Operations Management W8 8.3 Aggregate Planning, Material Requirement Planning, and Capacity Planning © Ana G. Méndez University System, 2012. All rights reserved. Outline for Workshop Eight Aggregate Planning Process What is Aggregate Planning? Strategies for Aggregate Planning Material Requirement Planning (MRP) What is MRP? Dependent Inventory Model Requirements MRP Structure Lot-Sizing Techniques MRP II Closed Loop and Capacity Planning Breakeven Point Specific Objectives for Workshop Eight At the end of the workshop, you will be able to: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. Define aggregate planning. Identify strategies for developing an aggregate plan. Understand the graphical and mathematical planning of other aggregate plans. Describe Material Requirement planning (MRP) and how to build the product structure, the gross requirements plan, the net requirements plan and lot sizes for lot, and EOQ. Describe Material Resource Planning (MRP II) and the closed loop. Define Capacity Planning (CP), Capacity Requirement Planning (CRP), design capacity, effective capacity, utilization and efficiency. Identify and compute break even. Aggregate Planning Aggregate planning, also known as aggregate scheduling, is concerned with determining the quantity and timing of production for the intermediate future, often from three to eighteen months ahead. Operations managers try to determine the best way to meet forecasted demand by adjusting production rates, labor levels, inventory levels, overtime work, subcontracting rates, and other controllable variables. Aggregate Planning Objectives Minimize Costs/Maximize Profits Maximize Customer Service Minimize Inventory Investment Minimize Changes in Production Rates (Setup cost) Minimize Changes in Workforce Levels Maximize Utilization of Plant and Equipment Aggregate Planning Strategies Should inventories be used to absorb changes in demand during the planning period? Should changes be accommodated by varying the size of the workforce? Should part-timers be used, or should overtime and idle time absorb fluctuations? Should subcontractors be used on fluctuating orders so a stable workforce can be maintained? Should prices or other factors be changed to influence demand? Aggregate Planning Strategies Option Capacity Option: Changing inventory levels Advantage Changes in HR are gradual or none. Varying workforce size by hiring or layoffs Avoids the costs of other alternatives. Disadvantage Comments Inventory holding costs may increase. Shortages may result in lost sales. Hiring, layoff, and training costs may be significant. Applies mainly to production not service, operations. Varying production Matches seasonal rates through overtime fluctuations without or idle time hiring/training costs. Overtime premiums; tired workers; may not meet demand. Allows flexibility within the aggregate plan. Subcontracting Permits flexibility and smoothing of the firm's output Is less costly and more flexible than full-time workers. Loss of quality control; reduced profits; loss of future business. High turnover/training costs; quality suffers; scheduling difficult. Applies mainly in production settings. Tries to use excess capacity. Discounts draw new customers May avoid overtime. Keeps capacity constant. Uncertainty in demand. Hard to match demand to supply exactly. Customer must be willing to wait for an order or goodwill is lots . Should this be high or should it be lost? May require skills or equipment outside firm's areas of expertise. Creates marketing ideas. Overbooking used in some businesses. Many companies back order. Using part time workers Used when changing inventory and size of labor pool is large. Good for unskilled jobs in areas with large temporary labor pools. Demand Option: Influencing demand Back ordering during high-demand periods Counter seasonal product and service mixing Fully utilizes resources; allows stable workforce. Risky finding products or services with opposite demand patterns. Mixed options to develop a plan Chase strategy Match output rates to demand forecast for each period Vary workforce levels or vary production rate Favored by many service organizations Level strategy Daily production is uniform Use inventory or idle time as buffer Stable production leads to better quality and productivity Hybrid or Mix Some combination of capacity options, a mixed strategy, might be the best solution The Planning Process Production Capacity Inventory Marketing Customer demand Procurement Supplier performance Management Return on investment Capital Source: Reizer, J., Render, B. (2007). Operations Management . 9th Edition. Chapter 14. Finance Cash flow Human resources Manpower planning Aggregate production plan Master production schedule Engineering Design completion Change production plan? The Planning Process and Material Requirement Plan (MRP) Master production schedule Change requirements? Change master production schedule? Material requirements plan Change capacity? Capacity requirements plan No Realistic? Yes Execute capacity plans Source: Reizer, J., Render, B. (2007). Operations Management . 9th Edition. Chapter 14. Execute material plans Is capacity plan being met? Is execution meeting the plan? Master Production Schedule (MPS) Specifies what is to be made and when Must be in accordance with the aggregate production plan Inputs from financial plans, customer demand, engineering, supplier performance As the process moves from planning to execution, each step must be tested for feasibility The MPS is the result of the production planning process MPS is established in terms of specific products Schedule must be followed for a reasonable length of time The MPS is quite often fixed or frozen in the near term part of the plan The MPS is a rolling schedule The MPS is a statement of what is to be produced, not a forecast of demand Different Process Strategies Make to Order (Process Focus) Assemble to Order or Forecast (Repetitive) Number of end items Stock to Forecast (Product Focus) Schedule finished product Schedule modules Typical focus of the master production schedule Schedule orders Number of inputs Examples: Print shop Machine shop Fine-dining restaurant Motorcycles Autos, TVs Fast-food restaurant Steel, Beer, Bread Lightbulbs Paper From the MPS to MRP Process Customer Orders Bills of Material Purchase Orders Master Production Schedule Material Requirement Planning Work Orders Forecast Demand Inventory Material Requirement Planning (MRP) MRP is the system that has been put in place to enable a business to manage its inventory levels. Inventory in a manufacturing business is made of the materials that go into the manufacturing process. The benefits of MRP: Better response to customer orders Faster response to market changes Improved utilization of facilities and labor Reduced inventory levels MRP and the Dependent Demand Effective use of dependent demand inventory models requires the following: 1. Master production schedule 2. Specifications or bill of material 3. Inventory availability 4. Outstanding purchase orders 5. Lead times Bills of Material (BOM) There are approximately 8 types of bills of material. Here are some of the most used ones. This shows the Parent and is typically called Product Tree, and also a Multi Level Bill Both BOM Source: DRM Associates, PD-Trak Solutions (2010). Retrieved from: http://www.npd-solutions.com/bom.html. This is a Summarized BOM Bills of Material (BOM) This is a Single-Level BOM Both BOM Source: DRM Associates, PD-Trak Solutions (2010). Retrieved from: http://www.npd-solutions.com/bom.html. This is an Indented BOM MRP Needs Accurate Records Accurate inventory records are absolutely required for MRP (or any dependent demand system) to operate correctly Generally MRP systems require 99% accuracy Outstanding purchase orders must accurately reflect quantities and scheduled receipts Lead Times The time required to purchase, produce, or assemble an item For production – the sum of the order, wait, move, setup, store, and run times For purchased items – the time between the recognition of a need and the availability of the item for production The Process to Determine Gross Requirements Starts with a production schedule for the end item Using the lead time for the item, is determined the week in which the order should be released This step is often called “lead time offset” or “time phasing” From the BOM, every Item A requires X amounts of Item B The lead time for Item B is X weeks The timing and quantity for component requirements are determined by the order release of the parent(s) The process continues through the entire BOM one level at a time – often called “explosion” By processing the BOM by level, items with multiple parents are only processed once, saving time and resources and reducing confusion Low-level coding ensures that each item appears at only one level in the BOM Net Requirements Plan Source: Reizer, J., Render, B. (2007). Operations Management . 9th Edition. Chapter 14. The Logic of Net Requirements Gross requirements + Allocations Total requirements – On hand + Scheduled receipts = Net requirements Available inventory Source: Reizer, J., Render, B. (2007). Operations Management . 9th Edition. Chapter 14. Safety Stock also called “Buffer” BOMs, inventory records, purchase and production quantities may not be perfect Consideration of safety stock may be prudent Should be minimized and ultimately eliminated Typically built into projected on-hand inventory Source: Resource Systems Group (2012). Lean Six Sigma Chain. Retrieve from: http://www.resourcesystemsconsulting.com/blog/wpcontent/uploads/SS.png. Lot Sizing Techniques Lot-for-lot techniques order just what is required for production based on net requirements May not always be feasible If setup costs are high, lot-for-lot can be expensive Economic order quantity (EOQ) EOQ expects a known constant demand and MRP systems often deal with unknown and variable demand Part Period Balancing (PPB) looks at future orders to determine most economical lot size The Wagner-Whitin algorithm is a complex dynamic programming technique Assumes a finite time horizon Effective, but computationally burdensome Utilization and Efficiency Utilization is the percent of design capacity achieved Utilization = Actual output/Design capacity Efficiency is the percent of effective capacity achieved Efficiency = Actual output/Effective capacity Capacity and Strategy Capacity decisions impact all 10 decisions of operations management as well as other functional areas of the organization Capacity decisions must be integrated into the organization’s mission and strategy Capacity Considerations Forecast demand accurately Understand the technology and capacity increments Find the optimum operating level (volume) Build for change Break-Even Analysis Technique for evaluating process and equipment alternatives Objective is to find the point in dollars and units at which cost equals revenue Requires estimation of fixed costs, variable costs, and revenue Fixed costs are costs that continue even if no units are produced Depreciation, taxes, debt, mortgage payments Variable costs are costs that vary with the volume of units produced Labor, materials, portion of utilities Contribution is the difference between selling price and variable cost Source: 12 Manage The Executive Fast Track (2011). Break Even Point Analysis. Retrieved from: http://www.12manage.com/methods_break-even_point.html Break-Even Point Assumptions Costs and revenue are linear functions Generally not the case in the real world We actually know these costs Very difficult to accomplish There is no time value of money Source: 12 Manage The Executive Fast Track (2011). Break Even Point Analysis. Retrieved from: http://www.12manage.com/methods_break-even_point.html Break-Even Point Analysis BEPx = break-even point in units BEP$ = break-even point in dollars P = price per unit (after all discounts) x = number of units produced TR F V TC = = = = total revenue = Px fixed costs variable cost per unit total costs = F + Vx Break-even point occurs when TR = TC or Px = F + Vx BEP$ = BEPx P F = P P-V F Profit = TR - TC = (P - V)/P = Px - (F + Vx) F = = Px - F - Vx 1 - V/P = (P - V)x - F F BEPx = P-V End of Presentation You have finished the presentation. Please continue with the Workshop Activities.