COMMUNITY PROFILE: TULSA 2014 November 2014 Prepared by the Community Service Council, with support from the Metropolitan Human Services Commission 2 DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS Tulsa County, by Census Tract 54.02 54.01 126th 58.07 56 96th 58.08 58.05 58.06 58.01 91.01 9400.05 91.04 79 57 80.02 80.01 62 66th 36th 59 111 2 Apache 1 8 7 9400.06 93 92 46 65.06 49 14 15 16 60 82 19 18 17 72 83 37 38 39 53 40 70 85.02 90.04 90.06 90.07 52 86 69.05 69.06 90.08 90.09 20 21 35 36 Pine Admiral 89 73.09 73.11 42 44 43.02 41.01 51 71.01 71.02 73.04 73.10 84 73.08 85.01 73.05 73.06 73.12 41st 48 50.01 50.02 67.01 68.01 68.03 87 69.01 69.02 69.03 69.07 68.04 76.08 76.09 76.11 76.13 76.15 76.16 76.17 74.10 49th W 81st W 65th W 67.05 90.03 74.09 76.34 67.03 61st 74.07 75.18 75.19 75.10 75.03 75.24 76.33 76.29 76.30 67.07 75.08 75.07 75.06 75.12 75.11 75.13 75.22 75.15 75.23 67.08 77.01 81st 111th 76.37 76.36 76.35 75.20 76.38 Tulsa Public Schools City of Tulsa Change in population Gain Loss 74.14 76.4276.41 76.12 76.14 76.20 76.19 76.18 74.11 74.12 74.13 74.15 74.02 74.08 76.25 76.31 76.32 76.39 131st 76.24 75.16 78.01 161st E 77.02 129th E 145th E Mingo Garnett Memorial Sheridan Yale Lewis Harvard Peoria Union Elwood 78.02 33rd W Overall, the county’s population grew 7.1% from 563,299 to 603,403, while the city’s population actually declined .3% from 393,049 to 391,906 between 2000 and 2010. 34 33 3 65.07 97th W 58% of Tulsa County's 175 census tracts lost population (102) between 2000 and 2010, while 65% of the City of Tulsa's 124 tracts declined in population (81). 94.02 31 32 45 43.01 66 47 23.01 4 193rd E 95 13 12 25 88 94.01 6 9 10 27 30 5 177th E Widespread loss… 29 113th W 3 Census Tracts Of Total Population Gain And Loss: 2000 to 2010 55 Source:US US Census Bureau 2000 2010 Censuses. Source: Census Bureau, 2000 and 2010and Censuses. Prepared by the Community Service Council, with support from the Metropolitan Human Services Commission (5.20.2014) 181st projections Population Trends and Projections by Age Group: Oklahoma, 1970-2030 2030 6.4% 16.8% 9.0% 2020 6.6% 17.2% 9.3% 2010 7.0% 17.7% 10.2% 2000 6.8% 19.0% 1990 7.2% 1980 7.7% 1970 7.7% 0% 19.4% 49.0% 50.0% 10.2% 13.3% 25.1% 0-4 5-17 18-24 11.6% 1.7% 49.7% 12.0% 1.5% 11.3% 1.1% 43.8% 10.8% 0.9% 60% 25-64 2.1% 11.9% 1.7% 46.0% 40% 2.5% 50.6% 11.6% 20% 14.9% 51.5% 10.3% 20.5% 16.3% 65-84 80% 100% 85+ Source: US Census Bureau, 1970, 1980, 1990, 2000, and 2010 Censuses; Oklahoma Department of Commerce, 2012 Demographic State of the State Report: Oklahoma State and County Population Projections through 2075. Living Arrangements of Related Children Under 18 Tulsa County, 1970, 1980, 1990, 2000 & 2005-07 Estimates 100% 1970 1980 1990 2000 2005-07 est. 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 1970 1980 1990 2000 2005-07 est. Married Couple Male-headed Female-headed Other relatives 82% 74% 71% 65% 61% 1% 2% 3% 5% 6% 11% 16% 18% 21% 25% 4% 6% 5% 7% 8% Children living with 1 or both parents Source: US Census Bureau, 1970, 1980, 1990, and 2000 Censuses; US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2005-07. Prepared by the Community Service Council of Greater Tulsa Wage Comparison: Self-Sufficiency, Welfare, Minimum, Poverty and 185% of Poverty, and Median Family Income: Family of Three, Tulsa County 2014 7 $80,000 $70,000 $60,000 Annual wage Self-sufficiency wage: $44,627 $76,755 ($36.34/hr.) ($21.13/hour) $50,000 $54,001 $36,612 $30,000 ($17.33/hr.) $20,000 $- All families ($25.57/hr.) $40,000 $10,000 Married couple families $10,800 $15,312 ($5.11/hr.) ($7.25/hr.) Welfare wage Minimum wage ($17.75/hr.) Male-headed families $21,296 $19,790 Female-headed families ($10.08/hr.) ($9.37/hr.) Poverty wage $37,479 185% poverty wage Median family income Notes: For self-sufficiency wage, family of three consists of one adult, one preschooler and one school-age child. Hourly wages given assume full-time, year-round employment. Welfare wage is the combined value of TANF, SNAP, & WIC. Median family income represents families with children under age 18. Values shown for median family income are midpoint estimates within a 90% confidence range, which can be very wide. Source: Oklahoma Association of Community Action Agencies and the Oklahoma Asset Building Coalition, December 2009, The Self-Sufficiency Standard for Oklahoma 2009; Federal Register Notice, 01/22/2014, Annual Update of the HHS Poverty Guidelines; Bureau of Labor Statistics, July 2014; Oklahoma State Dept. of Human Services; US Census Bureau, 2008-12 American Community Survey. (American Community Survey data are estimates based on a sample of the population. These estimates are midpoint values within a 90% confidence range, which can be very large, especially for smaller geographies.) Ratio of Income to Poverty by Age: Tulsa and North Tulsa, 2008-12 8 100.0% 100% 200% 87.7% 80.0% 60.0% 64.5% 49.5% 42.8% 34.5% 40.0% 20.0% 67.0% 34.5% 19.7% 0.0% Total population Under 6 Tulsa Source: US Census Bureau, 2008-12 American Community Survey. Total population North Tulsa Under 6 Unemployment Rates: Tulsa, 1990-2013 9 8.0 7.3 5.3 6.0 4.6 4.0 3.1 2.0 0.0 1990 1995 2000 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Local Area Unemployment Statistics. 2005 2010 2013 Adverse Childhood Experiences… 10 …DISEASE, DISABILITY AND SOCIAL PROBLEMS IN ADULTHOOD …GROWING UP IN A HOUSEHOLD WITH ADVERSE CHILDHOOD EXPERIENCES: …ADOPTION OF HEALTH RISK BEHAVIORS… Recurrent physical abuse Recurrent emotional abuse Sexual abuse Smoking An alcohol or drug abuser Overeating An incarcerated household member Physical inactivity Someone who is chronically depressed, suicidal, institutionalized or mentally ill Mother being treated violently Living with one or neither parent Emotional or physical neglect Heavy alcohol use Nicotine addiction Alcoholism Drug addiction Obesity Depression Suicide Injuries Unintentional pregnancy Drug use Adolescent pregnancy Promiscuity Heart disease Cancer Chronic lung and liver disease Stroke Diabetes Fetal death Sexually transmitted diseases Source: The Adverse Childhood Experiences Study website: www.acestudy.org, “What are Adverse Childhood Experieinces (ACE’s).” Summary of Risk Factors for Infants, Tulsa County, 2013 12 Teen mother (15-19) 7.8% 729 873 9.8% Poor prenatal care (3rd tri. or no care) 20.8% Mother w/ <12th grade education Low birthweight (1500-2499 grams) 0.0% Total births = 9,243 117 25.8% Short birth spacing (<24 mos. apart) Premature (<37 weeks gest.) 1,911 674 7.3% Very low birthweight (<1500 grams) 1.3% Very short birth spacing (<18 mos. apart) 3,888 42.1% Unmarried 13.1% 11.7% 10.0% NA NA 1,081 20.0% Source: Oklahoma State Department of Health, Vital Statistics 2013, OK2SHARE, accessed on 11/20/14. 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 13 14 Percentage of 4th Graders NOT Proficient in Reading by Race and Hispanic Origin: United States: 2011 15 Source: Annie E. Casey Foundation, “KIDS COUNT Data Book, 2013.” Average Freshman Graduation Rates by Race: Tulsa Public Schools, 2012-13 School Year 54.1% All students 50.3% Black 43.2% American Indian 86.4% Asian 51.4% Hispanic 62.3% White 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Note: "Average freshman graduation rate" refers to the number of graduating seniors as a proportion of the average number of students enrolled in 8th, 9th, and 10th grades for that graduating cohort. Source: Office of Educational Quality and Accountability, based on data provided by the Oklahoma State Department of Education. 16 Educational Attainment for Persons Age 25 & over: Tulsa and North Tulsa, 2008-12 17 25.4% Less than high school 13.4% 37.4% High school graduate 26.1% 23.5% Some college 23.5% 5.2% Associate degree North Tulsa Tulsa 7.3% 6.4% Bachelor's degree 19.6% 2.1% Advanced degree 0.0% 10.2% 5.0% 10.0% Source: US Census Bureau, 2008-12 American Community Survey. 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% 40.0% Participation in Public Assistance Programs Number of Participants and Percentage of Population Participating During a Single Month, Tulsa County, 2012 Soonercare Total (185%/100%) 19.3% 116,415 Soonercare <19 (185%) 47% 76,569 14.8% 89,325 1.8% 2,720 TANF <18 (50%) 55.1% 34,358 Elem. School Free Lunch (130%) 10.1% 6,314 Elem. School Reduced Lunch (185%) 100,000 50,000 Number of Participants 18 8.2% 3,667 Child Care Subsidy <5 (185%) 150,000 20.2% 9,063 WIC age 1-5 (185%) SNAP Total (130%) 43.5% 3,829 WIC Infants (185%) 0% 0 20% 40% 60% 80% Percent of Population Source: Oklahoma Dept. of Human Services, Statistical Bulletin, Jan. 2012; Oklahoma State Dept. of Education, Low Income Report for 2011-12; US Census Bureau, 2010 Census; Oklahoma State Department of Health-WIC Service, Caseload Report, Jan. 2012; Oklahoma Health Care Authority, Fast Facts, Jan.2012. Overall Health Status Ranking: Oklahoma, 1990-2013 19 49 48 50 41 40 36 38 42 39 41 43 44 41 41 46 43 42 44 47 49 46 46 46 32 32 30 20 10 0 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 Source: United Health Foundation, “America’s Health Rankings 2013.” 44 Oklahoma’s Rankings in Health Determinants, 2013 20 1=Healthiest state 50=Least healthy state 43 All Determinants 39 Behaviors Smoking 46 45 44 Drug deaths Obesity Physical inactivity 27 Policy & Clinical Care Community & Environment HS graduation 41 Violent crime 45 Occup. fatalities Infectious disease 18 46 Children in poverty 32 Lack of health insurance Public health funding Immunization - children Primary care physicians Source: United Health Foundation, “America’s Health Rankings 2013.” 26 48 48 Oklahoma’s Rankings in Health Outcomes, 2013 21 1=Healthiest state 50=Least healthy state 45 All Outcomes 43 Diabetes 41 Poor mental health days 42 Poor physical health days Disparity in health status (education) Infant mortality rate 27 44 48 Cardiovascular deaths Cancer deaths Premature death Source: United Health Foundation, “America’s Health Rankings 2013.” 43 47 Low Health Status: Oklahoma and United States, 1996-2013 22 25% Percent of adults reporting fair or poor health 20.5%20.2% 20.2% 19.7% 19.6% 19.2% 19.0% 18.7% 18.7% 17.7%17.8% 19.6% 20% 17.4% 15.3% 15% 10% 17.9% 16.9% 14.0% 13.4% 13.1% 12.6% 14.7%14.7%14.9%14.8%14.7%14.9%14.4%14.5%14.7% 13.9%14.0% 12.9%12.9%12.8%12.6%13.0% Oklahoma 45 42 U.S. 32 26 5% 41 41 44 42 46 43 42 42 45 41 34 28 38 25 Oklahoma’s rank 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 0% 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 Note: Data for 2011 and 2012 are not directly comparable to previous years because of changes in weighting and sampling. Source: United Health Foundation, “America’s Health Rankings 2013.” Obesity Prevalence: Oklahoma and United States, 1990-2013 23 35% Percent of adults estimated to be obese Oklahoma 32.0% 31.3% 32.2% 31.0% 31.1% U.S. 28.8% 28.8% 26.8% 24.9% 24.4% 27.8% 26.9% 25% 22.9% 26.3% 27.6% 22.6% 27.5% 25.1% 21.1% 26.7% 24.4% 19.5% 19.7% 22.9% 21.9% 20% 23.2% 20.9% 16.8% 15.1% 19.6% 13.5% 20.0% 13.2% 14.1%12.1% 18.3% 15% 11.9% 16.8% 11.6%11.6% 16.5% 45 45 44 43 46 46 15.9% 12.6% 14.4% 40 38 37 37 37 38 10% 11.6%11.6%12.6% 13.7% 35 37 30% 23 23 22 5% 29 27 22 14 14 12 14 Oklahoma’s rank 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 0% 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 Note: Data for 2011 and 2012 are not directly comparable to previous years because of changes in weighting and sampling. Source: United Health Foundation, “America’s Health Rankings 2013.” Smoking Prevalence: Oklahoma and United States, 1990-2013 24 Percent of adults who are current smokers 35% 33.0% 30% 29.5% 25% 20% 15% 28.7% 28.7% 26.6% 28.7% 26.6% 26.1% 26.1% 25.1% 25.8% 25.5% 26.1% 24.6% 25.2% 24.7% 23.7% 25.1% 25.0% 25.1% 24.1% 23.9% 23.3% 23.3% 21.7% 25.2%25.2% 23.5% 23.2% 22.7% 23.2% 22.8%23.2% 23.2%22.0% 22.7% 23.0% 22.9% 22.2% 21.2% 20.9%20.6% 19.8% 19.6% 20.1% 18.4%17.9% 17.3% Oklahoma U.S. 44 42 42 40 10% 49 45 41 37 36 28 5% 15 47 46 47 48 46 48 48 47 42 36 32 39 27 Oklahoma’s rank 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 0% 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 Note: Data for 2011 and 2012 are not directly comparable to previous years because of changes in sampling methodology. Source: United Health Foundation, “America’s Health Rankings 2013.” 25 26 Conclusion Contact Information: Melanie Poulter Senior Planner, Demography and Geography Community Service Council www.csctulsa.org 918-295-1285 mpoulter@csctulsa.org 27