Sherwin-Williams Grand Opening Paint-a-Palooza 4/28/2011 Direct Marketing Christina Nguyen, Jimmy Liao, Michelle Tamez, Kim McCullars and Amanda Trapp 1 Table of Contents Overview…………………………………………………………………………………………..3 Segmentation, Targeting, and Positioning………………………………………………………...4 Creative, List, and Offer…………………………………………………………………………..8 Media Selection and Use………………………………………………………………………...11 Testing and Metrics……………………………………………………………………………....18 Fulfillment……………………………………………………………………………………..…22 Recommendations………………………………………………………………………………..24 Appendix A…………………………………………………………………...………………….25 Appendix B………………………………………………………………………………………32 Appendix C…………………………………………...………………………………………….35 Budget………………………………………………………...………………………………….36 Sources………………………………………………………...…………………………………38 2 Overview Sherwin-Williams is a national retailer of leading home and industry paint products, with an excess of 3.000 retail branches. On June 25, 2011 Sherwin-Williams will open a new store at 11260 North Central Expressway, Suite 100 in Dallas, Texas. With the opening of its new Dallas location, the goal is to maximize retail customer sales, which represent 15% of SherwinWilliams’ total business, and to maximize foot traffic for this new centralized location’s grand opening. Currently, Sherwin-Williams offers its customers an interactive website, with information on such topics as: products, painting tips, and green painting solutions. Sherwin-Williams additionally offers a ‘Preferred Customer Program’ that offers loyal customers special sales and discounts. This campaign is designed to appeal to ‘do it yourself’ homeowners. With a budget of $14,000, the most appropriate allocation of this budget will consist of grand opening postcards to neighborhood homes; a list composed exclusively of homeowners with the greatest sales potential These postcards will detail the Grand Opening Weekend Event, with a publicized donation of 5% of all sales to the Dallas branch of Habitat for Humanity. ‘Teaching’ workshops will be provided, with each attending potential customer receiving an additional 5% off their purchases. Radio DJ’s will also be utilized to inform the target demographic of the opening through radio advertisements. 3 Segmentation, Targeting, and Positioning Sherwin-Williams was founded in 1866 by Henry Sherwin and Edward Williams. They are the largest producer of paints and coatings in the United States, and one of the leading producers in the world. During his life, Henry Sherwin was actively involved on several boards, and also took an active interest in the YMCA. In fact, Henry Sherwin first met Edward Williams through their mutual interest in the association. From the beginning Sherwin-Williams has prided itself on the quality of its products; when the company began it had to contend with professional painters who only trusted paints they mixed themselves. Sherwin-Williams’ paint guaranteed its quality on the label, with a money-back guarantee that was enough to tempt painting professionals to test the product. The paint’s quality stood strong, and Sherwin-Williams’ paint became associated with quality. As Walter Cottingham, Sherwin-Williams’ Chief Executive Officer from 1909 to 1921, later stipulated, “such enviable prominence, such unrivaled power…That’s the reward – the strongest and most valuable of assets – Reputation.”1 In 1941 Sherwin-Williams’ research into alternative paint coatings was accelerated due to World War II shortages, and the company created a water based paint. This revolution took painting away from the professionals, and gave every household the opportunity to become ‘doit-yourself’ painters. While Sherwin-Williams conducts 85% of its business with other businesses, it is this target segment of individuals with the ‘Do It Yourself’ attitude that comprise the remaining 15% of its sales. This campaign will reach potential consumers of homeowners with an income reaching at most $200,000, and a minimum of $25,000. Homeowners are the preferred segment due to their ability to alter the appearance of their residence, as opposed to apartment dwellers and leasers. 1 http://excellence.sherwin.com/history_timeline.html 4 This income bracket of homeowners will have a great enough disposable income that they will be able to afford the extra cost of premium Sherwin-Williams paint, as opposed to buying the house brand of the local hardware store. While at the top most section of this income bracket may have enough disposable income to afford to hire outside contractors for painting jobs, stressful economic times, may push a greater percentage of this group to adopt the ‘Do It Yourself’ attitude that many in this segment already possess. Seeking out customers with a desire to complete their own household embellishments themselves is key to the success of this direct marketing initiative. Regardless of economic background, if the customer does not have the motivation to use the paint themselves, or a desire to modify their home, there is no point in allocating a portion of the budget to attract their interest. The store in question will open in zip code 75243 in Dallas, Texas. In this area, 85% of the population falls within the desired income bracket, approximately 50,618 persons (Appendix A, Figure 1). There are eight zip codes surrounding the highway where the new store will be opened, and of these zip codes, 75243 has the highest population (Appendix A, Figure 2) and the greatest number of housing units (Appendix A, Figure 3) of these zip codes as well. The choice of whether or not to target a younger demographic, with less disposable income, who are subsequently more likely to make modifications to their home themselves remains. The first group to consider targeting consists of general homeowners of the 75243 zip code with an income less than $200,000, residing in owner occupied homes, Target A (Appendix A, Figure 4). 5 The second group to consider targeting, Target B, consists of homeowners in the same zip code with an income that does not exceed $75,000, who have never been married, and have, at minimum, a high school education, and at most, a four year degree (Appendix A, Figure 4). Constructing a GE matrix, and attributing the greatest weight to the potential target’s historical response rate, indicates that Target A is the more prudent investment to target with this campaign. Other factors that are considered for the construction of this matrix include overall market size, annual market growth rate, historical profit margin, and the availability of lists. Each of these factors are equally weighted. The final factor taken into consideration is Competitive Intensity, which is given the lowest weight in the GE matrix. Target A Weight Overall Market Size 0.15 0.15 0.30 0.15 0.15 0.10 1.00 Market Annual Market Growth Rate Attractiveness Historical Response Rate Historical Profit Margin Availability of lists Competitive Intensity Score Market Attractiveness Target B Weight Overall Market Size Annual Market Growth Rate Historical Response Rate Historical Profit Margin Availability of lists Competitive Intensity Score 0.15 0.15 0.30 0.15 0.15 0.10 1.00 Rating (15) 4 3 3 3 4 4 Rating (15) 2 5 1 2 2 2 Value 0.6 0.45 0.9 0.45 0.6 0.4 3.4 Value 0.3 0.75 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 2.15 A value scale is attributed to each of these weighted categories of the GE matrix (Appendix A, Figure 5). For Target A, while no market received a rating of 5 in any of the weighted categories, collectively the market had a cumulative value of 3.4. Alternatively, Target 6 B received a rating of 5 for its annual market growth rate, but for the category with the greatest weighted value, historical response rate, Target B had received a rating of 1, and ultimately received a cumulative value of 2.15. This shows that Target A is a more prudent market to pursue. 7 Creative, List, and Offer On the Grand Opening Weekend of June the 25th through the 26th, the new store will hold a “Paint-A-Palooza” event. In honor of the grand opening, the store will donate 5% of all purchases made this weekend to Habitat for Humanity. This donation will be widely publicized through each method of communication with potential consumers, with the exception of Google ClickAds. This donation to Habitat for Humanity will promote a sense of goodwill in customers who make purchases on opening weekend, and may additionally entice others who were considering home renovations, and subsequently paint purchases, to move up their purchase to the weekend of June 25th in order to help others. To further promote the Habitat for Humanity benefit, in front of the store there will be a 10’ by 5’ fabric painted banner with the phrase “Paint for a Cause” emblazoned across. Paint and paint brushes will be on site to allow anyone who so desires to leave their mark on the banner and promote their purchase. On site donations will also be accepted on behalf of Habitat for Humanity. This banner may further encourage walk-in’s who were not specifically targeted by the direct marketing campaign. There will be two workshops held on the opening Saturday, the first, which will begin at ten in the morning, will be titled “Going Green.” This workshop will use recycled paper and glass bottles to make the perfect Eco Friendly flower vase for any space. This workshop will be targeted to children ages seven and up, as well as adults, with a duration time of thirty to forty five minutes. All supplies will be included at the store, which will include water, glue, recycled magazines, gift wrapping tissue paper, scissors, various recycled glass bottles/containers and 8 transparent sealer. This workshop is designed to attract families, and encourage parents to bring their children with them to the store. Each participant will receive a complimentary Purdy Eco Pro Brush, which has recycled nylon bristles with a beech wood handle, and is designed to work with all paint finishes. Each participant will also receive a coupon for $10 off of $50 special marked Sherwin-Williams’ GreenSure products and supplies line, which will be valid between June 27th and July 5, 2011. GreenSure paint is manufactured using sustainable raw materials and less solvent than typical household paint. The line is also designed to clean easily and resist mold and mildew growth.2 This coupon will encourage any persons intending to attend the workshop and depart without making a purchase on opening weekend to return in order to procure the GreenSure paint. The second workshop will begin at noon, and is targeted toward adults. Over the course of one hour, participants will be educated regarding different types of faux finishes, and how to successfully create them. All supplies will be provided, including paint, various types of brushes, canvases, and aprons. Participants will be divided into small groups, each group sharing a canvas with a set of several types of brushes that will be demonstrated during the workshop. By educating participants about various painting techniques, it may prompt to consider more extensive paint jobs at their homes, and build their confidence regarding Do It Yourself home modifications. This workshop will target adults with that already possess the Do It Yourself attitude but lack the necessary knowledge and techniques to complete various looks themselves. Each workshop participant will receive a complimentary paint roller. An amount of $250 has been allocated to provide for workshop trainers, and $400 to pay for supplies for the two workshops. 2 http://www.sherwin-williams.com/do_it_yourself/green/greensure/ 9 To tie in with radio advertisements, a DJ from Mix 102.9 will be on site from noon to three. Having the DJ arrive at the same time the second workshop commences will encourage workshop participants to stay past the conclusion of the tutorial, enabling their purchase value to grow. Additionally, having a popular radio DJ present at the grand opening will serve to bring in the radio station/DJ’s fans to the store. The cost of this DJ will be $1,000. Beginning at eleven am, complimentary drinks, popcorn and snow cones will be provided. By having the food and drinks arrive at eleven, customers who might have departed for lunch will be enticed to stay longer, and the food and beverage time will overlap with the Mix 102.9 DJ as well as the end of the first workshop and the entirety of the second. $105 has been allocated for both the snow cone and popcorn machines rentals each, and $150 has been allotted for the procurement of drinks. Sherwin-Williams will also have five drawings for $20 gift cards to the store, once every half hour, beginning at eleven am. These drawings will help to bring customers into the store, as well as to assist in keeping them in the store once they have arrived. They will also encourage winners to make a purchase on the day of the event. Every paint purchasing customer will also be eligible to submit their name for a raffle, the prize being a Sherwin-Williams gift basket, containing: - Paint Brushes Drop Cloths Bucket Tape Kleenguard Basic Coverall 1 Gallon of Classic 99 Paint $20 Sherwin-Williams Gift Card 10 Two of these baskets will be awarded, and the winners will be notified on Sunday, June 26th by 6 pm. Each of these baskets will have an estimated value of $100. The list that will be used to target potential consumers with print mail will be purchased from www.melissadata.com. This list includes residents of the area code 75243, excluding apartments, and businesses. The average income of each mail carrier route in this zip code falls within the target income of $25,000 to $200,000. The minimum average home value is $66,854, and the maximum average home value is $313,479 (Appendix B). This group is ideal to be targeted since they will likely have enough disposable income to afford Sherwin-Williams paint, but they will not be so wealthy as to be able to afford hiring an outside contractor to paint their homes. Additionally, geographically, each name on this list resides in the same area code where the new store is opening, making their geographic positioning ideal for a mailing campaign. There are 6,729 addresses on this list, which was purchased for $63.93. Each mailer will offer its recipients, who bring in the card, 15% off their purchase made during the grand opening weekend, and inform potential customers of the Habitat for Humanity tie-in, where 5% of all purchases made the weekend of June 25th will be donated to the organization. Each mailer will have a barcode on it, to track which customers bring the card into the store, and to enable the new Sherwin-Williams location to begin to build an effective house list for future offers. The postcard will also inform recipients of the workshops, DJ, giveaways and food that will be available to them should they decide to visit the store on its opening weekend. 11 Media Selection and Use In order to capture the immediate attention of the residents of the geographic area surrounding the store, postcard mailers will be mailed to residents of the zip code 75243. These mailers will be sent with first class postage, and will be scheduled to arrive at residences on Thursday June 23rd. This arrival date will ensure the event is fresh in the mind of recipients, while simultaneously providing them with enough notice to plan their weekends to stop by the new store. The mailers will be printed by Dallas Print, for a cost of $485. Postage will be applied, and they will be mailed by Tri-Win Mailing Service for a cost of $0.32 for each card, a total of $2.490. Each mailer will also include an incentive for recipients to seek out Sherwin-Williams Dallas on Facebook, as well as a QR code which will direct those with smart devices to the same website. “Facebook has changed the way we communicate permanently. In which it used to be the 6 degrees of separation, there is now a person or less!”3 Sherwin-Williams has an official Facebook page, which provides updates on national sales, events, remodeling ideas, and provides opportunities for customer feedback. Currently, 8,232 people ‘like’ this page. The newly created Sherwin-Williams Dallas page currently has more than 40 friends, with 80 impressions over the course of one week. Creating an account is free; the only additional cost will be the optional extra side bar advertising (Appendix A, Figures 8-10). $1,000 has been allocated for Facebook cost per clicks. 3 “Facebook Marketing and advertising connection advertising information and does not do.” E-Marketing. 12 This Facebook page will offer Dallas Sherwin-Williams customers the opportunity for a more personalized and localized experience. Loyal customer interactions will be simpler, and it will be easier to provide customers with feedback, solutions, answers and ideas for their home improvement inquiries. This profile was created based on the profile of a Sherwin-Williams store located in Clinton, Missouri. Clinton’s Sherwin-Williams page has more than 100 friends, and provides customers with updates about sales, upcoming store events, and significant news through the Facebook Wall application. Facebook users have the option of receiving updates on sales, upcoming store events, and local news. The Sherwin-Williams Dallas page is based on the page of a store in Galesburg, Illinois. This page has one check-in, and 147 people currently like this page, which features Facebook’s Wall, information, friend activity, deals, photos, discussions, reviews, video, links, events and notes. The page provides users information about sales, upcoming store events, SherwinWilliams’ related topics, and significant local news through the Wall. Based on the statistics from these two stores, comparable information regarding anticipated numbers for this Dallas Sherwin-Williams store can be generated. Clinton, Missouri has a population of less than half that of the targeted Dallas area; with this in consideration, it is reasonable to anticipate the Sherwin-Williams Dallas page gaining at least 200 friends. The Galesburg, Illinois Facebook page serves a population 2.71 times larger than that of SherwinWilliams Dallas. Based on this store’s figures, it is likely the Dallas page would receive 55 ‘likes;’ however, if the Facebook page were used in lieu of a profile, it is estimated that the Dallas page will receive closer to 150 ‘likes.’ 13 Both of these pages showed the greatest deal of user interaction, and were some of the top search results from the inquiry “Sherwin Williams” on Facebook. Having a Facebook page for this store opening further expands the store’s marketing options, through the use of Groupon.com. Groupon’s popularity has grown steadily. Since 2008, more than 41,920,000 Groupons have been sold. 68% of Groupon buyers are aged between e18 and 34. 18% of buyers are between 35 and 44. With regards to income, typically a Groupon customer earns between $30,000 and $1,000,000 annually. A Groupon store is opened through the website, and after the store has twenty five followers, the store can begin to run coupons. There is no direct cost to Sherwin-Williams; Groupon sells a store’s coupons to the consumer, which they will subsequently take to the retail outlet to redeem. Upon redemption, Groupon will send the retailer a check for each coupon barcode that has been scanned, keeping a percentage of the sale for themselves. The store has the ability to limit the number of coupons that are sold, set the dates when it is available for customer use, and determine the parameters of the offer. Groupon coupons add a sense of emergency to an offer, as a timer appears on the screen counting down to the expiration of the offer. This would also inform consumers who regularly check Groupon of the Sherwin-Williams deals which are available in their area, as well as acquaint them with the new store. Groupon offers can be shown on the Facebook page as well, expanding the potential consumer exposure of these coupons. The use of Facebook and Groupon will make it possible to use another form of online marketing: My Dallas Mommy (Appendix A, Figure 11). 14 My Dallas Mommy is an online blog sponsored by WFAA. The creator, Laura Thornquist, is a former news anchor who created the blog to promote local coupons and help show the people of Dallas special deals to help families live more frugally in this down economic time. My Dallas Mommy is part of a series of MyMommy websites that were started by Kim Julian in St. Louis, Missouri. These websites give local family matriarchs the opportunity to share coupons and stories that will relate to, and potentially assist, others living in the DFW area. Coupons, ads, deals, and freebie offers are posted on this website. This website would be an ideal way to promote Sherwin-Williams new store; this website is designed to draw in bargain hunters, and is connected with both Facebook and Twitter. In the DFW area, this website is ranked 13,614. The site tends to draw in moderately educated users, mostly female, between the ages of 25 and 45. These users tend to be parents, and tend to have incomes between $30,000 and $100,000, which falls into the desired range for Sherwin-Williams customers.4 This website will serve as another direct channel to approach targeted potential customers. A Google ClickAd campaign will also be implemented. There will be two ads (Appendix A, Figure 13) that will run concurrently, the first will have “Paint-a-Palooza” in the blue hyperlink line, with explanation text informing the searcher of the new store, free food, and live DJ that will be present at the store’s grand opening. The second advertisement has “New Sherwin Williams” on the first line of the ad, with the explicative text relating the grand opening ‘Paint-a-Palooza,’ and mentioning a coupon that can be found if the ad is clicked on, good for 15% off of purchases. The dates when the coupon are valid are also mentioned in the Google ClickAd. 4 http://www.alexa.com/siteinfo/mydallasmommy.com 15 The hyperlink on each of these two ads will direct clickers to the Dallas SherwinWilliams Facebook page, where they will be able to print the 15% off coupon. Once on that page, the clicker will also be exposed to the events that are planned for the grand opening weekend. Five Google keywords have been selected to draw in searchers (Appendix A, Figure 12): - Sherwin Williams Buy Paint Paint Supplies Sherwin Williams Grand Opening Sherwin Williams Dallas Of the above keywords, by far, “Sherwin Williams” has the greatest number of both global and monthly searches, with 673,000 and 550,000 respectively. It is estimated that this keyword will generate the greatest number of clicks, at a cost of $0.56 per click, and an estimated daily cost of $30.18. “Buy Paint” has the second most global and local searches, 74,000 and 40,500 respectively with an estimated cost per click of $0.96. This ad is expected to generate twenty clicks per day, with an estimated total cost of $20.08. Both “Sherwin Williams Grand Opening” and “Sherwin Williams Dallas” have very low search records, but the estimated cost per click for each of these keywords is $0.05, and it is also estimated that these ads will have first position on the search page in the event that these keywords are entered by the searcher. A parameter of a maximum of $2 per click has been established, with a daily budget of $83.33. In addition to these online forms, a radio campaign will be launched on Mix 102.9, a Clear Channel station: Summer is here! Been thinking about sprucing up your home? This Saturday SherwinWilliams at 75 and Royal is having a Grand Opening Paint-a-Palooza! Stop by and see 16 us for food and fun! There are free paint classes, gift drawings, the MIX 102.9 DJ, food, and more! A portion of each purchase will go to Paint for a Cause Dallas Habitat for Humanity. That’s this Saturday, Sherwin-Williams Grand opening at 75 and Royal Paint-A-Palooza! See you there! These thirty second spots will run beginning running Wednesday, June 22nd through Saturday June 25th. Two ads will run each day. The cost of each of each radio advertisement will be $296, for a total cost of $2,368 for the entire radio campaign. These radio advertisements will broadcast across the entire DFW area, and will showcase the highlights of Paint-a-Palooza, as well as further promote the Habitat for Humanity benefit. The radio advertisements on this station will further promote the presence a DJ from this radio station at the grand opening event. 17 Testing and Metrics As the mailer is the most expensive form of communication, as well as the most time sensitive, it is vital that the list that will be used shall me tested. Based on the response rate from a tested batch of mailers, it will be possible to determine whether or not mailing to the entirety of Target A will be a prudent investment for Sherwin-Williams. If the test does not receive a great enough response, then that will inform Sherwin-Williams as to whether or not the offer, or perhaps the target list itself, will need alteration in order to make mailers a profitable endeavor. First, an appropriate test size must be determined. In order to do this, the marketer must first determine the level of confidence they desire to have with the results they receive from the test. The confidence level is the number of standard deviations from the mean in a normal distribution. The higher the confidence level, the more indicative the results of the test will be of the actual response when the entire campaign is mailed. However, as the confidence level rises, the number of recipients in the same size also rises, making each experiment both more accurate and more expensive. When considering Target A, with 6,729 recipients on the list, to conduct a response test with a confidence level of 95% and a confidence interval of three would have to contain 921 names from the target group. 18 This sample must be randomly selected. There is a high likelihood that the results of this sample would be indicative of the results when the mailing is sent to the entire target market. To use this same sample size, and anticipate a 99% confidence level, the confidence level would increase to 3.51. It is also important to determine the acquisition cost for each new customer, as well as the life time value of each of these consumers, be they realistic one time acquisitions, or returning consumers. The following assumptions are made: Inputs Average Spend per Purchase $ 100.00 Average # of Purchases per Year 2 Direct Marketing Costs per Customer per Year 8.41 Average Gross Margin 50% Average Customer Retention Rate 65% Annual Discount Rate 10% 19 Using this data, it is possible to determine the ideal and realistic onetime acquisition costs. Analysis Average Contribution before Mailing Costs per Customer per Year One-time Acquisition Cost per Customer Realistic One-time Acquisition Cost per Customer Average Contribution per Purchase $ 50.00 $373.78 $150.00 $ 50.00 The difference between the onetime acquisition cost and the realistic onetime acquisition cost reveal the following: ONE-TIME ACQUISITION COST Year 0 Revenue per Customer One-time Acquisition Cost Year 1 $ 100.00 Year 2 $ 100.00 Year 3 $ 100.00 Year 4 $ 100.00 Year 5 $ 100.00 Year 6 $ 100.00 Year 7 $ 100.00 $ (8.41) $ (8.41) $ (8.41) $ (8.41) $ (8.41) $ (8.41) $ (8.41) $(373.7 8) Mailing Cost Profit per Customer in Year $(373.7 8) $ 91.59 $ 91.59 $ 91.59 $ 91.59 $ 91.59 $ 91.59 $ 91.59 Expected Present Value in Year $(373.7 8) $ 83.26 $ 49.20 $ 29.07 $ 17.18 $ 10.15 $ 6.00 $ 3.54 Cumulative Net Present Value Cumulative Retention Rate Cumulative Discount Rate $(373.7 8) 100.00 % 100.00 % $(290.5 1) 100.00 % $(241.3 1) $(212.2 4) $(195.0 6) $(184.9 1) $(178.9 1) $ (175.36) 90.91% 65.00% 42.25% 27.46% 17.85% 11.60% 7.54% 82.64% 75.13% 68.30% 62.09% 56.45% 51.32% 20 REALISTIC ONE-TIME ACQUISITION COST Year 0 Revenue per Customer One-time Acquisition Cost Year 1 $ 100.00 Year 2 $ 100.00 Year 3 $ 100.00 Year 4 $ 100.00 Year 5 $ 100.00 Year 6 $ 100.00 Year 7 $ 100.00 $ (8.41) $ (8.41) $ (8.41) $ (8.41) $ (8.41) $ (8.41) $ (8.41) $(150.0 0) Mailing Cost Profit per Customer in Year $(150.0 0) $ 91.59 $ 91.59 $ 91.59 $ 91.59 $ 91.59 $ 91.59 $ 91.59 Expected Present Value in Year $(150.0 0) $ 83.26 $ 49.20 $ 29.07 $ 17.18 $ 10.15 $ 6.00 $ 3.54 $(150.0 0) 100.00 % 100.00 % $ (66.74) 100.00 % $ (17.54) 82.64% $ 28.72 27.46 % 68.30 % $ 38.87 17.85 % 62.09 % $ 44.87 11.60 % 56.45 % $ 48.41 90.91% $ 11.54 42.25 % 75.13 % Cumulative Net Present Value Cumulative Retention Rate Cumulative Discount Rate 65.00% 7.54% 51.32% A break even analysis indicates that the total cost for each order is $38.56, and that the average total selling price is $103.50. These numbers indicate that there is an allowable balance of $64.94 (Appendix C). 21 Fulfillment Anticipating a response rate of 2.25% and a conversion rate of 15.5%, there is an anticipated return on promotion of 13%. Return on Promotion Actual orders received tied to mailer Actual response rate 225 2.25% Conversion rate 15% Cost per inquiry $8.61 Cost per order $57.41 Number of orders needed to breakeven Response rate needed breakeven 199 1.99% Revenue $23,288 Net profit minus promotion cost $14,611 Net Profit on promotion $1,694 Return on Promotion 13% In the event that the Sherwin-Williams Grand Opening Paint-a-Palooza receives a greater than anticipated response rate, a response rate of 4%, with a conversion rate of 20%, there would be a 101% return on promotion. Return on Promotion Actual orders received tied to mailer Actual response rate 400 4.00% Conversion rate 20% Cost per inquiry $6.46 Cost per order $32.29 Number of orders needed to breakeven Response rate needed breakeven 199 1.99% Revenue $41,400 Net profit minus promotion cost $25,975 Net Profit on promotion $13,058 Return on Promotion 101% 22 If, however, the Sherwin-Williams Grand Opening Event shows a response rate less than anticipated, 1%, with a conversion rate of 10%, the store would experience a significant loss on promotion, with a -50% return on promotion. Return on Promotion Actual orders received tied to mailer Actual response rate 100 1.00% Conversion rate 10% Cost per inquiry $12.92 Cost per order $129.17 Number of orders needed to breakeven Response rate needed breakeven 199 1.99% Revenue $10,350 Net profit minus promotion cost $6,494 Net Profit on promotion -$6,423 Return on Promotion -50% 23 Recommendations More than 100 years ago, the founders of Sherwin-Williams met through their mutual interest in the YMCA youth organization. It is recommended that Sherwin-Williams pursue a relationship with Habitat for Humanity, or a similar type charity. This organization carries a great deal of community support and involvement, and Sherwin-Williams would be able to place their product at the construction site of any project with which they were involved. This would promote the company’s name, as well as the brand value. It is also recommended that Sherwin-Williams create and actively maintain a local Facebook page, and expand their use of digital marketing through local pages such as My Dallas Mommy, and coupon sites such as Groupon. Sherwin-Williams continues to promote their quality product, the same quality that made the company successful continues to define the company’s marketing position today. This quality speaks through itself, and through the enthusiasm a Sherwin-Williams’ employees. By having events such as the Paint-a-Palooza, it is likely that foot traffic will increase, particularly on the store’s opening weekend. While these persons may not immediately convert to consumers, they will remember the knowledgeable staff and the quality product after they depart. This strategy may prove to convince some of these walk-ins to become Sherwin-Williams customers. 24 Appendix A 75243 Income Distribution <$10000 $10000-$14999 $15000-$24999 $25000-$34999 $35000-$49999 $50000-$74999 $75000-$99999 $100000-$149999 $150000-$199999 $200000+ Figure 1 Population 60000 50000 40000 30000 Population 20000 10000 0 75243 75230 75231 78251 75225 Figure 2 25 75251 75205 75206 Housing Units 30000 25000 20000 15000 Housing Units 10000 5000 0 75243 75230 75231 78251 75225 75251 75205 75206 Figure 3 Zip 75243 Market Size Target A High School +, Never Married or Married, Owner Occupied Homes, $25k - $200k 6749 3.53% 3.11% 24.80% more accessible low 4 3 4 3 4 4 3925 5.12% 0.47% 11.91% less accessible high 2 5 1 2 2 2 Score Target B Score High School 4 Year Degree, Never Married, Owner Occupied Home, $0k $75k Growth Rate Response Rate Profit Margin Availability of Lists Competitive Intensity Figure 4 26 Scale Key Overall Market Size Annual Market Growth Rate Historical Response Rate Historical Profit Margin Availability of lists Competitive Intensity Rating Value 1 Rating Value 2 Rating Value 3 Rating Value 4 Rating Value 5 (1-2000) (2001-4000) (4001-6000) (6001-8000) (8001-10000) (0%-1%) (>1%-2%) (>3%-4%) (>4%-5%) >5% (0-1%) (>1-2%) (>2-3%) (>3-4%) >4% (0-10%) (>10%-20%) (>20%-30%) (>30%-40%) >40% least accessible less accessible accessible more accessible most accessible very high high medium low very low Figure 5 27 Figure 6 Figure 7 28 Figure 8 Figure 9 29 Figure 10 Figure 11 Figure 12 30 Figure 13 31 Appendix B ZIP Count Records With Name Prizm Code Selected Excluded Options 75243 6,729 0 Exclude Apartments Of City Deliveries Exclude Business Address Of City Deliveries Exclude Business Address Of P.O Boxes Exclude Apartments Of Rural Routes Exclude Business Address Of Rural Routes No List Cost: $63.93 ZIP Carrier Route Total Avg. Income % Home with children Avg. Home value 75243 C001 207 39000 28 166045 75243 C002 154 37000 24 270645 75243 C007 315 33000 27 207363 75243 C008 32 35000 23 188533 75243 C009 284 31000 22 74653 75243 C011 18 39000 28 169125 75243 C013 62 32000 28 105687 75243 C016 418 57000 23 194446 75243 C018 1 35000 46 188533 75243 C019 47 32000 24 177796 75243 C020 268 46000 18 108741 75243 C022 399 43000 23 195210 75243 C023 168 41000 39 190945 75243 C027 341 114000 43 313479 75243 C030 55 28000 11 139294 75243 C032 493 62000 35 161364 75243 C035 48 42000 17 229496 75243 C043 110 30000 20 66854 75243 C044 350 106000 42 272640 75243 C046 24 32000 21 261389 75243 C047 292 33000 17 71909 75243 C052 198 67000 36 305980 75243 C055 335 134000 45 299381 75243 C056 175 33000 34 104185 75243 C057 183 49000 25 226902 32 75243 C058 401 46000 39 122029 75243 C059 224 49000 29 237054 75243 C062 315 73000 35 279292 75243 C067 255 59000 41 123171 75243 C068 438 55000 17 150811 75243 C069 119 36000 30 118251 Sub Total: 31 6729 Total: 31 6729 Melissa Data www.melissadata.com 1-800-MELISSA. Fax: 949-589-5211 ZIP Code Record Count Report Run Time: 4/14/2011 12:15:38 PM ZIP 75243 75243 75243 75243 75243 75243 75243 75243 75243 75243 75243 75243 75243 75243 75243 75243 75243 75243 75243 RTE C001 C002 C007 C008 C009 C011 C013 C016 C018 C019 C020 C022 C023 C027 C030 C032 C035 C043 C044 CITY DALLAS DALLAS DALLAS DALLAS DALLAS DALLAS DALLAS DALLAS DALLAS DALLAS DALLAS DALLAS DALLAS DALLAS DALLAS DALLAS DALLAS DALLAS DALLAS ST TX TX TX TX TX TX TX TX TX TX TX TX TX TX TX TX TX TX TX NO APTS 757 809 676 1321 147 1252 636 0 626 1598 381 305 447 0 1087 43 660 212 15 W/S AMT 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 418 0 0 0 0 0 341 0 493 0 0 350 H/D AMT 207 154 315 0 284 0 0 0 0 0 268 399 168 0 0 0 0 0 0 C/R AMT 0 0 0 32 0 18 62 0 1 47 0 0 0 0 55 0 48 110 0 33 RESI. ZIP TOTAL TOTAL 945 963 998 1340 370 1241 620 422 531 1645 633 708 509 347 1131 543 592 239 361 DATE OF AIS UPDATE 2011-04-15 2011-04-15 2011-04-15 2011-04-15 2011-04-15 2011-04-15 2011-04-15 2011-04-15 2011-04-15 2011-04-15 2011-04-15 2011-04-15 2011-04-15 2011-04-15 2011-04-15 2011-04-15 2011-04-15 2011-04-15 2011-04-15 POSS 970 967 1002 1377 446 1281 733 422 713 1647 656 710 626 347 1148 543 733 441 380 PCNT 21.3% 15.9% 31.4% 2.3% 63.7% 1.4% 8.5% 99.1% 0.1% 2.9% 40.9% 56.2% 26.8% 98.3% 4.8% 90.8% 6.5% 24.9% 92.1% 75243 75243 75243 75243 75243 75243 75243 75243 75243 75243 75243 75243 75243 C046 C047 C052 C055 C056 C057 C058 C059 C062 C067 C068 C069 DALLAS DALLAS DALLAS DALLAS DALLAS DALLAS DALLAS DALLAS DALLAS DALLAS DALLAS DALLAS TX TX TX TX TX TX TX TX TX TX TX TX 1134 207 607 0 861 743 431 645 0 45 0 368 16013 0 0 0 335 0 0 0 0 315 0 438 0 2690 0 292 198 0 175 183 401 224 0 255 0 0 3523 24 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 119 516 1110 412 788 339 1039 923 822 871 321 256 443 380 2011-04-15 2011-04-15 2011-04-15 2011-04-15 2011-04-15 2011-04-15 2011-04-15 2011-04-15 2011-04-15 2011-04-15 2011-04-15 2011-04-15 1181 513 816 339 1043 941 840 876 323 413 447 502 2.0% 56.9% 24.3% 98.8% 16.8% 19.4% 47.7% 25.6% 97.5% 61.7% 98.0% 23.7% 6729 This List is for one-time rental use only. Altering the data may effect your postage rates. The List may not be copied, duplicated, transfered, disclosed or retained after the permitted one-time rental use. The List may not be used for building or integrating into any other databases. 34 Appendix C Breakeven analysis Subtotals Average order Purchase or mfg cost Cost premium Total 28 0 Order processing O/E purchasing, order downloads, etc. Packing materials Pick, pack, seal, affix, label Cost shipping completed package Total 1.1 0.4 0.8 6.8 Totals $28.00 $9.10 Billing and collections Credit card processing charges (.03) Returns (app. .25% return) Bad debts (cost product+shipping) based 3% Total 0.84 0.123 0.15 Misc costs Misc Total 0.35 $1.11 $0.35 Cost per order $38.56 Selling price average shipping and handling collected Total selling price Less cost per order 100.00 3.50 $103.50 $38.56 ALLOWABLE 35 $64.94 Budget Starting Budget $ 14,000 Direct Mailers: List $ 64 $ 750 $ 485 Total Prospects of 6,729 www.melissadata.com Design Sherwin Williams Graphic Designers Print 10,000 - 5 1/2 X 8 1/2 Poscards (full color graphics on both sides) Dallas Print - Nick Burtner 2639 Elm St. Ste. 203 Dallas, Tx 75226 www.dallasprint.com Postage 6,729 prospects @ $0.37 per postcard Tri - Win Mailing Services 14335 Inwood Rd. Ste. 102 Dallas, Tx 75244 $ 2,490 www.tri-win.com Total Cost for Mailers Radio Advertisement $ 3,789 $ 2,368 $296 per 30 second commercial 2 commercials per day for 4 days (Wed - Sat) KDMX 102.9 FM 14001 Dallas Pkwy Ste. 300 Dallas, TX 75240 Radio Remote $ 1,000 DJ from KDMX for day of event Google Adwords $ 2,500 Total budget for cost per clicks Facebook Advertisement Total budget for cost per clicks 36 $ 1,000 Workshops: Trainers Supplies Total Cost for workshops Giveaways $ $ $ 250 400 650 $ 350 $ $ $ 105 150 105 $ 360 $ 200 $ $ 200 200 Gift cards and various gifts for opening day 5 - $20 Sherwin Williams gift cards 2 - Sherwin Williams gift baskets (paint brushes, drop clothes, buckets, etc.) 2 gallons of paint Food Cost for popcorn machine rental and supplies Cost for drinks Cost for snow cone machine rental and supplies www.bouncenmore.com Total Cost for workshops Grand Opening Banner 6x20' vinyl banner www.gettysburgflag.com "Paint For A Cause" Banner 10’x5’ fabric banner paint and supplies www.gettysburgflag.com Total Cost for "Paint For A Cause" Banner 37 $ 400 Sources “Facebook Marketing and advertising connection advertising information and does not do.” EMarketing. http://2010.census.gov/2010census/data/ http://advertisingdirectmail.yuiin.com/what-is-a-good-response-rate-for-direct-mail-marketing/ http://e-marketing.myblogzone.info/2011/04/facebook-marketing-and-advertising-connectionadvertising-information-and-does-not-do/ http://excellence.sherwin.com/history_timeline.html http://www.alexa.com/siteinfo/mydallasmommy.com http://www.alexa.com/siteinfo/mydallasmommy.com http://www.artsandcraftstv.com/?z=easy-recycled-crafts-flower-base http://www.groupon.com/pages/stores-faq http://www.grouponworks.com/why-groupon/demographics http://www.melissadata.com http://www.sherwin-williams.com/do_it_yourself/green/greensure/ http://www.zipskinny.com http://www.zipwho.com 38