ADDITIONAL MATERIAL ON CHAPTER 121 Balance of Payments (BOP) BOP = [Current Account Balance] + [Capital & Financial Account Balance] + [Net Errors & Omissions] Balance of Payments Statistics of Turkey ANALYTIC PRESENTATION (Million US Dollars) 2008 ACURRENT ACCOUNT -41.947 1. Goods: exports f.o.b. 140.799 2. Goods: imports f.o.b. -193.821 Balance on Goods -53.022 3. Services: credit 34.824 4. Services: debit -17.703 Balance on Goods and Services -35.901 5. Income: credit 6.889 6. Income: debit -15.048 Balance on Goods, Services and Income -44.060 7. Current Transfers 2.113 B. CAPITAL ACCOUNT 0 C. FINANCIAL ACCOUNT 33.536 8. Direct Investment abroad -2.549 9. Direct Investment in Turkey 18.269 10. Portfolio Investment-Assets -1.276 11. Portfolio Investment-Liabilities -3.770 11.1. Equity Securities 716 11.2. Debt Securities -4.486 12. Other Investment-Assets -10.930 12.1. Monetary Authority 2 12.2. General Government 0 12.3. Banks -9.159 12.4. Other Sectors -1.773 13. Other Investment-Liabilities 33.792 13.1. Monetary Authority -1.791 13.2. General Government 1.742 13.3. Banks 8.195 13.4. Other Sectors 25.646 Current, Capital and Financial Accounts -8.411 D. NET ERRORS AND OMISSIONS 5.653 GENERAL BALANCE -2.758 E. Reserve Assets 2.758 14. Official Reserves 1.057 15. Use of Fund Credit and Loans 1.701 Source: Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey 1 2009 -13.854 109.672 -134.401 -24.729 32.752 -16.533 -8.510 5.178 -12.824 -16.156 2.302 0 6.208 -1.571 7.597 -2.740 2.938 2.827 111 4.132 -306 0 5.841 -1.403 -4.148 -901 1.598 3.849 -8.694 -7.646 8.437 791 -791 -111 -680 All definitions are taken from the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT). 1 The balance of payments is a statistical statement that systematically records all the economic transactions between residents of a country (Central Government, monetary authority, banks, other sector) and nonresidents for a specific time period. The current account covers all transactions that involve real sources (goods, services, income) and current transfers. The capital and financial accounts show how international purcahses and sales of assets are financed (by means of capital transfer or investment in financial instruments). The capital account consists of capital transfers (such as debt forgiveness, migrants’ transfers) and non-produced, non-financial assets (acquisition/disposal of non-produced assets, like land and acquisition/ disposal of intangible assets, like patents and copyrights) The financial account consists of transactions in the external assets and liabilities of an economy. International short and long-term financial flows of private and public sector are followed under this account. The net errors and omissions item shows the difference between the the “Current Account” and the “Capital and Financial Account”. The collection of data from different sources leads to differences in valuation, measurement and time of recording; as a result, these differences are reflected in this residual item. Note that in the above BOP table, General Balance = Reserve Assets This corresponds to the definition “the increase in official reserves is also called the overall balance of payments surplus” (on page 282 of your text book). Balance of Payments Surplus = Increase in Official Exchange Reserves Balance of Payments Deficit = Decrease in Official Exchange Reserves General Balance in 2008 = - 2.758 means that there is BOP deficit of about 2,8 billion US dollars, which corresponds to the same amount of a decrease in official exchange reserves (or reserve assets). General Balance in 2009 = 791 means that there is BOP surplus of about 791 million US dollars, which corresponds to the same amount of an increase in official exchange reserves (or reserve assets). Real Effective Exchange Rate The weighted average value of a country's currency relative to all major currencies being traded within a pool of currencies. The weights are determined by the importance a home country places on all other currencies traded within the pool, as measured by the balance of trade. The real effective exchange rate (REER) obtained by deflating the nominal effective exchange rate with price indices is one of the most commonly used indicators of international competitiveness. According to the definition used by International Monetary Fund (IMF), the real effective exchange rate is computed as the weighted geometric average of the price of the domestic country relative to the prices of its trade partners. The real effective exchange rate can be expressed as: 2 π π0π π0 π 0 π πΈπΈπ = ∏ ( ) ππ π π π=1 where, P0 Turkey’s price index, R0 nominal exchange rate of Turkish Lira in US dollars, Pj price index of country j, Rj nominal exchange rate of country j’s currency in US dollars, W0j country j’s weight for Turkey. Consumer Price Index (CPI) based real effective exchange rate index is calculated using the IMF weights for 19 countries including Germany, USA, Italy, France, United Kingdom, Japan, Netherlands, Belgium, Switzerland, Austria, Spain, Canada, Korea, Sweden, Taiwan, Iran, Brazil, China and Greece. Producers Price Index (PPI) based real effective exchange rate index is calculated using the IMF weights for 17 countries including Germany, USA, Italy, France, United Kingdom, Japan, Netherlands, Belgium, Switzerland, Austria, Spain, Canada, Korea, Sweden, Iran, Brazil and Greece. An increase in these indices denotes an appreciation of the domestic currecy. Effective Exchange Rate Index (Real) (1995=100) 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 3