trendsetters are more drawn to brands that speak to them in a "straightforward and strippeddown way, use plain packaging, and avoid excess 1. Outlaw surveyed 100 of what it calls its "most forward trendsetter panelists" in New York City, Los Angeles, San Francisco and Miami, asking them which companies they most respected, and why. the preference for simplification, lean-and-clean styling and all-in-one convenience could be motivated by environmental concerns. In other words, as the "green lifestyle" is something more and more people aspire to, the notion of excess has fallen into disfavor