Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015 1 OLIGOPOLY FOUR MARKET MODELS Perfect Competition Monopolistic Competition Oligopoly Pure Monopoly Characteristics of Oligopolies: Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015 2 • A Few Large Producers (Less than 10) • Homogeneous or Differentiated Products • High Barriers to Entry • Control Over Price (Price Maker) • Mutual Interdependence •Firms use Strategic Pricing EXAMPLES • Tennis Balls: Wilson, Penn, Dunlop and Spalding. • Cars: GM, Ford, DaimlerChrysler • Cereal: Quaker, Ralston Food, Kellogg, Post and General Mills. • Aircraft: Boeing (McDonnell Douglas) and Lockheed Martin • Grocery stores: (Giant Eagle, Shopn’Save, Wal-Mart) HOW DO OLIGOPOLIES OCCUR? • Oligopolies occur when only a few large firms start to control an industry. • High barriers to entry keep others from entering. • What are some Barriers to Entry? 1. Economies of Scale 2. High Start-up Costs 3. Ownership of Raw Materials 4. Patents Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015 ??? 6 • Mergers… HORIZONTAL MERGER Announced, March 2011 How does the government decide if it will allow a merger? Does it reduce competition in a way that will hurt consumers? Abandoned, Dec. 2011 HORIZONTAL MERGER HORIZONTAL MERGER GAME THEORY How do firms in Oligopoly behave strategically to choose price/output? Mutual interdependence • Pricing policy Collusion • Enhances profit Incentive to cheat Prisoner’s dilemma 11-10 Game Theory The study of how people behave in strategic situations Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015 11 An understanding of game theory helps firms in an oligopoly maximize profit. JOHN NASH AND GAME THEORY Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015 VIDEO: SPLIT OR STEAL Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015 The Prisoner’s Dilemma Charged with a crime, each prisoner has one of two choices: Deny or Rat Prisoner 2 Deny Both Deny = 5 Deny Years in jail each Confess Rat = Free Deny =20 Years Prisoner 1 Confess Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015 Deny = 20 Years Both Rat = 10 Years in jail each 14 Rat = Free What did we learn? 1. Oligopolies must use strategic pricing (they have to worry about the other guy) 2. Oligopolies have a tendency to collude to gain profit. 3. Collusion results in the incentive to cheat. 4. Firms make informed decisions based on their dominant strategies Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015 16 (Collusion is the act of cooperating with rivals in order to “rig” a situation) 2008 Audit Exam 2007 FRQ #3 Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015 18 Payoff matrix for two competing bus companies 2007 FRQ #3 Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015 Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015 20 OLIGOPOLY GRAPHS Because firms are interdependent Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015 21 There are 3 types of Oligopolies 1. Price Leadership (no graph) 2. Colluding Oligopoly 3. Non Colluding Oligopoly Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015 22 #1. PRICE LEADERSHIP Example: Small Town Gas Stations OPEC does this with OIL Who is the “leader” with OPEC? Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015 23 To maximize profit what will they do? Price Leadership •Collusion is ILLEGAL. •Firms CANNOT set prices. •Price leadership is a strategy used by firms to coordinate prices without outright collusion Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015 24 General Process: 1. “Dominant firm” initiates a price change 2. Other firms follow the leader PRICE LEADERSHIP MODEL Leadership tactics o Usually largest/most efficient firm o Infrequent price changes o Communications o Limit pricing to keep barriers to entry o How might Price Leadership break down?: 11-25 Price Leadership Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015 26 Breakdowns in Price Leadership • Temporary Price Wars may occur if other firms don’t follow price increases of dominant firm. • Each firm tries to undercut each other. Examples… Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015 27 #2. COLLUDING OLIGOPOLIES A cartel is a group of producers that create an agreement to fix prices high. Why didn’t your cartel work? 1. Cartels set price and output at an agreed upon level 2. Firms require identical or highly similar demand and costs 3. Cartel must have a way to punish cheaters 4. Together they act as a monopoly Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015 28 Cartel = Colluding Oligopoly Firms in a colluding oligopoly act as a monopoly and share the profit **easier with homogenous product MC ATC D MR Q 29 P CARTELS AND OTHER COLLUSION Covert collusion •Tacit understandings Obstacles to collusion •Demand and cost differences •Number of firms •Cheating •Recession (increases in ATC) •Potential entry of new firms •Legal obstacles: antitrust law 11-30 Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015 31 #3. NONCOLLUDING OLIGOPOLIES Kinked Demand Curve Model The kinked demand curve model shows how noncollusive firms are interdependent If firms are NOT colluding they are likely to react to competitor’s pricing in two ways: 1. Match price-If one firm cuts it’s prices, then the other firms follow suit causing inelastic demand 2. Ignore change-If one firm raises prices, others maintain same price causing elastic demand Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015 If this firm increases it’s price, other firms will ignore it and keep prices the same As the only firm with high prices, Qd for this firm will decrease a lot (Qe to Q1) P Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015 Q1 Qe D Q 33 P1 Pe If this firm decreases it’s price, other firms will match it and lower their prices Since all firms have lower prices, Qd for this firm will increase only a little (Qe to Q2) P Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015 Q1 Qe Q2 D Q 34 P1 Pe P2 Where is Marginal Revenue? MR has a vertical gap at the kink. The result is that MC can move and Qe won’t change. Price is sticky. P MC MR Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015 Q D Q 35 Pe Kinked-Demand Curve Criticisms of the model •How does price get to P0 •Explains inflexibility, not price • Price/Quantity remains the profit maximizing level for a wide range of cost structures •Prices are not that rigid (unstable economy) •Price wars (often due to recession) 11-36