CICERO FOUNDATION SEMINAR UK labour market policies - a recipe for success? Georgina Hill British Embassy, Paris This presentation will cover... • The UK labour market today • How have we got there? • What next? THE UK TODAY The UK has one of the strongest labour markets in the world... 80% 70% Percentage 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Canada UK Source: OECD Employment Outlook 2007 US Japan Germany France Italy …with high employment across most groups 100% 90% 80% Employment Rates 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Total Men Women Young UK Source: OECD Employment Outlook 2007 Prime Age OECD Older Low skilled Medium skilled High skilled …while Unemployment and Inactivity Rates are relatively low 10 30 8 25 6 20 15 4 10 2 5 0 Inactivity 2006 Source: OECD Employment Outlook 2007 Unemployment 2006 ly Ita ce Fr an y ma n n Ge r pa Ja US da Ca na UK ly Ita ce Fr an Ja pa n y ma n Ge r US UK da 0 Ca na Percentage Inactive 35 Percentage Unemployed 12 40 At low cost: expenditure on labour market programmes as a % of GDP 2.0 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 N d e n e al ry lia ay ri a ds nc ec de ga lan rw tra tug Aust an a e e l n e r r o s r r r u w o I F N e G S P H Au et h Source: OECD UK rea Ko US HOW HAVE WE GOT THERE? RESTATED OECD JOBS STRATEGY • No single golden road to better labour market performance • But some common success factors, eg: – macroeconomic stability – incentives – competition Key elements that have contributed to the success so far… • Macroeconomic Stability • Flexibility and Diversity • Making work pay: – National Minimum Wage and tax credits improve incentives to work for low income households • Active Labour Market Policies: – – – – Jobcentre Plus Rights & Responsibilities agenda assisted job search New Deals: employment programmes to reduce long term unemployment through intensive tailored support/activities TURNOVER IN THE UK LABOUR MARKET E 3 million E 1.65 m 2.01 m 1.29 m U 2.13 m 1.13 m 2.01 m E = EMPLOYMENT U =UNEMPLOYMENT I = INACTIVITY Source: UK LFS, Longitudinal Dataset ( 2 Quarter ) I USUAL HOURS WORKED PER WEEK FRANCE UNITED KINGDOM 50.0% 50.0% 40.0% 40.0% 30.0% 30.0% 20.0% 20.0% 10.0% 10.0% 0.0% 40 44 48 40 44 48 36 32 28 24 20 16 12 8 8 12 16 20 24 28 32 36 40 44 48 4 4 0 0.0% 0 Hours usually worked Hours usually w orked ITALY GERMANY 50.0% 50.0% 40.0% 40.0% 30.0% 30.0% 20.0% 20.0% 10.0% 10.0% Source: Eurostat 36 32 28 24 20 16 12 8 4 0.0% 0 48 44 40 36 32 28 24 20 16 12 8 4 0 0.0% Hours usually worked Hours usually worked Temporary employment 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 US UK Italy Source: OECD Online Statistical Database France Canada Germany Japan ACTIVE LABOUR MARKET POLICIES • Make work pay • One stop shop: Jobcentre Plus – links Rights & Responsibilities – benefit payment & assisted job search – Jobseeker’s Agreement = back to work plan • Regular contact: – fortnightly signing to check on progress – regular reviews (13 weeks) – personal advisers – close follow-up • Greater help & employability measures as duration increases, eg New Deal Jobcentre Plus • • • • Payment of Working Age benefits Job Services to customers and employers Recruitment services for employers Extra help for ‘priority’ customers, including New Deal programmes • Benefit fraud prevention and investigation Jobcentre Plus Purpose: “Work for those who can, support for those who cannot” WHAT NEXT? Current Considerations • Balance between rights & responsibilities • Boost employment to 80% and tackle longterm unemployment • Greater use of private & voluntary sector • Greater devolution • Link between employment & skills 28 27 26 25 24 23 22 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Economic Inactivity ILO Unemployment Unemployment Rate Inactivity Rate The key problem is now economic inactivity not unemployment… 2005 2003 2001 1999 1997 1995 1993 1991 1989 1987 1985 1983 1981 1979 1977 1975 1973 1971 …and because the vast majority of claimants of inactive benefits are economically inactive, most are not looking for work… 3,000,000 Inactive ILO unemployed 2,500,000 In employment 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 500,000 0 JSA 18-24 JSA 25-49 50 and over Incapacity Benefits lone parents any other form of IS Sw la nd K ed e Ire U tra l et he ia rla nd s C an ad a an d S n Au st ria G er m an y D en m ar Be k lg iu m Sl F ov r ak anc e R ep ub lic O EC D N Au s Ze al U 30 ew 35 N n Ja pa in Sp a % OF THE WORKING-AGE POPULATION …And other countries face similar problems… 40 Other benefits Unemployment benefits Sickness & Disability Old age & early retirement 25 20 15 10 5 0 What are we doing about it…? The UK Government’s long-term aim is to achieve an employment rate of 80% of the working age population: • 1 million fewer people on incapacity benefits • 1 million more older people in work • 300,000 more lone parents in work • tackling inactivity and worklessness, particularly in the most geographically deprived areas We have begun to make a difference amongst lone parents and those on Incapacity Benefit… 1) Reform Incapacity Benefit, for sick and disabled: - ‘Pathways to Work’ - including mandatory Work Focused Interviews • Increase incentives for Lone Parents to (re-)enter labour market: - New Deals extended to lone parents - Tax Credits - transitional top-up payments to ensure work pays • Extending working lives: - age discrimination legislation - increase in State Pension Age - Age Positive campaign Conclusions: So far so good….but there is more to do! • Next stage of Welfare Reform - changes in the benefit structure • Support for disadvantaged groups: – certain areas, especially major cities – some minority ethnic groups – people with low or no qualifications • Skills – transition from school to work – lifelong training Any questions…or answers? Department for Work & Pensions: www.dwp.gov.uk Jobcentre Plus: www.jobcentreplus.gov.uk New Deal employment programmes: www.newdeal.gov.uk Learning & Skills Council: www.lsc.gov.uk