SECTOR ANALYSIS: ENERGY SECTOR SUJAN SHRESTHA WHAT IS ENERGY SECTOR? • According to Investopedia, Energy sector includes “category of stocks that relate to producing or supplying energy. This sector includes companies involved in the exploration and development of oil or gas reserves, oil and gas drilling, or integrated power firms.” ENERGY SECTOR AT BRIEF • Performance in the sector is largely affect by the supply and demand for energy. • Sector performs well during times of high oil and gas prices. • Sector will earn less when the value of energy drops. • This sector is fairly volatile and is sensitive to externalities. • Oil hovering around $100 a barrel and improved economic conditions in the U.S., energy stocks appear to be a tremendous bargain. SECTOR FACT • Total market cap: 420,556.84 million • Weight of top 10 constituents: 68.4 % • Average P/E: 14.34 • Average EPS: $4.04 • Dividend Yield: 2.41% Source: McGraw Hill Financial ENERGY SECTOR VS. S&P 500 One Year Graph: Ten Years Graph: Source: McGraw Hill Financial Source: Fidelity Investments ENERGY SECTOR PERFORMANCE (Source: MSCI USA IMI Energy) ENERGY SECTOR IN NEWS • OPEC raises oil demand forecast to 91.1 million barrels/day – an increase of 1.14 million barrels/day • Growing emerging economies demanding more energy • Natural gas production has cut power prices and appears to be contributing to the "reshoring" of manufacturing jobs from overseas • Ukraine crisis to affect Russian and European Union energy demand/supply ENERGY SUBSECTORS (Source: MSCI USA IMI Energy) SPENDING IN THE FUTURE Source: KPMG 2013 Energy Outlook OIL & GAS EXPLORATION AND PRODUCTION • Focus on finding, augmenting, producing and merchandising different types of oil and gas. • Energy fields such as shale, hydraulic fracking, and other alternative source of energies are researched. • High demand for more unexplored locations and search for inexpensive operating venues SWOT ANALYSIS Strengths: • Developing economy’s high demand for energy. • Market performer over the past years. • Diverse and international marketplace. Weaknesses: • Volatile market industry. • High expense and investment on every aspect of industry. • Government and international organization (OPEC) regulated industry. Opportunities: • Demand for energy will continue to rise. • Continued investment from private and governmental agencies. Threats: • Continued government and international organization interference. • Highly concentrated market industry. • Liable to external factors. STOCK PITCH EOG Resources Inc. (NYSE : EOG) I propose the class to buy 50 shares of EOG Resources Inc. at a current price of $98.98, expending a total of $4949.00 EOG RESOURCES INC. • • • • • • • Current price: $ 98.98 Market Cap: 50.79 Billion Beta: 1.3 EPS: 4.11 P/E ratio: 23.12 52 week average: 56.03-100.36 Fortune 500 company situated in Houston, Texas. EOG excels in oil and natural gas exploration and production in the United States with proven reserves in the US, Canada, Trinidad and Tobago, the UK, and China. EOG VS. S&P 500 EOG IN NEWS • EOG’s Q4 earning on February 24th, 2014 posted a net income earning of $548 million from $437 million the yearago quarter. • EOG announced that the company oil production to grow by 27 percent in 2014. • EOG’s 2-for-1 stock split on March 17th, 2014 • EOG’s Eagle Ford Shale reported a 45% surge in energy production capacity from 2.2 billion barrels to 3.2 billion barrels during 2013 ANALYST ON EOG • 19 out of 27 analysts (JP Morgan, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, UBS, etc.) put EOG as a ‘Strong Buy’. • According to the Motley Fool, “by 2018, EOG Resources could be the top oil producer in America.” • Jefferies Group propose a $210/share target in 2014 from previous $195/share QUESTIONS? REFERENCE • https://www.kpmg.com/US/en/IssuesAndInsights/ArticlesPublications/Docume nts/energy-industry-2013-outlook-survey.pdf • http://www.msci.com/resources/factsheets/index_fact_sheet/msci-usa-imienergy-gross.pdf • http://us.spindices.com/indices/equity/sp-500-energy-sector • http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB1000142405270230491490457943475061 8125242 • http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/03/07/ceraweek-bernankeidUSL1N0M41LW20140307 • http://www3.valueline.com/secure/vlispdf/stk1700/vlispdf/f3101.pdf • http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2013/12/29/the-best-energy-stocksfor-2014.aspx • Google Finance • Yahoo Finance • Valueline