Chapter 15 Interest Rate and Currency Swaps Copyright © 2009 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. Interest Rate & Currency Swaps: Learning Objectives • Define interest rate risk and demonstrate how it can be managed • Describe interest rate swaps and show how they can be used to manage interest rate risk • Analyze how interest rate swaps and crosscurrency swaps can be used to manage both foreign exchange and interest rate risk simultaneously Copyright © 2009 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 15-2 Interest Rate Risk • All firms, domestic or multinational, are sensitive to interest rate movements • The single largest interest rate risk of a non-financial firm is debt service (for an MNE, differing currencies have differing interest rates thus making this risk a larger concern – see exhibit) • The second most prevalent source of interest rate risk is its holding of interest sensitive securities • Ever increasing competition has forced financial managers to better manage both sides of the balance sheet Copyright © 2009 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 15-3 Exhibit 15.1 International Interest Rate Calculations Copyright © 2009 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 15-4 Interest Rate Risk • Whether it is on the left or right hand side, the reference rate of interest calculation merits special attention – The reference rate is the rate of interest used in a standardized quotation, loan agreement, or financial derivative valuation – Most common is LIBOR (London Interbank Offered Rate) Copyright © 2009 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 15-5 Exhibit 15.2 U.S. Dollar-Denominated Interest Rates (February 2004) Copyright © 2009 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 15-6 Credit and Repricing Risk • Credit Risk or roll-over risk is the possibility that a borrower’s creditworthiness at the time of renewing a credit, is reclassified by the lender – This can result in higher borrowing rates, fees, or even denial • Repricing risk is the risk of changes in interest rates charged (earned) at the time a financial contract’s rate is being reset Copyright © 2009 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 15-7 Credit and Repricing Risk • Example: Consider a firm facing three debt strategies – Strategy #1: Borrow $1 million for 3 years at a fixed rate – Strategy #2: Borrow $1 million for 3 years at a floating rate, LIBOR + 2% to be reset annually – Strategy #3: Borrow $1 million for 1 year at a fixed rate, then renew the credit annually • Although the lowest cost of funds is always a major criteria, it is not the only one Copyright © 2009 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 15-8 Credit and Repricing Risk • Strategy #1 assures itself of funding at a known rate for the three years; what is sacrificed is the ability to enjoy a lower interest rate should rates fall over the time period • Strategy #2 offers what #1 didn’t, flexibility (repricing risk). It too assures funding for the three years but offers repricing risk when LIBOR changes • Strategy #3 offers more flexibility and more risk; in the second year the firm faces repricing and credit risk, thus the funds are not guaranteed for the three years and neither is the price Copyright © 2009 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 15-9 Management of Interest Rate Risk • The management dilemma is the balance between risk and return • Since most treasuries do not act as profit centers, their management practices are typically conservative • Before treasury can take any hedging strategy, it must first form an expectation or a directional and/or volatility view • Once management has formed its expectations about future interest rate levels and movements, it must then choose the appropriate implementation of a strategy Copyright © 2009 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 15-10 Exhibit 15.3 Treasury Policy Statements Copyright © 2009 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 15-11 Trident’s Floating-Rate Loans • Example using Trident corporation’s loan of US$10 million serviced with annual payments and the principal paid at the end of the third year – The loan is priced at US dollar LIBOR + 1.50%; LIBOR is reset every year – When the loan is drawn down initially (at time 0), an up-front fee of 1.50% is charged – Trident will not know the actual interest cost until the loan has been completely repaid Copyright © 2009 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 15-12 Exhibit 15.4 Trident Corporation’s Costs and Cash Flows in Servicing a Floating Rate Loan Copyright © 2009 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 15-13 Trident’s Floating-Rate Loans • If Trident had wished to manage the interest rate risk associated with the loan, it would have a number of alternatives – Refinancing – Trident could go back to the lender and refinance the entire agreement – Forward Rate Agreements (FRAs) – Trident could lock in the future interest rate payment in much the same way that exchange rates are locked in with forward contracts – Interest Rate Futures – Interest Rate Swaps – Trident could swap the floating rate note for a fixed rate note with a swap dealer Copyright © 2009 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 15-14 Forward Rate Agreements (FRAs) • A forward rate agreement is an interbank-traded contract to buy or sell interest rate payments on a notional principal – Example: If Trident wished to lock in the first payment it would buy an FRA which locks in a total interest payment at 6.50% – If LIBOR rises above 5.00%, then Trident would receive a cash payment from the FRA seller reducing their LIBOR payment to 5.0% – If LIBOR falls below 5.00% then Trident would pay the FRA seller a cash amount increasing their LIBOR payment to 5.00% Copyright © 2009 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 15-15 Interest Rate Futures • Interest Rate futures are widely used; their popularity stems from high liquidity of interest rate futures markets, simplicity in use, and the rather standardized interest rate exposures firms posses • Traded on an exchange; two most common are the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) and the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) • The yield is calculated from the settlement price – Example: March ’03 contract with settlement price of 94.76 gives an annual yield of 5.24% (100 – 94.76) Copyright © 2009 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 15-16 Exhibit 15.5 Eurodollar Futures Prices Copyright © 2009 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 15-17 Interest Rate Futures • If Trident wanted to hedge a floating rate payment due in March ’03 it would sell a futures contract, or short the contract – If interest rates rise, the futures price will fall and Trident can offset its interest payment with the proceeds from the sale of the futures contracts – If interest rates rise, the futures price will rise and the savings from the interest payment due will offset the losses from the sale of the futures contracts Copyright © 2009 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 15-18 Exhibit 15.6 Interest Rate Futures Strategies for Common Exposures Copyright © 2009 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 15-19 Interest Rate Swaps • Swaps are contractual agreements to exchange or swap a series of cash flows • If the agreement is for one party to swap its fixed interest payment for a floating rate payment, its is termed an interest rate swap • If the agreement is to swap currencies of debt service it is termed a currency swap • A single swap may combine elements of both interest rate and currency swap • The swap itself is not a source of capital but an alteration of the cash flows associated with payment Copyright © 2009 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 15-20 Interest Rate Swaps • If firm thought that rates would rise it would enter into a swap agreement to pay fixed and receive floating in order to protect it from rising debt-service payments • If firm thought that rates would fall it would enter into a swap agreement to pay floating and receive fixed in order to take advantage of lower debt-service payments • The cash flows of an interest rate swap are interest rates applied to a set amount of capital, no principal is swapped only the coupon payments Copyright © 2009 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 15-21 Exhibit 15.7 Interest Rate Swap Strategies Copyright © 2009 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 15-22 Comparative Advantage • Companies of different credit quality are treated differently by the capital markets • For example, Unilever (U.K.) and Xerox (U.S.) are both in the market for $30 million of debt for a fiveyear period • Unilever is an AAA credit rating (the highest), and therefore has access to both fixed and floating interest rate debt at attractive rates • Unilever would prefer to borrow at floating rates, since it already has fixed-rate funds and wishes to increase the proportion of its debt portfolio which is floating Copyright © 2009 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 15-23 Comparative Advantage • Xerox has a BBB credit rating (the lowest major category of investment grade debt ratings), and would prefer to raise the debt at fixed rates of interest • Although Xerox has access to both fixed-rate and floating-rate finds, the fixed-rate debt is considered expensive • The firms, through Citibank, could actually borrow in their relatively ‘advantaged’ markets and then swap their debt service payments Copyright © 2009 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 15-24 Exhibit 15.8 Comparative Advantage and Structuring a Swap Agreement Copyright © 2009 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 15-25 Trident Corporation: Swapping to Fixed Rates • Maria Gonzalez (Trident’s CFO) is concerned about the floating rate loan – Maria thinks that rates will rise over the life of the loan and wants to protect Trident from an increased interest payment – Maria believes that an interest rate swap to pay fixed/receive floating would be Trident’s best alternative – Maria contacts the bank and receives a quote of 5.75% against LIBOR; this means that Trident will receive LIBOR and pay out 5.75% for the three years Copyright © 2009 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 15-26 Trident Corporation: Swapping to Fixed Rates • The swap does not replace the original loan, Trident must still make its payments at the original rates; the swap only supplements the loan payments • Trident’s 1.50% fixed rate above LIBOR must still be paid along with the 5.75% as per the swap agreement; however, Trident now receives LIBOR thus offsetting the floating rate risk in the original loan • Trident’s total payment will therefore be 7.25% (5.75% + 1.50%) Copyright © 2009 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 15-27 Exhibit 15.9 Trident Corporation’s Interest Rate Swap to Pay Fixed/Receive Floating Copyright © 2009 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 15-28 Trident Corp: Swapping Dollars into Swiss francs • After raising the $10 million in floating rate financing and swapping into fixed rate payments, Trident decides it would prefer to make its debt-service payments in Swiss francs – Trident signed a 3-year contract with a Swiss buyer, thus providing a stream of cash flows in Swiss francs • Trident would now enter into a three-year pay Swiss francs and receive US dollars currency swap – Both interest rates are fixed – Trident will pay 2.01% (ask rate) fixed Sfr interest and receive 5.56% (bid rate) fixed US dollars Copyright © 2009 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 15-29 Exhibit 15.10 Interest Rate and Currency Swap Quotes Copyright © 2009 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 15-30 Trident Corp: Swapping Dollars into Swiss francs • The spot rate in effect on the date of the agreement establishes what the notional principal is in the target currency – In this case, Trident is swapping into francs, at Sfr1.50/$. – This is a notional amount of Sfr15,000,000. Thus Trident is committing to payments of Sfr301,500 (2.01% Sfr15,000,000 = Sfr301,500) – Unlike an interest rate swap, the notional amounts are part of the swap agreement Copyright © 2009 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 15-31 Exhibit 15.11 Trident Corporation’s Currency Swap: Pay Swiss Francs and Receive U.S. Dollars Copyright © 2009 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 15-32 Trident Corporation: Unwinding Swaps • As with the original loan agreement, a swap can be entered or unwound if viewpoints change or other developments occur • Assume that the three-year contract with the Swiss buyer terminates after one year, Trident no longer needs the currency swap • Unwinding a currency swap requires the discounting of the remaining cash flows under the swap agreement at current interest rates then converting the target currency back to the home currency Copyright © 2009 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 15-33 Trident Corporation: Unwinding Swaps • If Trident has two payments of Sfr301,500 and Sfr15,301,500 remaining (interest plus principal in year three) and the 2 year fixed rate for francs is now 2.00%, the PV of Trident’s commitment is francs is Sfr301,500 Sfr15,301, 500 PV(Sfr) Sfr15,002, 912 1 2 (1.020) (1.020) Copyright © 2009 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 15-34 Trident Corporation: Unwinding Swaps • At the same time, the PV of the remaining cash flows on the dollar-side of the swap is determined using the current 2 year fixed dollar rate which is now 5.50% $556,000 $10,556,000 PV(US$) $10,011,078 1 2 (1.055) (1.055) Copyright © 2009 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 15-35 Trident Corporation: Unwinding Swaps • Trident’s currency swap, if unwound now, would yield a PV of net inflows of $10,011,078 and a PV of net outflows of Sfr15,002,912. If the current spot rate is Sfr1.4650/$ the net settlement of the swap is Sfr15,002, 912 Settlement $10,011,078 ($229,818) Sfr1.4650/ $ • Trident makes a cash payment to the swap dealer of $229,818 to terminate the swap – Trident lost on the swap due to franc appreciation Copyright © 2009 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 15-36 Counterparty Risk • Counterparty Risk is the potential exposure any individual firm bears that the second party to any financial contract will be unable to fulfill its obligations • A firm entering into a swap agreement retains the ultimate responsibility for its debt-service • In the event that a swap counterpart defaults, the payments would cease and the losses associated with the failed swap would be mitigated • The real exposure in a swap is not the total notional principal but the mark-to-market value of the differentials Copyright © 2009 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 15-37 A Three-way Cross Currency Swap • Sometimes firms enter into loan agreements with a swap already in mind, thus creating a debt issuance coupled with a swap from its inception – Example: the Finnish Export Credit agency (FEC), the Province of Ontario, Canada and the Inter-American Development Bank (IADB) all possessed access to ready sources capital but wished debt service in another market – FEC had not raised capital in Canadian dollar Euromarkets and an issuance would be well received; however the FEC had a need for increased debt-service in US dollars, not Canadian dollars Copyright © 2009 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 15-38 A Three-way Cross Currency Swap – Province of Ontario needed Canadian dollars but due to size of provincial borrowings knew that issues would push up its cost of funds; there was however an attractive market in US dollars – IADB had a need for additional US dollar denominated debtservice; however it already raised most of its debt in the US markets but was a welcome newcomer in the Canadian dollar market • Each borrower determined its initial debt amounts and maturities expressly with the needs of the swap Copyright © 2009 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 15-39 Exhibit 15.12 A Three-Way Back-to-Back Cross-Currency Swap Copyright © 2009 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 15-40 Summary of Learning Objectives • The single largest interest rate risk of the non-financial firm is debt-service. The debt structure of an MNE will possess differing maturities of debt, different interest rates and different currency denominations • The increasing volatility of world interest rates, combined with increasing use of short-term and variable-rate notes has led many firms to actively manage their interest rate risk Copyright © 2009 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 15-41 Summary of Learning Objectives • The primary sources of interest rate risk to an MNE are short-term borrowing and investing and long-term borrowing • The techniques and instruments used in interest rate risk management resemble those used in currency risk management: the old method of lending and borrowing • The primary instruments include forward rate agreements (FRAs), interest rate futures, forward swaps and interest rate swaps Copyright © 2009 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 15-42 Summary of Learning Objectives • The interest rate and currency swap markets allow firms that have limited access to specific currencies and interest rate structures to gain access at relatively low costs • A cross currency interest rate swap allows a firm to alter both the currency of denomination of the cash flows but also to alter the fixed-to-floating or floating-to-fixed interest rate structure Copyright © 2009 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 15-43