Capacity Planning Manufacturing: • Inventory can be used to cushion fluctuations in demand • More focused on machinery as a constraint than people Services: • No Inventory • People are primary constraint Planning Horizons Business Plan LONG Production Plan Master Production Schedule Matl. Reqs. Plan (MRP) SHORT Individual Machine/ Workcenter Capacity must be matched carefully with Marketing strategy! America on(OFF)line - How NOT to plan! 35 32 30 Average AOL member daily use 25 20 15 10 5 0 13 14 December, 1995 September, 1996 January, 1997 AOL: Number of members online at once 300000 250000 200000 150000 100000 50000 0 December, 1995 September, 1996 January, 1997 Me? I thought YOU were going to tell operations!! Marketing Marketing Operations How to Deal with Uneven Demand? • Vary inventory • Change Production Rate • Change workforce size ............... REACTIVE alternatives!! Proactive/Aggressive Alternatives • Complementary products • Promotional campaigns • Creative pricing Two Capacity Expansion Strategies ..... EXPANSIONIST Capacity Demand Forecast Time Expansionist Strategy CONCEPT: • Large, Infrequent jumps in capacity • Stays ahead of demand ADVANTAGES: • Lost Sales unlikely • Economies of scale (construction and learning) • Preempt Competition Two Capacity Expansion Strategies ..... WAIT-and-SEE Capacity Time Two Capacity Expansion Strategies ..... WAIT-and-SEE Capacity Demand Forecast Time Two Capacity Expansion Strategies ..... WAIT-and-SEE Capacity Demand Forecast Time Wait and See Strategy CONCEPT: • Small, Frequent jumps in capacity • Lags behind demand, relying on short-term operations ADVANTAGES: • Minimize risk • Greater flexibility Capacity Cushion Maximum Capacity (100%) Cushion Average Utilization