Africa's Cotton and Textiles: “TRENDS AND CAUSES - A GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE by Fred Kong’ong’o African Cotton and Textile Industry Federation (ACTIF) Cotton in Africa Seminar ,Arusha Tanzania 6th September , 2007 ACTIF End of MFA:- the ‘Catalyst’ Regional supply chain Linkages, industry strategies Public/Private sector partnerships Unified voice ACTIF” is formed on the following principles: “Africa-Wide” view, not geographically restrictive Emphasis on private sector “ownership” & strong allegiance of nationally based trade institutions Endorses Public/Private sector partnerships Builds cooperation, interaction, partnerships, alliances, networks and market linkages Collects market data, generates information exchange, shares regional expertise Addresses post MFA challenges and increases competitiveness in the global post-quota environment Maintains focus on trade issues, promotes investment Encourages diverse international participation & alliances ACTIF: Program Areas Investment & Finance • Credit options, sources • Regional/pan-African/International • ‘Smart’ partnerships • Public sector involvement • Provide technical support Deliberations in Maseru, Lesotho ACTIF “ACTIF” Inter Regional Trade & Supply Chain Linking with Mauritius • Data base (region + Africa) • Market intelligence information systems • Market access & linkages • Skills based training initiatives • Cottonafrica.com - participation ACTIF ACTIF “ACTIF” SA - TZ Exchange 4. Production, Ginning & Lint Trade • Fair-Trade issues • GMO, research , share • Information – quality, prices, market information, production • “Niche” market development -organic Cotton • Information / technology exchange ACTIF ACTIF: Networking-Dialogue International Cotton Advisory Committee International Textile Manufacturers Federation Supporting Regional Industry Strategies World Textile and Apparel: A History of Protectionism End of global quotas ATC commits to quota removal EEC n US sign some bilateral MFA instituted under trade law LTA under GATT signed US initiates STA formal restrictions UK & US restrict imports The Reality Check A metamorphosis of unparalleled proportions China awakes o Consumes 42% of world cotton production o 76% of world textile machinery supply o CAPACITY TO CLOTHE THE WORLD Spindles CHINA INDIA PAKISTAN SSA 67 million 37 million 12 million <1 million What Africa is Up against? China: o High skilled/very productive labour, Undervalued currency, mass production/economies of scale, great Government support , unfair trade practices India textile industry up-gradation fund o o o Soft terms (20years),Subsidized interest rates (5%) Capital subsidy (10%), High skilled/productive labour Recent development – Rupee appreciation support What thereafter? o o o China market share to grow SSA to decline Sustainability? ACTION – level the playing field Currency corrections Fight subsidies Fair Trade HOWEVER:AFRICA’S COTTON, TEXTILE AND APPAREL INDUSTRY Offer best answer to poverty alleviation through value addition BUT Technology/Research Poor infrastructure/ High cost of doing business In Reality LESS competitive advantage Information/ Trends WORD LEADERS SPECIALIZED IN MASS DFQF for all LDC’s – A Great Disaster LDC’s include Bangladesh & Cambodia o o They are already super-competitive Need no preferences Seriously erode, weaken and undermine trade preferences given to Africa by EU & US TREND: MARKET FOR THE BIG AND SMALL Small Eco/Organic Cotton-textile-Huge demand Fair trade –cotton products, Big market Consumers demand: the story behind the product Big volumes but multi-colours trend Big Mass production, big stores Africa answer is in the niche’ Some African competitive Advantage Good climate Produce more lint than capacity to convert Trade preferences Ethnic/traditional designs Abundant labour force/Raw materials Positive focus on Africa (Millennium development etc) Great economic growth potential Return on investment great if you get it right What next ? Governments •Get private sector input before policy change/trade agreements Private sector •Develop sectorol approach: •Diversifyaproducts, niche, high end ‾Setinspecial cotton & textiles industry incentives •Invest original design not contract manufacturing Development partners funds/loans ‾Cotton-textile •Build trust develop reliability •Develop synergies instead running parallel programs •Build •Investinfustructure in human resource development •Joint approach •Create skill based training institutions •Change with the trend •Use local solutions totrade local barriers: problem Develop regional supply chain •Remove •Invest inregional quality assurance and logistics •Support and encourage public-private sector initiatives •Invest in research good(SA, agronomic practices •Produce for local, and regional COMESA )and international market WORLD ORGANIC COTTON MARKET Rapid growth seen in organic market Estimated Global Retail Sales Organic Cotton Products Millions USD ($) 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 2001 Estimated Global Retail Sales (millions USD $) Source; Organic exchange 2005 2006 2007 2008 2001 2005 2006 2007 2008 245 583 1,073 1,911 2,618 WORLD ORGANIC COTTON MARKET Who’s Designing Sustainable and Organic Textiles? Katherine Hamnett Rogan Gregory Linda Laudermilk Stella McCartney Diane Von Furstenberg And more…. Brands increasing activity on organic In 2005: • More than 30 retailers and brands with significant organic cotton programs. • More than 1200 small and medium sized companies were also in the market. In 2006: • Brand demand continues to build with C&A, Cotton Ginny, Reebok, Levi Strauss, Pottery Barn entering market. • Wal-mart and Nike have largest organic cotton programs In 2007: • New brands and retailers entering market include Target, Victoria Secrets, LLBean, Sainsbury, Barney’s • Existing brands such as C&A, M&S, Nike, Next, Nordstrom, Wal-mart, Woolworth’s South Africa significantly expand their programs Fairtrade Clothing •2000 tonnes Fairtrade cotton from West Africa this year + 80 tonnes Fairtrade Organic •Over 3000 tonnes next year 22 million Fairtrade garments •Relationships at trader level booked by +’ve logistics, volume, language & S to farmers -‘ve informationMflows (price, quality, volumes, impacts) £100m RSV. 10% of the M&S cotton business. Source :M&S Finally Think big! Plan long term! Speed/Economy of scope will be key Regional Supply chain best for Africa Remember – Buyer is key (market driven) Attract Buyers Incentivise Buyers Connect to Buyers – ?? Brand Africa … Buy Africa … Market Africa 1 Aggressive Strategy Visionary Thank You for your attention