The Other Arctic: Exploring Knowledge and Creative Economies in Arctic Cities Andrey N. Petrov Director, ARCTICenter University of Northern Iowa, USA NSF Award # 0909403 Outline • • • • • • Introducing Arctic’s “other” economies Case studies Knowledge economy (Alaska patents) Creative and cultural economy Interlinks with ‘pillars’ Discussion “Other” economies in the new Arctic • Stylized representation of Arctic economy: – Three ‘pillars’: • Resource sector • Public sector • Traditional sector • But how true is this representation? – Globalization – Urbanization – Post-industrial economy “Other” economies?? • ‘Other’ sectors = not resource, public or traditional, although they may be connected to these through various linkages. • mostly enabled (or limited) by the internal capacities of the Arctic regions (or communities), and not as much by external actors • heavily urban • Arctic GDP ~ $450 billion • non-pillar sectors ~ $120-125 billion • “other” > mining in all regions, but AK and RU 100 90 80 70 60 50 "Other" sectors 40 30 20 10 0 USA CA FI NO RU SE DE Why “other” economies are important? • • • • • • • • Responses to global economic trends Create employment for local residents Diversify economy Create competitive advantages Less decoupled from local economy Build human capital (retention and attraction) Build other capacities More compatible with the notion of sustainable development • Already emphasized in national development strategies “In the second phase (until 2020) complete the transition to sustainable innovationdriven social-economic development of the Arctic Zone…” (RF Strategy, 2013) “Patchwork study” objectives • (1) introduce the multifaceted nature of ‘other economies’; • (2) describe the geography of key sectors (knowledge and cultural economies) to the extent possible; • (3) identify core characteristics of ‘other economies’ in the Arctic; • (4) explore the relationships and dependencies between ‘other economies’ and resource sectors Methodology • OE are eclectic and data are limited • Mixed approach using “whatever is out there” • Case studies (Circumpolar, regional) Table 1. Core datasets used in the case studies County Alaska (U.S.A.) Level of Analysis Borough and Municipality Data Sources Alaska Bureau of Labor and Workforce Development (2008) Canada Territories and Municipality Statistics Canada: 2006 Canadian Census Russia Regions and Municipality Statistics Russia: 2002 Russian Census Finland NUTS 3 Statistics Finland (2008) and ArcticStat Sweden NUTS 3 and Municipality Statistics Sweden (2008) Norway NUTS 3 and Municipality Statistics Norway (2010) Iceland Regions and Municipality Statistics Iceland (2008) Greenland Municipality Region Statistics Greenland (2008) Case study 1. Knowledge economy (KE): talent and knowledge workers in the Arctic • “Output side” measures: patents, production • “Supply side” measures: workers/human capital, investments in R&D, etc.: • “knowledge workers” – employed in KE – KE occupations = Applied Science Index (Petrov, 2007) – KE industries = Tech Pole Index (Florida, 2002) • “educated professionals” – Talent Index (Florida, 2002) Talent Index • • • • Generally low High and low concentrations Cities are clusters Capitals and centers ‘Talent’ in Urban Arctic Talent Index • “Hot spots”: – Regional capitals (Anadyr, Nuuk, Tromso, Salekhard, Magadan, Yellowknife, etc.) – New industrial cities (N. Urengoy, Nadym, etc.) • Arctic “Rust belt” – Old industrial cities (Norilsk, Apatity, Olenegorsk, etc.) • Remote cities (“Isolated posts”) – Iqaluit, Dudinka, etc. Urban concentration of educated prefessionals (Greenland) Nuuk Sisimiut Ilulissat health & welfare Qaqortoq education Aasiaat engeneering Maniitsoq Sic.sci & Journalism Ammassalik Uummannaq business admin Narsaq Upernavik arts & humanities Nanortalik natscience and math Paamiut services Qasigiannguit Kangaatsiaq information technology Qeqertarsuaq agriculture, fishery Illoqortoormiut general Qaanaaq Other 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 Ivittuut 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 Urban/Rural Gap in post-secondary education • In Russia gap is 5-20% • YNAO: 29.2% of urban vs. 14.3% of rural residents have post-secondary degrees • Chukotka: 28.4% of urban vs. 7.6% of rural • Substantial gains, but widening gap • Indigenous population are vastly underrepresented Knowledge workers: engineers, etc. Knowledge sector in the Arctic • Tech Pole Index: Employment in knowledge economy sectors • North America has relatively more developed knowledge sector • Corresponds well with TI and ASI Correlation between knowledge economy indices in the Arctic TI TI Pearson Correlation ASI 1 Sig. (2-tailed) ASI TPI TPI .306 -.034 .074 .831 1 .500** Pearson Correlation .306 Sig. (2-tailed) .074 Pearson Correlation -.034 .500** Sig. (2-tailed) .831 .004 .004 1 Knowledge workers in Yukon Creative Spaces in Nuuk Tourist (museums, galleries, …) Cultural (Arts, crafts, studios…) Ethnic clusters Media, TV, IT clusters Public spaces (public art, gatherings, festivals,…) Case study 2. Geography of patents in Alaska • Patents is a good proxy of knowledge economy production • US Patent and Trademark Office (USPTO) • 1979-2015 (July) • AK 1,959 patents registered to AK residents: – – – – – – – – Anchorage 855: diverse Fairbanks 191: diverse Wasilla 117: diverse Juneau 73 Homer 64: key role of individual inventors Palmer 58: key role of individual inventors Specialized inventions: Sitka and Kodiak Low engagement among local innovators Case study 3. Geography of Arctic’s cultural economy • No systematic data • Traditional and non-traditional(western) cultural economies • Surveys: 18% of Aboriginal residents of the Canadian Arctic manufactured crafts for sale (SLiCA) • 1/3 of all Aboriginal people reported receiving some income from selling traditional art. • 30% of Inuit living in Nunavut reported deriving a part-time income from their sculpture, carving and print making. • Baffin Island is the most creative rural area in Canada (Hill Strategies, 2010). • Adds $30 million to Nunavut GDP (Nordicity Group, 2014) A circumpolar ‘scan’ • Bohemian index – LQ of residents reporting occupations in arts, crafts, etc. • Arctic has high BI (!) • Even more so if include ‘secondary occupation’ artists Case Study 4: Interconnectedness • “Other” economies tend to be locally-based and rely on knowledge, human capital etc. • How much do they depend on resource sector? • Study based on input-output models of Yukon economy • Trace the impacts of mining crisis on other sectors, including the “other” economies Impacts of resource bust on nonresource sectors Sectors: 1 crop and animal production 2 forestry and logging 3 fishing, hunting and trapping 4 support activities for agriculture and forestry 5 mining and oil and gas extraction 6 utilities 7 construction 8 manufacturing 9 wholesale trade 10 retail trade 11 transportation and warehousing 12 information and cultural industries 13 finance, insurance, real estate and renting and leasing 14 professional, scientific and technical services 15 administrative and other support services 16 education services 17 health care and social assistance 18 arts, entertainment and recreation 19 accommodation and food services 20 other services (except public administration) 21 operating, office, cafeteria, and laboratory supplies 22 travel & entertainment, advertising & promotion 23 transportation margins 24 non-profit institutions serving households 25 government sector. Impacts of mining bust (early 2000s) • Highest impacts: top-end professional and financial services and wholesale trade • losses were observed in arts, entertainment and recreation as well as travel, advertising and promotion sectors, i.e. in ‘other economies.’ • the largest decline in jobs was in high-tech services: information, professional and technical support, financing and insurance. • Therefore, mine closures heavily affected ‘other’ sectors, including knowledge and cultural economy. • Loss of human capital due to outmigration. Discussion What are the common characteristics of “other” economies? • urban • embedded and endogenous • knowledge-driven • community-based • deviating from path-dependency • human-capital intensive • globally-connected Arctic Innovation Systems (?) • Small, but existing • Distinct from the core: – key role of individual inventor or single industry – strong connectedness to external networks vis-a-vis weak links within the Arctic – obscured relationship between formal education and knowledge production – elevated role of informal skills – remaining dependency on boom and bust cycles in resource extraction, public sector, etc. Conclusions • Arctic’s “other” economies is the new pillar of sustainable development • More compatible with the ‘new’ model of development • Key in resolving the main imperative of sustainable development in the Arctic: reconciling the local modernity of the Arctic and realities of modern capitalism Some policy implications • Strategy of development of the Russian Arctic calls for “innovation-based” path of development “In the second phase (until 2020) complete the transition to sustainable innovation-driven social-economic development of the Arctic Zone…” “Growth of the relative weight of the regional knowledge products (and services) in the total volume of sales” • Arctic technopolis projects: Archangelsk, “Central Arctic Technopolis” (Yamal) Thank you! ?Questions? http://www.idgconnect.com/