BLUEPRINTS FOR SUCCESS IN 2016 AND BEYONDPERSPECTIVES FROM THE DANGOTE GROUP by Abdu Mukhtar Group Chief Strategy Officer Dangote Group January 28th, 2016 Objectives Provide information on the activities of the Dangote Group Give an insight into our new business initiatives Highlight Strategies for navigating current macroeconomic challenges Share basic lessons on entrepreneurship (youth) ` 2 Our Evolution 1978 - 1997 The Early Days Started as a trading company in 1978 to take advantage of the rising demand for various commodities Abolition of import licensing regime, led to increase in scope of operations Became a leading bulk trader of various commodities 1997 – 2000 Transition Phase Transformed from a bulk commodity trading company to a manufacturing concern via an import substitution strategy along the Group’s traditional business lines. DIL incorporated as the vehicle for executing growth strategy Developed brand equity for products. 2000-2003 Growth Sustenance + Expansion Acquisition of strategic assets Expansion of existing capacities Prudent management/ strategy of reinvesting funds Improved business process and structure to align with the Group’s business vision 2003 - 2007 Expansion + Group Restructuring A massive conglomerate with annual group revenue of US$1.6bn(FY06) Spin off of Sugar, Flour, Salt and Pasta divisions to wholly owned subsidiaries Successful IPO and listing of Sugar, Flour and Salt businesses Commissioned the largest cement plant in sub-Saharan Africa – Obajana Plant (5MMtpa) 2007-Date Diversification, Expansion + Consolidation Diversification into Infrastructure, Agriculture, Fertilizer, Petrochemicals, Steel, Oil & Gas. Domestic expansion to ensure strong presence along the food value chain Strong asset base and brand equity Improved business processes, governance and organizational structure Consolidation of Cement interests & listing of DC PLC Expansion of Cement footprint in Nigeria and across Africa 3 Some Investments made by Dangote Group (operational)-20% NSE Capitalization DANGOTE SUGAR REFINERY PLC Current capacity - 1.44M mtpa Largest in Sub-Saharan Africa and 2nd largest in the world Unfortified Industrial White Sugar and Vitamin A-fortified White Sugar Leader in the Nigerian sugar market, ~ 65% market share NASCON PLC (SALT REFINERY) Currently has a combined installed capacity of 600,000 mtpa. Refines, fortifies and packages table, agricultural and industrial salts Controls ~ 60% Nigeria’s salt market Palm refinery and fractionation, seasoning and tomato paste DANGOTE AGROSACKS LTD Plant capacity ~ 648 million bags per annum Largest polypropylene bag manufacturing company in the world DANGOTE CEMENT PLC Combined installed capacity – 29M mtpa from 3 integrated cement plants located at Obajana (13), Gboko (4) and Ibese (12) in Nigeria 4 Some Investments made by Dangote Group (on-going) Projects (total capacity of 9 million mtpa) are on-going in Nigeria (3m in Benue & CEMENT 6m in Shagamu) Projects (total capacity of 23 million mtpa) are at different stages of development in 16 African Countries All projects will be completed between 2016 and 2018 PETROLEUM REFINERY/ PETROCHEM. COMPLEX Will be the largest oil refinery in the world - 650,000 bpd capacity ($12 billion) Petrochemical complex – 1.2M mtpa polypropylene 2,700 Hectares of land in Lekki Free Trade Zone FERTILIZER Combined capacity of 2.8M mtpa Urea and Ammonia (will be Africa’s largest Ammonia & Urea Plant) 260,000 Ha of sugar plantation will be cultivated and refineries to produce SUGAR OTHERS 20MT cane and 2MT sugar will be constructed. $1.8 billion investment Other products include ethanol, molasses, bio compost, animal feeds, Rice ($1billion): 150,000 Ha, 1.5MT Paddy rice, 1MT milled rice Upstream Petroleum-$1billion JVA with Carlyle Group Infrastructure (power, gas, construction)-$5billion JVA with Blackstone Group The Dangote Group will invest $19 billion over the next five years 5 CEMENT EXPANSION PROJECTS End 2011 End 2014 EndEnd 2017/2019 2017 8mta capacity 41.7mta capacity 61.7mta capacity 83.7mta • Two plants in Nigeria, 8mta capacity • Obajana 5mta • Gboko 3mta • Clear market leader, 50% share • 50 depots, most extensive distribution • Leading importer (from Far East) • $1.5bn revenue • $0.82bn EBITDA, 56% margin • Ca.22% sales imported (lower margin) • Capacity expansion underway • Obajana: 5mta brownfield • Ibese: 6mta new plant • Senegal: 1.5mta new plant • Nigerian capacity increased to 29mta, strong market growth anticipated • Obajana 13.25mta • Ibese 12mta • Gboko 4mta • Work 2014 Highlights: underway on African capacity • and $2.01bn import/export revenue facilities to be • completed $1.22bn EBITDA, end 2014 62% margin • Market • South share Africa of 64% +4.2mta at Nov 2014 • Ethiopia (1) +2.5mta • Work • Zambia underway (1) on+1.5mta African capacity and• import/export Senegal +1.5mta facilities to be completed • Cameroon end 2014 (1) +1.5mta • South Africa +4.2mta • Ethiopia +2.5mta • Zambia (1) +1.5mta • Senegal +1.5mta • Cameroon +1.5mta • Sierra Leone +0.5mta (TBD) • Ghana +1.0mta • Nigerian capacity 38mta • Obajana 13.25mta • Ibese 12mta • Gboko 4mta • Sagamu +6mta • New Benue +3mta • Additional capacity across Africa • Zambia (2) +1.5mta • Tanzania +3mta • Kenya +1.5mta • Cote d’Ivoire +1.5mta • Liberia +0.5mta • Ghana Takoradi +1.5mta • Congo Brazzaville +1.5mta • Nepal +1.5mta • Niger +1.5mts • Senegal +1.5mta • Cameroon (2) +1.5mta • Ethiopia (2) +2.5mta • Mali +1.5mta • Sierra Leone +0.5mta (TBD) • Ghana +1.0mta • Liberia +0.5mta $1.5bn revenue $0.82bn EBITDA 6 The Dangote Group is Very Bullish About Africa Africa’s troubled past is steadily giving way……and a new growth story is fast emerging: Average of 5.5% growth rate over the past 10 years; 2nd fastest growing region in the world; Economy has more than trebled since the turn of the century. By 2020, Africa’s collective GDP will be ~$2.6 trillion, with ~$1.4 trillion spending power. By 2050, Africa’s est. population of 2B will overtake that of India (1.6B) and China (1.4B). One person in five in the world will be African, with 63% urbanization rate. Several growth drivers exist: Political stability, improved macro-economic environment, micro-economic reforms, rapidly expanding middle class (now 355M). An industrial resurgence is on the way: Renewed commitment, better policies and improving business environment. And it is not just Dangote: Coca-Cola ($5B), GE ($1B) Bombardier, Ford Motors, PE Funds, Nestle, Heineken, P&G, etc., are expanding their African footprint. 7 Strategies That Are Working For Dangote-1 Staying true to our mission-Provision of people’s basic needs (recession-proof) Foods-sugar, salt, flour, rice Shelter-cement (delayed demand but essential) Petroleum products and petrochemicals; Energy Diversification Geography (50% non-Nigerian cement revenues by 2018; 18 countries +) Sector (Petrochemicals, Agriculture, Power) Low Cost Production (upsets cost escalation from inflation and devaluation) Captive Power-500MW in Nigeria, 90MW in Zambia/Senegal EPC contracts for all major projects New plants and technologies (huge advantage on competitors) Don’t cut corners 8 Strategies That Are Working For Dangote-2 Keying into Government Policies Backward Integration-cement, sugar, oil & gas Import Substitution ($21B petroleum products; $1B rice) $8-10B FX from petroleum products, polypropylene and polyethanol $1.5B FX from fertilizer Local Sourcing of Raw Materials Gas supply to Lekki for Refinery & Fertilizer; “Qatar of Africa” Coal for energy (great reserves in Benue, Kogi and Enugu) Limestone, etc. Contrarian Mind-set: Investing in a downturn Super cheap equipment Flexible financing Logistics: 7,500 trucks: Largest privately owned fleet in Nigeria 9 Strategies That Are Working For Dangote-3 Strategic Partnerships General Electric (GE) & other equipment manufacturers Sinoma, etc. Developing Human Capacity Dangote Academy (in-house) Training partnerships Aggressive talent acquisition 10 Final Thoughts on Entrepreneurship-The 5Ps Purpose ..and two new additions.. Passion Positive Presence Pray Partnerships Perseverance 11 Thank you for your attention 12