Stocks - Bellevue College

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Module 5

Stocks

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Module 5 Learning Objectives

• Define what a stock is and explain why companies issue stock.

• Explain how an investor makes a return on stocks.

• Categorize stocks as small, medium or large cap; as growth or income; and by industry.

• Define the common stocks, preferred stocks, tracking stocks, spin-offs, stock splits, and

IPO.

• Explain how stocks are traded.

• Find and interpret a stock quote using a financial website.

• Differentiate market, limit, and stop loss orders.

• Explain the role of the Securities and Exchange Commission in financial markets.

• Explain how a stock exchange works.

• Differentiate between the New York, American and NASDAQ exchanges.

• List stock ownership rights.

• Differentiate between institutional, insiders and individual investors.

• Use a stock index to measure stock performance.

• Differentiate between the Dow Jones Industrial Average, the Standard and Poor’s 500, the

Russell 2000, the Wilshire 5000, the Standard and Poor’s 400, and the NASDAQ

Composite.

• Create and track a stock portfolio.

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When you buy stock in a company, you are mainly investing in:

What the company has done.

Real estate.

Future cash or earnings.

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What Is Stock?

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Companies issue stock to:

Make a killing.

Pay for buildings, systems, or other things that will help grow the earnings of the company.

So they don’t have to borrow.

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Why Companies Issue Stock

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How Do You Make Money With Stocks?

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Calculate Capital Gain and Dividend Yield

You bought General Motors at $50 per share in 1998 and sold it at $74 in 2000. For each share, you received $2 in dividends in 1998 and 1999.

You bought Ford at $25 per share in 1998 and sold it at

$29 in 2000. For each share, you received $1.07 in 1998 and $1.17 in1999 in dividends.

You bought Daimler-Chrysler at $70 per share in 1998 and sold it at $54 in 2000. For each share, you received

$2.13 in 1998 and $2.13 in 1999 in dividends.

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How Stocks Have Performed

Annual Total Returns 1971-2000

50%

40%

30%

20%

10%

0%

-10%

-20%

-30%

Source: Global Financial Data www.globalfindata.com

T-Bill Total Return

Government Bonds Total Return

Stocks Total Return

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Here’s another way of looking at how stocks performed

Average for 1970-

2000

Maximum

Minimum

Standard

Deviation

Cash

(90 day T-Bill)

6.7%

15.2%

3.1%

2.7%

Annual Return

Bonds

(Treasury

Bond)

9.9%

44%

-7.3%

9.3%

Stocks

(S&P 500)

14.5%

37.7%

-27%

16.5%

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Choices

Industry

Size (Market Cap)

Growth or Income (Capital Gain or

Dividend)

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Small caps are better performers over the long run

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Classify this stock by market cap, industry, and price earnings.

Tootsie Roll sells—tootsie rolls and all kinds of candy.

The company has 49.5 M shares outstanding and is currently selling at $46. Earnings per share for the year was $1.53, and the company gives dividends of 28¢ per share.

Market cap is calculated by taking shares outstanding and multiplying by price.

Price earnings is price divided by earnings per share. It tells you what you’re paying for every dollar of earnings.

Growth stocks have higher PEs than the market. Value stocks have lower PEs than the market.

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True or False?

If you own common shares in a company you--

Choose the colors for the company logo

Vote for the board of directors

Are not allowed to look at the financial statements for the company. These are private and not disclosed to anyone outside.

Are entitled to any extra cash the company has.

Can sell your stock anytime you want.

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Preferred Stock

About 500 listed on the NYSE and 200 listed on the AMEX and NASDAQ

Preferred shareholders have rights to assets over common shareholders

Usually no voting rights

Dividend based on fixed rate when issued

Moves very much like a bond

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80

60

40

20

140

120

100

IBM Common versus IBM Preferred

IBM Common

$120 per share

$0.62 dividend

0.5% yield

IBM Preferred

$25 per share

$1.88 dividend

7.5% yield

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Stock Splits

Average stock price $30 to $45

When a stock price gets too high, some companies believe that small investors won’t buy

Splitting the stock does nothing to the fundamentals of the company

But does tend to give a psychological lift to the stock price

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IPOs

Number of IPOs

600

500

400

300

200

100

0

900

800

700

AMEX

NYSE

NASDAQ

1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

More IPOs in up markets.

Overall do good the first year and then it’s anyone’s guess.

Only about 20% of the company is offered the first time around.

Many risks.

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Where are they now?

Best performing IPOs in 1999.

Internet Capital Group ICGE

Commerce One CMRC

VerticalNet VERT

Brocade Communications BRCD

PurchasePro PPRO

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How Do You Buy Stocks?

You need to understand what you’re doing

Check the following before you sign on the dotted line:

Are you protected if the firm goes under?

Have there been any complaints filed against the firm?

What about margin accounts?

Have you read the account agreement carefully?

What is binding arbitration?

What is discretionary authority?

Check out online brokerage agreements.

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The Auction Process

Stock trades are executed through an auction process.

Stocks are worth whatever someone will pay for them.

Bid : What the buyer wants to pay.

Ask : What the seller want to sell for.

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Finding the stock quote

Using finance.yahoo.com, find the stock quote for Coca Cola

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Placing the Order

How many shares? (Remember prices fluctuate)

Right ticker symbol (Especially if you’re trading online)

Type of Order (Market, limit, stop limit, stop loss)

How long is the order good for? (Immediate or cancel, Good Til Canceled)

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What type of order?

Case 1: You have decided to buy a stock that is very volatile. Daily prices can go up and down $5. The current price is $50. You only have $5000 to invest in this stock. What kind of order should you place?

Case 2: The market took a big fall yesterday, and all indications are that it will fall again today. You want to sell your stock if it hits $40 and prevent any further losses. It started out yesterday at $55 and is hovering around $48 today. What do you do?

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Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)

Ensures financials are “real” or disclosure

That people who know more don’t benefit at the expense of small investors

That brokers and firms don’t engage in shenanigans

Funds behave properly as well

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Stock Exchanges

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New York Stock Exchange (NYSE)

New York Stock Exchange

2003

Number of shares traded a year 204 B

Market value of companies

Average price per share

Number of companies

$14 T

$27.50

2759

2000

262.5 B

$12.4 T

$37.61

2862

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National Association of Securities Dealers Automated

Quote System NASDAQ

NASDAQ

Number of shares traded per year

Market value of companies

2006

273 B

$5.2 T

Average price per share

Number of listed companies 3200

2000

443 B

$3.6 T

$31.64

4734

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American Stock Exchange (AMEX)

American Stock Exchange

2006

Number of shares traded 20 B

Market value of companies $570 B

Average price per share

Number of listed companies 1433

2000

13 B

$125 B

$55.85

765

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Types of Shares and Dilution

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Types of Investors

Who Owns Stock

Funds

19.1%

Brokers and Dealers

0.4%

Households

38.3%

Public Pension Funds

11.3%

Private Pension Funds

11.6%

Insurance Companies

6.5%

Banks

2.0%

Foreign Investors

10.0%

Government

0.7%

Source: Federal Reserve Flow of Funds

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Evaluating Stocks

Over the long term (over 10 years) stocks perform the best

Passive strategy

Buy index funds and hold (you still need to watch your investments)

Active strategy - Select stocks

Fundamental analysis

Technical analysis

Speculation

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Monitoring Your Stocks

Whether you use an active or passive strategy, you still need to monitor your stocks

Measure stock performance against stock index

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20%

10%

0%

1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001

-10%

Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA)

Annual Return

Large Cap Index - Dow Jones Industrial Average

40%

S&P 500

DJIA

30%

Oldest and most wellknown stock index.

Covers 30 very large companies.

Price-weighted index so the stock with the highest price (IBM) has the most influence.

-20%

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Annual Return

100%

80%

60%

S&P 500

Russell 2000

NASDAQ Composite

S&P 400

DJIA

Wilshire 5000

40%

20%

-40%

-60%

Standard and Poor’s 500 - Large Cap

Large Cap Index - S&P 500

0%

1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001

-20%

500 largest stocks

Market valueweighted index.

GE, Exxon Mobil,

Microsoft,

Citigroup, and

Pfizer are the largest companies

Used as an index for large companies

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Russell 2000 - Small Cap

Also S&P 600

Small Cap Index - Russell 2000

Annual Return

50%

40%

S&P 500

Russell 2000

30%

20%

10%

0%

1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001

-10%

-20%

-30%

Take the top 3000 companies and select the bottom

2000

Russell 2000 is the index for small cap companies

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Wilshire 5000 - Total Market

Total Market Index - Wilshire 5000

Annual Return

40%

30%

S&P 500

Wilshire 5000

20%

10%

0%

1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001

-10%

-20%

All U.S. (7000) companies listed on the exchanges

True index for total stock market

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Standard and Poor’s 400 - Mid Cap

Mid Cap Index - S&P 400

Annual Return

40%

30%

S&P 500

S&P 400

20%

10%

0%

1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001

-10%

-20%

Next 400 stocks after the S&P 500

Measure of medium cap stocks

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Other Indices

Annual Returns of Selected Asset Classes

20%

10%

0%

-10%

-20%

-30%

50%

40%

30%

2002 2003 2004

Philadelphia

GoldSilver

S&P Midcap

Russell 2000 Small

Cap

S&P 500

EAFE International

Developed

NAREIT Real

Estate

2005 2006

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Summary

• For US large cap stocks – S&P 500

• For US mid cap stocks – S&P 400

• For US small cap stocks – S&P 600

• International – MSCI EAFE

• Emerging – MSCI Emerging

• Bond – Lehman Brothers Aggregate

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Measure Your Performance

Measure your portfolio against the appropriate index

If your portfolio is not performing well, might consider index

Don’t make snap judgments - even the best advisors have bad years

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