Managerial Economics in a Global Economy Chapter 1 The Nature and Scope of Managerial Economics Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University SCOPE OF THE COURSE: This course emphasizes the practical application of economic theory to managerial decision-making and problem solving. A primary focus of the course is to use the tools of microeconomics together with quantitative and statistical methods to understand, analyze, and predict the behavior of consumers and business firms. The use of computer econometric software as an aid to decision making will be stressed during the course. COURSE REQUIREMENTS: Prior knowledge of microeconomic analysis and statistics is crucial. Keyboard training and basic instructions of Microsoft Windows operating system are necessary for computer lab. sessions. Student may need to learn “Internet Searching” for some case studies and other related assignments. Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University COURSE CONTENTS: · Introduction: (scope of managerial economics, tools of analysis & optimization). · Demand, markets, and elasticity. · Regression analysis, diagnostic statistics, curve fitting, and violations. · Estimating structural demand functions. · Forecasting: (Structural demand equations, simple time series models, ARIMA, & qualitative forecasting). · Production, Costs and profitability analysis (short and long run). · Market Structure and Globalization: perfect competition, monopolistic competition, oligopoly, & monopoly, market power and market domination including; cartels, local and international dominating firms, and pricing practices (price discrimination, action reaction pricing policies, and non profit pricing). · Capital Budgeting and investment decisions · Risk analysis. · Linear Programming. · Government and Business Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University SUBJECT TIME Introduction (scope of managerial economics, tools of analysis & optimization). Demand, markets, and elasticity. Regression analysis, diagnostic statistics, curve fitting, and violations. Estimating structural demand functions. Demand forecasting (Structural demand equations, simple time series models, ARIMA, & qualitative forecasting). Production, Costs and profitability analysis (short and long run). REFERENCES W 1 H 3 Mansfield, [1999 2 3 3 3 Mansfield, [1999 Mansfield, [1999 3 3 Mansfield, [1999 Mansfield, [1999 4 5-6 7-8 6 Salvatore [1992] Mansfield, [1999 Rabinovitch [1996] Market Structure and Globalization: perfect competition, monopolistic competition, oligopoly, & monopoly, market power and market domination including; cartels, local and international dominating firms, and pricing practices (price discrimination, action reaction pricing policies, and non profit pricing). 9-11 Capital Budgeting and investment decisions. Risk analysis. Linear Programming. Government and Business. 12 13 14 15 9 Salvatore [2001] Mansfield, [1999 Salvatore [2001] 3 3 3 3 Rabinovitch [1996] Salvatore [2001] Salvatore [2001] Mansfield, [1999 Mansfield, [1999 Salvatore [2001] Final Exam. Managerial Economics 16 Prof. M. El-Sakka 3 CBA. Kuwait University STUDENT EVALUATION 1st Mid-term 2nd Mid-term Final exam Homeworks and case studies Total Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka 20 20 50 10 _________ 100 CBA. Kuwait University GRADING SYSTEM: 95+ 90 - 94.5 87 - 89.5 83 - 86.5 80 - 82.5 77 - 79.5 73 - 76.5 70 - 72.5 65 -- 69.5 60 - 64.5 0 - 59.5 Managerial Economics A AB+ B BC+ C CD+ D F Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University REFERENCES: Mansfield, E. [2004] “Managerial Economics”, 6th ed. W.W Norton & Co. (Main text), (copies are available in the student bookshop, Al-Shuwaikh Campus). (REQUIRED) Salvatore, D. [2004] “ Managerial Economics “ Harcourt College Publishers Rabinovitch, R. [1996] “Managerial Economics: Theory and its applications” KOLB Publishing Co. (one copy is available in the college’s library). COMPUTER SOFTWARE: Excel. OFFICE HOURS Saturday, Monday, and Wednesday 11 – 12 am, or by a prior arrangement with the secretary of the department. Telephone calls are prohibited. Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University Managerial economics: provides a wide variety of practical techniques that we can use to reduce costs and eliminate wastes and maximize profits. Managerial economics provides a link between economic theory and the decision sciences in the analysis of managerial decision making. Economic theory: - MICROECONOMICS: focus on individual consumers, firms, and industries. Its role is relatively important. Managerial economics draws heavily from microeconomics. However, managerial economics is quite different. Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University Definition The application of economic theory and the tools of decision science to examine how an organization can achieve its aims or objectives most efficiently. The Relationship Between Managerial Economics and Related disciplines Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University Managerial economics provides a wide variety of practical techniques that we can use to reduce costs and eliminate wastes and maximize profits. Managerial economics provides a link between economic theory and the decision sciences in the analysis of managerial decision making. Economic theory: - MICROECONOMICS: focus on individual consumers, firms, and industries. Its role is relatively important. Managerial economics draws heavily from microeconomics. However, managerial economics is quite different. Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University - MACROECONOMICS: focus on aggregate output, income, and employment There is a relationship between managerial economics and decision sciences Managerial economics has arisen from a complex mixture of various parts of economics and the decision sciences including statistics. Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University Managerial Decision Problems Economic theory Microeconomics Macroeconomics Decision Sciences Mathematical Economics Econometrics MANAGERIAL ECONOMICS Application of economic theory and decision science tools to solve managerial decision problems OPTIMAL SOLUTIONS TO MANAGERIAL DECISION PROBLEMS Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University The basic process of decision making: 1 -Establish or identify the objectives: What are the organization’s objectives (e.g. redesign your product ). 2 - Define the problem: determine exactly what is the problem (e.g., increased foreign competition) 3 - Identify Possible solutions (e.g. effective production and marketing of existing product; or redesign the product) taking into account different constraints. 4 - Select the best possible solution: evaluate each option, determine which is best given the objectives (redesign the product) 5 - Implement the Decision. Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University THE BASIC PROCESS OF DECISION MAKING Establish Objectives Define the Problem Identify Possible Solutions Consider input constraints Consider legal and other constraints Select the best possible solution Implement the decision Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University The theory of the firm Combines and organizes resources for the purpose of producing goods and/or services for sale. Internalizes transactions, reducing transactions costs. Traditionally the theory of the firm indicated that the goal of the firm is to maximize its profits. This is not useful in many circumstances. A richer version assumes that the goal of the firm is to maximize the value of the firm ( or its wealth ). The value of the firm: the present value of expected future cash flows Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University Value of the Firm; The present value of all expected future profits n 1 2 PV ; n 1 i (1 i) 2 (1 i) A Compact Version n t PV ; t t 1(1 i) An Interesting Version n TRt TCt PV ; t 1 (1 i)t Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University The Value of the Firm TRt TCt t 1 i t 1 n i depends on: TRt depends on: TCt depends on: 1. Riskiness of firm 1. Demand and forecasting 1. Production techniques 2. Conditions in the capital market 2. Pricing 2. Cost functions 3. New product developing 3. Process development Note that all the Departments of the firm are involved in maximizing the value of the firm Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University Alternative Theories Sales maximization Managers seek to maximize sales after adequate rate of profit is achieved to satisfy share holders. Management utility maximization Managers are interested in maximizing their utility (their compensations), size of their staff, extent of control…etc. than maximizing profits (Principle-agent problem) Satisficing behavior Running modern firms is complicated by uncertainty, lack of adequate data, etc. managers strive for a satisfactory goal in terms of sales, profits, growth ..etc. Large firms are satisficing rather than maximizing organizations Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University The Role of Constraints Inputs: Skilled labor Essential materials Funds…. etc. Legal: Minimum wage levels Pollution control Expatriates policy… etc. Environmental: The Green house effect The Green parties Constrained optimization Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University Definitions of Profit Business Profit: Total revenue minus the explicit or accounting costs of production. = TR – TC e.g. TR = 100 000, = 40 000 TC = 60 000 Economic Profit: Total revenue minus the explicit and implicit costs of production. Suppose the owner works as the manager and takes the profit as a reward. But he could manage another company for 30000. He can lend his capital to another firm for 20000. Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University the economic profit = TR - ( TC + Opportunity costs of factors owned by the firm ) = 100 000 - ( 60 000 + 30000 + 20000 ) = - 10000 Note: the economic profit is more relevant. Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University Theories of Profit Risk-Bearing Theories of Profit Frictional Theory of Profit Monopoly Theory of Profit Innovation Theory of Profit Managerial Efficiency Theory of Profit Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University Function of Profit Profit is a signal that guides the allocation of society’s resources. High profits in an industry are a signal that buyers want more of what the industry produces. Low (or negative) profits in an industry are a signal that buyers want less of what the industry produces. Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University Business Ethics Identifies types of behavior that businesses and their employees should not engage in. Source of guidance that goes beyond enforceable laws. Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University The Changing Environment of Managerial Economics Globalization of Economic Activity Goods and Services Capital Technology Skilled Labor Technological Change Telecommunications Advances The Internet and the World Wide Web Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University Chapter 1: Appendix (business graduates can bypass this section) The Basics of Demand, Supply, and Equilibrium Prepared by Robert F. Brooker, Ph.D. Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University Law of Demand A decrease in the price of a good, all other things held constant, will cause an increase in the quantity demanded of the good. An increase in the price of a good, all other things held constant, will cause a decrease in the quantity demanded of the good. Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University Change in Quantity Demanded Price An increase in price causes a decrease in quantity demanded. P1 P0 Q1 Managerial Economics Q0 Prof. M. El-Sakka Quantity CBA. Kuwait University Change in Quantity Demanded Price A decrease in price causes an increase in quantity demanded. A movement from one point to another a P0 b P1 Q0 Managerial Economics Q1 Prof. M. El-Sakka Quantity CBA. Kuwait University Changes in Demand Change in Buyers’ Tastes Change in Buyers’ Incomes Normal Goods Inferior Goods Change in the Number of Buyers Change in the Price of Related Goods Substitute Goods Complementary Goods Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University Change in Demand An increase in demand refers to a rightward shift in the market demand curve. Price P0 Q0 Managerial Economics Q1 Prof. M. El-Sakka Quantity CBA. Kuwait University Change in Demand A decrease in demand refers to a leftward shift in the market demand curve. Price P0 Q1 Managerial Economics Q0 Prof. M. El-Sakka Quantity CBA. Kuwait University Law of Supply A decrease in the price of a good, all other things held constant, will cause a decrease in the quantity supplied of the good. An increase in the price of a good, all other things held constant, will cause an increase in the quantity supplied of the good. Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University Change in Quantity Supplied Price P0 A decrease in price causes a decrease in quantity supplied. P1 Q1 Managerial Economics Q0 Prof. M. El-Sakka Quantity CBA. Kuwait University Change in Quantity Supplied An increase in price causes an increase in quantity supplied. A movement from one point to another Price P1 b P0 a Q0 Managerial Economics Q1 Prof. M. El-Sakka Quantity CBA. Kuwait University Changes in Supply Change in Production Technology Change in Input Prices Change in the Number of Sellers Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University Change in Supply An increase in supply refers to a rightward shift in the market supply curve. Price P0 Q0 Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka Q1 Quantity CBA. Kuwait University Change in Supply A decrease in supply refers to a leftward shift in the market supply curve. Price P0 Q1 Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka Q0 Quantity CBA. Kuwait University Market Equilibrium Market equilibrium is determined at the intersection of the market demand curve and the market supply curve. The equilibrium price causes quantity demanded to be equal to quantity supplied. Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University Market Equilibrium Price D S P Equilibrium price Q Managerial Economics Quantity Equilibrium quantity Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University Market Equilibrium Price D0 D1 An increase in demand will cause the market equilibrium price and quantity to increase. P1 P0 Q0 Q1 Managerial Economics S0 Prof. M. El-Sakka Quantity CBA. Kuwait University Key Terms Managerial economics Value of the firm Economic theory Constrained optimization Microeconomics Principal-agent problem Macroeconomics Satisficing behavior Model Business profit Mathematical economics Explicit costs Econometrics Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka Economic profit Functional areas of business Implicit costs administration studies Business ethics Firm Globalization of economic activity Transaction costs Internet Circular flow of economic activity Information superhighway Theory of the firm CBA. Kuwait University