The NanoSat Revolution Robert Sheldon (with thanks to Jim Cantrell) NASA/MSFC/NSSTC/VP62 April 20, 2007 Overview 1. 2. Review of Jim Cantrell’s 2-day seminar The NanoSat Problem • Launcher cost mismatch complexity • Mission Creep mass increase • Bad Attitude limited functionality 3. The Revolutionary Technology • CCR Laser -- Telemetry • Elliptical Orbit + Spinner • Laser-despun Fast Spinner 4. Future Applications Definition of “Sat” kg.333 0.1kg 1kg femto pico 10kg nano 100kg 1000kg micro small “Smart dust” BMDO (Don’t blame an engineer, it was marketing!) Jim Cantrell, Space Dev Inc, 2007 Smart Dust (Femto /Atto Sats) Smallsats—the 30,000 ft view 1985: Smallsats were once considered to be toys Small-sat conference in Utah in 1988 brought lots of skeptics Mainly domain of universities and small companies 1990: Smallsats grew capability in power, pointing and computational capability 1995: Smallsats become an increasing strong force in the marketplace 1990-2000: Several small businesses (Spectrum, Ball, DSI) grew capability into mainstream capability 2007: Smallsats have matured as the major spacecraft providers have all built and flown them: They are the mainstream market 2008: Nanosats have the same market appeal today that smallsats had 20 years ago Jim Cantrell, Space Dev Inc, 2007 Small Sat Timeline Small Satellite Launches By Size (Excluding Iridium and Globalstar) 50 40 Pico 30 Nano 20 Micro 10 Mini 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 0 1990 Number of Small Satellite Launches 60 Year NASDAQ collapse Jim Cantrell, Space Dev Inc, 2007 The Future of Satellite Types (Excluding Iridium and Globalstar) Mini What happened to the Nano/Pico? Micro 2000 Nano Pico 2004 The 2000 NASDAQ bubble in telcomm destroyed most R&D for 7 years. (Due to a slight exponent error in a telcomm report.) Jim Cantrell, Space Dev Inc, 2007 NASA & DoD $/kg scaled (DoD bus mass x 2, $ x 3) Jim Cantrell, Space Dev Inc, 2007 Cost & Launch Impedence Match The $/kg of a satellite is roughly constant above some fixed cost floor. 2. The $/kg launch cost has not changed in 30 years ($22/g = Au spot price) in a discretized way-secondary & tertiary payloads are less expensive. 3. For primary payloads, the smallest launcher puts a fixed cost on a launch (for OSC ~ $20M) though smaller rockets would extend the linearity down to ~100kg payloads. Insurance couples 1) & 2) impedence matched = But we aren’t launching gold, are we? 1. Jim Cantrell, Space Dev Inc, 2007 Develop / Cost vs. Complexity If cost is fixed, we must maximize productivity = complexity. Time is linear, cost quadratic (N!) with complexity. Failures occur when cost & time are too limited wrt the average. The “gold” is in the labor. No economies of scale. Jim Cantrell, Space Dev Inc, 2007 Mission Creep What is the optimum level of complexity? • Requires linear programming, but real limits are not “hard”, extra time, extra money is available. So we assume a linear or power-law function near the limits, and estimate the optimum point by the first derivative. Here’s a BOTE calculation: $_profit = $_return - $_cost $_returnfn(complexity)fn(telemetry+processing)F(power) $_cost = fn(mass)G(size) Optimum d$_profit/dL = 0 = dF/dL - dG/dL Some rules of thumb: Density ~1g/cc (thermal, even in miniaturized components) Mass~L3 (Since density is nearly constant) Telemetry~Power (and dish size, but antennae are light) Power~L2 body-mounted solar panels (~massL3 for 3-axis ) Optimization Condition Spinner $_profit = k1L2 - k2 L3 d$_profit=(2k1-3k2 L)LdL Optimum SizeL0=2k1/3k2 Smaller is better. 3-axis stabilized $_profit=(k1- k2) L3 d$_profit=(k1- k2) 3L2 dL No Optimum Size! Bigger is always better. Iridium, Teledesic SDO… Jim Cantrell, Space Dev Inc, 2007 Low-Complexity Spacecraft Complexity index 0-0.33 High-Complexity Spacecraft Complexity index 0.67-1 Small payload mass (~5-10 kg) One payload instrument Spin or gravity-gradient stabilized Body-fixed solar cells (Si or GaAs) Short design life (~6-12 mo) Single-string design Aluminum structures Coarse pointing accuracy (~1-5 deg) No propulsion, no cold-gas Low-frequency communications Simple helix or patch low-gain antenna Low data rate downlink (~1-10 kbps) Low power requirements (~50-100 W) No deployed or articulated mechanisms Little or no data storage No onboard processing ("bent pipe") Passive thermal control with coatings, insulation, etc Large payload mass (~300-500 kg) Many (5-10) payload instruments Three-axis stabilized w/ reaction wheels Deployed sun-tracking solar panels (multi-junction or concentrators) Long design life (~3-6 years) Partially or fully redundant Composite structures Fine pointing accuracy (~0.01-0.1 deg) Mono- or bipropellant w/ 4-12 thrusters High-frequency communications Deployed high-gain parabolic antennas High data rate downlink (Mbps) High power requirements (~0.5-2 kW) Deployed and/or articulated mechanisms Solid-state data recorders (5 GByte) Onboard processing (30 MIPS) Active thermal control with heat pipes, radiators, etc telemetry shielding lifetime Jim Cantrell, Space Dev Inc, 2007 Attitude = Power • • • • The problem of decreasing telemetry with distance requiring larger amounts of power, is pointing a large dish Likewise data-gathering satellites improve with pointing, even magnetometers. This makes attitude control one of the important requirements driving s/c selection, and the major drawback to spinners. 3-axis nanosats have yet to be built, which means nanosats have low capabilities. Perform. Figure Of Merit Small Small Satellite SatelliteCapabilities Capabilities 120 0.0904x y = 1.2352e 100 Insurgent satellite providers occupy this region of market 80 Market occupied by small university providers and others 60 40 20 0 0 10 20 30 40 Bus Cost (M$ FY01) 50 Jim Cantrell, Space Dev Inc, 2007 NanoSat Applications •DoD •NASA –GEO SSA –Atmospheric constellations –High value asset inspection –Station / Shuttle inspection –ASAT defense [offense?] –Exploration initiatives –Space control –Component test-beds –Testbed for ORS components •IC •Commercial ?? –Researcher testbeds –Distributed sensing –High value asset escort –Communications data exfiltration –University testbeds –Small commercial payloads Applications for nanosats highly dependent upon propulsion and other bus capabilities Jim Cantrell, Space Dev Inc, 2007 Future of Small Sats •Satellite market has followed “disruptive” path over past 20 years •Market disruption is continual and tending towards smaller and more powerful spacecraft •Smallsats are now in mainstream of market –This has been the case for 10 years & expected to continue 5-10 years •Microsats are emerging as capable of addressing the mainstream market •Nanosats are still way below mainstream market demands for capability but offer potential for insurgent provider entry points. •Lower costs remain elusive since the cost of components [COTS subsystems] remains high. [No economies of scale…] Jim Cantrell, Space Dev Inc, 2007 Summary of Nanosat Bias 1. 2. 3. • • Nanosats have limited pointing Nanosats have limited power Nanosats have limited telemetry We can shrink a 3-axis s/c with miniaturized components, but we can’t increase a spinner’s capabilities by shrinking (though we do improve it’s profitability). The breakthroughs have to come in pointing, power and telemetry. Nanosat Solution #1: CCR (low attitude requirement) (1996) BU Space Constellation Why do we need a nanosat constellation? + (1996) Space Physics Problem • “The effectiveness of the base-funded space physics research program has decreased over the past decade….The long-term trend that has led to an ever increasing reliance on large programs has decreased the productivity of space physics research.” A Space Physics Paradox, NRC • “Small”, despite being eliminated from the “cheaper-faster-better” triumvirate, is even more essential for survival, not just for Space Physics, but NASA itself. Rob Sheldon, 1996 (1996) Magnetosphere Problem “The leap from static pictures of averaged structures and cartoon sequences of processes to continuous sequences of global, 3-D, synoptic images of the magnetosphere is widely recognized to be the logical next move in magnetospheric science….The only known way to obtain simultaneous, spatially comprehensive information on data fields of invisible parameters…is through simultaneous multi-point in-situ observations.” G. Siscoe, 96 Roadmap whitepaper Target Spatial Resolution: Ionosphere =>Magnetosphere • Radial =10% dRe/Re from 5-15 Re --> 12 • Azimuthal = 10% dRe/Re all 360 degrees --> 63 • Vertical (Z) = 1 Re at plasmasheet 0-5 Re --> 6 TOTAL= 12 x 63 x 6 = 4536 Satellites!! (1996) Cost: The Bottom Line • • • Maximum “solar probe” mission = $100 M Minimum Constellation = 100 satellites Maximum cost/satellite = $1 M / sat This is a “best case $” mission but not believable. • Typical cost/satellite = $100K / sat Assume 50M$ and 500 satellites as “typical” • Astounding cost/satellite = $10 K / sat This would be a revolution akin to the Model-T (Exactly how many copies to achieve this economy of scale?) (1996) Launcher Considerations • • Launcher Pegasus XL LEO Mass Volume Area Cost 550 kg 5.8m3 1.3m2 $20M # Satellites 100 Weight Volume Area Cost/sat Delta II 5,500 kg 63 m3 7.4 m2 $100M 500 5.5 1.1 kg 58 11.6 L 130 26 cm2 $200k $40k 100 500 55 630 740 $1M 11 kg 126 L 148 cm2 $200k (1996) Miniaturization solution? Detectors/Sensors YES! CPU/DPU YES! Solar Panels Little, 20% Bus/Thrusters Some, 50% Telemetry NO! - 10,000% Multiple satellites will require even faster/wider bandwidth in order to dump the data in 1/100th of the time, with less mass, less size, and less power! (1996) Solution • • • We MUST solve the telemetry problem before we can fly a # > 100 constellation Bandwidth problem was faced by telcomm industry 20 years ago—undersea cables were too limited: Solution? LASERS We propose to communicate with the satellites using a ground-based laser system, so that the power is on the ground, and the modulation is in space. (1996) Nanosatellite • • • • • • • Weight: 1kg Size: 10cm Power: 1 watt DPU Motorola603 Memory: 1 Gbyte Telemetry : 10kHz Sensors: 3-axis Mag • 12 pinhole CCD • SEU calibrated RAM (1996) Deployment • • Bus with multiple launchers, kick motors, 3-axis stabilized- “point & shoot” capability Solid fuel boosters, Spin stabilized, separation avionics, autonomous deployment (1996) Ground Segment • • • • • DSN already saturated 3 main laser ground stations for 24hr coverage Radar ground station in Antarctic for polar sat’s. ~10 Institutional (<100K$) downlinks at interested sites >90% temporal + spatial coverage of >100 satellites CCR Nanosat Conclusions 1. 2. 3. We solved the attitude problem with corner-cube reflectors, which need little attitude We solved the telemetry problem with lasers. We solved the power problem by sidestepping it: miniaturize to reduce power, simplify to reduce demand, and move telemetry power to the ground Did it work? Our proposal was funded, and after study we concluded (1998): Not for this application. CCR 1/R4 return! So data from s/c at 8 Re took too much laser power. But MagCon Mission (1998) DARPA grant to UCB 650nm laser pointer 2 day life full duty Attitude control?? 4 corner cubes 40% hemisphere Long life (1998) UCB Corner Cube Top View of the Interrogator Quarter-wave Plate Filter Polarizing Beamsplitter CCD Camera Lens 0.25% reflectance on each surface YAG Green Laser Beam Expander 45o mirror (1999) 2nd Try: UCB Monolithic 300 um (1999) U of AZ student project Nanosat Solution #2: Spinner attitude control (1999) Elliptical Orbit Telemetry • • • • Put the satellites into elliptical orbits with perigee < 1Re away. Store data. Use 10m dish on the ground to track the satellite. Dump the data in burst mode at perigee. No real-time tracking, 5-10 hour delay in updating the “magnetosphere” model. Larger dishes (e.g., DSN) can provide realtime tracking of a few targets. (1999)Why Nanosat Magnetometers? • Magnetic fields must be measured in situ • (We too wish we could do it with imaging!) • Magnetic fields must be measured globally • Fields are a global, not local, effect • Magnetic fields must be measured simultaneously • Otherwise space/time ambiguities destroy the image • Siscoe http://rbsp.info/rbs/RbS/PDF/wpaper.html • Magnetic fields must be measured densely • Currents and structure are “narrow” boundary features • The economics of 100’s of satellites => nanosats (1999) Magnetometer Accuracy • Need better than 1nT sensitivity at L>6 Re This = 1/500 = 0.2% accuracy in magnitude And = 1/2 degree accuracy in pointing • Science goals: Alfven waves, current systems, global models • Nice to have 1nT at L<6 Re as well Requires 1/30,000 = .003% accuracy in magnitude! Requires 1/2 arc-minute accuracy in pointing! • Can nanosats get close to these requirements? (1999) The Attitude Fix 1/4 wave antenna and magnetometer boom Inside: Batteries, power system, fluxgate mag, CPU, ADC, attitude determination, Cell phone transmitter 10mm aperature 100mm focal length sun-sensor SPECS: Mass 1 kg Power 1 Watt Spinrate 1 rps Size 15x6 cm 2 watt solar-panel 15cm (1999) 3-Axis Spinners • • In traditional satellites, only 2-axes are Fourier sampled, leading to poor resolution along the “z-axis”. Manfred Boehm (1996) presented and launched an offcenter (nutating) spinner that was able to sample all 3-axes. (2004) MagCon Nanosat Solution #3: Laser scan with drag chute positioning Nanosat Solution • • • The spinner gives a nice attitude fix, but ruins most of the benefits of a corner reflector except a the poles. That means we’re back to omnidirectional, low datarate radio. Can we recover the laser advantage? By similar reasoning, a CCR is 1/R4, whereas a lasers at both ends give 1/R2. Can we remotely direct a laser toward us with robust, autonomous control? All laser communicators are feedback stablilized telescopes on massive 3axis platforms. Can nanosats do this? The answer is a Scanner on a Spinner (1998) LaserSatCom design $50M10 Gbps cablein-the-sky. High altitude balloons @10km altitude relay radio through the cloud deck. Electro-Magnetic drag chute Spherical Fresnel Lens Toroidal Lens Transmitted signal Laser Scanner Detector Received Signal (1999) UCB Try 3: 2D scanning AR coated dome lens Steering Mirror laser CMOS ASIC (1999) UCB 8mm3 laser scanner Two 4-bit mechanical DACs control mirror scan angles. ~6 degrees azimuth, 3 elevation (2004) Sensor Array Positioning Because nanosats are small, they lack stored energy, but can use external forces more easily. John Barker, U Glasgow 2004 Applications VLBA, radio/IR telescopes, Planetary reconnaisance, Military warspace-IFF, higher resolution than GPS, unjammable, disposable, quickly deployed… Airborne Dust UCB 2001 U Glasgow Mapleseed solar cell MEMS/Hexsil/SOI “Smart Dust”, Planetary exploration, Military sensors Rocket dust MEMS/Hexsil/SOI 1-5 cm Controlled auto-rotator MEMS/Hexsil/SOI Conclusions • • • • Constellations of > 30 satellites will include nanosats. Heterogenous constellations have many advantages over homogeneous. Nanosatellites will be cheap enough to be “disposable” by being launched in quantity to match launcher cost. Nanosatellites will overcome the negative bias by solving telemetry (w/laser), attitude (scan and/or spin) and positioning (smart diffusion) challenges. The next decade will be the Nanosat Decade